CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceMoody Center, Austin, TX
Chicago St
Efficiency #342
2025-26: 7-25 · 5-14 conf
@
Texas
Efficiency #38
2025-26: 21-15 · 9-10 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · TBD
65.1
win 5%
Projected
84.4
win 95%
No line posted yet.
Model: TEX −19.3 · total 149.4 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Texas 67.8, Chicago St 67.2 → 66.7 possessions
−3.5
Texas offense vs Chicago St defense
+10.1
Chicago St offense vs Texas defense
−5.4
Projected total
149.4
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Texas offense vs Chicago St defense
+10.1
Chicago St offense vs Texas defense
+5.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Texas by 19.3
19.3
Chicago St side ◂▸ Texas side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Texas.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Texas is the faster team (68.2, #193 of 365) and Chicago St the slower (65.8, #304). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
149.4
model
Projected team totals
65.1 / 84.4
Chicago St / Texas
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.2#272
Chicago St
67.8#223
Texas
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageTexas
Where Texas scores: shooting
Texas shoots an effective 54.1% (#65); Chicago St allows 56.7% (#354). Expect about 55.7%, 4.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +6.2 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageChicago St
Where Chicago St struggles: shooting
Chicago St shoots an effective 45.3% (#358); Texas allows 50.8% (#144). Expect about 47.6%, 3.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -5.3 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversChicago St
Chicago St protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 13.7% is worth roughly +3.8 points per 100 possessions for Chicago St's offense.
GlassTexas
Texas owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 36.2% is worth roughly +3.5 points per 100 possessions for Texas's offense.
ClashChicago St
Style match: 3-point volume
Chicago St rarely shoots threes (30.9% of its shots); Texas runs teams off the line (33.0% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 28.4% — both habits push the same way.
ClashTexas
Style clash: ball movement
Texas creates off the dribble (assists on 43.7% of its baskets); Chicago St allows assists on 72.7% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 59.9% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Chicago St has the ball
OffenseTexas allowsvs D1 avg
45.3% #358
50.8% #144
-5.3 pt/100
15.6% #113
13.0% #355
+3.8 pt/100
28.3% #255
26.9% #35
-1.9 pt/100
30.0% #311
39.6% #297
+0.0 pt/100
75.0% #84
—
+0.2 pt/100
Chicago St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.2 pts/100
Texas has the ball
OffenseChicago St allowsvs D1 avg
54.1% #65
56.7% #354
+6.2 pt/100
15.0% #67
20.1% #20
-1.4 pt/100
35.4% #35
35.0% #339
+3.5 pt/100
44.2% #7
38.0% #261
+0.8 pt/100
74.4% #110
—
+0.2 pt/100
Texas net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +9.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersChicago Stoffense vsTexasdefense
Share of shots by zone
Chicago St shoots
33.6
8.8
26.8
30.7
Texas allows
39.2
5.2
22.8
32.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 49.8%#361 | 57.6%#134 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.0%#195 | 42.3%#234 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.8%#232 | 38.2%#165 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.1%#275 | 34.7%#230 | 33.7% |
Texasoffense vsChicago Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Texas shoots
39.0
5.9
19.7
35.5
Chicago St allows
37.0
4.0
8.8
50.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.9%#74 | 64.9%#350 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.9%#197 | 31.0%#19 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.1%#51 | 44.1%#341 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.1%#107 | 35.6%#290 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersChicago St
−1.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#232 of 365
Off reb %
28.3%
#255
Def reb %
65.0%
#339
Turnover %
15.6%
#113
Forced TO %
20.1%
#20
FT rate
30.0%
#311
FT allowed
38.0%
#261
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.7
Defensive rebounding−1.4
Ball security+0.8
Forcing turnovers+2.3
Foul shots drawn−1.3
Foul shots allowed−0.7
Texas
+2.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#67 of 365
Off reb %
35.4%
#35
Def reb %
73.1%
#35
Turnover %
15.0%
#67
Forced TO %
13.0%
#355
FT rate
44.2%
#7
FT allowed
39.6%
#297
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding+1.2
Ball security+1.2
Forcing turnovers−2.5
Foul shots drawn+2.4
Foul shots allowed−1.1
Texas has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.7 (#67 of 365) to Chicago St’s −1.0 (#232).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Chicago St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Chicago St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | CJ Ray | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-27 | 31.1 | 13.5 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 47.8% | 37.2% | 3.5 | 85.2% | 28.3% | |
| 4 | Marcus Tankersley | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 30.6 | 13.0 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 46.5% | 23.3% | 1.0 | 65.6% | 29.9% | |
| 3 | Doyel Cockrill III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-9 | 24.4 | 11.8 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 49.4% | 36.4% | 5.8 | 83.3% | 29.7% | |
| 21 | Braelon Bush | G | Sr | 5'9" | 26-9 | 25.9 | 8.5 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 45.6% | 27.7% | 3.9 | 91.9% | 23.3% | |
| 10 | Corey Sands | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-20 | 17.4 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 39.4% | 25.8% | 2.1 | 73.3% | 13.1% | |
| 8 | Stephen Byard | F | Sr | 6'8" | 22-9 | 22.6 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 48.3% | 41.7% | 0.5 | 73.4% | 28.7% | |
| 9 | Malek Robinson | G | Fr | 5'11" | 32-22 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 36.5% | 31.8% | 0.7 | 70.4% | 15.8% | |
| 22 | Dailliss Cox | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-21 | 15.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 48.4% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 69.2% | 14.0% | |
| 15 | Joseph Owens | F | Sr | 6'7" | 26-2 | 11.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 53.7% | — | 0.0 | 62.5% | 13.5% | |
| 11 | Lionel Larvadain III | G | So | 6'0" | 21-1 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 31.6% | 20.0% | 0.7 | 71.4% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Chauncey Gibson | G | Jr | 6'7" | 15-4 | 15.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 37.8% | 26.4% | 3.5 | 42.9% | 30.0% | |
| 6 | Daniel Zatsepin | F | Jr | 6'4" | 25-2 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 35.2% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 10.1% | |
| 25 | Dakari Thomas | G | So | 6'1" | 19-0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 42.9% | — | 0.0 | 63.6% | 8.3% | |
| 20 | CJ Delancy | F | Sr | 6'9" | 6-2 | 9.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 44.4% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 12.4% | |
| 1 | Deshawn Jean-Charles | G | Sr | 6'7" | 4-3 | 8.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 7.7% | |
| 12 | DaJuan Bates | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Greg Spate | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Texas2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jordan Pope | G | Sr | 6'1" | 36-35 | 29.0 | 13.1 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 51.3% | 37.2% | 6.4 | 84.0% | 25.7% | |
| 8 | Matas Vokietaitis | C | So | 7'0" | 36-36 | 26.0 | 15.6 | 7.1 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 61.9% | — | 0.0 | 66.9% | 31.8% | |
| 5 | Camden Heide | F | Jr | 6'7" | 35-29 | 22.5 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 66.1% | 45.4% | 3.1 | 70.6% | 12.5% | |
| 2 | Chendall Weaver | G | Sr | 6'3" | 36-2 | 20.9 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 47.3% | 21.7% | 1.3 | 71.4% | 17.5% | |
| 7 | Simeon Wilcher | G | Jr | 6'4" | 36-1 | 18.6 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 45.6% | 33.7% | 2.6 | 91.7% | 20.7% | |
| 10 | Nic Codie | F | So | 6'8" | 24-4 | 15.8 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 50.6% | 14.3% | 0.6 | 63.0% | 16.8% | |
| 23 | Lassina Traore | F | Sr | 6'10" | 23-1 | 15.7 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 44.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 66.0% | 15.3% | |
| 4 | Declan Duru Jr. | F | Fr | 6'8" | 12-0 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 25.0% | 12.9% | |
| 33 | Anthon McDermott | G | Fr | 6'4" | 7-0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.6 | — | 15.7% | |
| 1 | Cole Bott | F | Sr | 6'6" | 6-0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.2 | — | 7.4% | |
| 44 | Brandon Taylor | G | Sr | 5'10" | 4-0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 30.0% | 25.0% | 1.0 | — | 64.8% | |
| 9 | John Clark | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Lewis Obiorah | C | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Chicago St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Chicago St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | CJ Ray | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-27 | 31.1 | 13.5 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 47.8% | 37.2% | 3.5 | 85.2% | 28.3% | |
| 4 | Marcus Tankersley | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-29 | 30.6 | 13.0 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 46.5% | 23.3% | 1.0 | 65.6% | 29.9% | |
| 3 | Doyel Cockrill III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-9 | 24.4 | 11.8 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 49.4% | 36.4% | 5.8 | 83.3% | 29.7% | |
| 21 | Braelon Bush | G | Sr | 5'9" | 26-9 | 25.9 | 8.5 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 45.6% | 27.7% | 3.9 | 91.9% | 23.3% | |
| 10 | Corey Sands | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-20 | 17.4 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 39.4% | 25.8% | 2.1 | 73.3% | 13.1% | |
| 8 | Stephen Byard | F | Sr | 6'8" | 22-9 | 22.6 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 48.3% | 41.7% | 0.5 | 73.4% | 28.7% | |
| 9 | Malek Robinson | G | Fr | 5'11" | 32-22 | 15.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 36.5% | 31.8% | 0.7 | 70.4% | 15.8% | |
| 22 | Dailliss Cox | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-21 | 15.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 48.4% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 69.2% | 14.0% | |
| 15 | Joseph Owens | F | Sr | 6'7" | 26-2 | 11.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 53.7% | — | 0.0 | 62.5% | 13.5% | |
| 11 | Lionel Larvadain III | G | So | 6'0" | 21-1 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 31.6% | 20.0% | 0.7 | 71.4% | 24.4% | |
| 5 | Chauncey Gibson | G | Jr | 6'7" | 15-4 | 15.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 37.8% | 26.4% | 3.5 | 42.9% | 30.0% | |
| 6 | Daniel Zatsepin | F | Jr | 6'4" | 25-2 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 35.2% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 10.1% | |
| 25 | Dakari Thomas | G | So | 6'1" | 19-0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 42.9% | — | 0.0 | 63.6% | 8.3% | |
| 20 | CJ Delancy | F | Sr | 6'9" | 6-2 | 9.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 44.4% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 12.4% | |
| 1 | Deshawn Jean-Charles | G | Sr | 6'7" | 4-3 | 8.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 7.7% | |
| 12 | DaJuan Bates | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Greg Spate | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Chicago St
Against the spread
Season
14-16-1
Home
6-4
Road
8-12-1
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +2.5
Covered the last gameCovered 5 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
15-16
Home
3-7
Road
12-9
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −2.1
Over 2 straightOver in 3 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4 | Long Island | A | L 75–79 | +11.0 | W+7.0 | 138.0 | O154 | 122.2 | 128.7 | 61.4 |
| Feb 28 | Wagner | A | L 61–80 | +5.0 | L−14.0 | 135.5 | O141 | 88.6 | 116.2 | 68.9 |
| Feb 26 | Long Island | A | L 56–73 | +11.5 | L−5.5 | 140.0 | U129 | 85.8 | 111.9 | 65.3 |
| Feb 21 | C Connecticut | H | W 70–51 | +3.0 | W+22.0 | 138.5 | U121 | 113.1 | 82.4 | 61.9 |
| Feb 19 | FDU | H | L 59–60 | +2.0 | W+1.0 | 132.0 | U119 | 111.6 | 113.5 | 52.9 |
| Feb 14 | Le Moyne | A | L 63–81 | +7.0 | L−11.0 | 146.0 | U144 | 91.5 | 117.6 | 68.9 |
| Feb 12 | Stonehill | H | W 68–55 | +1.5 | W+14.5 | 132.5 | U123 | 121.5 | 98.3 | 56.0 |
| Feb 9 | Saint Francis Red Wolves | H | W 80–75 | −3.0 | W+2.0 | 145.5 | O155 | 112.7 | 105.7 | 71.0 |
| Feb 7 | New Haven | A | W 63–57 | +5.5 | W+11.5 | 127.5 | U120 | 106.9 | 96.8 | 58.9 |
| Feb 5 | C Connecticut | A | L 67–78 | +9.0 | L−2.0 | 137.0 | O145 | 107.5 | 125.1 | 62.3 |
Texas
Against the spread
Season
20-15
Home
8-9
Road
7-3
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −1.2
Covered 4 straightCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
20-15
Home
10-7
Road
7-3
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +0.1
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26 | #2Purdue | N | L 77–79 | +8.5 | W+6.5 | 146.5 | O156 | 126.6 | 129.9 | 60.8 |
| Mar 21 | #3Gonzaga | N | W 74–68 | +6.0 | W+12.0 | 147.5 | U142 | 115.6 | 106.3 | 64.0 |
| Mar 19 | #6BYU | N | W 79–71 | +2.5 | W+10.5 | 158.0 | U150 | 118.0 | 106.0 | 67.0 |
| Mar 17 | #11NC State | N | W 68–66 | +1.0 | W+3.0 | 157.5 | U134 | 100.5 | 97.5 | 67.7 |
| Mar 11 | Ole Miss | N | L 66–76 | −6.0 | L−16.0 | 148.0 | U142 | 94.7 | 109.1 | 69.7 |
| Mar 7 | Oklahoma | H | L 85–88 OT | −6.5 | L−9.5 | 153.5 | O173 | 109.7 | 113.6 | 77.5 |
| Mar 4 | #20Arkansas | A | L 85–105 | +7.0 | L−13.0 | 164.5 | O190 | 107.5 | 132.8 | 79.0 |
| Feb 28 | Texas A&M | A | W 76–70 | +2.5 | W+8.5 | 160.5 | U146 | 110.5 | 101.8 | 68.8 |
| Feb 25 | #7Florida | H | L 71–84 | +7.0 | L−6.0 | 158.5 | U155 | 110.0 | 130.1 | 64.5 |
| Feb 21 | Georgia | A | L 80–91 | +3.0 | L−8.0 | 163.5 | O171 | 129.0 | 146.7 | 62.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeChicago StTexas
Efficiency
102.4
117.6
114.4
106.4
67.2
67.8
—
—
Shooting
45.3%
54.1%
44.0%
54.8%
32.1%
35.1%
75.0%
74.4%
30.0%
44.2%
Ball control & glass
15.6%
15.0%
20.1%
13.0%
28.3%
35.4%
35.0%
26.9%
8.4%
9.1%
8.7%
10.0%
Style
30.9%
35.8%
41.8%
42.2%
11.7%
14.9%
50.3%
43.7%
39.8%
30.9%
Roster
3.49
3.13
6'3.7"
6'6"
—
69.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputChicago St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Chicago St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Texas
Returning minutes: 69.6%Returning production: 60.5%
Lost
- Dailyn Swain 32.9 mpg, 17.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tramon Mark 28.3 mpg, 14.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Lewis Obiorah no D1 minutes last season
- John Clark no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 70% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.