Charlotte 49ers vs Indiana State Sycamores basketball final score
Mon, Nov 2 · 7:00 PM ET · Hulman Center, Terre Haute, IN
Non-conferenceESPN+Hulman Center, Terre Haute, IN
Charlotte
2025-26: 17-17 · 11-10 conf
Efficiency #193
@
Indiana St
2025-26: 11-21 · 4-17 conf
Efficiency #213
Final
7870
Final score
Projected 75.6 – 76.9
CLT win 46%INST win 54%
MarketClose
Spread
CLT −5.5
open CLT −3.0
Total
152.5
open 152.5
Our line
INST −1.3
as of Mon, Nov 2 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Indiana Strated 3.3 below average
−3.3
Charlotterated 1.1 below average
+1.1
Home court
+3.5
Our line
INST −1.3
◂ Charlotte sideIndiana St side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Indiana St. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Indiana St is the faster team (68.3, #183 of 365) and Charlotte the slower (64.3, #349). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.2
per team, 40 min
Market total
152.5
Market close · open 152.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
65.7#350
Charlotte
68.8#133
Indiana St
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
INST −1.3
Four factors −2.2 · not in these stats +3.5
From the four factors
Indiana St has the ball−0.1
Charlotte has the ball+2.1
Indiana St has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 26.2% #317 · CLT allows 32.5% #283−0.8
✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.8% #110 · CLT allows 50.9% #152+0.7
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 27.4% #349 · CLT allows 36.2% #213 · FT 67.8% #329−0.5
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 19.5% #338 · CLT forces 13.6% #345 · ~11 turnovers+0.4
Charlotte has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 33.9% #71 · INST allows 31.8% #245+1.2
✓Shoots it welleFG% 53.4% #86 · INST allows 50.2% #110+0.7
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 18.1% #275 · INST forces 14.9% #301 · ~11 turnovers+0.4
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 36.4% #140 · INST allows 28.7% #39 · FT 71.6% #219−0.3
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersCharlotteoffense vsIndiana Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Charlotte shoots
37.8
6.0
11.8
44.4
Indiana St allows
39.4
8.4
18.2
34.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.0%#118 | 56.4%#94 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.6%#160 | 44.2%#272 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.6%#131 | 47.3%#363 | 38.1% |
| Three | 35.2%#101 | 31.2%#37 | 33.7% |
Indiana Stoffense vsCharlottedefense
Share of shots by zone
Indiana St shoots
43.3
5.1
6.6
45.0
Charlotte allows
38.8
6.7
14.2
40.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.9%#54 | 59.9%#223 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 30.0%#349 | 26.3%#3 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.9%#39 | 36.1%#114 | 38.1% |
| Three | 31.5%#305 | 33.5%#153 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersCharlotte
−2.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#282 of 365
Off reb %
33.9%
#71
Def reb %
67.5%
#283
Turnover %
18.1%
#275
Forced TO %
13.6%
#345
FT rate
36.4%
#140
FT allowed
36.2%
#213
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.1
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−0.9
Forcing turnovers−2.1
Foul shots drawn+0.4
Foul shots allowed−0.2
Indiana St
−5.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#346 of 365
Off reb %
26.2%
#317
Def reb %
68.2%
#245
Turnover %
19.5%
#338
Forced TO %
14.9%
#301
FT rate
27.4%
#349
FT allowed
28.7%
#39
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.3
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security−1.9
Forcing turnovers−1.3
Foul shots drawn−1.9
Foul shots allowed+1.7
Charlotte has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.4 (#282 of 365) to Indiana St’s −5.1 (#346).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Charlotte2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | G | So | 6'1" | 3-3 | 33.3 | 24.3 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 63.0% | 50.0% | 6.7 | 83.3% | 39.5% | |
| 1 | G | Sr | 6'5" | 3-3 | 28.7 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 47.1% | 40.0% | 1.7 | 75.0% | 20.1% | |
| 3 | C | Sr | 6'11" | 3-3 | 19.0 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 73.1% | 60.0% | 1.7 | — | 16.9% | |
| 8 | G | Fr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 18.7 | 8.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 59.4% | 41.7% | 4.0 | 100.0% | 19.8% | |
| 21 | F | Fr | 6'9" | 3-0 | 17.0 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 70.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 15.8% | |
| 7 | G | So | 6'6" | 3-3 | 16.0 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 40.0% | 22.2% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 15.0% | |
| 9 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 3-3 | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 55.0% | 50.0% | 0.7 | 25.0% | 19.1% | |
| 24 | F | So | 6'9" | 3-0 | 15.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 15.1% | |
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'5" | 3-0 | 12.7 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 31.5% | |
| 12 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 85.7% | 57.1% | 2.3 | — | 16.6% | |
| 0 | F | So | 6'9" | 3-0 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 40.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 16.6% | |
| 6 | C | Jr | 7'0" | 2-0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 30.4% | |
| 10 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 19.9% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameCharlotte
Against the spread
Season
18-14-1
Home
9-7
Road
6-5-1
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +0.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 7 as an underdogCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
20-13
Home
11-5
Road
7-5
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +2.1
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 7 as an underdogOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | South Florida | N | L 64–86 | +15.5 | L−6.5 | 153.5 | U150 | 93.1 | 125.1 | 68.7 |
| Mar 13 | UAB | N | W 83–78 | +5.5 | W+10.5 | 148.0 | O161 | 124.7 | 117.2 | 66.6 |
| Mar 12 | Tulane | N | W 74–60 | −1.0 | W+13.0 | 144.5 | U134 | 121.3 | 98.3 | 61.0 |
| Mar 8 | South Florida | A | L 60–83 | +17.5 | L−5.5 | 155.5 | U143 | 91.0 | 125.9 | 65.9 |
| Mar 4 | UAB | H | L 74–80 | +2.0 | L−4.0 | 148.0 | O154 | 116.0 | 125.4 | 63.8 |
| Mar 1 | FAU | A | L 76–77 OT | +7.0 | W+6.0 | 148.0 | O153 | 104.9 | 106.2 | 72.5 |
| Feb 25 | North Texas | H | W 80–79 | +1.5 | W+2.5 | 133.5 | O159 | 126.4 | 124.8 | 63.3 |
| Feb 21 | East Carolina | H | W 68–56 | −4.5 | W+7.5 | 146.0 | U124 | 104.2 | 85.8 | 65.3 |
| Feb 18 | Tulsa | A | L 74–79 | +13.0 | W+8.0 | 152.0 | O153 | 112.7 | 120.3 | 65.7 |
| Feb 15 | UTSA | H | L 79–88 | −14.0 | L−23.0 | 148.0 | O167 | 120.0 | 133.7 | 65.8 |
Indiana St
Against the spread
Season
18-12
Home
7-6
Road
10-5
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +0.4
Covered 2 straightCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-17
Home
5-8
Road
7-8
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −5.0
Under 3 straightOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Valparaiso | N | L 62–63 | +2.5 | W+1.5 | 142.0 | U125 | 103.9 | 105.6 | 59.7 |
| Mar 1 | UIC | H | W 79–63 | +4.0 | W+20.0 | 144.0 | U142 | 117.0 | 93.3 | 67.5 |
| Feb 25 | S Illinois | A | L 55–66 | +8.0 | L−3.0 | 149.0 | U121 | 77.8 | 93.4 | 70.7 |
| Feb 21 | Belmont | A | L 70–87 | +13.0 | L−4.0 | 156.0 | O157 | 95.9 | 119.2 | 73.0 |
| Feb 18 | Northern Iowa | H | L 60–81 | +5.0 | L−16.0 | 135.5 | O141 | 92.3 | 124.6 | 65.0 |
| Feb 15 | Valparaiso | A | L 75–76 | +5.0 | W+4.0 | 145.0 | O151 | 122.8 | 124.4 | 61.1 |
| Feb 12 | Murray St | H | L 72–74 | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 164.0 | U146 | 110.9 | 114.0 | 64.9 |
| Feb 9 | S Illinois | H | L 65–80 | +1.5 | L−13.5 | 147.5 | U145 | 87.1 | 107.2 | 74.7 |
| Feb 3 | Evansville | A | W 84–63 | −1.0 | W+20.0 | 145.0 | O147 | 134.0 | 100.5 | 62.7 |
| Jan 31 | Valparaiso | H | L 72–76 OT | −2.5 | L−6.5 | 145.0 | O148 | 101.2 | 106.8 | 71.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeCharlotteIndiana St
Efficiency
110.5
106.0
111.5
107.8
65.7
68.8
Shooting
53.4%
52.8%
53.8%
57.4%
35.2%
31.5%
71.6%
67.8%
36.4%
27.4%
Ball control & glass
18.1%
19.5%
13.6%
14.9%
33.9%
26.2%
32.5%
31.8%
9.9%
11.4%
9.5%
13.4%
Style
45.4%
45.2%
39.1%
48.3%
11.9%
12.2%
51.8%
64.9%
41.9%
33.9%
Roster
2.93
3.21
6'6.9"
6'2.6"
9.0%
0.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputCharlotte
Returning minutes: 9.0%Returning production: 7.2%
Lost
- Ben Bradford 28.2 mpg, 13.5 ppg · transferred to Charleston
- Dezayne Mingo 26.9 mpg, 12.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Anton Bonke 25.6 mpg, 10.6 ppg · transferred to Michigan St
- Damoni Harrison 18.3 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Spencer Elliott 17.2 mpg, 4.1 ppg · transferred to UNC Wilmington
- Major Freeman 14.1 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Dorian Finister from Louisiana · 30.5 mpg, 14.0 ppg last season
- Dylan Grant from Rutgers · 24.1 mpg, 9.5 ppg last season
- Jayden Fort from Georgetown · 13.6 mpg, 3.3 ppg last season
- Keyshuan Tillery from Cincinnati · 11.6 mpg, 3.5 ppg last season
- Tyler McKinley from Cincinnati · 9.2 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
- Peyton Marshall from Georgia Tech · 6.2 mpg, 1.9 ppg last season
Returns 9% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Indiana St
Returning minutes: 0.0%Returning production: 0.0%
Lost
- Ian Scott 30.0 mpg, 13.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Camp Wagner 28.8 mpg, 11.9 ppg · transferred to UC San Diego
- Xavier Hall 27.7 mpg, 7.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Sterling Young 21.9 mpg, 9.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Bruno Alocen 21.3 mpg, 6.3 ppg · transferred to Valparaiso
- Enel St. Bernard 17.6 mpg, 5.8 ppg · transferred to Sam Houston
Added
- Meechie White from E Illinois · 30.4 mpg, 10.5 ppg last season
- Karmani Gregory from SC Upstate · 29.6 mpg, 15.2 ppg last season
- Maguire Mitchell from IU Indy · 26.3 mpg, 11.8 ppg last season
- Duce Paschal from Weber St · 12.3 mpg, 3.6 ppg last season
- Chance Puryear from SMU · 1.0 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
- Aleksa Vlajic from Buffalo · 0.2 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
Returns 0% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5→+5.5-112 | 152.5→— | +185 | -225 |
| FanDuel | +3.5→+5.5-110 | 152.5→— | +188 | -230 |
| BetMGM | +3.5→+5.5-110 | 152.5→— | +190 | -235 |
| BetRivers | +2.5→+5.5-117 | 152.5o-110 u-113 | +188 | -240 |
| Caesars | +5→+5.5-110 | 152.5→— | +185 | -225 |
| Fanatics | +3→+5.5-110 | 152.5→— | +190 | -235 |
| BetOnline | +2.5→+5.5-105 | 152.5→— | +194 | -233 |
| Bovada | +4→+5.5-115 | 152.5o-110 u-110 | +185 | -225 |
| theScore Bet | +3.5→+5.5-105 | 152.5→— | +195 | -230 |
| Hard Rock | +2.5→+5.5-115 | 152.5o-110 u-110 | +190 | -240 |
| Kalshi | +4.5+108 | 152.5o-104 u-104 | +186 | -194 |
| Polymarket | — | — | +194 | -213 |
| Novig | +3.5→— | 152.5→— | +194 | -203 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 3 | 2025-26 | Indiana St 76 – 92 Charlotte |
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.