CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteRock Hill Sports & Event Center, Rock Hill, SCField of 68 Opening Day Marathon
Winthrop
Efficiency #116
2025-26: 23-11 · 15-4 conf
vs
Queens
Efficiency #191
2025-26: 21-14 · 16-5 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · 9:00 AM ET
83.8
win 59%
Projected
81.2
win 41%
No line posted yet.
Model: WIN −2.6 · total 165.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Queens 69.7, Winthrop 70.0 → 71.4 possessions
+6.8
Queens offense vs Winthrop defense
+3.7
Winthrop offense vs Queens defense
+6.3
Projected total
165.0
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Queens offense vs Winthrop defense
+3.7
Winthrop offense vs Queens defense
−6.3
Winthrop by 2.6
2.6
Winthrop side ◂▸ Queens side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Queens.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Winthrop is the faster team (71.7, #29 of 365) and Queens the slower (70.6, #68). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
165.0
model
Projected team totals
83.8 / 81.2
Winthrop / Queens
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.0#48
Winthrop
69.7#68
Queens
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageQueens
Where Queens scores: shooting
Queens shoots an effective 56.4% (#15); Winthrop allows 51.4% (#182). Expect about 54.4%, 3.1 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.4 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Track meet
Queens averages 70.6 possessions per 40, Winthrop 71.7. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 72 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageWinthrop
Where Winthrop scores: ball control
Winthrop turns it over on 14.7% of possessions (#50); Queens forces turnovers on 15.1% of opponent possessions (#277). Expect about 14.5%, 2.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.7 points per 100 possessions.
GlassWinthrop
Winthrop owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.6% is worth roughly +2.5 points per 100 possessions for Winthrop's offense.
ClashQueens
Style match: 3-point volume
Queens takes 46.5% of its shots from three; Winthrop lets opponents take 42.8% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 47.2% — both habits push the same way.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Queens's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Winthrop at about 43.2% of its shots from three, Queens about 47.2%.
Winthrop has the ball
OffenseQueens allowsvs D1 avg
49.7% #250
54.6% #319
+1.1 pt/100
14.7% #50
15.1% #277
+2.7 pt/100
34.1% #63
33.6% #308
+2.5 pt/100
44.0% #10
38.1% #263
+0.8 pt/100
72.9% #171
—
+0.0 pt/100
Winthrop net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +7.2 pts/100
Queens has the ball
OffenseWinthrop allowsvs D1 avg
56.4% #15
51.4% #182
+4.4 pt/100
14.8% #54
16.7% #174
+1.5 pt/100
30.2% #190
27.7% #55
-0.9 pt/100
35.4% #167
39.0% #286
+0.3 pt/100
74.9% #88
—
+0.2 pt/100
Queens net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +5.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersWinthropoffense vsQueensdefense
Share of shots by zone
Winthrop shoots
38.8
6.1
11.1
44.0
Queens allows
42.3
5.5
13.0
39.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.7%#282 | 58.9%#186 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.5%#293 | 50.5%#357 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.7%#269 | 37.8%#153 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.2%#217 | 36.5%#325 | 33.7% |
Queensoffense vsWinthropdefense
Share of shots by zone
Queens shoots
40.4
6.0
7.2
46.4
Winthrop allows
36.2
6.4
14.6
42.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.2%#32 | 59.0%#192 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.8%#42 | 45.0%#296 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.5%#95 | 42.6%#321 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.7%#74 | 32.9%#113 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersWinthrop
+4.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#27 of 365
Off reb %
34.1%
#63
Def reb %
72.3%
#55
Turnover %
14.7%
#50
Forced TO %
16.7%
#174
FT rate
44.0%
#10
FT allowed
39.0%
#286
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security+1.4
Forcing turnovers0.0
Foul shots drawn+2.3
Foul shots allowed−1.0
Queens
−1.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#251 of 365
Off reb %
30.2%
#190
Def reb %
66.4%
#308
Turnover %
14.8%
#54
Forced TO %
15.1%
#277
FT rate
35.4%
#167
FT allowed
38.1%
#263
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−0.9
Ball security+1.4
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−0.7
Winthrop has more extra scoring chances per game: +4.9 (#27 of 365) to Queens’s −1.3 (#251).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Winthrop2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kody Clouet | G | Sr | 6'5" | 34-34 | 29.0 | 13.8 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 59.6% | 40.9% | 6.6 | 83.5% | 22.5% | |
| 2 | Kareem Rozier | G | Sr | 5'9" | 33-33 | 29.6 | 13.2 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 49.3% | 36.4% | 7.5 | 78.1% | 25.7% | |
| 7 | Daylen Berry | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-22 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 49.1% | 34.4% | 4.4 | 70.8% | 25.3% | |
| 1 | Isaiah Wilson | G | Sr | 6'1" | 34-31 | 19.8 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 35.3% | 17.6% | 1.5 | 63.0% | 16.7% | |
| 3 | Josh Meo | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-0 | 18.3 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 42.7% | 30.1% | 2.4 | 68.1% | 19.7% | |
| 15 | Tommy Kamarad | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-14 | 18.0 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 55.0% | 35.1% | 2.2 | 83.9% | 21.4% | |
| 25 | Seifeldin Hendawy | G | So | 6'8" | 34-2 | 16.5 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 39.6% | 20.0% | 1.9 | 78.5% | 23.8% | |
| 23 | Ed Nnamoko | F | Sr | 6'10" | 34-6 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 54.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 65.2% | 21.5% | |
| 4 | Pharrell Boyogueno | G | Sr | 6'6" | 28-0 | 11.4 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 51.3% | 33.3% | 2.1 | 45.5% | 16.9% | |
| 21 | Tai Hamilton | F | Jr | 6'10" | 21-0 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 60.6% | — | 0.0 | 54.5% | 19.3% | |
| 5 | Braylhan Thomas | G | So | 6'6" | 7-0 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 44.4% | 22.2% | 1.3 | 83.3% | 32.5% | |
| 8 | Cam Christy | G | Sr | 6'4" | 7-0 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 0.0% | 19.9% | |
| 22 | Henry Harrison | G | Jr | 5'11" | 6-0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.5 | — | 26.1% | |
| 0 | Kaleb Evans | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Queens2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Queens's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chris Ashby | G | Sr | 6'2" | 35-35 | 30.7 | 11.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 53.5% | 37.5% | 8.5 | 87.8% | 20.5% | |
| 1 | Nasir Mann | G | Sr | 6'5" | 35-35 | 30.4 | 13.3 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 54.6% | 31.8% | 3.1 | 78.0% | 24.1% | |
| 24 | Yoav Berman | G | So | 6'6" | 35-30 | 29.2 | 12.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 48.3% | 29.7% | 4.2 | 78.7% | 25.2% | |
| 22 | Carson Schwieger | F | So | 6'8" | 34-27 | 24.6 | 10.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 60.7% | 40.9% | 6.6 | 69.0% | 20.4% | |
| 6 | Avantae Parker | F | Jr | 6'9" | 35-34 | 22.1 | 11.1 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 68.2% | 38.5% | 0.4 | 61.7% | 25.1% | |
| 0 | Jordan Watford | G | Fr | 6'5" | 35-8 | 20.8 | 11.8 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 61.8% | 37.5% | 0.7 | 77.8% | 29.0% | |
| 9 | Maban Jabriel | F | So | 6'9" | 35-2 | 19.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 61.6% | 43.2% | 3.2 | 77.4% | 19.9% | |
| 7 | Gus Larson | F | Sr | 6'10" | 35-1 | 11.8 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 55.3% | 18.8% | 0.5 | 57.4% | 16.8% | |
| 3 | Isaiah Henry | G | Fr | 6'4" | 26-0 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 55.0% | 25.0% | 0.6 | 73.3% | 22.2% | |
| 5 | Kam Clark | F | Jr | 6'7" | 26-3 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 35.1% | 11.1% | 1.0 | 78.9% | 19.1% | |
| 4 | Reid Celestin | G | Jr | 6'6" | 15-0 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 25.0% | 12.9% | |
| 12 | Tyler Crider | G | Fr | 6'0" | 8-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | — | 22.6% | |
| 25 | Jacob Brandly | G | Fr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 35 | Colby Christiansen | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Danzelle Bullock Coles | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Jimma James | G | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Matthew Walter | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Saif-Allah Zatari | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Seamus Wilson | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Winthrop2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kody Clouet | G | Sr | 6'5" | 34-34 | 29.0 | 13.8 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 59.6% | 40.9% | 6.6 | 83.5% | 22.5% | |
| 2 | Kareem Rozier | G | Sr | 5'9" | 33-33 | 29.6 | 13.2 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 49.3% | 36.4% | 7.5 | 78.1% | 25.7% | |
| 7 | Daylen Berry | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-22 | 24.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 49.1% | 34.4% | 4.4 | 70.8% | 25.3% | |
| 1 | Isaiah Wilson | G | Sr | 6'1" | 34-31 | 19.8 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 35.3% | 17.6% | 1.5 | 63.0% | 16.7% | |
| 3 | Josh Meo | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-0 | 18.3 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 42.7% | 30.1% | 2.4 | 68.1% | 19.7% | |
| 15 | Tommy Kamarad | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-14 | 18.0 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 55.0% | 35.1% | 2.2 | 83.9% | 21.4% | |
| 25 | Seifeldin Hendawy | G | So | 6'8" | 34-2 | 16.5 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 39.6% | 20.0% | 1.9 | 78.5% | 23.8% | |
| 23 | Ed Nnamoko | F | Sr | 6'10" | 34-6 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 54.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 65.2% | 21.5% | |
| 4 | Pharrell Boyogueno | G | Sr | 6'6" | 28-0 | 11.4 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 51.3% | 33.3% | 2.1 | 45.5% | 16.9% | |
| 21 | Tai Hamilton | F | Jr | 6'10" | 21-0 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 60.6% | — | 0.0 | 54.5% | 19.3% | |
| 5 | Braylhan Thomas | G | So | 6'6" | 7-0 | 7.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 44.4% | 22.2% | 1.3 | 83.3% | 32.5% | |
| 8 | Cam Christy | G | Sr | 6'4" | 7-0 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 0.0% | 19.9% | |
| 22 | Henry Harrison | G | Jr | 5'11" | 6-0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.5 | — | 26.1% | |
| 0 | Kaleb Evans | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Winthrop
Against the spread
Season
11-19
Home
4-7
Road
7-9
Last 10
1-9
avg cover −3.9
Missed the spread 5 straightCovered 0 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
16-14
Home
7-4
Road
7-9
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +2.9
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | High Point | N | L 76–91 | +7.0 | L−8.0 | 157.5 | O167 | 96.9 | 116.0 | 78.5 |
| Mar 7 | Presbyterian | N | W 73–71 | −6.5 | L−4.5 | 145.0 | U144 | 106.4 | 103.4 | 68.6 |
| Mar 6 | Charleston So | N | W 86–81 | −5.5 | L−0.5 | 163.5 | O167 | 111.2 | 104.8 | 77.3 |
| Feb 28 | Presbyterian | H | W 74–70 | −9.0 | L−5.0 | 150.5 | U144 | 105.3 | 99.6 | 70.3 |
| Feb 26 | Charleston So | A | L 84–86 | −8.0 | L−10.0 | 164.0 | O170 | 104.9 | 107.4 | 80.1 |
| Feb 21 | High Point | A | L 87–89 | +9.5 | W+7.5 | 166.5 | O176 | 117.8 | 120.5 | 73.9 |
| Feb 19 | SC Upstate | H | W 68–64 | −13.0 | L−9.0 | 155.0 | U132 | 101.2 | 95.3 | 67.2 |
| Feb 12 | Gardner-Webb | A | W 103–85 | −20.5 | L−2.5 | 155.0 | O188 | 134.4 | 110.9 | 76.7 |
| Feb 7 | Longwood | H | W 79–74 | −10.0 | L−5.0 | 152.5 | O153 | 102.2 | 95.7 | 77.3 |
| Feb 4 | Radford | A | W 80–78 | −4.0 | L−2.0 | 160.5 | U158 | 111.8 | 109.1 | 71.5 |
Queens
Against the spread
Season
15-17-1
Home
9-4
Road
4-12
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover +0.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 6 as a favorite, 1 pushCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
23-9-1
Home
10-3
Road
10-5-1
Last 10
8-1-1
avg vs total +8.2
Over 3 straightOver in 5 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 4 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #2Purdue | N | L 71–104 | +25.5 | L−7.5 | 159.5 | O175 | 105.1 | 154.0 | 67.5 |
| Mar 8 | C Arkansas | N | W 98–93 OT | +2.0 | W+7.0 | 157.0 | O191 | 122.3 | 116.0 | 80.2 |
| Mar 7 | Austin Peay | N | W 90–83 | +2.0 | W+9.0 | 161.5 | O173 | 123.8 | 114.1 | 72.7 |
| Mar 6 | West Georgia | N | W 71–63 | −8.0 | P0.0 | 165.5 | U134 | 97.5 | 86.5 | 72.8 |
| Feb 28 | C Arkansas | A | L 79–84 | +2.5 | L−2.5 | 163.0 | P163 | 111.3 | 118.4 | 70.9 |
| Feb 25 | E Kentucky | A | W 96–79 | −2.5 | W+14.5 | 165.5 | O175 | 135.8 | 111.8 | 70.7 |
| Feb 21 | West Georgia | H | W 91–84 | −11.0 | L−4.0 | 162.5 | O175 | 126.3 | 116.6 | 72.1 |
| Feb 18 | North Alabama | A | W 85–78 | −8.5 | L−1.5 | 155.5 | O163 | 126.1 | 115.7 | 67.4 |
| Feb 14 | Lipscomb | H | W 87–81 | −3.0 | W+3.0 | 165.5 | O168 | 110.9 | 103.2 | 78.5 |
| Feb 11 | Austin Peay | H | L 87–95 | −2.5 | L−10.5 | 161.0 | O182 | 118.1 | 128.9 | 73.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeWinthropQueens
Efficiency
111.3
113.5
108.6
114.4
70.0
69.7
—
—
Shooting
49.7%
56.4%
49.7%
58.9%
33.2%
35.7%
72.9%
74.9%
44.0%
35.4%
Ball control & glass
14.7%
14.8%
16.7%
15.1%
34.1%
30.2%
27.7%
33.6%
7.6%
9.0%
11.2%
9.4%
Style
44.1%
46.5%
39.8%
43.6%
12.2%
13.2%
51.6%
54.9%
36.7%
32.2%
Roster
3.77
2.73
6'4.1"
6'6.2"
88.6%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputWinthrop
Returning minutes: 88.6%Returning production: 77.3%
Lost
- Logan Duncomb 22.9 mpg, 17.2 ppg · transferred to Notre Dame
Added
- Kaleb Evans no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 89% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Queens
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Queens's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 3 | 2025-26 | Queens 74 – 81 Winthrop(N) |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.