CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceMcCann Arena, Poughkeepsie, NY
Dartmouth
Efficiency #254
2025-26: 11-16 · 5-9 conf
@
Marist
Efficiency #153
2025-26: 19-12 · 13-9 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · TBD
67.1
win 25%
Projected
75.0
win 75%
No line posted yet.
Model: MRST −7.9 · total 142.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Marist 67.6, Dartmouth 69.7 → 68.9 possessions
+1.2
Marist offense vs Dartmouth defense
−1.7
Dartmouth offense vs Marist defense
−5.6
Projected total
142.1
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Marist offense vs Dartmouth defense
−1.7
Dartmouth offense vs Marist defense
+5.6
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Marist by 7.9
7.9
Dartmouth side ◂▸ Marist side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Marist.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Dartmouth is the faster team (69.2, #130 of 365) and Marist the slower (66.5, #271). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
142.1
model
Projected team totals
67.1 / 75.0
Dartmouth / Marist
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.7#74
Dartmouth
67.6#246
Marist
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageDartmouth
Where Dartmouth struggles: shooting
Dartmouth shoots an effective 51.8% (#156); Marist allows 45.6% (#5). Expect about 48.7%, 2.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.7 points per 100 possessions.
GlassDartmouth
Dartmouth gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 24.7% is worth roughly -3.5 points per 100 possessions against Dartmouth's offense.
TurnoversDartmouth
Dartmouth turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.0% is worth roughly -2.7 points per 100 possessions against Dartmouth's offense.
AdvantageMarist
Where Marist scores: ball control
Marist turns it over on 16.9% of possessions (#193); Dartmouth forces turnovers on 13.8% of opponent possessions (#340). Expect about 14.9%, 1.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Marist's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Dartmouth at about 45.1% of its shots from three, Marist about 35.4%.
ClashDartmouth
Strength vs strength: 3-point shooting
Dartmouth (#51 in 3-point shooting) against Marist (#2 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 33.5%. Historically Dartmouth's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.25 vs 0.16).
Dartmouth has the ball
OffenseMarist allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #156
45.6% #5
-3.7 pt/100
17.6% #247
19.5% #34
-2.7 pt/100
23.7% #346
28.3% #77
-3.5 pt/100
38.0% #103
37.6% #252
+0.4 pt/100
74.2% #119
—
+0.2 pt/100
Dartmouth net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -9.4 pts/100
Marist has the ball
OffenseDartmouth allowsvs D1 avg
49.3% #276
52.7% #254
-0.6 pt/100
16.9% #193
13.8% #340
+2.3 pt/100
29.1% #233
29.7% #148
-0.7 pt/100
25.7% #360
30.7% #80
-0.9 pt/100
78.1% #16
—
+0.5 pt/100
Marist net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersDartmouthoffense vsMaristdefense
Share of shots by zone
Dartmouth shoots
34.0
5.1
12.2
48.6
Marist allows
37.4
6.1
19.2
37.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.0%#274 | 54.0%#40 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.3%#312 | 36.7%#105 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.7%#119 | 34.9%#72 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.1%#51 | 28.6%#2 | 33.7% |
Maristoffense vsDartmouthdefense
Share of shots by zone
Marist shoots
35.8
6.9
23.6
33.7
Dartmouth allows
44.0
4.8
11.8
39.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.4%#181 | 58.3%#156 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.7%#152 | 44.8%#291 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.5%#92 | 32.9%#27 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.2%#272 | 34.6%#227 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersDartmouth
−2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#285 of 365
Off reb %
23.7%
#346
Def reb %
70.3%
#148
Turnover %
17.6%
#247
Forced TO %
13.8%
#340
FT rate
38.0%
#103
FT allowed
30.7%
#80
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.1
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers−2.0
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed+1.2
Marist
−0.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#218 of 365
Off reb %
29.1%
#233
Def reb %
71.7%
#77
Turnover %
16.9%
#193
Forced TO %
19.5%
#34
FT rate
25.7%
#360
FT allowed
37.6%
#252
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.4
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security−0.1
Forcing turnovers+1.9
Foul shots drawn−2.4
Foul shots allowed−0.6
Marist has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.8 (#218 of 365) to Dartmouth’s −2.5 (#285).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Dartmouth2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Dartmouth's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kareem Thomas | G | So | 6'5" | 26-25 | 29.2 | 15.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 53.5% | 44.7% | 4.0 | 79.5% | 30.6% | |
| 30 | Connor Amundsen | PG | So | 5'11" | 26-25 | 29.1 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 48.0% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 74.6% | 20.2% | |
| 21 | Brandon Mitchell-Day | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 28.0 | 12.1 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 53.7% | 35.8% | 2.5 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 22 | Jayden Williams | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-26 | 27.3 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 54.0% | 35.6% | 6.9 | 84.8% | 25.9% | |
| 33 | Jackson Munro | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 24.7 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 59.3% | 37.3% | 3.1 | 80.6% | 16.7% | |
| 5 | Cameron McNamee | G | So | 6'6" | 27-1 | 20.3 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.8% | 38.1% | 3.1 | 66.0% | 17.3% | |
| 11 | Cam Hiatt | G | Fr | 6'4" | 23-1 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 44.0% | 31.7% | 2.6 | 84.6% | 15.7% | |
| 23 | Nikola Abusara | G | Jr | 6'5" | 23-0 | 17.2 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 45.0% | 17.6% | 0.7 | 73.9% | 20.4% | |
| 0 | Ben Brown | G | Jr | 6'2" | 16-2 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 34.5% | 1.8 | — | 14.7% | |
| 10 | Anton Strelnikov | C | Fr | 6'8" | 18-0 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 66.3% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 53.3% | 33.7% | |
| 7 | Patrick Tivnan Jr. | F | Jr | 6'8" | 13-0 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 14.3% | 10.2% | |
| 44 | Shanon Simango | F | So | 6'8" | 10-0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.9% | 31.1% | |
| 50 | Tyler Garrett | F | Fr | 6'10" | 8-0 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 59.4% | 33.3% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 26.3% | |
| 3 | Khai Lockwood | G | So | 6'1" | 7-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 9.2% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Marist2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jadin Collins-Roberts | G | Sr | 6'1" | 31-31 | 30.3 | 7.2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 47.2% | 23.8% | 1.4 | 80.4% | 18.4% | |
| 1 | Jack Grahamat New Hampshire | G | Sr | 6'3" | 30-23 | 28.0 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 50.7% | 32.2% | 5.8 | 66.7% | 25.2% | |
| 5 | Myles Parker | F | So | 6'8" | 31-0 | 14.5 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 59.1% | 38.5% | 2.5 | 78.6% | 19.4% | |
| 21 | Jordan Gabriel | C | So | 6'9" | 25-0 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.3% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 45.5% | 21.5% | |
| 25 | Tarik Watson | C | Jr | 6'8" | 10-0 | 11.2 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 44.8% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 35.1% | |
| 23 | Brady MacAdams | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Brandon Arnold | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Cameron Sweeney | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 31 | Drew Diaz | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Dywane Chess | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Edward Onyia | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Josh Williams | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Logan Franz | C | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Logan Rodriguez | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Jack Graham (from New Hampshire)
Dartmouth2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Dartmouth's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kareem Thomas | G | So | 6'5" | 26-25 | 29.2 | 15.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 53.5% | 44.7% | 4.0 | 79.5% | 30.6% | |
| 30 | Connor Amundsen | PG | So | 5'11" | 26-25 | 29.1 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 48.0% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 74.6% | 20.2% | |
| 21 | Brandon Mitchell-Day | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 28.0 | 12.1 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 53.7% | 35.8% | 2.5 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 22 | Jayden Williams | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-26 | 27.3 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 54.0% | 35.6% | 6.9 | 84.8% | 25.9% | |
| 33 | Jackson Munro | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 24.7 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 59.3% | 37.3% | 3.1 | 80.6% | 16.7% | |
| 5 | Cameron McNamee | G | So | 6'6" | 27-1 | 20.3 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.8% | 38.1% | 3.1 | 66.0% | 17.3% | |
| 11 | Cam Hiatt | G | Fr | 6'4" | 23-1 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 44.0% | 31.7% | 2.6 | 84.6% | 15.7% | |
| 23 | Nikola Abusara | G | Jr | 6'5" | 23-0 | 17.2 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 45.0% | 17.6% | 0.7 | 73.9% | 20.4% | |
| 0 | Ben Brown | G | Jr | 6'2" | 16-2 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 34.5% | 1.8 | — | 14.7% | |
| 10 | Anton Strelnikov | C | Fr | 6'8" | 18-0 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 66.3% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 53.3% | 33.7% | |
| 7 | Patrick Tivnan Jr. | F | Jr | 6'8" | 13-0 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 14.3% | 10.2% | |
| 44 | Shanon Simango | F | So | 6'8" | 10-0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.9% | 31.1% | |
| 50 | Tyler Garrett | F | Fr | 6'10" | 8-0 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 59.4% | 33.3% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 26.3% | |
| 3 | Khai Lockwood | G | So | 6'1" | 7-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 9.2% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Dartmouth
Against the spread
Season
11-14
Home
2-9
Road
9-5
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −5.0
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 3 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
12-13
Home
4-7
Road
8-6
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.6
Over 2 straightOver in 4 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Cornell | H | L 90–111 | +4.5 | L−16.5 | 166.0 | O201 | 115.5 | 142.5 | 77.9 |
| Feb 28 | Princeton | A | L 61–82 | +2.0 | L−19.0 | 141.5 | O143 | 94.4 | 126.9 | 64.6 |
| Feb 27 | Penn | A | L 71–80 | +6.5 | L−2.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 102.6 | 115.6 | 69.2 |
| Feb 21 | Columbia | A | W 64–63 | +7.0 | W+8.0 | 151.5 | U127 | 95.3 | 93.8 | 67.2 |
| Feb 14 | Brown | H | L 76–79 | −3.0 | L−6.0 | 139.5 | O155 | 106.4 | 110.6 | 71.5 |
| Feb 13 | Yale | H | L 70–83 | +10.0 | L−3.0 | 151.5 | O153 | 102.5 | 121.5 | 68.3 |
| Feb 7 | Harvard | H | L 58–71 | +1.0 | L−12.0 | 140.5 | U129 | 90.1 | 110.3 | 64.4 |
| Jan 31 | Brown | A | W 77–70 OT | +2.0 | W+9.0 | 143.0 | O147 | 103.1 | 93.7 | 74.7 |
| Jan 30 | Yale | A | L 68–83 | +15.5 | W+0.5 | 155.0 | U151 | 105.8 | 129.1 | 64.3 |
| Jan 24 | Columbia | H | L 69–79 | +2.0 | L−8.0 | 157.0 | U148 | 96.6 | 110.6 | 71.4 |
Marist
Against the spread
Season
15-14-1
Home
7-6-1
Road
6-8
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −1.6
Covered 2 straightCovered 3 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
11-19
Home
4-10
Road
6-8
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −5.5
Under in the last gameOver in 1 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Merrimack | N | L 57–58 | +3.0 | W+2.0 | 128.5 | U115 | 89.2 | 90.7 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | Quinnipiac | N | W 77–75 | +2.0 | W+4.0 | 134.5 | O152 | 105.4 | 102.6 | 73.1 |
| Mar 1 | Saint Peter's | H | L 56–63 | −4.0 | L−11.0 | 132.0 | U119 | 87.6 | 98.6 | 63.9 |
| Feb 22 | Sacred Heart | H | W 65–63 | −7.5 | L−5.5 | 146.5 | U128 | 96.0 | 93.1 | 67.7 |
| Feb 20 | Manhattan | A | W 84–70 | −5.0 | W+9.0 | 142.0 | O154 | 131.2 | 109.3 | 64.0 |
| Feb 15 | Siena | H | L 63–67 | −2.0 | L−6.0 | 134.0 | U130 | 96.5 | 102.7 | 65.3 |
| Feb 12 | Merrimack | A | L 56–81 | +2.5 | L−22.5 | 129.5 | O137 | 84.5 | 122.2 | 66.3 |
| Feb 7 | Fairfield | A | L 60–63 | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 138.0 | U123 | 98.1 | 103.0 | 61.2 |
| Feb 5 | Rider | H | W 81–52 | −14.0 | W+15.0 | 135.5 | U133 | 137.2 | 88.1 | 59.0 |
| Feb 1 | Niagara | A | W 58–46 | −9.5 | W+2.5 | 130.0 | U104 | 94.8 | 75.2 | 61.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeDartmouthMarist
Efficiency
106.2
103.6
110.8
102.6
69.7
67.6
—
—
Shooting
51.8%
49.3%
49.4%
49.8%
36.1%
32.2%
74.2%
78.1%
38.0%
25.7%
Ball control & glass
17.6%
16.9%
13.8%
19.5%
23.7%
29.1%
29.7%
28.3%
10.5%
10.0%
10.4%
8.3%
Style
48.7%
34.6%
34.2%
43.6%
9.5%
11.2%
53.9%
58.9%
32.1%
35.5%
Roster
2.80
3.46
6'5.2"
6'3.8"
—
26.9%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputDartmouth
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Dartmouth's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Marist
Returning minutes: 26.9%Returning production: 25.0%
Lost
- Rhyjon Blackwell 30.1 mpg, 12.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Justin Menard 29.3 mpg, 12.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Elijah Lewis 22.9 mpg, 9.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jaden Daughtry 21.0 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Parby Kabamba 16.8 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jason Schofield 14.0 mpg, 6.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jack Graham from New Hampshire · 28.0 mpg, 11.2 ppg last season
- Cameron Sweeney no D1 minutes last season
- Josh Williams no D1 minutes last season
- Edward Onyia no D1 minutes last season
- Logan Franz no D1 minutes last season
- Logan Rodriguez no D1 minutes last season
Returns 27% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 9 | 2025-26 | Marist 75 – 56 Dartmouth |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.