CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCharles E. Smith Center, Washington, DC
Navy
Efficiency #104
2025-26: 26-8 · 18-2 conf
@
G Washington
Efficiency #68
2025-26: 19-16 · 9-11 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · 7:00 PM ET
70.8
win 29%
Projected
77.2
win 71%
No line posted yet.
Model: GW −6.4 · total 148.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: G Washington 69.5, Navy 66.8 → 68.0 possessions
−0.7
G Washington offense vs Navy defense
+1.5
Navy offense vs G Washington defense
−1.0
Projected total
148.0
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
G Washington offense vs Navy defense
+1.5
Navy offense vs G Washington defense
+1.0
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
G Washington by 6.4
6.4
Navy side ◂▸ G Washington side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help G Washington.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, G Washington is the faster team (69.9, #97 of 365) and Navy the slower (65.2, #327). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
148.0
model
Projected team totals
70.8 / 77.2
Navy / G Washington
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.8#301
Navy
69.5#83
G Washington
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetClashNavy
Style match: ball movement
Navy assists on 61.2% of its made baskets; G Washington allows assists on 60.6% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 63.4% — both habits push the same way.
ClashG Washington
Style match: 3-point volume
G Washington takes 47.0% of its shots from three; Navy lets opponents take 46.0% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 49.8% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageNavy
Where Navy scores: shooting
Navy shoots an effective 53.1% (#100); G Washington allows 52.4% (#234). Expect about 52.9%, 1.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageG Washington
Where G Washington struggles: ball control
G Washington turns it over on 18.2% of possessions (#282); Navy forces turnovers on 18.3% of opponent possessions (#83). Expect about 18.6%, 1.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.2 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Navy's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Navy at about 36.7% of its shots from three, G Washington about 49.8%.
ClashG Washington
Strength vs strength: offensive rebounding
G Washington (#26 in offensive rebounding) against Navy (#49 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 32.8%. Historically G Washington's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.70 vs 0.49).
Navy has the ball
OffenseG Washington allowsvs D1 avg
53.1% #100
52.4% #234
+2.3 pt/100
16.8% #190
17.7% #114
-0.7 pt/100
31.9% #126
28.7% #91
+0.2 pt/100
38.8% #82
34.9% #178
+0.2 pt/100
73.6% #145
—
+0.1 pt/100
Navy net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.0 pts/100
G Washington has the ball
OffenseNavy allowsvs D1 avg
54.4% #55
48.3% #42
+0.4 pt/100
18.2% #282
18.3% #83
-2.2 pt/100
35.8% #26
27.4% #49
+1.4 pt/100
34.9% #184
26.0% #13
-0.7 pt/100
72.3% #194
—
-0.0 pt/100
G Washington net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.1 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersNavyoffense vsG Washingtondefense
Share of shots by zone
Navy shoots
42.2
6.0
19.4
32.4
G Washington allows
37.6
5.4
13.8
43.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.8%#123 | 62.2%#303 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 48.4%#19 | 36.1%#92 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.5%#172 | 34.3%#55 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.8%#64 | 33.9%#175 | 33.7% |
G Washingtonoffense vsNavydefense
Share of shots by zone
G Washington shoots
43.1
3.7
6.2
47.0
Navy allows
29.4
7.8
17.3
45.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.6%#138 | 61.7%#295 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.6%#161 | 36.1%#91 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.6%#319 | 38.0%#159 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.1%#106 | 30.0%#7 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersNavy
+6.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#14 of 365
Off reb %
31.9%
#126
Def reb %
72.6%
#49
Turnover %
16.8%
#190
Forced TO %
18.3%
#83
FT rate
38.8%
#82
FT allowed
26.0%
#13
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+1.0
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers+1.1
Foul shots drawn+1.0
Foul shots allowed+2.4
G Washington
+2.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#93 of 365
Off reb %
35.8%
#26
Def reb %
71.3%
#91
Turnover %
18.2%
#282
Forced TO %
17.7%
#114
FT rate
34.9%
#184
FT allowed
34.9%
#178
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.8
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security−1.0
Forcing turnovers+0.7
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed+0.1
Navy has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.0 (#14 of 365) to G Washington’s +2.1 (#93).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Navy2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Navy's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Benigni | G | Sr | 5'11" | 34-34 | 36.1 | 18.0 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 49.2% | 44.1% | 4.0 | 88.0% | 31.6% | |
| 99 | Aidan Kehoe | C | Sr | 6'11" | 34-34 | 33.6 | 15.2 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 73.1% | — | 0.0 | 47.0% | 23.6% | |
| 10 | Jinwoo Kim | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-33 | 30.5 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 40.6% | 4.1 | 83.6% | 20.1% | |
| 11 | Donovan Draper | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-16 | 26.9 | 8.7 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 46.6% | 11.6% | 1.3 | 79.3% | 22.8% | |
| 21 | Jordan Pennick | G | Jr | 6'0" | 34-20 | 24.6 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 46.3% | 31.2% | 4.1 | 74.6% | 21.1% | |
| 30 | Mike Woods | F | Sr | 6'4" | 34-31 | 22.4 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 28.9% | 1.3 | 78.4% | 19.3% | |
| 2 | Cam Cole | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-0 | 19.1 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 55.7% | 38.5% | 2.8 | 75.9% | 19.8% | |
| 7 | David Burnett | G | So | 6'4" | 18-0 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 54.3% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 45.5% | 17.3% | |
| 8 | Sam Krist | G | Sr | 6'5" | 15-1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 64.3% | 40.0% | 0.7 | — | 20.9% | |
| 42 | Cooper Jackson | F | So | 6'7" | 17-0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 62.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.0% | 18.2% | |
| 0 | Nyles Howard | G | Jr | 6'4" | 11-0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 75.0% | 25.6% | |
| 14 | Cam Cormany | G | Sr | 6'0" | 14-1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 63.6% | 44.4% | 0.6 | 100.0% | 23.3% | |
| 25 | Jerry Ashley Jr. | F | Fr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.1% | |
| 3 | Julian Gabbidon | G | Jr | 6'3" | 7-0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 33.2% | |
| 20 | Matt Gaffney | G | Fr | 5'11" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 23.2% | |
| 77 | Owen Gray | F | So | 6'9" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 7.4% | |
| 33 | Tobi Raji | F | So | 6'7" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 40 | C.J. Kearns | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Colin Pollock | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 18 | Davyn de Jongh | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Jordan McConnell | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 16 | Julien King | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Luke Morgan | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Reiss Whitaker | F | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Steven McLeod | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
G Washington2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Trey Autry | G | Jr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 28.7 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 58.6% | 38.5% | 6.4 | 81.0% | 19.6% | |
| 2 | Christian Jones | G | So | 6'4" | 34-34 | 26.4 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 53.0% | 36.4% | 3.5 | 65.6% | 24.5% | |
| 7 | Jean Aranguren | G | Jr | 6'3" | 35-22 | 24.1 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 55.0% | 36.5% | 2.1 | 70.2% | 21.6% | |
| 24 | Tyrone Marshall Jr. | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-13 | 23.5 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 56.7% | 36.2% | 1.8 | 65.4% | 22.0% | |
| 3 | Tre Dinkins | G | Sr | 6'2" | 35-1 | 21.1 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 54.2% | 38.2% | 5.8 | 80.0% | 23.9% | |
| 9 | Garrett Johnson | F | Jr | 6'8" | 29-11 | 22.6 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 50.4% | 33.1% | 5.5 | 83.8% | 29.0% | |
| 11 | Bubu Benjamin | G | Jr | 6'7" | 30-18 | 20.4 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 47.1% | 26.6% | 3.1 | 70.3% | 17.5% | |
| 32 | Amir Arrington | G | Jr | 6'0" | 4-0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 1.3 | — | 25.4% | |
| 21 | Mohamed Binzagr | G | Sr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 33.9% | |
| 10 | Jalen Rougier-Roane | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Trey Moss | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Vincent Chaudhri | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Navy2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Navy's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Benigni | G | Sr | 5'11" | 34-34 | 36.1 | 18.0 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 49.2% | 44.1% | 4.0 | 88.0% | 31.6% | |
| 99 | Aidan Kehoe | C | Sr | 6'11" | 34-34 | 33.6 | 15.2 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 73.1% | — | 0.0 | 47.0% | 23.6% | |
| 10 | Jinwoo Kim | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-33 | 30.5 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 40.6% | 4.1 | 83.6% | 20.1% | |
| 11 | Donovan Draper | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-16 | 26.9 | 8.7 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 46.6% | 11.6% | 1.3 | 79.3% | 22.8% | |
| 21 | Jordan Pennick | G | Jr | 6'0" | 34-20 | 24.6 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 46.3% | 31.2% | 4.1 | 74.6% | 21.1% | |
| 30 | Mike Woods | F | Sr | 6'4" | 34-31 | 22.4 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 28.9% | 1.3 | 78.4% | 19.3% | |
| 2 | Cam Cole | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-0 | 19.1 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 55.7% | 38.5% | 2.8 | 75.9% | 19.8% | |
| 7 | David Burnett | G | So | 6'4" | 18-0 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 54.3% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 45.5% | 17.3% | |
| 8 | Sam Krist | G | Sr | 6'5" | 15-1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 64.3% | 40.0% | 0.7 | — | 20.9% | |
| 42 | Cooper Jackson | F | So | 6'7" | 17-0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 62.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.0% | 18.2% | |
| 0 | Nyles Howard | G | Jr | 6'4" | 11-0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 75.0% | 25.6% | |
| 14 | Cam Cormany | G | Sr | 6'0" | 14-1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 63.6% | 44.4% | 0.6 | 100.0% | 23.3% | |
| 25 | Jerry Ashley Jr. | F | Fr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.1% | |
| 3 | Julian Gabbidon | G | Jr | 6'3" | 7-0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 33.2% | |
| 20 | Matt Gaffney | G | Fr | 5'11" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 23.2% | |
| 77 | Owen Gray | F | So | 6'9" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 7.4% | |
| 33 | Tobi Raji | F | So | 6'7" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 40 | C.J. Kearns | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Colin Pollock | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 18 | Davyn de Jongh | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Jordan McConnell | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 16 | Julien King | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Luke Morgan | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Reiss Whitaker | F | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Steven McLeod | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Navy
Against the spread
Season
20-11-1
Home
9-6
Road
10-4-1
Last 10
7-2-1
avg cover +5.2
Covered 7 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
14-17-1
Home
9-6
Road
5-9-1
Last 10
7-2-1
avg vs total +5.4
Over 4 straightOver in 6 of 9 as a favorite, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | Wake Forest | A | L 72–82 | +10.0 | P0.0 | 147.5 | O154 | 109.0 | 124.1 | 66.1 |
| Mar 8 | Boston U | H | L 72–73 | −7.0 | L−8.0 | 136.5 | O145 | 117.4 | 119.1 | 61.3 |
| Mar 5 | Bucknell | H | W 74–69 | −14.5 | L−9.5 | 132.5 | O143 | 118.1 | 110.1 | 62.7 |
| Feb 28 | Colgate | H | W 85–69 | −6.5 | W+9.5 | 142.0 | O154 | 127.8 | 103.7 | 66.5 |
| Feb 25 | Loyola MD | A | W 78–51 | −6.5 | W+20.5 | 146.5 | U129 | 128.1 | 83.8 | 60.9 |
| Feb 21 | Army | A | W 81–63 | −7.5 | W+10.5 | 137.5 | O144 | 126.5 | 98.4 | 64.0 |
| Feb 18 | Lehigh | H | W 72–49 | −10.0 | W+13.0 | 139.5 | U121 | 111.7 | 76.0 | 64.5 |
| Feb 14 | Colgate | A | W 84–80 OT | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 139.0 | O164 | 117.4 | 111.8 | 71.6 |
| Feb 9 | Bucknell | A | W 76–60 | −6.5 | W+9.5 | 136.0 | P136 | 109.9 | 86.7 | 69.2 |
| Feb 7 | American | H | W 82–73 | −4.5 | W+4.5 | 134.0 | O155 | 127.1 | 113.2 | 64.5 |
G Washington
Against the spread
Season
15-17-2
Home
8-5-2
Road
4-8
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.9
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-18
Home
6-9
Road
5-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −2.6
Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | New Mexico | A | L 61–86 | +7.0 | L−18.0 | 161.5 | U147 | 89.2 | 125.8 | 68.4 |
| Mar 18 | Utah Valley | A | W 79–78 | +1.5 | W+2.5 | 153.0 | O157 | 114.5 | 113.1 | 69.0 |
| Mar 13 | Saint Louis | N | L 81–88 | +6.5 | L−0.5 | 162.5 | O169 | 108.8 | 118.2 | 74.4 |
| Mar 12 | Fordham | N | W 66–62 | −6.0 | L−2.0 | 141.0 | U128 | 103.5 | 97.2 | 63.8 |
| Mar 7 | Loyola Chicago | A | L 62–68 | −9.5 | L−15.5 | 148.0 | U130 | 97.4 | 106.8 | 63.7 |
| Mar 4 | St Bonaventure | H | W 91–82 OT | −7.5 | W+1.5 | 157.0 | O173 | 115.1 | 103.7 | 79.1 |
| Feb 27 | Dayton | H | L 66–68 | −2.5 | L−4.5 | 152.0 | U134 | 98.7 | 101.7 | 66.9 |
| Feb 24 | La Salle | A | W 104–77 | −7.5 | W+19.5 | 148.0 | O181 | 143.5 | 106.3 | 72.5 |
| Feb 17 | VCU | A | L 75–89 | +6.0 | L−8.0 | 161.5 | O164 | 109.7 | 130.2 | 68.3 |
| Feb 13 | George Mason | H | W 72–53 | −3.5 | W+15.5 | 150.0 | U125 | 122.6 | 90.2 | 58.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeNavyG Washington
Efficiency
108.5
114.2
104.9
107.0
66.8
69.5
—
—
Shooting
53.1%
54.4%
52.7%
55.9%
35.8%
35.1%
73.6%
72.3%
38.8%
34.9%
Ball control & glass
16.8%
18.2%
18.3%
17.7%
31.9%
35.8%
27.4%
28.7%
9.2%
11.4%
7.8%
10.3%
Style
33.1%
47.0%
44.8%
42.2%
11.6%
11.7%
61.2%
55.4%
25.5%
33.7%
Roster
3.56
3.11
6'3.7"
6'4.9"
—
78.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputNavy
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Navy's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
G Washington
Returning minutes: 78.6%Returning production: 71.0%
Lost
- Rafael Castro 22.6 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Luke Hunger 18.1 mpg, 7.9 ppg · transferred to Boston College
- Ty Bevins 2.2 mpg, 0.5 ppg · transferred to Rider
Added
- Jalen Rougier-Roane no D1 minutes last season
- Vincent Chaudhri no D1 minutes last season
- Trey Moss no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 79% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.