CBB Ratings
Every D1 team, adjusted for opponent and pace: AdjO, AdjD, AdjT and the four factors.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
2026-27 Ratings
Preseason — from 2025-26 final ratings50 of 362 teams
Offseason at a glance
Last season's top 50, ranked by preseason prior
Biggest turnover
Arizona36.3%
Returns 36% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Most continuity shows once ESPN lists incoming transfers on rosters. Until then every team's returning share reads high, so a ranking would mostly reflect which rosters ESPN has updated.
Historically, teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM on average (n=716 team-seasons, 2022–2026); teams returning 65%+ have gained about 2.2 (n=156). Preseason ratings don't apply this adjustment yet — the study found the effect real and directionally consistent on held-out seasons, but not yet precise enough on three training years to price into the projection. Read the study.
| Rk | Team | 2025-26 record | AdjEM | AdjO | AdjD | AdjT | SOS | eFG O | eFG D | TO O | TO D | OR O | OR D | FTR O | FTR D | 3PA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan WolverinesBig Ten | 37-3 | 25.5(1) | 121.2(3) | 95.7(1) | 70.7(21) | — | 58.3%(8) | 44.6%(1) | 16.3%(159) | 15.1%(272) | 34.7%(55) | 28.2%(70) | 38.0%(102) | 26.0%(14) | 41.4% | 40.7% |
| 2 | Duke Blue DevilsACC | 35-3 | 25.3(2) | 121.1(4) | 95.8(2) | 67.2(271) | — | 56.6%(13) | 46.2%(13) | 15.9%(135) | 17.3%(132) | 38.4%(4) | 25.2%(10) | 38.2%(97) | 22.8%(2) | 43.5% | 59.0% |
| 3 | Arizona WildcatsBig 12 | 36-3 | 23.2(3) | 119.5(8) | 96.3(3) | 70.1(40) | — | 54.7%(45) | 45.3%(4) | 15.1%(72) | 16.3%(200) | 38.4%(5) | 26.9%(34) | 43.9%(11) | 27.1%(25) | 26.3% | 36.3% |
| 4 | Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten | 28-9 | 21.4(4) | 122.5(2) | 101.2(19) | 67.0(286) | — | 54.7%(46) | 47.3%(26) | 13.1%(10) | 11.6%(365) | 39.2%(3) | 26.7%(28) | 33.2%(232) | 19.7%(1) | 49.7% | 60.1% |
| 5 | Florida GatorsSEC | 27-8 | 21.3(5) | 119.2(9) | 97.9(7) | 70.2(34) | — | 54.1%(63) | 46.1%(10) | 16.3%(160) | 15.3%(269) | 43.3%(2) | 24.8%(7) | 39.0%(80) | 34.0%(153) | 37.0% | 79.1% |
| 6 | Houston CougarsBig 12 | 30-7 | 21.2(6) | 117.7(17) | 96.5(4) | 65.5(352) | — | 51.9%(150) | 46.2%(12) | 12.8%(3) | 20.6%(14) | 35.7%(32) | 30.3%(173) | 26.3%(355) | 38.7%(277) | 40.7% | 40.7% |
| 7 | Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 | 29-8 | 20.7(7) | 118.3(10) | 97.6(6) | 68.2(185) | — | 56.2%(20) | 49.8%(92) | 14.9%(59) | 22.6%(4) | 35.2%(45) | 28.6%(85) | 34.5%(194) | 28.1%(33) | 38.8% | 70.9% |
| 8 | Gonzaga BulldogsPac-12 | 31-4 | 19.5(8) | 116.7(29) | 97.3(5) | 69.2(101) | — | 55.6%(25) | 46.3%(15) | 13.6%(16) | 20.0%(24) | 34.8%(52) | 25.7%(16) | 31.0%(282) | 30.9%(81) | 30.8% | 65.2% |
| 9 | Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten | 30-9 | 19.1(9) | 122.7(1) | 103.6(46) | 66.3(326) | — | 57.6%(10) | 52.4%(232) | 13.7%(17) | 15.3%(263) | 36.4%(19) | 27.1%(39) | 28.6%(336) | 25.5%(9) | 40.2% | 42.6% |
| 10 | UConn HuskiesBig East | 34-6 | 18.4(10) | 116.7(30) | 98.2(8) | 66.4(321) | — | 54.3%(59) | 45.7%(7) | 16.4%(163) | 17.8%(107) | 35.7%(30) | 28.8%(99) | 29.9%(313) | 40.7%(308) | 40.9% | 71.1% |
| 11 | Michigan State SpartansBig Ten | 27-8 | 17.3(11) | 116.5(32) | 99.2(11) | 67.5(246) | — | 53.8%(72) | 48.9%(61) | 17.2%(219) | 14.9%(298) | 37.8%(10) | 22.4%(1) | 35.9%(157) | 30.2%(64) | 36.4% | 73.0% |
| 12 | Vanderbilt CommodoresSEC | 27-9 | 16.7(12) | 119.5(7) | 102.9(34) | 69.2(103) | — | 55.3%(31) | 49.0%(67) | 13.5%(15) | 17.7%(111) | 31.2%(158) | 31.5%(231) | 38.1%(101) | 39.5%(295) | 44.2% | 37.6% |
| 13 | Tennessee VolunteersSEC | 25-12 | 16.4(13) | 115.9(39) | 99.5(14) | 67.1(281) | — | 51.4%(174) | 47.8%(37) | 17.3%(227) | 16.2%(214) | 44.7%(1) | 27.8%(61) | 37.4%(115) | 36.3%(221) | 32.1% | 56.3% |
| 14 | Louisville CardinalsACC | 24-11 | 16.3(14) | 117.8(14) | 101.5(24) | 69.9(59) | — | 56.5%(14) | 48.7%(54) | 16.8%(186) | 16.7%(172) | 32.8%(93) | 27.5%(50) | 33.1%(236) | 33.0%(130) | 52.9% | 48.1% |
| 15 | Virginia CavaliersACC | 30-6 | 16.3(15) | 117.4(22) | 101.2(20) | 67.1(275) | — | 54.6%(49) | 45.7%(8) | 16.0%(140) | 15.4%(255) | 37.9%(9) | 29.2%(120) | 32.3%(253) | 32.9%(129) | 46.7% | 72.1% |
| 16 | St. John's Red StormBig East | 30-7 | 16.0(16) | 115.2(46) | 99.2(12) | 69.7(68) | — | 51.1%(192) | 47.5%(32) | 14.4%(39) | 19.1%(44) | 35.2%(43) | 29.9%(154) | 40.2%(57) | 31.8%(100) | 35.2% | 42.4% |
| 17 | Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten | 28-7 | 15.9(17) | 114.2(57) | 98.3(9) | 67.7(225) | — | 55.5%(28) | 48.1%(40) | 14.4%(40) | 18.9%(54) | 26.7%(306) | 27.4%(47) | 26.2%(356) | 25.1%(7) | 51.1% | 69.8% |
| 18 | Alabama Crimson TideSEC | 25-10 | 15.8(18) | 120.7(5) | 104.9(66) | 71.9(5) | — | 55.2%(34) | 49.2%(73) | 13.1%(9) | 12.8%(359) | 32.4%(111) | 32.8%(295) | 36.0%(150) | 32.0%(103) | 54.3% | 62.0% |
| 19 | Arkansas RazorbacksSEC | 28-9 | 15.5(19) | 120.3(6) | 104.8(64) | 70.9(16) | — | 56.4%(16) | 51.8%(201) | 12.2%(1) | 15.6%(246) | 32.0%(121) | 30.9%(197) | 35.9%(155) | 31.2%(87) | 33.0% | 44.1% |
| 20 | Saint Louis BillikensA-10 | 29-6 | 14.7(20) | 117.2(26) | 102.5(31) | 70.7(20) | — | 59.7%(2) | 45.2%(3) | 17.2%(217) | 15.9%(224) | 30.7%(173) | 27.2%(43) | 33.7%(221) | 37.1%(242) | 45.1% | 75.0% |
| 21 | Texas Tech Red RaidersBig 12 | 23-11 | 14.5(21) | 117.7(16) | 103.2(38) | 67.5(247) | — | 56.1%(21) | 49.7%(86) | 15.8%(123) | 14.8%(304) | 33.2%(82) | 30.6%(186) | 27.7%(347) | 31.4%(89) | 47.6% | 64.2% |
| 22 | Iowa HawkeyesBig Ten | 24-13 | 14.2(22) | 117.6(19) | 103.4(43) | 65.0(360) | — | 56.4%(17) | 52.6%(245) | 15.1%(73) | 20.3%(17) | 30.2%(192) | 29.2%(119) | 35.1%(176) | 38.5%(272) | 43.0% | 78.3% |
| 23 | Saint Mary's GaelsWCC | 27-6 | 14.1(23) | 114.9(49) | 100.8(16) | 66.7(302) | — | 52.8%(109) | 46.8%(19) | 16.8%(189) | 15.2%(270) | 37.5%(11) | 23.9%(4) | 35.5%(162) | 25.7%(12) | 36.4% | 91.9% |
| 24 | Utah State AggiesPac-12 | 29-7 | 14.0(24) | 117.8(15) | 103.7(49) | 68.3(175) | — | 56.3%(18) | 49.7%(87) | 15.1%(70) | 20.3%(18) | 32.7%(97) | 32.8%(290) | 38.8%(83) | 39.2%(292) | 40.8% | 87.6% |
| 25 | Kansas JayhawksBig 12 | 24-11 | 13.9(25) | 112.9(71) | 98.9(10) | 68.5(167) | — | 51.2%(186) | 45.0%(2) | 15.6%(109) | 13.8%(339) | 29.2%(227) | 29.9%(152) | 32.2%(255) | 27.4%(26) | 35.2% | 57.3% |
| 26 | BYU CougarsBig 12 | 23-12 | 13.7(26) | 118.2(12) | 104.5(55) | 69.9(56) | — | 54.4%(54) | 51.2%(174) | 15.2%(80) | 16.4%(196) | 34.3%(61) | 29.6%(145) | 34.4%(198) | 28.9%(42) | 39.8% | 60.9% |
| 27 | Kentucky WildcatsSEC | 22-14 | 13.1(27) | 115.6(40) | 102.5(30) | 68.9(128) | — | 53.3%(87) | 48.9%(63) | 15.4%(96) | 15.5%(249) | 33.2%(84) | 30.0%(158) | 37.4%(119) | 36.4%(223) | 39.7% | 82.8% |
| 28 | Wisconsin BadgersBig Ten | 24-11 | 13.0(28) | 118.0(13) | 105.0(74) | 69.2(105) | — | 54.5%(52) | 51.4%(178) | 12.8%(4) | 14.3%(328) | 29.1%(232) | 28.2%(74) | 31.5%(267) | 29.8%(56) | 52.1% | 84.2% |
| 29 | North Carolina Tar HeelsACC | 24-9 | 12.9(29) | 115.5(41) | 102.6(33) | 68.7(142) | — | 54.3%(57) | 48.3%(44) | 13.9%(19) | 13.6%(344) | 31.2%(159) | 27.8%(59) | 37.1%(127) | 23.8%(3) | 42.2% | 62.1% |
| 30 | Miami HurricanesACC | 26-9 | 12.7(30) | 115.9(38) | 103.2(37) | 68.7(143) | — | 55.3%(32) | 51.7%(198) | 16.2%(150) | 18.2%(88) | 37.2%(14) | 25.9%(19) | 37.1%(125) | 29.5%(50) | 31.9% | 55.1% |
| 31 | Ohio State BuckeyesBig Ten | 21-13 | 12.5(31) | 117.4(21) | 104.9(67) | 67.5(250) | — | 56.2%(19) | 50.2%(114) | 15.3%(91) | 15.6%(242) | 30.4%(185) | 30.0%(160) | 37.2%(122) | 34.7%(170) | 40.1% | 69.8% |
| 32 | Georgia BulldogsSEC | 22-11 | 12.4(32) | 117.4(23) | 105.0(72) | 71.5(9) | — | 54.2%(61) | 50.6%(134) | 14.3%(31) | 18.4%(81) | 34.9%(49) | 34.9%(336) | 36.9%(131) | 30.2%(65) | 44.3% | — roster not posted |
| 33 | Santa Clara BroncosWCC | 26-9 | 11.9(33) | 117.3(25) | 105.4(81) | 69.5(82) | — | 54.4%(53) | 52.0%(213) | 15.4%(99) | 19.9%(25) | 36.4%(20) | 32.1%(262) | 25.5%(363) | 38.2%(264) | 45.0% | 73.6% |
| 34 | NC State WolfpackACC | 20-14 | 11.8(34) | 117.3(24) | 105.5(85) | 69.4(86) | — | 55.0%(35) | 52.7%(256) | 13.1%(8) | 18.2%(90) | 28.2%(258) | 30.5%(181) | 35.1%(175) | 36.9%(235) | 43.4% | 73.8% |
| 35 | Clemson TigersACC | 24-11 | 11.6(35) | 112.9(70) | 101.3(23) | 66.1(335) | — | 52.6%(126) | 48.8%(59) | 14.0%(24) | 17.4%(123) | 28.1%(264) | 26.3%(21) | 36.7%(136) | 33.9%(150) | 43.1% | — roster not posted |
| 36 | South Florida BullsAmerican | 25-9 | 11.4(36) | 114.7(50) | 103.3(40) | 71.0(14) | — | 50.6%(209) | 48.8%(58) | 15.1%(74) | 19.1%(42) | 38.1%(7) | 31.9%(252) | 40.4%(55) | 39.1%(287) | 43.8% | 86.6% |
| 37 | UCLA BruinsBig Ten | 24-12 | 11.4(37) | 115.9(37) | 104.5(58) | 66.6(310) | — | 53.4%(85) | 50.4%(120) | 13.4%(14) | 18.5%(76) | 31.0%(162) | 33.3%(304) | 33.1%(237) | 34.4%(163) | 35.5% | 87.1% |
| 38 | Texas LonghornsSEC | 21-15 | 11.2(38) | 117.6(18) | 106.4(108) | 67.8(220) | — | 54.1%(65) | 50.8%(144) | 15.0%(67) | 13.0%(355) | 35.4%(35) | 26.9%(35) | 44.2%(7) | 39.6%(297) | 35.8% | 69.6% |
| 39 | VCU RamsA-10 | 28-8 | 11.1(39) | 115.3(44) | 104.1(52) | 69.1(107) | — | 53.6%(78) | 49.0%(69) | 15.1%(75) | 17.0%(158) | 31.6%(139) | 30.0%(162) | 42.0%(30) | 32.8%(126) | 43.8% | 86.8% |
| 40 | Villanova WildcatsBig East | 24-9 | 10.9(40) | 115.0(48) | 104.1(51) | 66.8(299) | — | 53.8%(74) | 51.4%(181) | 15.0%(66) | 18.6%(69) | 32.2%(118) | 31.8%(246) | 30.9%(284) | 30.0%(59) | 45.7% | 73.7% |
| 41 | Auburn TigersSEC | 22-16 | 10.9(41) | 118.2(11) | 107.4(137) | 68.3(176) | — | 53.0%(104) | 53.7%(291) | 14.6%(45) | 16.3%(199) | 37.0%(15) | 30.9%(196) | 43.2%(19) | 34.3%(161) | 40.2% | 84.3% |
| 42 | New Mexico LobosMountain West | 26-11 | 10.6(42) | 113.5(59) | 102.9(35) | 70.0(50) | — | 53.5%(82) | 49.5%(84) | 14.9%(58) | 19.0%(51) | 30.6%(176) | 27.7%(57) | 35.8%(160) | 33.3%(138) | 41.9% | — roster not posted |
| 43 | Texas A&M AggiesSEC | 22-12 | 10.3(43) | 115.1(47) | 104.8(62) | 70.5(26) | — | 53.8%(71) | 50.7%(141) | 14.7%(52) | 18.4%(82) | 32.0%(122) | 33.0%(300) | 37.1%(128) | 35.3%(190) | 46.2% | 74.9% |
| 44 | SMU MustangsACC | 20-14 | 10.3(44) | 117.0(27) | 106.7(117) | 69.1(106) | — | 55.6%(26) | 51.6%(189) | 15.7%(116) | 16.8%(164) | 35.4%(37) | 31.6%(237) | 30.4%(301) | 32.1%(107) | 35.9% | 53.0% |
| 45 | Indiana HoosiersBig Ten | 18-14 | 10.3(45) | 115.2(45) | 105.0(73) | 67.6(241) | — | 56.1%(22) | 49.0%(68) | 15.1%(71) | 15.1%(280) | 26.9%(300) | 29.3%(122) | 35.0%(179) | 37.0%(236) | 50.5% | 46.3% |
| 46 | Tulsa Golden HurricaneAmerican | 30-8 | 10.2(46) | 116.9(28) | 106.7(116) | 68.7(140) | — | 55.4%(29) | 49.5%(82) | 15.6%(110) | 15.4%(260) | 32.8%(95) | 29.1%(108) | 41.4%(39) | 32.0%(101) | 46.7% | 72.5% |
| 47 | Oklahoma SoonersSEC | 21-16 | 9.8(47) | 117.5(20) | 107.7(151) | 67.7(229) | — | 54.9%(40) | 51.0%(162) | 14.4%(37) | 15.5%(254) | 32.8%(92) | 32.9%(296) | 35.5%(161) | 34.9%(176) | 43.6% | 88.9% |
| 48 | Akron ZipsMAC | 29-6 | 9.8(48) | 116.2(34) | 106.5(110) | 70.2(37) | — | 58.2%(9) | 51.2%(173) | 15.5%(102) | 18.3%(86) | 33.4%(78) | 29.9%(156) | 29.2%(327) | 30.4%(70) | 44.8% | 86.8% |
| 49 | McNeese CowboysSouthland | 28-6 | 9.6(49) | 113.0(68) | 103.4(42) | 67.4(252) | — | 50.7%(202) | 49.3%(76) | 14.2%(28) | 24.5%(1) | 35.1%(46) | 34.9%(338) | 37.4%(114) | 42.1%(323) | 35.2% | — roster not posted |
| 50 | High Point PanthersBig South | 31-5 | 9.6(50) | 115.4(43) | 105.8(90) | 70.1(42) | — | 54.5%(51) | 50.5%(126) | 12.8%(5) | 21.3%(8) | 31.8%(131) | 31.1%(207) | 40.8%(50) | 35.5%(199) | 43.6% | 86.6% |
Opponent-adjusted, tempo-free ratings for every Division I team — points scored and allowed per 100 possessions and pace, each stripped of who the team has played. Preseason ratings start from last season, regressed toward the mean, and lean more on that prior the fewer games a team has played this year; in-season ratings update each morning off D1-vs-D1 games only. Four-factor tendencies (shooting, turnovers, rebounding, free-throw rate) sit alongside so a team's style is visible, not just its record.
What these numbers mean: model calibration.