CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceThomas Assembly Center, Ruston, LA

Kent State

Efficiency #157

2025-26: 24-10 · 15-5 conf

Louisiana Tech

Efficiency #211

2025-26: 20-14 · 13-10 conf

Mon, Nov 2 · TBD

71.3

win 43%

Projected

73.4

win 57%

No line posted yet.

Model: LT −2.2 · total 144.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Louisiana Tech 66.1, Kent State 70.4 → 68.2 possessions

−0.3

Louisiana Tech offense vs Kent State defense

−2.5

Kent State offense vs Louisiana Tech defense

−0.7

Projected total

144.7

Axis starts at 142 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Louisiana Tech offense vs Kent State defense

−2.5

Kent State offense vs Louisiana Tech defense

+0.7

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+3.9

Louisiana Tech by 2.2

2.2

Kent State side ◂▸ Louisiana Tech side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +2.1 against +2.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Louisiana Tech.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 68.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Kent State is the faster team (71.9, #25 of 365) and Louisiana Tech the slower (64.7, #337). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

68.2

per team, 40 min

Projected total

144.7

model

Projected team totals

71.3 / 73.4

Kent State / Louisiana Tech

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

70.4#30

Kent State

66.1#339

Louisiana Tech

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

DefenseLouisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech's shot-blocking

Louisiana Tech ranks #5 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 13.8% of Kent State's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.

Pace

Tempo tug-of-war

Louisiana Tech averages 64.7 possessions per 40, Kent State 71.9. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 68 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.

ClashKent State

Style match: 3-point volume

Kent State takes 44.9% of its shots from three; Louisiana Tech lets opponents take 46.8% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 48.6% — both habits push the same way.

AdvantageLouisiana Tech

Where Louisiana Tech struggles: shooting

Louisiana Tech shoots an effective 47.4% (#329); Kent State allows 52.1% (#219). Expect about 49.5%, 1.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.6 points per 100 possessions.

AdvantageKent State

Where Kent State scores: the offensive glass

Kent State rebounds 35.3% of its own misses (#39); Louisiana Tech lets opponents grab 31.6% of their own misses (#232). Expect about 34.4%, 4.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.4 points per 100 possessions.

GlassLouisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech owns the glass

Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.0% is worth roughly +2.2 points per 100 possessions for Louisiana Tech's offense.

Kent State has the ball

OffenseLouisiana Tech allowsvs D1 avg

51.4% #175

48.7% #51

-1.8 pt/100

18.0% #269

17.8% #105

-1.7 pt/100

35.3% #39

31.6% #232

+2.4 pt/100

43.5% #15

36.3% #222

+0.6 pt/100

74.4% #105

—

+0.2 pt/100

Kent State net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.2 pts/100

Louisiana Tech has the ball

OffenseKent State allowsvs D1 avg

47.4% #329

52.1% #219

-2.6 pt/100

18.3% #286

16.1% #220

-0.5 pt/100

36.4% #21

29.3% #124

+2.2 pt/100

33.1% #234

39.5% #294

+0.2 pt/100

67.2% #341

—

-0.5 pt/100

Louisiana Tech net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.1 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

Kent Stateoffense vsLouisiana Techdefense

Share of shots by zone

Kent State shoots

36.6

6.0

12.4

45.0

Louisiana Tech allows

36.2

3.9

13.8

46.1

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	57.6%#210	52.2%#17	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	36.7%#250	38.7%#153	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	37.4%#206	34.4%#58	38.0%
Three	35.0%#118	33.9%#178	33.7%

Louisiana Techoffense vsKent Statedefense

Share of shots by zone

Louisiana Tech shoots

42.5

5.7

18.8

32.9

Kent State allows

37.0

6.3

13.8

42.9

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	55.3%#293	58.7%#172	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	40.6%#158	40.0%#191	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	39.7%#122	38.2%#167	38.0%
Three	28.5%#359	35.0%#246	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Kent State

+1.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#109 of 365

Off reb %

35.3%

#39

Def reb %

70.7%

#124

Turnover %

18.0%

#269

Forced TO %

16.1%

#220

FT rate

43.5%

#15

FT allowed

39.5%

#294

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+1.6

Defensive rebounding+0.4

Ball security−0.8

Forcing turnovers−0.4

Foul shots drawn+2.2

Foul shots allowed−1.1

Louisiana Tech

+0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#155 of 365

Off reb %

36.4%

#21

Def reb %

68.4%

#232

Turnover %

18.3%

#286

Forced TO %

17.8%

#105

FT rate

33.1%

#234

FT allowed

36.3%

#222

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+1.9

Defensive rebounding−0.3

Ball security−1.0

Forcing turnovers+0.8

Foul shots drawn−0.5

Foul shots allowed−0.3

Kent State has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.9 (#109 of 365) to Louisiana Tech’s +0.6 (#155).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Kent State2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Kent State's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
1	Cian Medley	G	Jr	5'11"	33-32	33.4	10.5	2.3	6.4	3.1	43.9%	32.1%	5.1	74.4%	22.7%
23	Delrecco Gillespie	F	Sr	6'8"	34-34	32.2	17.7	11.3	1.7	2.8	52.9%	27.0%	1.9	78.9%	30.6%
8	Morgan Safford	G	Sr	6'4"	32-32	31.2	14.3	5.6	1.5	1.5	51.3%	34.9%	6.1	80.1%	25.1%
25	Jahari Williamson	G	Jr	6'1"	34-34	25.1	10.3	1.9	0.8	0.4	61.8%	44.5%	5.4	82.6%	18.3%
2	Rob Whaley Jr.	F	Sr	6'7"	32-27	23.7	11.7	4.2	1.6	2.1	52.9%	28.6%	0.9	62.3%	29.5%
6	Quinn Woidke	G	Fr	6'0"	34-0	19.4	9.0	2.6	1.5	0.9	58.9%	40.4%	4.9	80.0%	23.2%
0	Rayvon Griffith	F	So	6'8"	33-2	13.8	4.0	3.0	0.8	0.8	50.0%	29.0%	1.9	53.6%	18.7%
14	Magnus Entenmann	F	Sr	6'9"	32-5	12.0	2.9	2.5	0.5	0.5	50.0%	28.0%	0.8	83.8%	13.2%
11	Dezmon Briscoe	F	Fr	6'8"	30-2	8.6	2.4	2.1	0.3	0.5	54.9%	0.0%	0.0	56.7%	17.4%
54	Omer Hamama	G	Fr	6'2"	23-2	7.5	1.8	0.9	1.3	0.7	40.0%	15.4%	0.6	83.3%	18.9%
5	Brenden Moss	G	Jr	6'4"	14-0	5.4	1.6	0.9	0.2	0.4	40.0%	23.5%	1.2	100.0%	23.6%
7	Landon Vanderwarker	F	Fr	6'8"	10-0	5.5	2.5	1.0	0.3	0.2	55.0%	36.4%	1.1	37.5%	23.4%
21	Deandre Jones	F	Fr	6'11"	7-0	4.7	4.3	2.3	0.1	0.3	100.0%	—	0.0	50.0%	26.6%
51	Drew Huffman	F	Fr	6'6"	3-0	3.0	1.3	0.7	1.0	0.0	40.0%	0.0%	0.3	—	26.4%
22	Jaymen Townsend	F	Fr	6'5"	1-0	9.0	0.0	1.0	4.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	1.0	—	15.5%
32	Dylan Lakatos	G	Fr	5'11"	2-0	3.5	3.0	0.5	0.0	0.5	75.0%	50.0%	2.0	—	33.8%
4	Jamal Sumlin	G	Jr	6'1"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Louisiana Tech2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Louisiana Tech's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
3	AJ Bates	G	So	6'3"	34-34	33.4	12.1	2.8	5.9	2.4	41.8%	27.7%	3.8	78.3%	27.9%
0	DJ Dudley	G	Jr	6'3"	34-27	30.4	13.8	2.8	2.0	2.4	50.5%	36.2%	4.8	68.5%	31.3%
5	Avery Thomas II	F	So	6'8"	33-26	25.2	9.1	7.2	0.6	0.8	47.3%	30.0%	3.6	77.8%	23.4%
11	Kaden Cooper	G	Jr	6'6"	29-10	25.9	9.7	7.7	1.1	1.4	51.3%	29.2%	2.2	67.6%	24.1%
4	Jaylen Fenner	G	Fr	6'6"	32-24	21.5	5.5	2.8	1.0	1.0	45.2%	30.8%	1.6	65.2%	18.7%
8	Scooter Williams	G	Sr	6'4"	28-3	21.1	10.0	2.9	1.4	0.9	48.0%	24.4%	2.8	66.7%	30.4%
14	Will Allen	F	Sr	6'7"	33-10	15.9	3.3	3.6	0.3	0.9	54.4%	26.1%	0.7	55.0%	15.1%
21	Melian Martinez	C	Jr	7'0"	30-19	15.5	4.2	2.9	0.2	0.8	74.4%	—	0.0	31.3%	14.9%
7	Sir Issac Herron	F	Sr	6'10"	27-10	13.0	4.6	2.4	0.5	0.9	59.9%	33.3%	0.1	54.1%	22.1%
10	Kylan Howze	F	Jr	6'9"	24-4	11.1	2.2	2.3	0.3	0.5	55.6%	—	0.0	43.3%	14.3%
2	Will Jeffress	F	Sr	6'8"	10-3	13.6	2.3	3.4	0.1	0.3	25.7%	5.9%	1.7	66.7%	19.1%
1	Jermaurhiyun Anderson	G	So	6'4"	3-0	16.7	1.7	3.3	0.0	0.0	22.2%	0.0%	0.7	33.3%	12.0%
6	Keegan Rowell	G	So	6'3"	10-0	4.4	2.1	0.3	0.1	0.2	80.8%	55.6%	0.9	—	20.4%
23	Lachlan Thompson	G	So	6'4"	4-0	2.0	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.3	100.0%	—	0.0	—	14.4%
27	A'Meir Williams	F	Fr	6'8"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Kent State2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Kent State's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
1	Cian Medley	G	Jr	5'11"	33-32	33.4	10.5	2.3	6.4	3.1	43.9%	32.1%	5.1	74.4%	22.7%
23	Delrecco Gillespie	F	Sr	6'8"	34-34	32.2	17.7	11.3	1.7	2.8	52.9%	27.0%	1.9	78.9%	30.6%
8	Morgan Safford	G	Sr	6'4"	32-32	31.2	14.3	5.6	1.5	1.5	51.3%	34.9%	6.1	80.1%	25.1%
25	Jahari Williamson	G	Jr	6'1"	34-34	25.1	10.3	1.9	0.8	0.4	61.8%	44.5%	5.4	82.6%	18.3%
2	Rob Whaley Jr.	F	Sr	6'7"	32-27	23.7	11.7	4.2	1.6	2.1	52.9%	28.6%	0.9	62.3%	29.5%
6	Quinn Woidke	G	Fr	6'0"	34-0	19.4	9.0	2.6	1.5	0.9	58.9%	40.4%	4.9	80.0%	23.2%
0	Rayvon Griffith	F	So	6'8"	33-2	13.8	4.0	3.0	0.8	0.8	50.0%	29.0%	1.9	53.6%	18.7%
14	Magnus Entenmann	F	Sr	6'9"	32-5	12.0	2.9	2.5	0.5	0.5	50.0%	28.0%	0.8	83.8%	13.2%
11	Dezmon Briscoe	F	Fr	6'8"	30-2	8.6	2.4	2.1	0.3	0.5	54.9%	0.0%	0.0	56.7%	17.4%
54	Omer Hamama	G	Fr	6'2"	23-2	7.5	1.8	0.9	1.3	0.7	40.0%	15.4%	0.6	83.3%	18.9%
5	Brenden Moss	G	Jr	6'4"	14-0	5.4	1.6	0.9	0.2	0.4	40.0%	23.5%	1.2	100.0%	23.6%
7	Landon Vanderwarker	F	Fr	6'8"	10-0	5.5	2.5	1.0	0.3	0.2	55.0%	36.4%	1.1	37.5%	23.4%
21	Deandre Jones	F	Fr	6'11"	7-0	4.7	4.3	2.3	0.1	0.3	100.0%	—	0.0	50.0%	26.6%
51	Drew Huffman	F	Fr	6'6"	3-0	3.0	1.3	0.7	1.0	0.0	40.0%	0.0%	0.3	—	26.4%
22	Jaymen Townsend	F	Fr	6'5"	1-0	9.0	0.0	1.0	4.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	1.0	—	15.5%
32	Dylan Lakatos	G	Fr	5'11"	2-0	3.5	3.0	0.5	0.0	0.5	75.0%	50.0%	2.0	—	33.8%
4	Jamal Sumlin	G	Jr	6'1"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

Kent State

Against the spread

Season

12-19-1

Home

6-9

Road

5-8

Last 10

3-7

avg cover −2.5

Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 as an underdogCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+

Over / under

Season

18-13-1

Home

11-4

Road

5-7-1

Last 10

5-4-1

avg vs total +4.1

Under 2 straightOver in 5 of 6 as a favorite, 1 pushOver in 0 of 4 as an underdogOver in 4 of 4 with a line of 10+

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 18	Illinois StAdjEM #80	A	L 58–79	+4.5	L−16.5	154.5	U137	83.9	114.3	69.1
Mar 13	AkronAdjEM #48	N	L 68–75	+6.5	L−0.5	163.0	U143	99.5	109.7	68.3
Mar 12	OhioAdjEM #233	N	W 86–75	−3.5	W+7.5	160.5	O161	121.1	105.7	71.0
Mar 6	W MichiganAdjEM #276	H	W 86–78	−13.5	L−5.5	157.5	O164	122.5	111.1	70.2
Mar 3	N IllinoisAdjEM #341	A	W 102–76	−10.0	W+16.0	149.5	O178	134.5	100.2	75.9
Feb 27	AkronAdjEM #48	H	L 70–92	+3.5	L−18.5	165.0	U162	99.4	130.7	70.4
Feb 24	C MichiganAdjEM #283	H	W 83–81	−12.0	L−10.0	157.0	O164	124.1	121.1	66.9
Feb 17	Bowling GreenAdjEM #114	A	W 78–71	+2.5	W+9.5	151.5	U149	107.5	97.9	72.5
Feb 14	Ball StateAdjEM #295	A	W 75–68	−8.0	L−1.0	143.0	P143	103.3	93.7	72.6
Feb 11	E MichiganAdjEM #247	H	W 95–91	−10.0	L−6.0	144.5	O186	135.3	129.6	70.2

Louisiana Tech

Against the spread

Season

17-14

Home

8-6

Road

7-7

Last 10

6-4

avg cover +4.6

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

14-16-1

Home

9-5

Road

4-10

Last 10

5-4-1

avg vs total −0.7

Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 5 as an underdog, 1 push

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 14	Kennesaw StAdjEM #154	N	L 60–71	−1.0	L−12.0	142.0	U131	93.1	110.1	64.5
Mar 13	Missouri StAdjEM #212	N	W 69–66	+1.0	W+4.0	135.0	P135	121.4	116.1	56.8
Mar 12	MTSUAdjEM #167	N	W 80–69	+2.0	W+13.0	133.5	O149	120.6	104.0	66.3
Mar 7	DelawareAdjEM #302	A	W 81–38	−2.0	W+41.0	132.5	U119	128.5	60.3	63.0
Mar 5	LibertyAdjEM #103	A	W 76–71	+8.5	W+13.5	139.0	O147	127.1	118.8	59.8
Feb 28	FIUAdjEM #200	H	L 76–84	−2.0	L−10.0	146.0	O160	109.2	120.7	69.6
Feb 26	Missouri StAdjEM #212	H	W 72–70	−2.5	L−0.5	137.0	O142	108.4	105.4	66.4
Feb 21	Kennesaw StAdjEM #154	A	L 55–58	+6.0	W+3.0	147.5	U113	81.1	85.6	67.8
Feb 18	Jax StateAdjEM #215	H	W 77–71	−2.0	W+4.0	133.0	O148	109.6	101.1	70.2
Feb 14	FIUAdjEM #200	A	L 64–77	+3.0	L−10.0	146.5	U141	94.7	113.9	67.6

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

Kent StateLouisiana Tech

Efficiency

109.8

104.4

108.9

106.1

70.4

66.1

—

Shooting

51.4%

47.4%

50.6%

49.7%

35.0%

28.5%

74.4%

67.2%

43.5%

33.1%

Ball control & glass

18.0%

18.3%

16.1%

17.8%

35.3%

36.4%

29.3%

31.6%

9.8%

10.1%

9.6%

10.2%

Style

44.9%

33.4%

36.6%

47.1%

13.1%

13.0%

57.1%

48.0%

29.8%

36.6%

Roster

3.05

2.73

6'4.1"

6'5.9"

—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Kent State

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Kent State's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Louisiana Tech

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Louisiana Tech's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.