CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceGlobal Credit Union Arena, Phoenix, AZ
Texas Southern
Efficiency #321
2025-26: 12-18 · 10-9 conf
@
Grand Canyon
Efficiency #65
2025-26: 20-12 · 13-8 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · 9:00 PM ET
65.2
win 9%
Projected
80.9
win 91%
No line posted yet.
Model: GCU −15.7 · total 146.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Grand Canyon 68.8, Texas Southern 69.2 → 69.7 possessions
+3.0
Grand Canyon offense vs Texas Southern defense
+3.3
Texas Southern offense vs Grand Canyon defense
−8.4
Projected total
146.1
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Grand Canyon offense vs Texas Southern defense
+3.3
Texas Southern offense vs Grand Canyon defense
+8.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Grand Canyon by 15.7
15.7
Texas Southern side ◂▸ Grand Canyon side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Grand Canyon.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Texas Southern is the faster team (70.6, #72 of 365) and Grand Canyon the slower (69.0, #150). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
146.1
model
Projected team totals
65.2 / 80.9
Texas Southern / Grand Canyon
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.2#104
Texas Southern
68.8#139
Grand Canyon
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageTexas Southern
Where Texas Southern struggles: shooting
Texas Southern shoots an effective 49.7% (#251); Grand Canyon allows 47.4% (#28). Expect about 48.4%, 2.9 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.1 points per 100 possessions.
GlassTexas Southern
Texas Southern gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 26.8% is worth roughly -2.2 points per 100 possessions against Texas Southern's offense.
TurnoversTexas Southern
Texas Southern turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.1% is worth roughly -1.7 points per 100 possessions against Texas Southern's offense.
Texas Southern has the ball
OffenseGrand Canyon allowsvs D1 avg
49.7% #251
47.4% #28
-4.1 pt/100
18.5% #299
17.3% #129
-1.7 pt/100
28.8% #237
25.3% #12
-2.2 pt/100
38.2% #96
39.0% #285
+0.5 pt/100
71.9% #211
—
-0.0 pt/100
Texas Southern net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.5 pts/100
Grand Canyon has the ball
OffenseTexas Southern allowsvs D1 avg
51.7% #162
52.5% #240
+1.2 pt/100
17.6% #246
16.5% #187
-0.4 pt/100
31.3% #150
31.2% #211
+0.6 pt/100
39.5% #67
44.0% #345
+0.9 pt/100
75.3% #72
—
+0.3 pt/100
Grand Canyon net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersTexas Southernoffense vsGrand Canyondefense
Share of shots by zone
Texas Southern shoots
43.1
6.9
18.7
31.3
Grand Canyon allows
36.3
5.9
19.8
38.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.0%#196 | 51.6%#12 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.4%#135 | 34.4%#50 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.1%#260 | 42.6%#320 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.1%#224 | 31.9%#60 | 33.7% |
Grand Canyonoffense vsTexas Southerndefense
Share of shots by zone
Grand Canyon shoots
41.1
4.2
16.2
38.5
Texas Southern allows
37.5
4.8
14.7
43.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.6%#104 | 58.7%#175 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 30.4%#345 | 43.7%#261 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.7%#240 | 39.5%#222 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.8%#286 | 34.1%#190 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersTexas Southern
−3.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#314 of 365
Off reb %
28.8%
#237
Def reb %
68.8%
#211
Turnover %
18.5%
#299
Forced TO %
16.5%
#187
FT rate
38.2%
#96
FT allowed
44.0%
#345
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.5
Defensive rebounding−0.2
Ball security−1.2
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed−2.3
Grand Canyon
+2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#96 of 365
Off reb %
31.3%
#150
Def reb %
74.7%
#12
Turnover %
17.6%
#246
Forced TO %
17.3%
#129
FT rate
39.5%
#67
FT allowed
39.0%
#285
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding+1.7
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers+0.4
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed−1.0
Grand Canyon has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.0 (#96 of 365) to Texas Southern’s −3.5 (#314).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Texas Southern2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Texas Southern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zaire Hayes | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-27 | 27.3 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 51.1% | 37.1% | 3.8 | 84.9% | 20.9% | |
| 2 | Troy Hupstead | F | Sr | 6'7" | 25-24 | 29.5 | 14.6 | 9.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 54.1% | 30.5% | 2.4 | 68.5% | 27.4% | |
| 6 | Bryce Roberts | G | Sr | 6'1" | 25-24 | 29.5 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 51.8% | 36.8% | 5.8 | 82.9% | 22.2% | |
| 8 | Alex Anderson | G | Sr | 6'6" | 28-7 | 23.5 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 52.4% | 20.0% | 0.5 | 71.9% | 23.6% | |
| 5 | Jaylen Wysinger | G | Sr | 6'0" | 28-14 | 22.5 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 48.7% | 34.0% | 3.7 | 80.3% | 28.1% | |
| 12 | Zytarious Mortle | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-9 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 45.3% | 25.0% | 2.4 | 68.3% | 28.4% | |
| 23 | Duane Posey | G | Sr | 6'7" | 26-7 | 20.5 | 8.7 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 51.3% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 75.9% | 23.9% | |
| 34 | Jordan Gorecki | C | Sr | 6'10" | 26-18 | 17.3 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 58.5% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.4% | |
| 8 | Anthony Andrews | F | Fr | 6'7" | 25-5 | 13.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 44.1% | 37.5% | 0.6 | 60.0% | 15.0% | |
| 35 | Josh Akpovwa | F | Jr | 6'9" | 24-9 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 46.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 51.7% | 18.7% | |
| 9 | Ahmed Nedal Abdelrahman | G | Fr | 6'8" | 12-0 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 54.2% | 34.6% | 2.2 | 53.8% | 16.6% | |
| 3 | Oumar Koureissi | F | Sr | 6'11" | 8-2 | 17.5 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 1.1 | 60.0% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Cameron Patterson | G | Fr | 6'5" | 8-1 | 16.5 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 60.6% | 50.0% | 0.8 | 83.3% | 24.4% | |
| 14 | Kolby Granger | G | Sr | 6'5" | 4-3 | 14.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 31.3% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 100.0% | 16.4% | |
| 24 | Jordan Hamilton | G | Sr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 32.2% | |
| 4 | Josh Farmer | F | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Kehlin Farooq | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Grand Canyon2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Nana Owusu-Anane | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-32 | 32.5 | 9.3 | 8.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 52.1% | 35.9% | 3.7 | 72.6% | 17.2% | |
| 2 | Makaih Williams | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-20 | 27.1 | 14.0 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 51.3% | 33.5% | 5.2 | 78.6% | 30.3% | |
| 5 | Brian Moore Jr. | G | Sr | 6'2" | 29-28 | 27.6 | 9.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 54.0% | 40.8% | 1.7 | 69.7% | 20.7% | |
| 8 | Dusty Stromer | G | Jr | 6'6" | 32-5 | 22.6 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 45.7% | 33.3% | 3.6 | 80.0% | 19.1% | |
| 17 | Efe Demirel | C | Fr | 7'1" | 32-28 | 22.5 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 63.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 20.0% | |
| 11 | Caleb Shaw | G | Jr | 6'6" | 21-11 | 20.9 | 7.8 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 58.8% | 37.0% | 3.5 | 64.7% | 21.7% | |
| 32 | Wilhelm Breidenbach | F | Sr | 6'10" | 29-4 | 12.4 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 41.3% | 13.3% | 1.0 | 80.6% | 15.3% | |
| 14 | Dennis Evans | C | Fr | 7'2" | 24-0 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 15.8% | |
| 22 | Kaleb Smith | F | Jr | 6'10" | 21-0 | 8.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 0.9 | 77.8% | 17.6% | |
| 9 | Evan Boisdur | G | Fr | 6'1" | 13-0 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 33.3% | 16.7% | 0.9 | 75.0% | 21.2% | |
| 23 | Cole Pepe | G | Fr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.5 | — | 17.1% | |
| 3 | Braylon Johnson | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Jack Sawyer | F | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Luke Shaw | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Texas Southern2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Texas Southern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zaire Hayes | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-27 | 27.3 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 51.1% | 37.1% | 3.8 | 84.9% | 20.9% | |
| 2 | Troy Hupstead | F | Sr | 6'7" | 25-24 | 29.5 | 14.6 | 9.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 54.1% | 30.5% | 2.4 | 68.5% | 27.4% | |
| 6 | Bryce Roberts | G | Sr | 6'1" | 25-24 | 29.5 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 51.8% | 36.8% | 5.8 | 82.9% | 22.2% | |
| 8 | Alex Anderson | G | Sr | 6'6" | 28-7 | 23.5 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 52.4% | 20.0% | 0.5 | 71.9% | 23.6% | |
| 5 | Jaylen Wysinger | G | Sr | 6'0" | 28-14 | 22.5 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 48.7% | 34.0% | 3.7 | 80.3% | 28.1% | |
| 12 | Zytarious Mortle | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-9 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 45.3% | 25.0% | 2.4 | 68.3% | 28.4% | |
| 23 | Duane Posey | G | Sr | 6'7" | 26-7 | 20.5 | 8.7 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 51.3% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 75.9% | 23.9% | |
| 34 | Jordan Gorecki | C | Sr | 6'10" | 26-18 | 17.3 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 58.5% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.4% | |
| 8 | Anthony Andrews | F | Fr | 6'7" | 25-5 | 13.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 44.1% | 37.5% | 0.6 | 60.0% | 15.0% | |
| 35 | Josh Akpovwa | F | Jr | 6'9" | 24-9 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 46.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 51.7% | 18.7% | |
| 9 | Ahmed Nedal Abdelrahman | G | Fr | 6'8" | 12-0 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 54.2% | 34.6% | 2.2 | 53.8% | 16.6% | |
| 3 | Oumar Koureissi | F | Sr | 6'11" | 8-2 | 17.5 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 1.1 | 60.0% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Cameron Patterson | G | Fr | 6'5" | 8-1 | 16.5 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 60.6% | 50.0% | 0.8 | 83.3% | 24.4% | |
| 14 | Kolby Granger | G | Sr | 6'5" | 4-3 | 14.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 31.3% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 100.0% | 16.4% | |
| 24 | Jordan Hamilton | G | Sr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 32.2% | |
| 4 | Josh Farmer | F | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Kehlin Farooq | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Texas Southern
Against the spread
Season
9-19
Home
6-6
Road
3-12
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +1.6
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-14
Home
6-6
Road
7-8
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −0.8
Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Alabama A&M | N | L 74–85 OT | +1.5 | L−9.5 | 142.5 | O159 | 97.1 | 111.5 | 76.2 |
| Mar 5 | Prairie View | H | L 59–70 | −1.5 | L−12.5 | 153.0 | U129 | 88.0 | 104.4 | 67.0 |
| Feb 28 | Jackson St | H | W 82–57 | −6.0 | W+19.0 | 152.0 | U139 | 115.5 | 80.3 | 71.0 |
| Feb 26 | Alcorn St | H | W 92–87 OT | −6.5 | L−1.5 | 145.0 | O179 | 115.6 | 109.3 | 79.6 |
| Feb 21 | Miss Valley St | A | L 71–72 | −11.5 | L−12.5 | 143.5 | U143 | 103.8 | 105.3 | 68.4 |
| Feb 19 | AR-Pine Bluff | A | W 83–64 | +1.0 | W+20.0 | 152.5 | U147 | 121.5 | 93.7 | 68.3 |
| Feb 16 | Southern | H | W 74–73 | +5.0 | W+6.0 | 152.0 | U147 | 101.6 | 100.2 | 72.8 |
| Feb 14 | Grambling | H | W 82–79 | −1.0 | W+2.0 | 140.0 | O161 | 116.5 | 112.3 | 70.4 |
| Feb 9 | Bethune | A | L 69–79 OT | +8.5 | L−1.5 | 152.0 | U148 | 93.0 | 106.5 | 74.2 |
| Feb 7 | Florida A&M | A | W 62–57 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 146.5 | U119 | 97.1 | 89.3 | 63.9 |
Grand Canyon
Against the spread
Season
17-15
Home
9-8
Road
7-4
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +1.7
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
14-18
Home
7-10
Road
5-6
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +3.1
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Nevada | N | L 80–84 | −3.5 | L−7.5 | 137.5 | O164 | 113.6 | 119.3 | 70.4 |
| Mar 7 | Fresno St | H | W 85–60 | −12.5 | W+12.5 | 150.0 | U145 | 117.0 | 82.6 | 72.7 |
| Mar 3 | Air Force | A | W 86–60 | −19.0 | W+7.0 | 143.0 | O146 | 125.3 | 87.4 | 68.7 |
| Feb 28 | Utah State | A | L 69–74 | +9.5 | W+4.5 | 148.0 | U143 | 108.5 | 116.4 | 63.6 |
| Feb 25 | UNLV | H | W 80–67 | −7.5 | W+5.5 | 150.5 | U147 | 115.1 | 96.4 | 69.5 |
| Feb 21 | Wyoming | H | L 65–70 | −8.5 | L−13.5 | 144.5 | U135 | 96.3 | 103.7 | 67.5 |
| Feb 17 | San Diego St | A | W 73–63 | +8.0 | W+18.0 | 139.0 | U136 | 102.5 | 88.4 | 71.2 |
| Feb 14 | San José St | A | W 94–79 | −11.5 | W+3.5 | 139.0 | O173 | 144.7 | 121.6 | 65.0 |
| Feb 11 | New Mexico | H | L 64–70 | −1.5 | L−7.5 | 149.0 | U134 | 93.4 | 102.1 | 68.5 |
| Feb 7 | UNLV | A | L 78–80 | −3.5 | L−5.5 | 149.0 | O158 | 108.6 | 111.4 | 71.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeTexas SouthernGrand Canyon
Efficiency
103.4
109.0
112.7
101.5
69.2
68.8
—
—
Shooting
49.7%
51.7%
49.8%
54.2%
33.1%
31.8%
71.9%
75.3%
38.2%
39.5%
Ball control & glass
18.5%
17.6%
16.5%
17.3%
28.8%
31.3%
31.2%
25.3%
10.6%
9.3%
7.7%
7.9%
Style
32.5%
38.9%
44.5%
43.2%
17.7%
13.9%
43.2%
49.6%
37.5%
29.1%
Roster
3.66
3.03
6'4.7"
6'6.7"
—
84.3%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputTexas Southern
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Texas Southern's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Grand Canyon
Returning minutes: 84.3%Returning production: 79.1%
Lost
- Jaden Henley 31.5 mpg, 17.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Luke Shaw no D1 minutes last season
- Jack Sawyer no D1 minutes last season
- Braylon Johnson no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 84% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.