Alcorn State Braves vs Ole Miss Rebels basketball final score
Mon, Nov 2 · 8:30 PM ET · The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss, Oxford, MS
Non-conferenceSECN+The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss, Oxford, MS
Alcorn St
2025-26: 9-23 · 8-12 conf
Efficiency #355
@
Ole Miss
2025-26: 15-20 · 7-15 conf
Efficiency #82
Final
5899
Final score
Projected 58.4 – 88.1
ALCN win 1%MISS win 99%
MarketClose
Spread
MISS −30.5
open MISS −30.5
Total
148.5
open 146.5
Our line
MISS −29.7
as of Mon, Nov 2 · 8:21 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Ole Missrated 9.4 above average
+9.4
Alcorn Strated 16.8 below average
+16.8
Home court
+3.5
Our line
MISS −29.7
◂ Alcorn St sideOle Miss side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Ole Miss. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Alcorn St is the faster team (69.4, #119 of 365) and Ole Miss the slower (68.3, #188). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.8
per team, 40 min
Market total
148.5
Market close · open 146.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.6#155
Alcorn St
67.5#250
Ole Miss
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
MISS −29.7
Four factors 6.7Not in these stats 23.0
From the four factors
Ole Miss has the ball+2.8
Alcorn St has the ball−3.9
Ole Miss has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 50.4% #217 · ALCN allows 55.0% #330+1.5
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 14.0% #23 · ALCN forces 18.1% #93 · ~11 turnovers+0.7
✓Wins second chancesOR% 28.3% #253 · ALCN allows 35.5% #347+0.4
✓Gets to the lineFTR 33.0% #238 · ALCN allows 39.4% #293 · FT 74.9% #86+0.3
Alcorn St has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 47.7% #320 · MISS allows 50.5% #127−2.3
✗Coughs it upTO% 19.6% #339 · MISS forces 16.4% #189 · ~12 turnovers−1.1
✗Few second chancesOR% 26.9% #297 · MISS allows 32.6% #285−0.6
✓Gets to the lineFTR 31.8% #259 · MISS allows 41.2% #315 · FT 70.8% #245+0.1
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAlcorn Stoffense vsOle Missdefense
Share of shots by zone
Alcorn St shoots
40.5
7.1
18.6
33.8
Ole Miss allows
36.3
6.1
15.0
42.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.2%#319 | 57.5%#129 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.4%#133 | 45.2%#303 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 30.4%#351 | 36.8%#125 | 38.1% |
| Three | 33.3%#208 | 33.4%#151 | 33.7% |
Ole Missoffense vsAlcorn Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Ole Miss shoots
28.6
7.4
29.0
34.9
Alcorn St allows
45.8
5.4
13.5
35.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.8%#26 | 65.9%#356 | 58.5% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.4%#213 | 39.5%#175 | 39.4% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.2%#140 | 34.7%#68 | 38.1% |
| Three | 33.2%#221 | 33.0%#120 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAlcorn St
−5.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#352 of 365
Off reb %
26.9%
#297
Def reb %
64.5%
#347
Turnover %
19.6%
#339
Forced TO %
18.1%
#93
FT rate
31.8%
#259
FT allowed
39.4%
#293
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding−1.6
Ball security−1.9
Forcing turnovers+0.9
Foul shots drawn−0.8
Foul shots allowed−1.1
Ole Miss
−1.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#260 of 365
Off reb %
28.3%
#253
Def reb %
67.4%
#285
Turnover %
14.0%
#23
Forced TO %
16.4%
#189
FT rate
33.0%
#238
FT allowed
41.2%
#315
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security+1.9
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.5
Foul shots allowed−1.5
Ole Miss has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.6 (#260 of 365) to Alcorn St’s −5.5 (#352).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Alcorn St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | G | So | 6'5" | 2-2 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 44.4% | 4.5 | — | 20.9% | |
| 11 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 21.0 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 53.8% | 66.7% | 1.5 | 55.6% | 27.5% | |
| 2 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 19.5 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 2.5 | 87.5% | 27.5% | |
| 1 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 1-1 | 33.0 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 44.4% | 30.8% | 13.0 | 75.0% | 54.7% | |
| 35 | C | So | 6'11" | 2-0 | 15.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 5.2% | |
| 13 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 2-2 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 31.3% | 25.0% | 2.0 | 50.0% | 21.3% | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'6" | 2-1 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 2.0 | — | 23.8% | |
| 15 | C | Sr | 7'1" | 2-2 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 80.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 20.9% | |
| 23 | G | Fr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 13.4% | |
| 6 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 13.3% | |
| 10 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 10.8% | |
| 5 | F | Jr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 22.4% | |
| 8 | G | Fr | 6'1" | 1-0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 2.0 | — | 14.6% | |
| 12 | G | Fr | 6'1" | 1-0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 26.8% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameAlcorn St
Against the spread
Season
16-14-2
Home
5-4
Road
9-9-2
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −1.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-16-2
Home
2-7
Road
11-8-1
Last 10
2-6-2
avg vs total −4.2
Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10 | Prairie View | N | L 56–65 | +6.0 | L−3.0 | 142.5 | U121 | 84.2 | 97.7 | 66.5 |
| Mar 9 | Alabama St | N | W 77–65 | +7.5 | W+19.5 | 142.0 | P142 | 109.4 | 92.4 | 70.4 |
| Mar 5 | AR-Pine Bluff | H | L 48–83 | +1.0 | L−34.0 | 144.0 | U131 | 64.5 | 111.6 | 74.4 |
| Mar 3 | Miss Valley St | H | W 67–64 | −9.5 | L−6.5 | 139.0 | U131 | 103.7 | 99.1 | 64.6 |
| Feb 28 | Prairie View | A | L 51–72 | +4.5 | L−16.5 | 150.0 | U123 | 72.5 | 102.3 | 70.4 |
| Feb 26 | Texas Southern | A | L 87–92 OT | +6.5 | W+1.5 | 145.0 | O179 | 109.3 | 115.6 | 79.6 |
| Feb 21 | Jackson St | H | W 83–65 | −1.0 | W+17.0 | 149.0 | U148 | 115.8 | 90.7 | 71.7 |
| Feb 16 | Florida A&M | H | L 78–86 | +1.5 | L−6.5 | 137.0 | O164 | 109.0 | 120.1 | 71.6 |
| Feb 14 | Bethune | H | W 57–55 | +8.0 | W+10.0 | 145.0 | U112 | 89.3 | 86.2 | 63.8 |
| Feb 9 | Miss Valley St | A | W 74–66 | −5.5 | W+2.5 | 140.0 | P140 | 126.0 | 112.4 | 58.7 |
Ole Miss
Against the spread
Season
15-20
Home
4-12
Road
7-3
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +4.8
Covered 4 straightCovered 7 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
21-13-1
Home
11-5
Road
6-4
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +9.2
Over in the last gameOver in 5 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | #17Arkansas | N | L 90–93 OT | +8.5 | W+5.5 | 158.5 | O183 | 115.8 | 119.7 | 77.7 |
| Mar 13 | #15Alabama | N | W 80–79 | +12.5 | W+13.5 | 164.5 | U159 | 108.8 | 107.5 | 73.5 |
| Mar 12 | Georgia | N | W 76–72 | +5.5 | W+9.5 | 156.5 | U148 | 102.4 | 97.0 | 74.2 |
| Mar 11 | Texas | N | W 76–66 | +6.0 | W+16.0 | 148.0 | U142 | 109.1 | 94.7 | 69.7 |
| Mar 7 | South Carolina | H | L 61–64 | −7.0 | L−10.0 | 147.0 | U125 | 92.0 | 96.5 | 66.3 |
| Mar 3 | #24Vanderbilt | H | L 86–89 OT | +7.0 | W+4.0 | 155.5 | O175 | 111.7 | 115.6 | 77.0 |
| Feb 28 | Auburn | A | W 85–79 | +11.0 | W+17.0 | 152.5 | O164 | 127.0 | 118.0 | 67.0 |
| Feb 25 | LSU | H | L 99–106 2OT | −2.0 | L−9.0 | 147.0 | O205 | 117.5 | 125.8 | 84.3 |
| Feb 21 | #12Florida | H | L 75–94 | +13.5 | L−5.5 | 150.5 | O169 | 97.5 | 122.2 | 76.9 |
| Feb 18 | Texas A&M | A | L 77–80 | +9.5 | W+6.5 | 155.0 | O157 | 111.9 | 116.3 | 68.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAlcorn StOle Miss
Efficiency
99.3
110.1
114.1
104.6
68.6
67.5
Shooting
47.7%
50.4%
46.5%
50.8%
33.3%
33.2%
70.8%
74.9%
31.8%
33.0%
Ball control & glass
19.6%
14.0%
18.1%
16.4%
26.9%
28.3%
35.5%
32.6%
10.5%
8.6%
11.1%
7.9%
Style
33.7%
35.5%
45.4%
39.5%
14.8%
12.1%
46.6%
50.2%
30.7%
40.2%
Roster
3.42
3.39
6'8.7"
6'6.4"
0.0%
29.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAlcorn St
Returning minutes: 0.0%Returning production: 0.0%
Lost
- Nick Woodard 28.7 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Shane Lancaster 28.6 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to NC A&T
- Jameel Morris 27.7 mpg, 10.5 ppg · transferred to Bethune
- Tycen McDaniels 27.3 mpg, 12.0 ppg · transferred to UT Arlington
- Davian Williams 26.4 mpg, 7.8 ppg · transferred to Prairie View
- Omari Hamilton 21.4 mpg, 7.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Ma'Kye Taylor from UAlbany · 13.3 mpg, 3.3 ppg last season
- Christian Richardson from Omaha · 12.8 mpg, 6.1 ppg last season
- Trey Thomas from S Indiana · 3.0 mpg, 1.6 ppg last season
- Jayan Walker from Indiana St · 2.4 mpg, 0.8 ppg last season
- Braylhan Thomas from Winthrop · 1.5 mpg, 0.9 ppg last season
- Jahseem Felton from Seton Hall · 1.3 mpg, 0.2 ppg last season
Returns 0% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (4 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Ole Miss
Returning minutes: 29.7%Returning production: 26.6%
Lost
- AJ Storr 26.3 mpg, 15.5 ppg · transferred to UNLV
- Malik Dia 24.3 mpg, 14.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- James Scott 17.9 mpg, 3.9 ppg · transferred to Georgia
- Travis Perry 16.5 mpg, 5.3 ppg · transferred to Dayton
- Eduardo Klafke 14.6 mpg, 4.5 ppg · transferred to Butler
- Corey Chest 12.8 mpg, 2.6 ppg · transferred to McNeese
Added
- Adam Clark from Seton Hall · 30.7 mpg, 12.7 ppg last season
- Corey Stephenson from FIU · 30.2 mpg, 17.5 ppg last season
- Dasear Haskins from Saint Joseph's · 27.7 mpg, 11.1 ppg last season
- Roman Siulepa from Pitt · 26.7 mpg, 10.0 ppg last season
- Santiago Trouet from Arizona St · 24.2 mpg, 7.6 ppg last season
- Micah Handlogten from Florida · 14.4 mpg, 4.0 ppg last season
Returns 30% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -30.5-108 | 146.5→148.5o-108 u-112 | — | — |
| FanDuel | -30.5-110 | 146.5→148.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetMGM | -30.5-110 | 146.5→148.5o-110 u-110 | — | +3300 |
| BetRivers | -31.5→-30.5-122 | 146.5→147.5o-117 u-109 | — | — |
| Caesars | -31.5→-30.5-110 | 147.5→148.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -30.5-110 | 147→148.5o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| BetOnline | -29.5→-30-115 | 145.5→148.5o-113 u-107 | — | — |
| Bovada | -29.5→-30.5-110 | 145.5→148.5o-110 u-110 | — | +3000 |
| theScore Bet | -30.5-110 | 146.5→148.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Hard Rock | -31.5→-30.5-120 | 146.5→147.5o-115 u-110 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 150.5o+113 u-127 | — | — |
| Polymarket | — | — | — | — |
| Novig | -31.5→-30.5-104 | 146.5→148.5o-106 u+100 | — | — |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Dec 29 | 2025-26 | Alcorn St 43 – 79 Ole Miss |
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.