Weber State Wildcats vs Oregon State Beavers basketball final score

Mon, Nov 2 · 9:30 PM ET · Gill Coliseum, Corvallis, OR

Non-conferenceGill Coliseum, Corvallis, OR
Weber St
2025-26: 16-16 · 10-9 conf
Efficiency #203
@
Oregon St
2025-26: 17-16 · 10-10 conf
Efficiency #219
Final
61102
Final score
Projected 73.7 – 80.8
WEB win 27%ORST win 73%
MarketClose
Spread
ORST −18.0
open ORST −17.25
Total
160.5
open 154.5
Our line
ORST −7.2
as of Mon, Nov 2 · 9:28 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
Oregon Strated 0.4 below average
−0.4
Weber Strated 4.0 below average
+4.0
Home court
+3.5
Our line
ORST −7.2
◂ Weber St sideOregon St side ▸

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Oregon St. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 67.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Weber St is the faster team (69.9, #99 of 365) and Oregon St the slower (66.2, #284). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
67.7
per team, 40 min
Market total
160.5
Market close · open 154.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.1#111
Weber St
66.9#296
Oregon St

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
ORST −7.2
Four factors −2.0 · not in these stats +9.2
From the four factors
Oregon St has the ball+0.2
Weber St has the ball+2.1
Oregon St has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 26.8% #303 · WEB allows 27.7% #56−1.6
✓Shoots it welleFG% 50.5% #216 · WEB allows 54.5% #316+1.2
✓Gets to the lineFTR 43.1% #20 · WEB allows 36.4% #224 · FT 77.2% #30+0.7
✗Coughs it upTO% 17.7% #253 · WEB forces 16.3% #202 · ~11 turnovers−0.1
Weber St has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 15.7% #117 · ORST forces 15.3% #262 · ~10 turnovers+1.3
✓Wins second chancesOR% 31.8% #132 · ORST allows 32.1% #265+0.7
✓Gets to the lineFTR 39.2% #76 · ORST allows 35.1% #180 · FT 72.9% #170+0.2
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 51.7% #163 · ORST allows 50.3% #119−0.2

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
Weber Stoffense vsOregon Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Weber St shoots
Oregon St allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim56.4%#25756.0%#8558.5%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)33.7%#31042.5%#23739.4%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)33.5%#32441.0%#27538.1%
Three34.5%#14332.9%#11633.7%
Oregon Stoffense vsWeber Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Oregon St shoots
Weber St allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim56.6%#25365.1%#35358.5%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)36.1%#26740.5%#19939.4%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)37.0%#22040.1%#24638.1%
Three35.0%#11533.5%#16033.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
Weber St
+2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#72 of 365
Off reb %
31.8%
#132
Def reb %
72.3%
#56
Turnover %
15.7%
#117
Forced TO %
16.3%
#202
FT rate
39.2%
#76
FT allowed
36.4%
#224
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security+0.7
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed−0.3
Oregon St
−1.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#239 of 365
Off reb %
26.8%
#303
Def reb %
67.9%
#265
Turnover %
17.7%
#253
Forced TO %
15.3%
#262
FT rate
43.1%
#20
FT allowed
35.1%
#180
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding−0.5
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn+2.1
Foul shots allowed0.0

Weber St has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.6 (#72 of 365) to Oregon St’s −1.1 (#239).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Weber St2025-26 numbers
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
44CSo6'9"2-227.511.03.51.01.057.9%—0.00.0%21.0%
23FSo6'5"2-226.54.05.52.52.536.4%0.0%1.50.0%16.2%
13GFr5'11"2-226.011.55.04.54.038.0%12.5%4.0100.0%33.9%
0GSo6'1"2-024.515.55.53.01.555.6%40.0%7.520.0%33.4%
21FJr6'7"2-220.02.53.51.50.016.7%11.1%4.5100.0%12.6%
8GSo6'6"2-219.513.53.51.00.058.3%50.0%5.066.7%28.7%
4FSo6'9"2-018.53.05.00.50.511.5%14.3%3.575.0%21.7%
5GSo6'2"2-015.58.50.00.51.050.0%40.0%5.0100.0%28.4%
33FSr6'8"2-013.56.03.50.50.083.3%—0.0100.0%13.0%
11GSo6'4"2-03.50.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%0.5—14.4%
15CJr6'9"1-04.01.01.00.00.00.0%—0.050.0%37.5%
10GFr6'5"1-03.02.00.00.00.0——0.0100.0%16.1%
32GFr6'1"1-03.00.01.00.01.00.0%0.0%1.0—33.9%

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
Weber StOregon St
Efficiency
109.7
107.4
111.0
109.5
69.1
66.9
Shooting
51.7%
50.5%
51.6%
48.8%
34.5%
35.0%
72.9%
77.2%
39.2%
43.1%
Ball control & glass
15.7%
17.7%
16.3%
15.3%
31.8%
26.8%
27.7%
32.1%
9.0%
10.7%
11.0%
9.3%
Style
32.8%
44.3%
48.0%
34.1%
15.3%
9.2%
45.9%
61.2%
31.6%
34.1%
Roster
2.58
2.78
6'5.7"
6'5"
9.2%
16.8%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Weber St
Returning minutes: 9.2%Returning production: 6.6%
Lost
  • Tijan Saine Jr. 32.6 mpg, 17.5 ppg · transferred to FIU
  • Malek Gomma 25.1 mpg, 8.0 ppg · transferred to Utah
  • Viljami Vartiainen 24.3 mpg, 10.4 ppg · transferred to Santa Barbara
  • Nigel Burris 23.2 mpg, 10.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Edwin Suarez Jr. 20.9 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to Temple
  • Trevor Hennig 19.8 mpg, 8.2 ppg · transferred to ETSU
Added
  • Augustine Ekwe from New Mexico St · 7.5 mpg, 2.0 ppg last season
  • Brock Felder from Seattle U · 5.9 mpg, 2.5 ppg last season
  • Hunter Hansen no D1 minutes last season
  • Dyllan Thompson no D1 minutes last season
  • Chamberlain Burgess no D1 minutes last season
  • Alvin Jackson III no D1 minutes last season

Returns 9% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (4 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Oregon St
Returning minutes: 16.8%Returning production: 21.5%
Lost
  • Isaiah Sy 28.0 mpg, 10.0 ppg · transferred to San Diego St
  • Dez White 26.9 mpg, 8.8 ppg · transferred to Temple
  • Johan Munch 19.8 mpg, 7.4 ppg · transferred to SMU
  • Olavi Suutela 17.5 mpg, 5.5 ppg · transferred to UC San Diego
  • Jorge Diaz Graham 17.4 mpg, 5.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Keziah Ekissi 14.2 mpg, 3.8 ppg · transferred to CSU Northridge
Added
  • Jackson Rasmussen from Idaho · 30.1 mpg, 13.3 ppg last season
  • DeShawn Gory from Fresno St · 29.3 mpg, 13.7 ppg last season
  • Daniel Freitag from Buffalo · 23.9 mpg, 14.3 ppg last season
  • Legend Smiley from San Francisco · 21.3 mpg, 8.1 ppg last season
  • Chris Johnson from UCF · 15.3 mpg, 6.0 ppg last season
  • Dennis Evans from Grand Canyon · 6.6 mpg, 2.1 ppg last season

Returns 17% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (4 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-17.5→-18.5-105154.5→161.5o-110 u-110-2800+1300
FanDuel-18.5→-17.5-120158.5→161.5o-110 u-110-4000+1400
BetMGM-16.5→-18.5-105156.5→161.5o-105 u-115-2500+1100
BetRivers-17.5→-18.5-110155.5→161.5o-113 u-110-3335+1100
Caesars-20.5→-18.5-110155→161.5o-110 u-110——
Fanatics-17→-18.5-105154.5→161o-110 u-110-3000+1500
BetOnline-17→-18.5-107154→161o-115 u-105——
Bovada-17.5→-18-115156.5→161o-110 u-110-2000+950
theScore Bet-16.5→-18.5-105155.5→161.5o-110 u-110—+1500
Hard Rock-17.5→-18.5-110155.5→161.5o-110 u-110-3000+1100
Kalshi-17.5-113160.5o+100 u-104-2400+1900
Polymarket——-1900+1567
Novig-17.5→—154.5→—-1900+1718
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Mon, Nov 2

← Sun, Nov 1 · Tue, Nov 3 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.