CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteBenchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL
Miami
Efficiency #30
2025-26: 26-9 · 14-6 conf
vs
Florida
Efficiency #5
2025-26: 27-8 · 17-3 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · 6:00 PM ET
74.3
win 30%
Projected
80.4
win 70%
No line posted yet.
Model: FLA −6.1 · total 154.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Florida 70.2, Miami 68.7 → 70.6 possessions
+5.0
Florida offense vs Miami defense
+3.8
Miami offense vs Florida defense
−2.3
Projected total
154.7
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Florida offense vs Miami defense
+3.8
Miami offense vs Florida defense
+2.3
Florida by 6.1
6.1
Miami side ◂▸ Florida side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Florida.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Florida is the faster team (72.0, #23 of 365) and Miami the slower (69.2, #137). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.6
per team, 40 min
Projected total
154.7
model
Projected team totals
74.3 / 80.4
Miami / Florida
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.7#145
Miami
70.2#35
Florida
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageFlorida
Where Florida scores: the offensive glass
Florida rebounds 43.3% of its own misses (#2); Miami lets opponents grab 25.9% of their own misses (#19). Expect about 37.3%, 6.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.2 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Track meet
Florida averages 72.0 possessions per 40, Miami 69.2. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 71 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
ClashMiami
Style match: 3-point volume
Miami rarely shoots threes (31.9% of its shots); Florida runs teams off the line (34.1% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 29.9% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageMiami
Where Miami scores: ball control
Miami turns it over on 16.2% of possessions (#150); Florida forces turnovers on 15.3% of opponent possessions (#269). Expect about 15.5%, 1.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions.
ClashMiami
Strength vs strength: offensive rebounding
Miami (#14 in offensive rebounding) against Florida (#7 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 32.4%. Historically Miami's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.70 vs 0.49).
ClashMiami
Strength vs strength: 2-point shooting
Miami (#34 in 2-point shooting) against Florida (#8 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 51.1%. Historically Miami's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.61 vs 0.55).
Miami has the ball
OffenseFlorida allowsvs D1 avg
55.3% #32
46.1% #10
-0.4 pt/100
16.2% #150
15.3% #269
+1.6 pt/100
37.2% #14
24.8% #7
+1.2 pt/100
37.1% #125
34.0% #153
+0.1 pt/100
68.3% #320
—
-0.4 pt/100
Miami net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.1 pts/100
Florida has the ball
OffenseMiami allowsvs D1 avg
54.1% #63
51.7% #198
+2.7 pt/100
16.3% #160
18.2% #88
-0.8 pt/100
43.3% #2
25.9% #19
+4.2 pt/100
39.0% #80
29.5% #50
-0.2 pt/100
71.2% #232
—
-0.1 pt/100
Florida net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +5.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersMiamioffense vsFloridadefense
Share of shots by zone
Miami shoots
46.5
7.6
14.7
31.1
Florida allows
38.8
7.9
20.9
32.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.2%#34 | 50.6%#5 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.6%#275 | 34.8%#53 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.0%#54 | 34.9%#73 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.9%#127 | 32.1%#66 | 33.7% |
Floridaoffense vsMiamidefense
Share of shots by zone
Florida shoots
44.2
7.3
10.3
38.2
Miami allows
33.7
7.8
17.9
40.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.9%#24 | 59.8%#219 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.9%#52 | 44.3%#277 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.4%#97 | 37.3%#138 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.2%#315 | 35.8%#296 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersMiami
+7.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#7 of 365
Off reb %
37.2%
#14
Def reb %
74.1%
#19
Turnover %
16.2%
#150
Forced TO %
18.2%
#88
FT rate
37.1%
#125
FT allowed
29.5%
#50
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.2
Defensive rebounding+1.5
Ball security+0.4
Forcing turnovers+1.0
Foul shots drawn+0.5
Foul shots allowed+1.5
Florida
+6.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#8 of 365
Off reb %
43.3%
#2
Def reb %
75.2%
#7
Turnover %
16.3%
#160
Forced TO %
15.3%
#269
FT rate
39.0%
#80
FT allowed
34.0%
#153
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+4.2
Defensive rebounding+1.9
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers−1.0
Foul shots drawn+1.0
Foul shots allowed+0.3
Miami has more extra scoring chances per game: +7.2 (#7 of 365) to Florida’s +6.7 (#8).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Miami2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brent Blandat Saint Peter's | G | Sr | 6'3" | 29-29 | 33.1 | 13.9 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 51.6% | 36.9% | 7.4 | 78.3% | 24.7% | |
| 7 | Shelton Henderson | F | So | 6'6" | 35-35 | 31.3 | 13.8 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 58.7% | 25.5% | 1.5 | 57.6% | 25.1% | |
| 0 | DeSean Goodeat Robert Morris | F | Jr | 6'8" | 33-32 | 31.0 | 15.2 | 8.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 68.9% | 57.1% | 1.9 | 76.3% | 23.8% | |
| 55 | Acaden Lewisat Villanova | G | So | 6'2" | 33-33 | 30.5 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 49.6% | 27.0% | 3.0 | 58.3% | 27.6% | |
| 5 | Malik Reneau | F | Sr | 6'9" | 35-35 | 29.0 | 18.9 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 57.0% | 34.7% | 2.1 | 78.8% | 36.2% | |
| 3 | Nick Dornat Indiana | G | Sr | 6'7" | 30-12 | 23.2 | 8.1 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 57.3% | 38.0% | 5.3 | 87.0% | 19.5% | |
| 2 | Somto Cyrilat Georgia | C | Jr | 6'11" | 33-32 | 21.1 | 9.3 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 75.9% | — | 0.0 | 57.8% | 19.5% | |
| 35 | Dante Allen | G | So | 6'4" | 30-18 | 23.8 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 50.6% | 32.1% | 2.6 | 58.3% | 18.0% | |
| 6 | Robert Miller IIIat LSU | F | Jr | 6'10" | 31-2 | 19.4 | 6.1 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 65.7% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 69.9% | 17.1% | |
| 12 | Quin Bergerat Bucknell | G | Sr | 6'2" | 30-8 | 16.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 44.2% | 30.6% | 2.4 | 71.4% | 15.5% | |
| 13 | L.J. Casonat Michigan | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-0 | 18.6 | 8.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 60.6% | 40.2% | 2.9 | 70.9% | 24.8% | |
| 4 | Marcus Allen | F | Jr | 6'7" | 8-0 | 18.9 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 38.5% | 1.6 | 69.2% | 14.9% | |
| 11 | Caleb Gaskins | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Christopher Birden Jr. | F | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Egor Ryzhov | C | Sr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Quin Berger (from Bucknell), Brent Bland (from Saint Peter's), L.J. Cason (from Michigan), Nick Dorn (from Indiana), DeSean Goode (from Robert Morris), Acaden Lewis (from Villanova), Robert Miller III (from LSU), Somto Cyril (from Georgia)
Florida2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thomas Haugh | F | Sr | 6'9" | 34-34 | 33.3 | 17.1 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 53.3% | 32.6% | 5.2 | 77.4% | 26.9% | |
| 1 | Denzel Aberdeenat Kentucky | G | Sr | 6'5" | 36-35 | 30.6 | 13.5 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 51.6% | 36.3% | 4.8 | 79.8% | 25.1% | |
| 0 | Boogie Fland | G | Jr | 6'3" | 35-35 | 30.0 | 11.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 49.2% | 24.0% | 3.6 | 72.6% | 23.3% | |
| 21 | Alex Condon | F | Sr | 6'11" | 34-34 | 30.5 | 15.1 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 56.9% | 17.0% | 1.6 | 64.9% | 27.8% | |
| 9 | Rueben Chinyelu | C | Sr | 6'10" | 35-35 | 24.5 | 10.9 | 11.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 58.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 69.5% | 23.8% | |
| 7 | Urban Klavzar | G | Sr | 6'1" | 35-0 | 20.7 | 9.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 59.6% | 40.6% | 5.0 | 90.3% | 22.4% | |
| 20 | Isaiah Brown | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-0 | 13.3 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 54.0% | 34.6% | 1.6 | 73.3% | 22.9% | |
| 11 | CJ Ingram | G | So | 6'6" | 20-0 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 57.1% | 50.0% | 0.8 | 50.0% | 23.7% | |
| 4 | Alex Lloyd | G | So | 6'3" | 17-0 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 38.5% | 21.1% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 23.2% | |
| 8 | Alex Kovatchev | G | Sr | 6'5" | 15-0 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 33.3% | 22.2% | 0.6 | — | 14.5% | |
| 12 | Viktor Mikic | C | Jr | 6'11" | 15-0 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 32.6% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 53.8% | 39.7% | |
| 3 | AJ Brown | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Arturas Butajevas | F | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 19 | Domen Petrovic | F | Jr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Jones Lay | C | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Denzel Aberdeen (from Kentucky)
Miami2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brent Blandat Saint Peter's | G | Sr | 6'3" | 29-29 | 33.1 | 13.9 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 51.6% | 36.9% | 7.4 | 78.3% | 24.7% | |
| 7 | Shelton Henderson | F | So | 6'6" | 35-35 | 31.3 | 13.8 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 58.7% | 25.5% | 1.5 | 57.6% | 25.1% | |
| 0 | DeSean Goodeat Robert Morris | F | Jr | 6'8" | 33-32 | 31.0 | 15.2 | 8.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 68.9% | 57.1% | 1.9 | 76.3% | 23.8% | |
| 55 | Acaden Lewisat Villanova | G | So | 6'2" | 33-33 | 30.5 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 49.6% | 27.0% | 3.0 | 58.3% | 27.6% | |
| 5 | Malik Reneau | F | Sr | 6'9" | 35-35 | 29.0 | 18.9 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 57.0% | 34.7% | 2.1 | 78.8% | 36.2% | |
| 3 | Nick Dornat Indiana | G | Sr | 6'7" | 30-12 | 23.2 | 8.1 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 57.3% | 38.0% | 5.3 | 87.0% | 19.5% | |
| 2 | Somto Cyrilat Georgia | C | Jr | 6'11" | 33-32 | 21.1 | 9.3 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 75.9% | — | 0.0 | 57.8% | 19.5% | |
| 35 | Dante Allen | G | So | 6'4" | 30-18 | 23.8 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 50.6% | 32.1% | 2.6 | 58.3% | 18.0% | |
| 6 | Robert Miller IIIat LSU | F | Jr | 6'10" | 31-2 | 19.4 | 6.1 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 65.7% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 69.9% | 17.1% | |
| 12 | Quin Bergerat Bucknell | G | Sr | 6'2" | 30-8 | 16.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 44.2% | 30.6% | 2.4 | 71.4% | 15.5% | |
| 13 | L.J. Casonat Michigan | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-0 | 18.6 | 8.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 60.6% | 40.2% | 2.9 | 70.9% | 24.8% | |
| 4 | Marcus Allen | F | Jr | 6'7" | 8-0 | 18.9 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 38.5% | 1.6 | 69.2% | 14.9% | |
| 11 | Caleb Gaskins | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Christopher Birden Jr. | F | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Egor Ryzhov | C | Sr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Quin Berger (from Bucknell), Brent Bland (from Saint Peter's), L.J. Cason (from Michigan), Nick Dorn (from Indiana), DeSean Goode (from Robert Morris), Acaden Lewis (from Villanova), Robert Miller III (from LSU), Somto Cyril (from Georgia)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Miami
Against the spread
Season
19-15-1
Home
8-9-1
Road
8-2
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +1.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
22-13
Home
13-5
Road
6-4
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +1.1
Over 3 straightOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | #2Purdue | N | L 69–79 | +8.0 | L−2.0 | 146.5 | O148 | 105.2 | 120.4 | 65.6 |
| Mar 20 | #10Missouri | N | W 80–66 | −1.0 | W+13.0 | 145.5 | O146 | 119.1 | 98.3 | 67.2 |
| Mar 13 | #10Virginia | N | L 62–84 | +3.5 | L−18.5 | 145.0 | O146 | 99.3 | 134.6 | 62.4 |
| Mar 12 | #24Louisville | N | W 78–73 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 114.0 | 106.7 | 68.4 |
| Mar 7 | Louisville | H | L 89–92 | −1.5 | L−4.5 | 155.5 | O181 | 138.1 | 142.7 | 64.5 |
| Mar 4 | SMU | A | W 77–69 | +1.5 | W+9.5 | 156.5 | U146 | 111.0 | 99.4 | 69.4 |
| Feb 28 | Boston College | H | W 76–54 | −16.0 | W+6.0 | 144.5 | U130 | 117.6 | 83.6 | 64.6 |
| Feb 24 | Florida St | A | W 83–73 | −2.0 | W+8.0 | 153.5 | O156 | 117.2 | 103.1 | 70.8 |
| Feb 21 | #14Virginia | A | L 83–86 | +7.5 | W+4.5 | 146.5 | O169 | 128.1 | 132.7 | 64.8 |
| Feb 17 | Virginia Tech | H | W 67–66 | −8.5 | L−7.5 | 148.0 | U133 | 106.7 | 105.1 | 62.8 |
Florida
Against the spread
Season
19-16
Home
7-8
Road
9-1
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +2.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 6 of 10 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 7 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
14-20-1
Home
6-9
Road
3-7
Last 10
5-4-1
avg vs total +3.0
Over in 5 of 10 as a favorite, 1 pushOver in 4 of 7 with a line of 10+, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | #9Iowa | N | L 72–73 | −10.0 | L−11.0 | 145.0 | P145 | 117.8 | 119.4 | 61.1 |
| Mar 20 | #16Prairie View | N | W 114–55 | −35.0 | W+24.0 | 154.0 | O169 | 164.5 | 79.4 | 69.3 |
| Mar 14 | #22Vanderbilt | N | L 74–91 | −7.0 | L−24.0 | 160.0 | O165 | 115.8 | 142.4 | 63.9 |
| Mar 13 | Kentucky | N | W 71–63 | −10.0 | L−2.0 | 160.5 | U134 | 97.1 | 86.2 | 73.1 |
| Mar 7 | Kentucky | A | W 84–77 | −5.5 | W+1.5 | 162.0 | U161 | 117.3 | 107.6 | 71.6 |
| Mar 3 | Mississippi St | H | W 108–74 | −21.0 | W+13.0 | 160.5 | O182 | 143.9 | 98.6 | 75.1 |
| Feb 28 | #20Arkansas | H | W 111–77 | −10.5 | W+23.5 | 170.0 | O188 | 137.4 | 95.3 | 80.8 |
| Feb 25 | Texas | A | W 84–71 | −7.0 | W+6.0 | 158.5 | U155 | 130.1 | 110.0 | 64.5 |
| Feb 21 | Ole Miss | A | W 94–75 | −13.5 | W+5.5 | 150.5 | O169 | 122.2 | 97.5 | 76.9 |
| Feb 17 | South Carolina | H | W 76–62 | −23.0 | L−9.0 | 155.0 | U138 | 113.4 | 92.5 | 67.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeMiamiFlorida
Efficiency
115.9
119.2
103.2
97.9
68.7
70.2
—
—
Shooting
55.3%
54.1%
56.7%
58.5%
34.9%
31.2%
68.3%
71.2%
37.1%
39.0%
Ball control & glass
16.2%
16.3%
18.2%
15.3%
37.2%
43.3%
25.9%
24.8%
9.7%
9.0%
10.2%
7.0%
Style
31.9%
37.0%
51.9%
50.2%
14.2%
18.2%
54.4%
55.0%
25.0%
27.5%
Roster
3.04
3.71
6'5.9"
6'6.5"
42.5%
78.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputMiami
Returning minutes: 42.5%Returning production: 45.1%
Lost
- Tre Donaldson 34.1 mpg, 16.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ernest Udeh Jr. 26.7 mpg, 6.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tru Washington 24.3 mpg, 10.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Timotej Malovec 14.1 mpg, 3.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Noam Dovrat 7.3 mpg, 2.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Salih Altuntas 7.1 mpg, 1.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Brent Bland from Saint Peter's · 33.1 mpg, 13.9 ppg last season
- DeSean Goode from Robert Morris · 31.0 mpg, 15.2 ppg last season
- Acaden Lewis from Villanova · 30.5 mpg, 12.2 ppg last season
- Nick Dorn from Indiana · 21.8 mpg, 7.6 ppg last season
- Somto Cyril from Georgia · 21.1 mpg, 9.3 ppg last season
- Robert Miller III from LSU · 18.8 mpg, 5.9 ppg last season
Returns 42% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5.
Florida
Returning minutes: 78.8%Returning production: 79.0%
Lost
- Xaivian Lee 27.4 mpg, 11.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Micah Handlogten 14.4 mpg, 4.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Olivier Rioux 0.5 mpg, 0.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cooper Josefsberg 0.1 mpg, 0.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Denzel Aberdeen from Kentucky · 30.6 mpg, 13.5 ppg last season
- Jones Lay no D1 minutes last season
- Arturas Butajevas no D1 minutes last season
- AJ Brown no D1 minutes last season
- Domen Petrovic no D1 minutes last season
Returns 79% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 16 | 2025-26 | Miami 68 – 82 Florida(N) |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.