CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceJack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center, Statesboro, GA
Ball State
Efficiency #295
2025-26: 12-19 · 7-11 conf
@
GA Southern
Efficiency #231
2025-26: 21-16 · 13-11 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · 7:00 PM ET
69.7
win 29%
Projected
76.3
win 71%
No line posted yet.
Model: GASO −6.6 · total 146.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: GA Southern 70.1, Ball State 65.9 → 67.7 possessions
−1.3
GA Southern offense vs Ball State defense
+0.9
Ball State offense vs GA Southern defense
−1.8
Projected total
146.0
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
GA Southern offense vs Ball State defense
+0.9
Ball State offense vs GA Southern defense
+1.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
GA Southern by 6.6
6.6
Ball State side ◂▸ GA Southern side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help GA Southern.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, GA Southern is the faster team (71.0, #50 of 365) and Ball State the slower (65.3, #321). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
146.0
model
Projected team totals
69.7 / 76.3
Ball State / GA Southern
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
65.9#344
Ball State
70.1#40
GA Southern
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Tempo tug-of-war
GA Southern averages 71.0 possessions per 40, Ball State 65.3. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 68 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageBall State
Where Ball State struggles: shooting
Ball State shoots an effective 47.0% (#336); GA Southern allows 52.3% (#230). Expect about 49.4%, 1.9 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.7 points per 100 possessions.
ClashBall State
Strength vs strength: live-ball turnovers
Ball State (#40 in live-ball turnovers) against GA Southern (#51 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 10.1%. Historically GA Southern's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.40 vs 0.65).
Ball State has the ball
OffenseGA Southern allowsvs D1 avg
47.0% #336
52.3% #230
-2.7 pt/100
16.2% #152
18.7% #61
-1.2 pt/100
27.1% #290
35.2% #342
+0.0 pt/100
31.6% #263
41.4% #316
+0.3 pt/100
71.0% #240
—
-0.1 pt/100
Ball State net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.7 pts/100
GA Southern has the ball
OffenseBall State allowsvs D1 avg
51.4% #176
52.7% #253
+1.1 pt/100
14.6% #48
18.7% #63
-0.0 pt/100
28.8% #238
31.0% #204
-0.5 pt/100
39.6% #62
32.1% #106
+0.1 pt/100
74.3% #111
—
+0.2 pt/100
GA Southern net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersBall Stateoffense vsGA Southerndefense
Share of shots by zone
Ball State shoots
42.3
5.0
14.3
38.4
GA Southern allows
42.5
4.5
13.9
39.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 52.7%#344 | 59.2%#201 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.2%#218 | 39.3%#167 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 30.6%#350 | 35.9%#103 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.4%#312 | 34.3%#208 | 33.7% |
GA Southernoffense vsBall Statedefense
Share of shots by zone
GA Southern shoots
37.8
4.8
8.2
49.3
Ball State allows
36.4
7.1
15.8
40.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.2%#264 | 61.4%#280 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.7%#54 | 42.3%#235 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.4%#100 | 37.9%#158 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.4%#207 | 34.8%#239 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersBall State
+0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#162 of 365
Off reb %
27.1%
#290
Def reb %
69.0%
#204
Turnover %
16.2%
#152
Forced TO %
18.7%
#63
FT rate
31.6%
#263
FT allowed
32.1%
#106
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.0
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security+0.4
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed+0.8
GA Southern
+0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#163 of 365
Off reb %
28.8%
#238
Def reb %
64.8%
#342
Turnover %
14.6%
#48
Forced TO %
18.7%
#61
FT rate
39.6%
#62
FT allowed
41.4%
#316
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.5
Defensive rebounding−1.5
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn+1.2
Foul shots allowed−1.6
Both teams carry the same grade, +0.5 extra scoring chances per game.
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Ball State2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mason Jones | F | Sr | 6'7" | 31-30 | 30.9 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 48.0% | 36.9% | 2.1 | 40.9% | 10.1% | |
| 0 | Sean Blakeat Vermont | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-27 | 28.6 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 50.4% | 35.2% | 1.6 | 69.3% | 25.0% | |
| 55 | Zaon Collinsat Fresno St | G | Sr | 6'1" | 26-24 | 30.7 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 49.8% | 30.9% | 2.1 | 71.3% | 25.6% | |
| 2 | Javion Guy-Kingat C Arkansas | G | Sr | 6'6" | 32-20 | 22.4 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 52.0% | 34.1% | 4.2 | 69.7% | 26.1% | |
| 5 | K'Jei Parkerat UMass | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-6 | 20.8 | 10.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 56.7% | 40.8% | 4.8 | 90.0% | 27.3% | |
| 11 | Babatunde Durodolaat Temple | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-9 | 19.2 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 75.8% | 16.8% | |
| 1 | Trey Lewisat W Michigan | G | Sr | 6'6" | 31-11 | 17.6 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 55.2% | 38.5% | 4.4 | 74.3% | 24.5% | |
| 7 | Jaden Smithat Saint Joseph's | C | Jr | 6'11" | 36-1 | 9.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 47.1% | 18.2% | 0.3 | 69.4% | 21.1% | |
| 20 | Joey Hart | G | Sr | 6'5" | 4-3 | 19.3 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 63.6% | 40.0% | 2.5 | 100.0% | 20.5% | |
| 4 | Jazz Henderson Jr.at Texas Tech | G | Jr | 5'11" | 12-0 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 41.7% | 50.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 19.3% | |
| 3 | Aaron Fineat Purdue | G | Jr | 6'2" | 9-0 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 34.4% | |
| 25 | Kai Mcgrew | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Kamden McGilveary | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Kijani Wright | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Zaon Collins (from Fresno St), Babatunde Durodola (from Temple), Aaron Fine (from Purdue), Javion Guy-King (from C Arkansas), Jazz Henderson Jr. (from Texas Tech), Trey Lewis (from W Michigan), K'Jei Parker (from UMass), Jaden Smith (from Saint Joseph's), Sean Blake (from Vermont)
GA Southern2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted GA Southern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spudd Webb | G | Sr | 6'4" | 37-37 | 32.4 | 15.5 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 56.6% | 31.9% | 3.6 | 81.8% | 24.6% | |
| 13 | Alden Applewhite | F | Sr | 6'7" | 36-35 | 31.3 | 14.1 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 56.5% | 37.4% | 4.1 | 79.3% | 22.5% | |
| 12 | Tyren Moore | G | Sr | 5'11" | 37-37 | 29.4 | 16.1 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 56.1% | 38.7% | 8.4 | 83.0% | 29.6% | |
| 5 | Nakavieon White | F | Sr | 6'7" | 37-6 | 20.1 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 44.1% | 32.5% | 3.2 | 67.1% | 32.0% | |
| 3 | Khayri Dunn | G | So | 6'1" | 36-0 | 17.5 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 50.2% | 34.3% | 3.9 | 81.8% | 27.0% | |
| 11 | Shainen Carter | F | Sr | 6'9" | 34-22 | 17.5 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 53.5% | 16.7% | 0.2 | 64.3% | 13.9% | |
| 24 | Andres Burney | F | Sr | 6'9" | 35-15 | 15.7 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 66.1% | — | 0.0 | 54.5% | 15.4% | |
| 9 | Jefferson Koulibaly | G | Sr | 6'3" | 25-16 | 21.1 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 38.8% | 24.1% | 2.2 | 57.9% | 15.3% | |
| 1 | Dwayne Williams Jr | G | Fr | 6'6" | 34-3 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 46.0% | 30.2% | 2.8 | 93.8% | 21.0% | |
| 7 | Tsvet Sotirov | F | So | 6'9" | 35-3 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 43.0% | 25.3% | 2.3 | 60.0% | 16.5% | |
| 0 | Jayden Williams | G | Fr | 6'6" | 17-11 | 9.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 26.0% | 12.5% | 0.5 | 47.1% | 12.6% | |
| 10 | Sean Van Dorn Jr | G | Fr | 6'6" | 5-0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 30.1% | |
| 4 | Cade Lomas | G | Fr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | — | 23.3% | |
| 6 | Amare Neal | G | Fr | 5'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Cullen Schreiner | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Dallas Gardner | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 34 | Pavle Ridesic | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Ball State2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mason Jones | F | Sr | 6'7" | 31-30 | 30.9 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 48.0% | 36.9% | 2.1 | 40.9% | 10.1% | |
| 0 | Sean Blakeat Vermont | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-27 | 28.6 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 50.4% | 35.2% | 1.6 | 69.3% | 25.0% | |
| 55 | Zaon Collinsat Fresno St | G | Sr | 6'1" | 26-24 | 30.7 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 49.8% | 30.9% | 2.1 | 71.3% | 25.6% | |
| 2 | Javion Guy-Kingat C Arkansas | G | Sr | 6'6" | 32-20 | 22.4 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 52.0% | 34.1% | 4.2 | 69.7% | 26.1% | |
| 5 | K'Jei Parkerat UMass | G | Sr | 6'2" | 33-6 | 20.8 | 10.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 56.7% | 40.8% | 4.8 | 90.0% | 27.3% | |
| 11 | Babatunde Durodolaat Temple | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-9 | 19.2 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 75.8% | 16.8% | |
| 1 | Trey Lewisat W Michigan | G | Sr | 6'6" | 31-11 | 17.6 | 7.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 55.2% | 38.5% | 4.4 | 74.3% | 24.5% | |
| 7 | Jaden Smithat Saint Joseph's | C | Jr | 6'11" | 36-1 | 9.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 47.1% | 18.2% | 0.3 | 69.4% | 21.1% | |
| 20 | Joey Hart | G | Sr | 6'5" | 4-3 | 19.3 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 63.6% | 40.0% | 2.5 | 100.0% | 20.5% | |
| 4 | Jazz Henderson Jr.at Texas Tech | G | Jr | 5'11" | 12-0 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 41.7% | 50.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 19.3% | |
| 3 | Aaron Fineat Purdue | G | Jr | 6'2" | 9-0 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 34.4% | |
| 25 | Kai Mcgrew | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Kamden McGilveary | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Kijani Wright | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Zaon Collins (from Fresno St), Babatunde Durodola (from Temple), Aaron Fine (from Purdue), Javion Guy-King (from C Arkansas), Jazz Henderson Jr. (from Texas Tech), Trey Lewis (from W Michigan), K'Jei Parker (from UMass), Jaden Smith (from Saint Joseph's), Sean Blake (from Vermont)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Ball State
Against the spread
Season
14-14-1
Home
7-5
Road
6-8-1
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +3.7
Covered 5 straightCovered 5 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
9-19-1
Home
3-8-1
Road
4-11
Last 10
3-6-1
avg vs total −4.2
Over 2 straightOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | C Michigan | H | W 85–69 | −2.0 | W+14.0 | 135.0 | O154 | 125.8 | 102.1 | 67.6 |
| Mar 3 | W Michigan | A | W 74–71 OT | +2.0 | W+5.0 | 138.5 | O145 | 103.2 | 99.0 | 71.7 |
| Feb 28 | N Illinois | A | W 79–43 | +1.5 | W+37.5 | 133.5 | U122 | 125.7 | 68.4 | 62.8 |
| Feb 24 | UMass | H | W 74–73 OT | +4.5 | W+5.5 | 143.5 | O147 | 100.6 | 99.3 | 73.5 |
| Feb 20 | Akron | H | L 65–78 | +14.0 | W+1.0 | 147.5 | U143 | 96.7 | 116.1 | 67.2 |
| Feb 17 | Ohio | A | L 57–69 | +9.5 | L−2.5 | 144.5 | U126 | 95.3 | 115.4 | 59.8 |
| Feb 14 | Kent State | H | L 68–75 | +8.0 | W+1.0 | 143.0 | P143 | 93.7 | 103.3 | 72.6 |
| Feb 11 | Buffalo | H | L 53–63 | −1.0 | L−11.0 | 141.0 | U116 | 89.6 | 106.5 | 59.2 |
| Feb 7 | UL Monroe | A | W 73–68 | −4.5 | W+0.5 | 143.5 | U141 | 105.3 | 98.1 | 69.3 |
| Feb 3 | Bowling Green | A | L 52–77 | +11.0 | L−14.0 | 138.0 | U129 | 83.1 | 123.0 | 62.6 |
GA Southern
Against the spread
Season
17-16-1
Home
5-6-1
Road
7-7
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +5.1
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
18-16
Home
6-6
Road
9-5
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.1
Under 2 straightOver in 4 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9 | Troy | N | L 61–77 | +5.0 | L−11.0 | 152.5 | U138 | 96.7 | 122.0 | 63.1 |
| Mar 8 | Marshall | N | W 82–78 | +3.5 | W+7.5 | 166.5 | U160 | 113.3 | 107.7 | 72.4 |
| Mar 7 | Coastal | N | W 96–72 | +1.0 | W+25.0 | 150.5 | O168 | 140.9 | 105.7 | 68.1 |
| Mar 6 | South Alabama | N | W 94–85 | +4.5 | W+13.5 | 148.5 | O179 | 139.9 | 126.5 | 67.2 |
| Mar 5 | Arkansas St | N | W 80–77 | +7.5 | W+10.5 | 166.0 | U157 | 116.4 | 112.0 | 68.7 |
| Mar 4 | Old Dominion | N | W 88–84 | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 157.5 | O172 | 127.4 | 121.6 | 69.1 |
| Feb 27 | Marshall | A | W 99–82 | +7.5 | W+24.5 | 168.5 | O181 | 138.1 | 114.4 | 71.7 |
| Feb 25 | James Madison | A | L 66–82 | +5.5 | L−10.5 | 153.5 | U148 | 93.7 | 116.4 | 70.4 |
| Feb 21 | App State | A | L 74–89 | +7.5 | L−7.5 | 146.5 | O163 | 104.1 | 125.2 | 71.1 |
| Feb 19 | Georgia St | A | L 64–66 | −1.0 | L−3.0 | 155.0 | U130 | 93.3 | 96.2 | 68.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeBall StateGA Southern
Efficiency
101.8
109.5
108.8
112.5
65.9
70.1
—
—
Shooting
47.0%
51.4%
47.0%
52.7%
31.4%
33.4%
71.0%
74.3%
31.6%
39.6%
Ball control & glass
16.2%
14.6%
18.7%
18.7%
27.1%
28.8%
31.0%
35.2%
8.1%
9.0%
10.9%
9.2%
Style
39.4%
48.9%
45.4%
38.2%
10.8%
12.4%
53.6%
41.1%
34.8%
36.5%
Roster
3.66
3.48
6'4.7"
6'4.9"
16.6%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputBall State
Returning minutes: 16.6%Returning production: 13.1%
Lost
- Armoni Zeigler 32.4 mpg, 12.5 ppg · transferred to Boston College
- Davion Hill 26.9 mpg, 14.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Elmore James IV 23.9 mpg, 7.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Devon Barnes 20.9 mpg, 9.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Preston Copeland 18.1 mpg, 4.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Juwan Maxey 13.7 mpg, 4.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Sean Blake from Vermont · 28.6 mpg, 9.9 ppg last season
- Zaon Collins from Fresno St · 24.9 mpg, 9.4 ppg last season
- Javion Guy-King from C Arkansas · 21.1 mpg, 9.2 ppg last season
- K'Jei Parker from UMass · 20.8 mpg, 10.7 ppg last season
- Babatunde Durodola from Temple · 19.2 mpg, 4.8 ppg last season
- Trey Lewis from W Michigan · 17.6 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
Returns 17% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
GA Southern
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted GA Southern's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.