Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs Michigan Wolverines basketball final score
Mon, Nov 2 · 6:00 PM ET · Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI
Non-conferenceBTNCrisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI
Oakland
2025-26: 16-16 · 12-9 conf
Efficiency #172
@
16Michigan
2025-26: 37-3 · 21-2 conf
Efficiency #1
Final
6884
Final score
Projected 63.9 – 95.6
OAK win 0%MICH win 100%
MarketClose
Spread
MICH −26.5
open MICH −26.5
Total
157.5
open 159.5
Our line
MICH −31.6
as of Mon, Nov 2 · 5:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Michiganrated 27.5 above average
+27.5
Oaklandrated 0.6 below average
+0.6
Home court
+3.5
Our line
MICH −31.6
◂ Oakland sideMichigan side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Michigan. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 72.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Michigan is the faster team (71.4, #34 of 365) and Oakland the slower (71.1, #46). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
72.4
per team, 40 min
Market total
157.5
Market close · open 159.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.0#45
Oakland
70.7#22
Michigan
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
MICH −31.6
Four factors 10.2Not in these stats 21.4
From the four factors
Michigan has the ball+9.2
Oakland has the ball−0.9
Michigan has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 58.3% #8 · OAK allows 54.7% #322+6.1
✓Wins second chancesOR% 34.7% #55 · OAK allows 34.4% #324+2.2
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.3% #159 · OAK forces 15.1% #284 · ~11 turnovers+1.3
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 38.0% #102 · OAK allows 24.6% #4 · FT 74.8% #91−0.3
Oakland has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 52.7% #114 · MICH allows 44.6% #1−2.6
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 14.7% #49 · MICH forces 15.1% #272 · ~11 turnovers+2.0
✗Few second chancesOR% 31.3% #152 · MICH allows 28.2% #70−0.2
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 38.1% #100 · MICH allows 26.0% #14 · FT 75.1% #79−0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersOaklandoffense vs#16Michigandefense
Share of shots by zone
Oakland shoots
45.2
8.6
12.5
33.7
Michigan allows
27.6
8.8
21.2
42.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.1%#192 | 54.5%#48 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.6%#56 | 40.9%#206 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.4%#135 | 31.4%#12 | 38.1% |
| Three | 34.7%#131 | 30.4%#18 | 33.7% |
#16Michiganoffense vsOaklanddefense
Share of shots by zone
Michigan shoots
42.8
7.8
8.5
40.9
Oakland allows
36.5
6.6
14.8
42.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 67.4%#7 | 61.3%#277 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.3%#169 | 45.0%#299 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.8%#82 | 48.9%#365 | 38.1% |
| Three | 36.8%#33 | 34.3%#206 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersOakland
+2.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#57 of 365
Off reb %
31.3%
#152
Def reb %
65.6%
#324
Turnover %
14.7%
#49
Forced TO %
15.1%
#284
FT rate
38.1%
#100
FT allowed
24.6%
#4
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding−1.2
Ball security+1.4
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed+2.7
#16Michigan
+4.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#29 of 365
Off reb %
34.7%
#55
Def reb %
71.8%
#70
Turnover %
16.3%
#159
Forced TO %
15.1%
#272
FT rate
38.0%
#102
FT allowed
26.0%
#14
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.4
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed+2.4
Michigan has more extra scoring chances per game: +4.5 (#29 of 365) to Oakland’s +2.9 (#57).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Oakland2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 4-4 | 33.3 | 17.3 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 49.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | 71.4% | 32.2% | |
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'6" | 4-4 | 32.0 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 44.1% | 29.0% | 7.8 | 94.4% | 32.7% | |
| 3 | G | So | 6'3" | 4-0 | 21.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 54.3% | 27.3% | 2.8 | 50.0% | 22.0% | |
| 13 | G | Jr | 6'6" | 4-4 | 21.5 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.8 | 83.3% | 18.6% | |
| 10 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 4-2 | 20.3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 58.3% | 44.4% | 2.3 | — | 12.9% | |
| 24 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 4-4 | 17.8 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 31.6% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 61.5% | 23.6% | |
| 4 | G | Sr | 6'10" | 4-2 | 13.5 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 34.4% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 54.5% | 29.1% | |
| 1 | G | So | 6'4" | 4-0 | 12.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 44.4% | 25.0% | 2.0 | — | 12.5% | |
| 6 | F | So | 6'7" | 4-0 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 42.9% | — | 0.0 | 81.8% | 16.8% | |
| 5 | G | So | 6'8" | 4-0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 1.0 | — | 22.3% | |
| 22 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 4-0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 25.8% | |
| 11 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 4-0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.4% | |
| 21 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 4-0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 15.5% | |
| 7 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 56.1% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameOakland
Against the spread
Season
17-14
Home
5-7
Road
10-7
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −5.3
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 4 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
19-12
Home
9-3
Road
9-8
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −3.2
Over 2 straightOver in 3 of 9 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4 | N Kentucky | H | L 84–85 | −2.0 | L−3.0 | 162.5 | O169 | 115.1 | 116.5 | 73.0 |
| Feb 28 | Detroit Mercy | H | L 89–95 | −8.0 | L−14.0 | 161.5 | O184 | 123.4 | 131.7 | 72.1 |
| Feb 25 | IU Indy | A | W 86–74 | −5.5 | W+6.5 | 167.5 | U160 | 118.5 | 101.9 | 72.6 |
| Feb 22 | Milwaukee | H | W 81–70 | −6.5 | W+4.5 | 160.0 | U151 | 123.9 | 107.1 | 65.4 |
| Feb 20 | Green Bay | H | L 68–73 | −6.5 | L−11.5 | 153.5 | U141 | 107.8 | 115.7 | 63.1 |
| Feb 15 | Robert Morris | A | L 69–93 | +1.5 | L−22.5 | 156.0 | O162 | 104.4 | 140.7 | 66.1 |
| Feb 12 | Youngstown St | H | L 82–86 | −4.0 | L−8.0 | 156.0 | O168 | 117.4 | 123.1 | 69.8 |
| Feb 4 | Cleveland St | A | L 78–91 | −8.0 | L−21.0 | 169.5 | U169 | 109.5 | 127.7 | 71.3 |
| Feb 1 | N Kentucky | H | W 76–65 | −3.0 | W+8.0 | 167.5 | U141 | 99.6 | 85.2 | 76.3 |
| Jan 28 | Purdue FW | A | W 74–65 | −1.0 | W+8.0 | 162.5 | U139 | 106.6 | 93.6 | 69.4 |
#16Michigan
Against the spread
Season
19-21
Home
8-7
Road
4-7
Last 10
4-6
avg cover +1.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 9 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 5 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
17-23
Home
6-9
Road
4-7
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +0.8
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 9 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 5 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6 | #2UConn | N | W 69–63 | −6.5 | L−0.5 | 146.0 | U132 | 105.4 | 96.3 | 65.4 |
| Apr 4 | #1Arizona | N | W 91–73 | +1.0 | W+19.0 | 157.5 | O164 | 116.6 | 93.6 | 78.0 |
| Mar 29 | #6Tennessee | N | W 95–62 | −8.0 | W+25.0 | 146.0 | O157 | 126.1 | 82.3 | 75.3 |
| Mar 27 | #4Alabama | N | W 90–77 | −9.5 | W+3.5 | 173.0 | U167 | 126.6 | 108.3 | 71.1 |
| Mar 21 | #9Saint Louis | N | W 95–72 | −12.0 | W+11.0 | 160.5 | O167 | 134.7 | 102.1 | 70.5 |
| Mar 19 | #16Howard | N | W 101–80 | −31.0 | L−10.0 | 151.5 | O181 | 141.7 | 112.2 | 71.3 |
| Mar 15 | #18Purdue | N | L 72–80 | −5.5 | L−13.5 | 149.5 | O152 | 114.9 | 127.7 | 62.7 |
| Mar 14 | #23Wisconsin | N | W 68–65 | −12.5 | L−9.5 | 161.5 | U133 | 100.7 | 96.2 | 67.5 |
| Mar 13 | Ohio State | N | W 71–67 | −12.5 | L−8.5 | 155.0 | U138 | 106.0 | 100.0 | 67.0 |
| Mar 8 | #8Michigan St | H | W 90–80 | −10.5 | L−0.5 | 152.0 | O170 | 126.5 | 112.5 | 71.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOakland#16Michigan
Efficiency
112.3
120.9
112.0
95.4
70.0
70.7
Shooting
52.7%
58.3%
53.0%
60.6%
34.7%
36.8%
75.1%
74.8%
38.1%
38.0%
Ball control & glass
14.7%
16.3%
15.1%
15.1%
31.3%
34.7%
34.4%
28.2%
7.6%
8.9%
11.7%
8.5%
Style
34.0%
41.4%
49.0%
44.6%
18.8%
13.9%
54.9%
61.0%
23.7%
37.4%
Roster
3.35
3.50
6'7.1"
6'5.7"
9.9%
36.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputOakland
Returning minutes: 9.9%Returning production: 7.7%
Lost
- Brody Robinson 35.8 mpg, 17.6 ppg · transferred to Creighton
- Tuburu Naivalurua 31.9 mpg, 14.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ziare Wells 26.8 mpg, 9.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Isaac Garrett 25.3 mpg, 12.0 ppg · transferred to High Point
- Brett White II 24.0 mpg, 9.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Michael Houge 22.5 mpg, 10.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Belal El Shakery from New Hampshire · 25.7 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
- Brady Swartz from W Michigan · 16.6 mpg, 6.2 ppg last season
- Chris Fields Jr. from Campbell · 14.8 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Josh Hill from Robert Morris · 11.3 mpg, 5.0 ppg last season
- RJ Taylor from Northern Iowa · 9.1 mpg, 2.2 ppg last season
- Nate Ahner no D1 minutes last season
Returns 10% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
#16Michigan
Returning minutes: 36.0%Returning production: 28.6%
Lost
- Yaxel Lendeborg 30.3 mpg, 15.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Morez Johnson Jr. 25.1 mpg, 13.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Aday Mara 23.4 mpg, 12.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nimari Burnett 19.8 mpg, 8.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Will Tschetter 13.7 mpg, 3.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- L.J. Cason 13.1 mpg, 5.8 ppg · transferred to Miami
Added
- Kenny Noland from Columbia · 33.1 mpg, 17.1 ppg last season
- Moustapha Thiam from Cincinnati · 25.5 mpg, 12.0 ppg last season
- J.P. Estrella from Tennessee · 16.4 mpg, 8.9 ppg last season
- Jalen Reed from LSU · 3.3 mpg, 1.8 ppg last season
- Lincoln Cosby no D1 minutes last season
- Harrison Hochberg no D1 minutes last season
Returns 36% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -28.5→-26.5-115 | 156.5→157.5o-112 u-108 | — | +3500 |
| FanDuel | -26.5→-27.5-105 | 156.5→157.5o-114 u-106 | — | — |
| BetMGM | -26.5→-27.5-105 | 156.5→157.5o-110 u-110 | — | +3000 |
| BetRivers | -27.5-115 | 157.5→158.5o-108 u-115 | — | — |
| Caesars | -29→-27-110 | 156.5→158o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -27.5→-27-110 | 159.5→158o-110 u-110 | — | +3000 |
| BetOnline | -27-107 | 160→158o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Bovada | -26.5-120 | 157→157.5o-120 u+100 | — | +2500 |
| theScore Bet | -26.5-110 | 156.5→158.5o-110 u-110 | — | +3500 |
| Hard Rock | -27.5-115 | 157.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 158.5o-104 u-108 | — | — |
| Polymarket | — | — | — | — |
| Novig | -28.5→-26.5-113 | 156.5→158.5o-117 u-111 | — | — |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 3 | 2025-26 | Oakland 78 – 121 Michigan |
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.