CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceWilliams Arena at Minges Coliseum, Greenville, NC
SC Upstate
Efficiency #284
2025-26: 13-19 · 5-12 conf
@
East Carolina
Efficiency #272
2025-26: 11-20 · 6-12 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · 7:00 PM ET
70.3
win 36%
Projected
74.4
win 64%
No line posted yet.
Model: ECU −4.2 · total 144.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: East Carolina 69.1, SC Upstate 68.5 → 69.3 possessions
+2.0
East Carolina offense vs SC Upstate defense
−2.7
SC Upstate offense vs East Carolina defense
−2.9
Projected total
144.7
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
East Carolina offense vs SC Upstate defense
−2.7
SC Upstate offense vs East Carolina defense
+2.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
East Carolina by 4.2
4.2
SC Upstate side ◂▸ East Carolina side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 144.6 against a projected 144.7. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help East Carolina.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, SC Upstate is the faster team (69.3, #128 of 365) and East Carolina the slower (69.2, #135). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.3
per team, 40 min
Projected total
144.7
model
Projected team totals
70.3 / 74.4
SC Upstate / East Carolina
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.5#171
SC Upstate
69.1#110
East Carolina
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageEast Carolina
Where East Carolina struggles: shooting
East Carolina shoots an effective 46.4% (#346); SC Upstate allows 51.0% (#156). Expect about 48.3%, 3.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.2 points per 100 possessions.
ClashEast Carolina
Style match: 3-point volume
East Carolina rarely shoots threes (31.1% of its shots); SC Upstate runs teams off the line (36.1% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 30.6% — both habits push the same way.
ClashEast Carolina
Style match: ball movement
East Carolina creates off the dribble (assists on 47.3% of its baskets); SC Upstate breaks up passing offenses (assists on 44.7% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 44.1% — both habits push the same way.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (East Carolina) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect SC Upstate at about 35.9% of its shots from three, East Carolina about 30.6%.
AdvantageSC Upstate
Where SC Upstate struggles: shooting
SC Upstate shoots an effective 48.3% (#307); East Carolina allows 52.3% (#229). Expect about 50.1%, 1.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.7 points per 100 possessions.
GlassEast Carolina
East Carolina owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.0% is worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions for East Carolina's offense.
SC Upstate has the ball
OffenseEast Carolina allowsvs D1 avg
48.3% #307
52.3% #229
-1.7 pt/100
18.2% #283
16.2% #206
-0.6 pt/100
29.2% #231
32.5% #282
+0.1 pt/100
32.8% #239
32.2% #110
-0.3 pt/100
68.1% #324
—
-0.4 pt/100
SC Upstate net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.9 pts/100
East Carolina has the ball
OffenseSC Upstate allowsvs D1 avg
46.4% #346
51.0% #156
-4.2 pt/100
17.1% #212
16.4% #194
+0.1 pt/100
33.4% #79
31.4% #224
+1.6 pt/100
39.2% #75
36.0% #211
+0.3 pt/100
70.0% #274
—
-0.2 pt/100
East Carolina net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSC Upstateoffense vsEast Carolinadefense
Share of shots by zone
SC Upstate shoots
41.2
7.8
15.6
35.4
East Carolina allows
37.5
4.9
18.6
39.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.8%#303 | 58.9%#185 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.4%#136 | 44.4%#279 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.5%#202 | 39.9%#238 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.4%#308 | 34.9%#245 | 33.7% |
East Carolinaoffense vsSC Upstatedefense
Share of shots by zone
East Carolina shoots
39.5
5.2
24.9
30.4
SC Upstate allows
42.0
6.0
15.7
36.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.3%#318 | 54.7%#56 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.8%#198 | 45.5%#309 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.1%#184 | 35.7%#96 | 38.0% |
| Three | 29.3%#350 | 35.6%#289 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSC Upstate
−2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#289 of 365
Off reb %
29.2%
#231
Def reb %
68.6%
#224
Turnover %
18.2%
#283
Forced TO %
16.4%
#194
FT rate
32.8%
#239
FT allowed
36.0%
#211
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.4
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security−1.0
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.6
Foul shots allowed−0.2
East Carolina
+1.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#114 of 365
Off reb %
33.4%
#79
Def reb %
67.5%
#282
Turnover %
17.1%
#212
Forced TO %
16.2%
#206
FT rate
39.2%
#75
FT allowed
32.2%
#110
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.0
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−0.2
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed+0.8
East Carolina has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.7 (#114 of 365) to SC Upstate’s −2.6 (#289).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
SC Upstate2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted SC Upstate's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Carmelo Adkins | G | So | 6'4" | 32-15 | 29.9 | 13.5 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 47.2% | 33.0% | 5.9 | 80.7% | 28.5% | |
| 1 | Karmani Gregory | G | Jr | 6'1" | 31-30 | 30.5 | 15.6 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 49.0% | 32.8% | 5.9 | 74.6% | 31.8% | |
| 9 | Mason Bendinger | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-31 | 29.4 | 14.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 47.0% | 31.1% | 2.3 | 53.8% | 32.3% | |
| 0 | Tyler Smith | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-16 | 22.9 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 40.9% | 29.8% | 1.5 | 67.6% | 17.1% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Skinner | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-8 | 20.0 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 51.8% | 34.9% | 3.3 | 85.7% | 16.2% | |
| 11 | Learic Davis | F | Jr | 6'6" | 28-20 | 21.8 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 55.6% | 32.8% | 2.4 | 75.0% | 21.9% | |
| 12 | Jafeth Martinez | F | Jr | 6'9" | 31-20 | 18.3 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 67.6% | — | 0.0 | 65.6% | 12.6% | |
| 7 | Coen Collier | C | Jr | 7'1" | 30-9 | 14.1 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 43.1% | 22.2% | 0.3 | 37.5% | 10.3% | |
| 10 | Breylin Garcia | F | Sr | 6'6" | 21-7 | 14.8 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 60.6% | — | 0.0 | 55.6% | 25.4% | |
| 6 | Kanye Jones | G | Jr | 6'5" | 22-1 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 26.3% | 0.9 | 81.3% | 16.7% | |
| 24 | Chico Johnson | G | So | 6'2" | 10-0 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 47.7% | 42.9% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 18.4% | |
| 8 | Nic Book | F | So | 6'8" | 7-2 | 10.3 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 81.3% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 15.8% | |
| 21 | CJ Rich | G | Jr | 5'9" | 4-1 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 78.6% | 75.0% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 13.8% | |
| 5 | TJ Lewis | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
East Carolina2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Corey Caulker | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-26 | 30.7 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 41.1% | 32.5% | 4.1 | 77.5% | 19.9% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Mbeng | G | So | 6'1" | 31-7 | 23.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 42.1% | 25.5% | 3.2 | 65.4% | 17.2% | |
| 15 | Demitri Gardner | G | Sr | 6'4" | 18-14 | 27.9 | 11.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 53.2% | 42.6% | 3.4 | 86.5% | 23.6% | |
| 23 | Reid Cason | F | So | 6'10" | 31-12 | 15.2 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 56.7% | 11.1% | 0.3 | 67.5% | 15.5% | |
| 4 | Tybo Bailey | G | So | 6'2" | 20-15 | 23.4 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 39.1% | 27.8% | 4.0 | 72.4% | 21.9% | |
| 33 | Eli DeLaurier | F | So | 6'10" | 23-10 | 15.9 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 44.2% | 13.3% | 1.3 | 90.5% | 22.1% | |
| 43 | Luke Davis | F | Sr | 6'8" | 26-7 | 11.3 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 16.7% | 0.2 | 78.9% | 14.6% | |
| 10 | Paddy D'Arcy | G | Fr | 6'6" | 21-0 | 7.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 20.7% | 1.4 | 100.0% | 13.2% | |
| 11 | Vito Perkovic | F | Fr | 6'10" | 19-1 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 38.8% | 26.1% | 1.2 | 100.0% | 23.6% | |
| 0 | Jayshayne Woodard | G | Sr | 6'7" | 4-2 | 15.3 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 55.6% | 21.9% | |
| 6 | Ladontae Felton | G | Fr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 18.4% | |
| 3 | Daithi Quinn | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Grant Smith | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Jake Baker | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Trevion LaBeaux | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
SC Upstate2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted SC Upstate's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Carmelo Adkins | G | So | 6'4" | 32-15 | 29.9 | 13.5 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 47.2% | 33.0% | 5.9 | 80.7% | 28.5% | |
| 1 | Karmani Gregory | G | Jr | 6'1" | 31-30 | 30.5 | 15.6 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 49.0% | 32.8% | 5.9 | 74.6% | 31.8% | |
| 9 | Mason Bendinger | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-31 | 29.4 | 14.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 47.0% | 31.1% | 2.3 | 53.8% | 32.3% | |
| 0 | Tyler Smith | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-16 | 22.9 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 40.9% | 29.8% | 1.5 | 67.6% | 17.1% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Skinner | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-8 | 20.0 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 51.8% | 34.9% | 3.3 | 85.7% | 16.2% | |
| 11 | Learic Davis | F | Jr | 6'6" | 28-20 | 21.8 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 55.6% | 32.8% | 2.4 | 75.0% | 21.9% | |
| 12 | Jafeth Martinez | F | Jr | 6'9" | 31-20 | 18.3 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 67.6% | — | 0.0 | 65.6% | 12.6% | |
| 7 | Coen Collier | C | Jr | 7'1" | 30-9 | 14.1 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 43.1% | 22.2% | 0.3 | 37.5% | 10.3% | |
| 10 | Breylin Garcia | F | Sr | 6'6" | 21-7 | 14.8 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 60.6% | — | 0.0 | 55.6% | 25.4% | |
| 6 | Kanye Jones | G | Jr | 6'5" | 22-1 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 26.3% | 0.9 | 81.3% | 16.7% | |
| 24 | Chico Johnson | G | So | 6'2" | 10-0 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 47.7% | 42.9% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 18.4% | |
| 8 | Nic Book | F | So | 6'8" | 7-2 | 10.3 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 81.3% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 15.8% | |
| 21 | CJ Rich | G | Jr | 5'9" | 4-1 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 78.6% | 75.0% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 13.8% | |
| 5 | TJ Lewis | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26SC Upstate
Against the spread
Season
13-16
Home
6-6
Road
7-9
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.8
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 4 of 8 as an underdogCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
13-15-1
Home
6-5-1
Road
7-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −2.4
Under 3 straightOver in 5 of 8 as an underdogOver in 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4 | Gardner-Webb | N | L 64–65 | −11.0 | L−12.0 | 144.0 | U129 | 99.1 | 100.7 | 64.6 |
| Feb 28 | Gardner-Webb | H | W 71–61 | −13.5 | L−3.5 | 146.5 | U132 | 101.0 | 86.8 | 70.3 |
| Feb 26 | Radford | A | L 59–71 | +8.0 | L−4.0 | 153.0 | U130 | 87.6 | 105.4 | 67.4 |
| Feb 21 | Presbyterian | H | W 76–74 | +1.0 | W+3.0 | 141.5 | O150 | 118.0 | 114.9 | 64.4 |
| Feb 19 | Winthrop | A | L 64–68 | +13.0 | W+9.0 | 155.0 | U132 | 95.3 | 101.2 | 67.2 |
| Feb 14 | Longwood | A | L 75–82 OT | +6.0 | L−1.0 | 146.5 | O157 | 89.6 | 98.0 | 83.7 |
| Feb 12 | High Point | H | L 70–95 | +14.0 | L−11.0 | 154.5 | O165 | 93.3 | 126.6 | 75.1 |
| Feb 7 | Charleston So | H | W 100–94 OT | +1.0 | W+7.0 | 151.5 | O194 | 129.9 | 122.1 | 77.0 |
| Feb 4 | UNC Asheville | A | L 67–76 | +6.5 | L−2.5 | 140.5 | O143 | 99.2 | 112.5 | 67.6 |
| Jan 29 | Longwood | H | W 65–60 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 147.5 | U125 | 92.3 | 85.2 | 70.4 |
East Carolina
Against the spread
Season
13-17
Home
6-10
Road
6-6
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +2.5
Covered the last gameCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-14
Home
10-6
Road
5-7
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +8.0
Over 2 straightOver in 5 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | UAB | A | L 83–90 | +10.0 | W+3.0 | 150.5 | O173 | 108.9 | 118.1 | 76.2 |
| Mar 5 | Tulsa | H | L 66–93 | +8.5 | L−18.5 | 156.0 | O159 | 99.0 | 139.5 | 66.7 |
| Mar 1 | Memphis | H | W 84–68 | +4.0 | W+20.0 | 153.5 | U152 | 114.3 | 92.5 | 73.5 |
| Feb 25 | UTSA | A | W 82–81 | −4.5 | L−3.5 | 153.5 | O163 | 121.4 | 119.9 | 67.5 |
| Feb 21 | Charlotte | A | L 56–68 | +4.5 | L−7.5 | 146.0 | U124 | 85.8 | 104.2 | 65.3 |
| Feb 18 | Wichita St | H | L 89–92 2OT | +8.0 | W+5.0 | 149.5 | O181 | 101.0 | 104.4 | 88.1 |
| Feb 14 | Rice | A | W 85–75 | +4.5 | W+14.5 | 145.5 | O160 | 127.9 | 112.8 | 66.5 |
| Feb 11 | UTSA | H | W 88–72 | −10.5 | W+5.5 | 149.5 | O160 | 123.9 | 101.3 | 71.0 |
| Feb 7 | Temple | H | L 73–81 | +2.5 | L−5.5 | 139.5 | O154 | 114.7 | 127.2 | 63.7 |
| Feb 1 | FAU | A | W 76–75 | +10.5 | W+11.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 113.3 | 111.8 | 67.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSC UpstateEast Carolina
Efficiency
102.8
104.1
109.0
110.0
68.5
69.1
—
—
Shooting
48.3%
46.4%
48.9%
47.5%
31.4%
29.3%
68.1%
70.0%
32.8%
39.2%
Ball control & glass
18.2%
17.1%
16.4%
16.2%
29.2%
33.4%
31.4%
32.5%
10.6%
9.8%
11.0%
8.1%
Style
35.6%
31.1%
46.2%
43.4%
14.5%
12.0%
46.0%
47.3%
35.4%
27.1%
Roster
2.98
2.58
6'4.5"
6'4.1"
—
65.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSC Upstate
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted SC Upstate's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
East Carolina
Returning minutes: 65.8%Returning production: 50.3%
Lost
- Jordan Riley 36.6 mpg, 22.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Giovanni Emejuru 32.7 mpg, 12.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Daithi Quinn no D1 minutes last season
- Jake Baker no D1 minutes last season
- Grant Smith no D1 minutes last season
- Trevion LaBeaux no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 66% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.