CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferencePizzitola Sports Center, Providence, RI

New Hampshire

Efficiency #340

2025-26: 9-21 · 5-12 conf

Brown

Efficiency #275

2025-26: 9-18 · 3-11 conf

Mon, Nov 2 · 7:00 PM ET

65.2

win 25%

Projected

72.9

win 75%

No line posted yet.

Model: BRWN −7.6 · total 138.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Brown 67.9, New Hampshire 68.3 → 67.9 possessions

−1.0

Brown offense vs New Hampshire defense

−2.7

New Hampshire offense vs Brown defense

−6.4

Projected total

138.1

Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Brown offense vs New Hampshire defense

−2.7

New Hampshire offense vs Brown defense

+6.4

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+3.9

Brown by 7.6

7.6

New Hampshire side ◂▸ Brown side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Brown.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 67.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, New Hampshire is the faster team (67.1, #237 of 365) and Brown the slower (66.7, #260). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

67.9

per team, 40 min

Projected total

138.1

model

Projected team totals

65.2 / 72.9

New Hampshire / Brown

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

68.3#184

New Hampshire

67.9#220

Brown

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

AdvantageNew Hampshire

Where New Hampshire struggles: shooting

New Hampshire shoots an effective 46.7% (#344); Brown allows 51.3% (#176). Expect about 48.6%, 2.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.8 points per 100 possessions.

GlassNew Hampshire

New Hampshire gets out-rebounded

Projected offensive rebound rate of 27.0% is worth roughly -2.1 points per 100 possessions against New Hampshire's offense.

Watch for noise

3-point caution

A notable season 3-point number here (Brown, New Hampshire) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect New Hampshire at about 44.7% of its shots from three, Brown about 35.3%.

AdvantageBrown

Where Brown struggles: the offensive glass

Brown rebounds 29.0% of its own misses (#236); New Hampshire lets opponents grab 26.9% of their own misses (#32). Expect about 27.7%, 2.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.6 points per 100 possessions.

ClashNew Hampshire

Style match: 3-point volume

New Hampshire takes 43.1% of its shots from three; Brown lets opponents take 43.0% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 44.7% — both habits push the same way.

ClashBrown

Style match: paint scoring

Brown scores 50.4% of its points in the paint; New Hampshire gives up 47.1% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 46.1% — both habits push the same way.

New Hampshire has the ball

OffenseBrown allowsvs D1 avg

46.7% #344

51.3% #176

-3.8 pt/100

16.5% #168

18.7% #62

-1.3 pt/100

25.7% #329

30.0% #164

-2.1 pt/100

28.5% #338

37.6% #253

-0.2 pt/100

65.1% #359

—

-0.6 pt/100

New Hampshire net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -8.1 pts/100

Brown has the ball

OffenseNew Hampshire allowsvs D1 avg

48.6% #299

53.4% #282

-0.6 pt/100

19.5% #337

15.8% #231

-1.1 pt/100

29.0% #236

26.9% #32

-1.6 pt/100

28.1% #342

35.8% #206

-0.4 pt/100

68.4% #316

—

-0.4 pt/100

Brown net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.1 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

New Hampshireoffense vsBrowndefense

Share of shots by zone

New Hampshire shoots

41.4

5.6

9.6

43.3

Brown allows

37.3

2.8

16.3

43.5

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	52.2%#347	55.7%#77	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	36.6%#255	40.5%#200	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	31.4%#344	45.8%#355	38.0%
Three	30.5%#333	33.5%#157	33.7%

Brownoffense vsNew Hampshiredefense

Share of shots by zone

Brown shoots

44.3

4.7

14.9

36.1

New Hampshire allows

43.8

7.4

12.0

36.8

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	55.9%#276	59.3%#202	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	43.5%#90	46.2%#321	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	34.7%#297	40.6%#262	38.0%
Three	30.3%#338	34.3%#204	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

New Hampshire

−2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#288 of 365

Off reb %

25.7%

#329

Def reb %

73.1%

#32

Turnover %

16.5%

#168

Forced TO %

15.8%

#231

FT rate

28.5%

#338

FT allowed

35.8%

#206

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−1.5

Defensive rebounding+1.2

Ball security+0.2

Forcing turnovers−0.6

Foul shots drawn−1.7

Foul shots allowed−0.2

Brown

−3.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#308 of 365

Off reb %

29.0%

#236

Def reb %

70.0%

#164

Turnover %

19.5%

#337

Forced TO %

18.7%

#62

FT rate

28.1%

#342

FT allowed

37.6%

#253

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−0.5

Defensive rebounding+0.2

Ball security−1.8

Forcing turnovers+1.4

Foul shots drawn−1.8

Foul shots allowed−0.6

New Hampshire has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.6 (#288 of 365) to Brown’s −3.1 (#308).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

New Hampshire2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
15	Davide Poser	F	Jr	6'4"	30-30	28.5	7.0	2.9	1.6	0.7	47.6%	32.6%	5.8	66.7%	16.3%
7	John Squire	F	So	6'8"	30-30	26.7	6.1	5.7	1.4	1.2	60.0%	26.7%	0.5	62.3%	13.6%
23	Belal El Shakery	F	Jr	6'8"	29-29	26.6	11.4	8.2	1.5	2.0	43.3%	5.9%	1.2	49.1%	33.1%
0	Tyler Bike	G	Fr	5'10"	30-15	23.8	7.5	1.6	2.0	0.8	50.5%	37.5%	4.8	70.8%	19.6%
8	KiJan Robinson	G	Jr	6'3"	26-17	25.5	10.7	1.6	2.3	1.6	47.3%	30.3%	3.8	82.7%	27.1%
5	R.J. Kennedy	G	Fr	6'1"	30-5	19.6	5.3	1.8	0.8	1.1	45.6%	31.0%	2.9	70.6%	19.7%
10	Comeh Emuobor	G	Jr	6'5"	28-1	18.9	9.0	4.3	0.6	1.6	41.7%	10.7%	1.0	65.1%	35.4%
6	Giannos Xanthopoulos	C	Fr	6'10"	29-0	6.4	1.7	1.9	0.1	0.4	47.5%	30.8%	0.4	91.7%	17.6%
24	Jon O'Neill	F	So	6'9"	15-0	6.2	1.3	2.5	0.2	0.1	75.0%	—	0.0	50.0%	9.3%
4	Myles Blackley	G	Fr	6'4"	11-0	3.7	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.1	15.4%	0.0%	0.6	100.0%	21.3%
3	Dylan Saunders	F	Jr	6'8"	12-0	3.3	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.2	81.8%	60.0%	0.8	100.0%	19.8%
14	Antoni Siewruk	G	So	6'9"	5-0	3.8	1.4	1.2	0.4	0.2	50.0%	33.3%	0.6	0.0%	23.9%
11	Nick Sanford	G	So	6'1"	6-0	1.7	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.3	0.0%	—	0.0	—	17.0%

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Brown2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Brown's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
2	Jeremiah Jenkins	G	So	6'0"	27-27	30.1	8.2	3.9	5.2	2.8	44.6%	36.4%	3.7	75.5%	22.2%
5	Adrian Uchidiuno	G	Jr	6'2"	27-8	25.3	9.1	2.7	1.1	1.4	42.1%	26.2%	5.4	81.3%	27.4%
40	Landon Lewis	F	Sr	6'7"	21-21	30.8	16.6	7.2	1.9	2.3	56.3%	42.9%	0.7	56.5%	32.3%
45	N'famara Dabo	F	Jr	6'8"	27-25	23.3	7.2	5.7	1.0	0.8	63.6%	0.0%	0.0	56.3%	16.7%
12	Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson	G	Jr	6'4"	27-11	22.2	4.2	3.6	2.8	1.5	41.5%	22.6%	1.1	73.9%	16.6%
1	Isaiah Langham	G	Fr	6'5"	27-13	21.1	8.4	2.4	0.9	1.4	45.9%	18.8%	2.4	70.2%	28.2%
23	David Rochester	F	So	6'8"	22-7	22.0	6.2	3.4	1.6	1.1	44.2%	28.6%	1.3	72.5%	19.8%
14	Luke Paragon	G	Jr	6'4"	26-18	16.4	7.1	1.5	0.6	0.5	59.2%	39.0%	3.8	93.5%	21.8%
33	Charlie O'Sullivan	F	Fr	6'10"	20-0	11.5	4.6	2.1	0.9	0.5	60.4%	37.3%	2.5	71.4%	21.7%
30	Brady Loughlin	G	Fr	6'5"	12-1	18.2	6.5	2.0	0.7	0.9	59.2%	38.8%	4.1	70.0%	21.0%
6	Wyatt DeGraaf	F	So	6'10"	14-3	9.2	2.4	1.6	0.3	0.6	68.2%	—	0.0	42.9%	15.7%
32	Drew Kania	F	Sr	6'8"	8-1	5.4	1.6	1.0	0.1	0.3	30.8%	—	0.0	71.4%	24.9%
4	Jonah Drezner	G	Fr	6'3"	5-0	5.6	2.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	61.1%	42.9%	1.4	—	19.4%
11	Jerrell Barron Jr.	G	So	6'4"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

New Hampshire2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
15	Davide Poser	F	Jr	6'4"	30-30	28.5	7.0	2.9	1.6	0.7	47.6%	32.6%	5.8	66.7%	16.3%
7	John Squire	F	So	6'8"	30-30	26.7	6.1	5.7	1.4	1.2	60.0%	26.7%	0.5	62.3%	13.6%
23	Belal El Shakery	F	Jr	6'8"	29-29	26.6	11.4	8.2	1.5	2.0	43.3%	5.9%	1.2	49.1%	33.1%
0	Tyler Bike	G	Fr	5'10"	30-15	23.8	7.5	1.6	2.0	0.8	50.5%	37.5%	4.8	70.8%	19.6%
8	KiJan Robinson	G	Jr	6'3"	26-17	25.5	10.7	1.6	2.3	1.6	47.3%	30.3%	3.8	82.7%	27.1%
5	R.J. Kennedy	G	Fr	6'1"	30-5	19.6	5.3	1.8	0.8	1.1	45.6%	31.0%	2.9	70.6%	19.7%
10	Comeh Emuobor	G	Jr	6'5"	28-1	18.9	9.0	4.3	0.6	1.6	41.7%	10.7%	1.0	65.1%	35.4%
6	Giannos Xanthopoulos	C	Fr	6'10"	29-0	6.4	1.7	1.9	0.1	0.4	47.5%	30.8%	0.4	91.7%	17.6%
24	Jon O'Neill	F	So	6'9"	15-0	6.2	1.3	2.5	0.2	0.1	75.0%	—	0.0	50.0%	9.3%
4	Myles Blackley	G	Fr	6'4"	11-0	3.7	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.1	15.4%	0.0%	0.6	100.0%	21.3%
3	Dylan Saunders	F	Jr	6'8"	12-0	3.3	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.2	81.8%	60.0%	0.8	100.0%	19.8%
14	Antoni Siewruk	G	So	6'9"	5-0	3.8	1.4	1.2	0.4	0.2	50.0%	33.3%	0.6	0.0%	23.9%
11	Nick Sanford	G	So	6'1"	6-0	1.7	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.3	0.0%	—	0.0	—	17.0%

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

New Hampshire

Against the spread

Season

12-16

Home

4-7

Road

8-9

Last 10

1-9

avg cover −9.7

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 1 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 0 of 6 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

15-13

Home

7-4

Road

8-9

Last 10

6-4

avg vs total +5.4

Over 3 straightOver in 2 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 6 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 7	UMBCAdjEM #147	A	L 69–84	+13.0	L−2.0	142.0	O153	106.0	129.1	65.1
Mar 3	BryantAdjEM #347	H	W 88–83 2OT	−1.0	W+4.0	135.5	O171	112.7	106.3	78.1
Feb 28	UAlbanyAdjEM #306	A	L 61–84	+3.0	L−20.0	139.0	O145	91.0	125.3	67.0
Feb 26	BinghamtonAdjEM #354	A	L 63–65	−3.0	L−5.0	141.5	U128	100.5	103.7	62.7
Feb 21	MaineAdjEM #335	H	L 58–61	−3.5	L−6.5	136.0	U119	89.2	93.8	65.0
Feb 19	UMass LowellAdjEM #308	A	L 56–78	+3.5	L−18.5	151.0	U134	79.5	110.7	70.5
Feb 14	UMBCAdjEM #147	H	L 63–85	+2.0	L−20.0	144.0	O148	91.6	123.6	68.8
Feb 12	NJITAdjEM #331	H	L 70–76	−2.5	L−8.5	143.5	O146	104.8	113.8	66.8
Feb 7	VermontAdjEM #199	A	L 57–80	+10.0	L−13.0	138.0	U137	84.0	117.9	67.8
Jan 31	BryantAdjEM #347	A	L 84–92	+1.0	L−7.0	132.5	O176	113.6	124.4	73.9

Brown

Against the spread

Season

13-12

Home

5-7

Road

8-5

Last 10

5-5

avg cover −3.4

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 7 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

12-13

Home

4-8

Road

8-5

Last 10

6-4

avg vs total +1.3

Under in the last gameOver in 4 of 7 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 6	PennAdjEM #162	H	L 61–82	−1.0	L−22.0	147.0	U143	84.9	114.2	71.8
Feb 28	CornellAdjEM #135	A	L 80–86	+9.5	W+3.5	157.5	O166	110.7	119.1	72.2
Feb 27	ColumbiaAdjEM #166	A	L 62–80	+5.5	L−12.5	140.0	O142	91.1	117.6	68.1
Feb 20	PrincetonAdjEM #251	H	W 80–71	−3.0	W+6.0	130.0	O151	124.7	110.7	64.1
Feb 14	DartmouthAdjEM #254	A	W 79–76	+3.0	W+6.0	139.5	O155	110.6	106.4	71.5
Feb 13	HarvardAdjEM #133	A	L 53–56	+8.0	W+5.0	131.5	U109	85.7	90.6	61.8
Feb 6	YaleAdjEM #57	A	L 69–81	+15.0	W+3.0	139.0	O150	105.7	124.1	65.3
Jan 31	DartmouthAdjEM #254	H	L 70–77 OT	−2.0	L−9.0	143.0	O147	93.7	103.1	74.7
Jan 30	HarvardAdjEM #133	H	L 59–69	+1.5	L−8.5	133.0	U128	96.8	113.3	60.9
Jan 24	PrincetonAdjEM #251	A	L 53–63	+4.5	L−5.5	133.5	U116	83.1	98.7	63.8

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

New HampshireBrown

Efficiency

100.1

101.4

111.6

107.4

68.3

67.9

—

Shooting

46.7%

48.6%

47.4%

50.4%

30.5%

30.3%

65.1%

68.4%

28.5%

28.1%

Ball control & glass

16.5%

19.5%

15.8%

18.7%

25.7%

29.0%

26.9%

30.0%

9.1%

11.3%

9.4%

Style

43.1%

36.3%

45.7%

50.4%

11.4%

13.3%

44.3%

59.5%

32.9%

37.1%

Roster

2.25

2.49

6'4.4"

6'4.9"

86.4%

—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

New Hampshire

Returning minutes: 86.4%Returning production: 86.0%

Lost

Jack Graham 28.0 mpg, 11.2 ppg · transferred to Marist

Added

Nobody of note.

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 86% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Brown

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Brown's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last

Date	Season	Result
Wed, Nov 26	2025-26	Brown 59 – 47 New Hampshire

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.