CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteRock Hill Sports & Event Center, Rock Hill, SCField of 68 Opening Day Marathon
UAB
Efficiency #111
2025-26: 20-12 · 11-8 conf
vs
McNeese
Efficiency #49
2025-26: 28-6 · 21-3 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · 5:00 PM ET
71.4
win 34%
Projected
76.1
win 66%
No line posted yet.
Model: MCN −4.7 · total 147.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: McNeese 67.4, UAB 69.6 → 68.7 possessions
+0.9
McNeese offense vs UAB defense
+1.5
UAB offense vs McNeese defense
−3.1
Projected total
147.5
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
McNeese offense vs UAB defense
+1.5
UAB offense vs McNeese defense
+3.1
McNeese by 4.7
4.7
UAB side ◂▸ McNeese side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +4.6 against +4.7. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help McNeese.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, UAB is the faster team (70.4, #78 of 365) and McNeese the slower (66.4, #282). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
147.5
model
Projected team totals
71.4 / 76.1
UAB / McNeese
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.6#77
UAB
67.4#255
McNeese
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetDefenseMcNeese
McNeese's shot-blocking
McNeese ranks #4 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 14.0% of UAB's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageUAB
Where UAB struggles: shooting
UAB shoots an effective 48.4% (#305); McNeese allows 49.3% (#76). Expect about 48.6%, 2.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.9 points per 100 possessions.
ClashUAB
Strength vs strength: live-ball turnovers
UAB (#44 in live-ball turnovers) against McNeese (#1 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 12.7%. Historically McNeese's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.40 vs 0.65).
ClashUAB
Strength vs strength: turnover rate
UAB (#2 in turnover rate) against McNeese (#1 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 19.3%. Historically McNeese's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.57 vs 0.64).
AdvantageMcNeese
Where McNeese scores: ball control
McNeese turns it over on 14.2% of possessions (#28); UAB forces turnovers on 16.1% of opponent possessions (#215). Expect about 14.9%, 1.9 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions.
GlassUAB
UAB owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.1% is worth roughly +2.2 points per 100 possessions for UAB's offense.
UAB has the ball
OffenseMcNeese allowsvs D1 avg
48.4% #305
49.3% #76
-3.9 pt/100
12.5% #2
24.5% #1
-3.1 pt/100
32.5% #104
34.9% #338
+2.2 pt/100
36.4% #141
42.1% #323
+0.6 pt/100
70.6% #251
—
-0.2 pt/100
UAB net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.2 pts/100
McNeese has the ball
OffenseUAB allowsvs D1 avg
50.7% #202
50.0% #98
-1.4 pt/100
14.2% #28
16.1% #215
+2.3 pt/100
35.1% #46
27.7% #53
+1.2 pt/100
37.4% #114
28.7% #38
-0.3 pt/100
74.4% #109
—
+0.2 pt/100
McNeese net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.9 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersUABoffense vsMcNeesedefense
Share of shots by zone
UAB shoots
45.0
7.3
17.6
30.1
McNeese allows
35.6
3.8
14.6
46.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.8%#101 | 54.1%#42 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 30.3%#347 | 40.0%#191 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.2%#282 | 36.0%#109 | 38.0% |
| Three | 27.8%#364 | 32.7%#102 | 33.7% |
McNeeseoffense vsUABdefense
Share of shots by zone
McNeese shoots
44.9
3.8
15.8
35.4
UAB allows
37.4
7.5
16.3
38.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.3%#219 | 58.6%#171 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.1%#103 | 37.9%#133 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.3%#103 | 35.5%#92 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.7%#290 | 32.6%#95 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersUAB
+6.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#11 of 365
Off reb %
32.5%
#104
Def reb %
72.3%
#53
Turnover %
12.5%
#2
Forced TO %
16.1%
#215
FT rate
36.4%
#141
FT allowed
28.7%
#38
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding+1.0
Ball security+2.9
Forcing turnovers−0.4
Foul shots drawn+0.4
Foul shots allowed+1.7
McNeese
+6.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#12 of 365
Off reb %
35.1%
#46
Def reb %
65.1%
#338
Turnover %
14.2%
#28
Forced TO %
24.5%
#1
FT rate
37.4%
#114
FT allowed
42.1%
#323
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.5
Defensive rebounding−1.4
Ball security+1.8
Forcing turnovers+5.3
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed−1.7
UAB has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.2 (#11 of 365) to McNeese’s +6.1 (#12).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
UAB2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UAB's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chance Westry | G | So | 6'6" | 32-27 | 30.5 | 15.5 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 51.7% | 24.1% | 2.7 | 70.8% | 29.1% | |
| 23 | Daniel Rivera | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-31 | 29.3 | 12.0 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 54.9% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 58.1% | 23.2% | |
| 15 | Evan Chatman | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-29 | 28.9 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 48.4% | 27.5% | 2.5 | 68.6% | 17.5% | |
| 12 | Jacob Meyer | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-25 | 28.5 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 45.9% | 31.4% | 3.6 | 80.3% | 27.0% | |
| 2 | KyeRon Lindsay-Martin | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-4 | 22.6 | 10.8 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 53.8% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 75.9% | 25.5% | |
| 5 | Salim London | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-12 | 19.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 41.0% | 29.5% | 1.9 | 84.4% | 17.0% | |
| 4 | Ahmad Robinson | G | Sr | 5'10" | 26-18 | 24.1 | 9.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 45.1% | 33.3% | 3.9 | 71.2% | 25.4% | |
| 0 | Dayjaun Anderson | G | So | 6'2" | 30-11 | 16.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 42.9% | 24.1% | 4.4 | 52.9% | 23.5% | |
| 8 | Quaran McPherson | G | Jr | 6'4" | 27-3 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 51.2% | 30.0% | 1.5 | 77.5% | 24.8% | |
| 7 | Ari Gooch | G | So | 6'2" | 17-0 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 37.5% | 15.4% | 0.8 | 68.4% | 18.4% | |
| 6 | Lance Carr | F | Fr | 6'7" | 7-0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.2% | |
| 3 | Joao Das Chagas | C | Jr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.0% | |
| 9 | Joey Kahn | G | Sr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 23.4% | |
| 21 | Jorden Pittman | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Justin Holloway | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
McNeese2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Javohn Garcia | G | Sr | 6'3" | 30-30 | 29.7 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 53.3% | 37.4% | 3.6 | 76.7% | 22.5% | |
| 8 | Tyshawn Archie | G | Jr | 6'1" | 34-24 | 25.6 | 14.3 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 51.2% | 36.9% | 5.2 | 90.0% | 34.2% | |
| 6 | Larry Johnson | G | Fr | 6'4" | 34-26 | 25.4 | 17.4 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 52.1% | 23.8% | 3.1 | 77.7% | 38.6% | |
| 2 | DJ Richards Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-9 | 22.0 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 51.4% | 35.9% | 5.0 | 78.5% | 22.2% | |
| 7 | Jerrell Colbert | F | Sr | 6'10" | 34-24 | 19.8 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 55.6% | 20.0% | 0.1 | 56.0% | 18.4% | |
| 10 | Jacolb Fredson-Cole | F | So | 6'7" | 34-15 | 18.7 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 42.0% | 13.5% | 1.1 | 77.4% | 20.0% | |
| 23 | Carl Cherenfant | G | Jr | 6'5" | 33-15 | 16.3 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 50.5% | 21.4% | 0.8 | 73.5% | 16.4% | |
| 15 | Peitok Machar | F | So | 6'10" | 34-6 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 70.3% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 57.7% | 13.5% | |
| 13 | Yanis Ndjonga | F | Jr | 6'8" | 27-4 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 65.9% | 33.3% | 0.2 | 83.3% | 11.7% | |
| 9 | JJ Rembert | G | Fr | 5'10" | 8-0 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 100.0% | 18.0% | |
| 27 | Abdou Akim Mazou Tahirou | F | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Erik Villarreal | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Kaleb Brewer | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | T'Johnn Brown | G | Jr | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UAB2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UAB's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chance Westry | G | So | 6'6" | 32-27 | 30.5 | 15.5 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 51.7% | 24.1% | 2.7 | 70.8% | 29.1% | |
| 23 | Daniel Rivera | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-31 | 29.3 | 12.0 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 54.9% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 58.1% | 23.2% | |
| 15 | Evan Chatman | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-29 | 28.9 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 48.4% | 27.5% | 2.5 | 68.6% | 17.5% | |
| 12 | Jacob Meyer | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-25 | 28.5 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 45.9% | 31.4% | 3.6 | 80.3% | 27.0% | |
| 2 | KyeRon Lindsay-Martin | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-4 | 22.6 | 10.8 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 53.8% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 75.9% | 25.5% | |
| 5 | Salim London | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-12 | 19.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 41.0% | 29.5% | 1.9 | 84.4% | 17.0% | |
| 4 | Ahmad Robinson | G | Sr | 5'10" | 26-18 | 24.1 | 9.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 45.1% | 33.3% | 3.9 | 71.2% | 25.4% | |
| 0 | Dayjaun Anderson | G | So | 6'2" | 30-11 | 16.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 42.9% | 24.1% | 4.4 | 52.9% | 23.5% | |
| 8 | Quaran McPherson | G | Jr | 6'4" | 27-3 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 51.2% | 30.0% | 1.5 | 77.5% | 24.8% | |
| 7 | Ari Gooch | G | So | 6'2" | 17-0 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 37.5% | 15.4% | 0.8 | 68.4% | 18.4% | |
| 6 | Lance Carr | F | Fr | 6'7" | 7-0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.2% | |
| 3 | Joao Das Chagas | C | Jr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.0% | |
| 9 | Joey Kahn | G | Sr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 23.4% | |
| 21 | Jorden Pittman | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Justin Holloway | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26UAB
Against the spread
Season
15-16
Home
5-11
Road
8-4
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.2
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 1 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
13-18
Home
7-9
Road
5-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −6.2
Over 3 straightOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Charlotte | N | L 78–83 | −5.5 | L−10.5 | 148.0 | O161 | 117.2 | 124.7 | 66.6 |
| Mar 8 | East Carolina | H | W 90–83 | −10.0 | L−3.0 | 150.5 | O173 | 118.1 | 108.9 | 76.2 |
| Mar 4 | Charlotte | A | W 80–74 | −2.0 | W+4.0 | 148.0 | O154 | 125.4 | 116.0 | 63.8 |
| Mar 1 | North Texas | H | L 58–62 | −5.0 | L−9.0 | 141.5 | U120 | 90.4 | 96.7 | 64.1 |
| Feb 22 | Memphis | A | W 78–67 | +6.0 | W+17.0 | 152.0 | U145 | 108.7 | 93.4 | 71.8 |
| Feb 18 | Temple | A | W 76–71 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 143.5 | O147 | 115.1 | 107.5 | 66.0 |
| Feb 15 | Tulane | H | L 54–55 | −7.0 | L−8.0 | 152.5 | U109 | 86.1 | 87.7 | 62.7 |
| Feb 11 | Tulsa | A | W 68–63 | +10.5 | W+15.5 | 161.0 | U131 | 101.9 | 94.4 | 66.7 |
| Feb 8 | Rice | H | W 71–65 | −9.5 | L−3.5 | 154.5 | U136 | 107.0 | 97.9 | 66.4 |
| Feb 5 | Memphis | H | L 80–90 | −1.5 | L−11.5 | 156.0 | O170 | 100.3 | 112.8 | 79.8 |
McNeese
Against the spread
Season
13-17-2
Home
6-6
Road
2-10-2
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover +1.2
Covered 2 straightCovered 3 of 9 as a favorite, 1 pushCovered 3 of 8 with a line of 10+, 1 push
Over / under
Season
15-17
Home
6-6
Road
6-8
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −0.9
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 9 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 8 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #5Vanderbilt | N | L 68–78 | +12.0 | W+2.0 | 148.0 | U146 | 106.4 | 122.1 | 63.9 |
| Mar 11 | SF Austin | N | W 76–59 | −3.5 | W+13.5 | 134.5 | O135 | 119.0 | 92.4 | 63.9 |
| Mar 10 | UT Rio Grande | N | W 84–80 3OT | −7.0 | L−3.0 | 141.0 | O164 | 98.4 | 93.8 | 85.3 |
| Mar 2 | Nicholls | A | W 75–65 | −10.0 | P0.0 | 145.0 | U140 | 111.5 | 96.6 | 67.3 |
| Feb 28 | LSU N Orleans | A | W 66–63 | −10.0 | L−7.0 | 150.5 | U129 | 102.1 | 97.5 | 64.6 |
| Feb 23 | UT Rio Grande | H | W 75–68 | −12.0 | L−5.0 | 146.0 | U143 | 108.8 | 98.7 | 68.9 |
| Feb 21 | Texas A&M-CC | H | W 70–54 | −14.0 | W+2.0 | 140.5 | U124 | 106.7 | 82.3 | 65.6 |
| Feb 16 | N'Western St | A | W 75–64 | −14.0 | L−3.0 | 137.5 | O139 | 118.2 | 100.9 | 63.5 |
| Feb 14 | East Texas A&M | A | W 97–54 | −13.5 | W+29.5 | 142.5 | O151 | 142.4 | 79.3 | 68.1 |
| Feb 9 | Hou Christian | H | W 73–69 | −20.5 | L−16.5 | 137.0 | O142 | 108.1 | 102.1 | 67.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeUABMcNeese
Efficiency
109.0
113.0
106.2
103.4
69.6
67.4
—
—
Shooting
48.4%
50.7%
51.3%
52.3%
27.8%
31.7%
70.6%
74.4%
36.4%
37.4%
Ball control & glass
12.5%
14.2%
16.1%
24.5%
32.5%
35.1%
27.7%
34.9%
8.1%
6.7%
9.7%
6.7%
Style
30.5%
35.2%
50.7%
46.2%
19.6%
19.1%
50.3%
49.0%
29.9%
40.0%
Roster
2.89
2.91
6'4.7"
6'5.1"
—
86.9%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputUAB
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted UAB's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
McNeese
Returning minutes: 86.9%Returning production: 86.3%
Lost
- Garwey Dual 26.6 mpg, 8.4 ppg · transferred to Syracuse
Added
- Kaleb Brewer no D1 minutes last season
- T'Johnn Brown no D1 minutes last season
- Erik Villarreal no D1 minutes last season
- Abdou Akim Mazou Tahirou no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 87% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.