CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceJon M. Huntsman Center, Salt Lake City, UT
Long Beach St
Efficiency #267
2025-26: 10-22 · 6-14 conf
@
Utah
Efficiency #177
2025-26: 10-22 · 2-17 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · 9:00 PM ET
71.5
win 26%
Projected
79.0
win 74%
No line posted yet.
Model: UTAH −7.5 · total 150.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Utah 67.6, Long Beach St 69.1 → 68.4 possessions
+0.1
Utah offense vs Long Beach St defense
+2.9
Long Beach St offense vs Utah defense
−0.7
Projected total
150.5
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Utah offense vs Long Beach St defense
+2.9
Long Beach St offense vs Utah defense
+0.7
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Utah by 7.5
7.5
Long Beach St side ◂▸ Utah side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Utah.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Long Beach St is the faster team (70.8, #60 of 365) and Utah the slower (68.0, #198). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
150.5
model
Projected team totals
71.5 / 79.0
Long Beach St / Utah
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.1#118
Long Beach St
67.6#243
Utah
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageUtah
Where Utah scores: shooting
Utah shoots an effective 52.0% (#142); Long Beach St allows 53.7% (#290). Expect about 52.9%, 1.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.4 points per 100 possessions.
ClashLong Beach St
Style match: 3-point volume
Long Beach St rarely shoots threes (34.8% of its shots); Utah runs teams off the line (33.8% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 32.0% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageLong Beach St
Where Long Beach St scores: ball control
Long Beach St turns it over on 18.0% of possessions (#270); Utah forces turnovers on 13.3% of opponent possessions (#348). Expect about 15.3%, 1.5 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.9 points per 100 possessions.
Long Beach St has the ball
OffenseUtah allowsvs D1 avg
50.6% #207
53.9% #298
+1.4 pt/100
18.0% #270
13.3% #348
+1.9 pt/100
26.2% #315
31.6% #233
-1.4 pt/100
30.7% #287
29.9% #57
-0.6 pt/100
72.5% #185
—
+0.0 pt/100
Long Beach St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.2 pts/100
Utah has the ball
OffenseLong Beach St allowsvs D1 avg
52.0% #142
53.7% #290
+2.4 pt/100
16.7% #179
17.5% #120
-0.6 pt/100
29.3% #224
27.8% #60
-1.2 pt/100
31.7% #262
42.3% #327
+0.3 pt/100
73.8% #143
—
+0.1 pt/100
Utah net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.0 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersLong Beach Stoffense vsUtahdefense
Share of shots by zone
Long Beach St shoots
33.1
8.7
23.2
35.1
Utah allows
42.3
7.7
16.7
33.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.6%#27 | 60.1%#233 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.7%#201 | 53.3%#361 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.4%#209 | 40.3%#254 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.7%#245 | 35.1%#254 | 33.7% |
Utahoffense vsLong Beach Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Utah shoots
39.2
6.9
16.0
37.9
Long Beach St allows
42.3
6.9
15.6
35.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.1%#230 | 63.4%#334 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.6%#231 | 40.0%#191 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.7%#88 | 39.7%#230 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.3%#97 | 34.4%#212 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersLong Beach St
−3.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#318 of 365
Off reb %
26.2%
#315
Def reb %
72.2%
#60
Turnover %
18.0%
#270
Forced TO %
17.5%
#120
FT rate
30.7%
#287
FT allowed
42.3%
#327
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.3
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers+0.6
Foul shots drawn−1.1
Foul shots allowed−1.8
Utah
−2.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#283 of 365
Off reb %
29.3%
#224
Def reb %
68.4%
#233
Turnover %
16.7%
#179
Forced TO %
13.3%
#348
FT rate
31.7%
#262
FT allowed
29.9%
#57
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.3
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers−2.3
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed+1.4
Utah has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.4 (#283 of 365) to Long Beach St’s −3.6 (#318).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Long Beach St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Petar Majstorovic | F | So | 6'8" | 32-32 | 31.1 | 14.4 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 56.7% | 28.6% | 3.1 | 77.5% | 25.7% | |
| 11 | Gavin Sykes | G | Fr | 6'4" | 28-26 | 32.9 | 19.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 55.6% | 38.7% | 6.0 | 79.5% | 29.9% | |
| 12 | Isaiah Lewis | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-13 | 22.1 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 42.2% | 31.8% | 2.1 | 76.9% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Rob Diaz III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-14 | 21.9 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 32.9% | 2.2 | 80.7% | 21.8% | |
| 2 | Shaquil Bender | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-9 | 21.8 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 49.5% | 36.6% | 4.3 | 75.0% | 31.8% | |
| 4 | Leopold Levillain | F | Fr | 6'9" | 30-24 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 57.0% | — | 0.0 | 61.9% | 16.0% | |
| 33 | Shay Johnson Jr. | F | Sr | 6'10" | 31-8 | 16.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 70.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 41.7% | 8.4% | |
| 3 | Dallas Washington | F | Fr | 6'10" | 23-1 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 36.6% | 18.2% | 1.4 | 44.4% | 21.9% | |
| 24 | Christian Jones | G | So | 6'4" | 18-1 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 55.0% | 35.5% | 1.7 | 77.8% | 18.8% | |
| 1 | Derrick Michael Xzavierro | F | Jr | 6'10" | 18-0 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 70.0% | 19.9% | |
| 15 | JJ Chaikovsky | F | So | 6'7" | 19-0 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | — | 7.5% | |
| 14 | Immanuel Lewis | G | Sr | 6'3" | 1-0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 22.1% | |
| 8 | Grant Gondrezick II | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Jayden Alexander | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Utah2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Don McHenry | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 30.8 | 17.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 53.7% | 38.8% | 6.3 | 83.5% | 29.9% | |
| 8 | Keanu Dawes | F | Jr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 30.7 | 12.5 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 60.5% | 31.7% | 3.2 | 72.4% | 22.4% | |
| 0 | Seydou Traore | F | Jr | 6'6" | 31-31 | 28.7 | 9.0 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 47.0% | 33.3% | 4.2 | 72.7% | 22.3% | |
| 32 | James Okonkwo | F | Sr | 6'8" | 29-22 | 21.7 | 2.9 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 51.6% | — | 0.0 | 63.3% | 9.4% | |
| 21 | Obomate Abbey | G | Fr | 6'0" | 31-0 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 32.6% | 19.5% | 1.3 | 81.0% | 16.8% | |
| 7 | Josh Hayes | F | Jr | 6'9" | 32-10 | 13.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 63.8% | — | 0.0 | 60.7% | 11.7% | |
| 6 | Jacob Patrick | G | Jr | 6'6" | 10-1 | 20.3 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 66.0% | 46.5% | 4.3 | 50.0% | 16.2% | |
| 11 | Lucas Langarita | G | Fr | 6'5" | 5-0 | 12.4 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 59.1% | 42.9% | 1.4 | — | 20.2% | |
| 31 | Ibrahima Traore | F | Fr | 6'9" | 9-0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | — | 11.3% | |
| 9 | Jerry Huang | G | So | 6'2" | 7-0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 6.4% | |
| 15 | Alvin Jackson III | G | So | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Babacar Faye | F | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 34 | Colin McHaney | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Long Beach St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Petar Majstorovic | F | So | 6'8" | 32-32 | 31.1 | 14.4 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 56.7% | 28.6% | 3.1 | 77.5% | 25.7% | |
| 11 | Gavin Sykes | G | Fr | 6'4" | 28-26 | 32.9 | 19.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 55.6% | 38.7% | 6.0 | 79.5% | 29.9% | |
| 12 | Isaiah Lewis | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-13 | 22.1 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 42.2% | 31.8% | 2.1 | 76.9% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Rob Diaz III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-14 | 21.9 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 32.9% | 2.2 | 80.7% | 21.8% | |
| 2 | Shaquil Bender | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-9 | 21.8 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 49.5% | 36.6% | 4.3 | 75.0% | 31.8% | |
| 4 | Leopold Levillain | F | Fr | 6'9" | 30-24 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 57.0% | — | 0.0 | 61.9% | 16.0% | |
| 33 | Shay Johnson Jr. | F | Sr | 6'10" | 31-8 | 16.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 70.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 41.7% | 8.4% | |
| 3 | Dallas Washington | F | Fr | 6'10" | 23-1 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 36.6% | 18.2% | 1.4 | 44.4% | 21.9% | |
| 24 | Christian Jones | G | So | 6'4" | 18-1 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 55.0% | 35.5% | 1.7 | 77.8% | 18.8% | |
| 1 | Derrick Michael Xzavierro | F | Jr | 6'10" | 18-0 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 70.0% | 19.9% | |
| 15 | JJ Chaikovsky | F | So | 6'7" | 19-0 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | — | 7.5% | |
| 14 | Immanuel Lewis | G | Sr | 6'3" | 1-0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 22.1% | |
| 8 | Grant Gondrezick II | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Jayden Alexander | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Long Beach St
Against the spread
Season
15-14-1
Home
8-6
Road
7-8-1
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.1
Covered the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
19-10-1
Home
9-4-1
Road
10-6
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +5.8
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Hawai'i | A | W 84–75 | +14.0 | W+23.0 | 150.0 | O159 | 109.6 | 97.9 | 76.6 |
| Mar 5 | UC Davis | H | L 70–76 OT | +2.0 | L−4.0 | 150.0 | U146 | 88.2 | 95.7 | 79.4 |
| Feb 28 | Bakersfield | A | W 88–87 | −3.0 | L−2.0 | 153.5 | O175 | 118.6 | 117.3 | 74.2 |
| Feb 26 | Cal Poly | A | L 92–102 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 161.5 | O194 | 114.6 | 127.1 | 80.3 |
| Feb 21 | CSU Northridge | H | L 76–78 | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 157.5 | U154 | 105.9 | 108.7 | 71.8 |
| Feb 19 | UC Irvine | H | L 58–69 | +5.0 | L−6.0 | 143.0 | U127 | 78.7 | 93.6 | 73.7 |
| Feb 14 | UC Davis | A | L 54–71 | +5.0 | L−12.0 | 149.5 | U125 | 76.6 | 100.8 | 70.5 |
| Feb 12 | Fullerton | H | L 82–86 | −1.5 | L−5.5 | 156.5 | O168 | 110.5 | 115.9 | 74.2 |
| Feb 5 | UC San Diego | A | L 74–77 | +10.5 | W+7.5 | 146.5 | O151 | 99.1 | 103.2 | 74.6 |
| Jan 31 | Hawai'i | H | L 82–89 | +8.0 | W+1.0 | 144.5 | O171 | 113.7 | 123.4 | 72.1 |
Utah
Against the spread
Season
14-16-2
Home
4-11-2
Road
8-3
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +0.1
Covered the last gameCovered 5 of 9 as an underdogCovered 5 of 7 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
18-14
Home
12-5
Road
3-8
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −5.3
Over 3 straightOver in 3 of 9 as an underdogOver in 2 of 7 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10 | Cincinnati | N | L 66–73 | +12.0 | W+5.0 | 137.5 | O139 | 100.6 | 111.3 | 65.6 |
| Mar 7 | Baylor | A | L 75–101 | +12.0 | L−14.0 | 148.5 | O176 | 118.7 | 159.9 | 63.2 |
| Mar 3 | Colorado | H | L 78–92 | +1.0 | L−13.0 | 148.5 | O170 | 122.0 | 143.9 | 63.9 |
| Feb 28 | Arizona St | A | L 60–73 | +7.0 | L−6.0 | 150.5 | U133 | 102.6 | 124.8 | 58.5 |
| Feb 24 | #4Iowa State | H | L 59–75 | +14.0 | L−2.0 | 144.5 | U134 | 86.7 | 110.2 | 68.1 |
| Feb 21 | UCF | H | L 71–73 | −1.0 | L−3.0 | 153.0 | U144 | 114.0 | 117.2 | 62.3 |
| Feb 18 | West Virginia | A | W 61–56 | +10.5 | W+15.5 | 134.0 | U117 | 99.9 | 91.7 | 61.0 |
| Feb 15 | Cincinnati | A | L 65–69 | +12.5 | W+8.5 | 139.0 | U134 | 101.9 | 108.2 | 63.8 |
| Feb 10 | #3Houston | H | L 52–66 | +17.0 | W+3.0 | 142.5 | U118 | 88.6 | 112.4 | 58.7 |
| Feb 7 | #11Kansas | A | L 59–71 | +18.5 | W+6.5 | 150.5 | U130 | 87.9 | 105.8 | 67.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeLong Beach StUtah
Efficiency
105.0
110.8
110.3
111.0
69.1
67.6
—
—
Shooting
50.6%
52.0%
51.5%
51.5%
32.7%
35.3%
72.5%
73.8%
30.7%
31.7%
Ball control & glass
18.0%
16.7%
17.5%
13.3%
26.2%
29.3%
27.8%
31.6%
9.5%
8.7%
7.2%
12.0%
Style
34.8%
37.5%
44.4%
43.5%
11.7%
12.9%
46.2%
51.7%
35.9%
29.6%
Roster
2.37
3.09
6'5.6"
6'5.7"
89.8%
73.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputLong Beach St
Returning minutes: 89.8%Returning production: 93.5%
Lost
- Cole Farrell 20.7 mpg, 6.4 ppg · transferred to Niagara
Added
- Jayden Alexander no D1 minutes last season
- Grant Gondrezick II no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 90% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Utah
Returning minutes: 73.6%Returning production: 70.8%
Lost
- Terrence Brown 31.5 mpg, 19.9 ppg · transferred to North Carolina
- Kendyl Sanders 20.1 mpg, 5.2 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
- Jahki Howard 1.3 mpg, 0.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Elijah Moore 0.2 mpg, 0.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Colin McHaney no D1 minutes last season
- Alvin Jackson III no D1 minutes last season
- Babacar Faye no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 74% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.