CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteSanford Pentagon, Sioux Falls, SDField of 68 Opening Day Marathon
Furman
Efficiency #163
2025-26: 22-13 · 13-8 conf
vs
Bethune
Efficiency #260
2025-26: 17-15 · 14-5 conf
Mon, Nov 2 · 8:00 PM ET
75.2
win 63%
Projected
71.2
win 37%
No line posted yet.
Model: FUR −3.9 · total 146.4 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Bethune 69.5, Furman 67.3 → 68.5 possessions
+0.3
Bethune offense vs Furman defense
−3.0
Furman offense vs Bethune defense
+0.9
Projected total
146.4
Axis starts at 144 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Bethune offense vs Furman defense
−3.0
Furman offense vs Bethune defense
−0.9
Furman by 3.9
3.9
Furman side ◂▸ Bethune side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Bethune.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Bethune is the faster team (70.9, #57 of 365) and Furman the slower (66.4, #279). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.5
per team, 40 min
Projected total
146.4
model
Projected team totals
75.2 / 71.2
Furman / Bethune
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.3#265
Furman
69.5#85
Bethune
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageFurman
Where Furman scores: shooting
Furman shoots an effective 54.8% (#43); Bethune allows 49.7% (#88). Expect about 52.5%, 1.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions.
ClashFurman
Style clash: 3-point volume
Furman takes 46.5% of its shots from three; Bethune runs teams off the line (33.1% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 41.0% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
ClashBethune
Strength vs strength: free-throw rate
Bethune (#48 in free-throw rate) against Furman (#44 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 34.2%. Historically Furman's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.50 vs 0.61).
Furman has the ball
OffenseBethune allowsvs D1 avg
54.8% #43
49.7% #88
+1.8 pt/100
17.8% #259
15.8% #229
+0.0 pt/100
30.5% #180
31.7% #242
+0.4 pt/100
32.7% #246
38.6% #276
+0.1 pt/100
70.1% #269
—
-0.2 pt/100
Furman net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.1 pts/100
Bethune has the ball
OffenseFurman allowsvs D1 avg
51.0% #195
50.2% #112
-1.0 pt/100
19.2% #328
13.7% #342
+0.7 pt/100
30.1% #194
28.2% #72
-0.8 pt/100
40.9% #48
28.9% #44
-0.1 pt/100
69.7% #279
—
-0.2 pt/100
Bethune net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.4 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersFurmanoffense vsBethunedefense
Share of shots by zone
Furman shoots
38.5
5.8
8.9
46.8
Bethune allows
47.2
5.5
14.5
32.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.3%#66 | 54.6%#52 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 51.5%#8 | 35.9%#89 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 43.5%#28 | 39.8%#233 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.4%#204 | 32.9%#112 | 33.7% |
Bethuneoffense vsFurmandefense
Share of shots by zone
Bethune shoots
48.3
5.2
16.9
29.6
Furman allows
37.0
5.5
15.9
41.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.1%#94 | 56.0%#86 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 31.3%#337 | 45.5%#314 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 30.0%#353 | 41.9%#297 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#230 | 32.3%#75 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersFurman
−0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#227 of 365
Off reb %
30.5%
#180
Def reb %
71.8%
#72
Turnover %
17.8%
#259
Forced TO %
13.7%
#342
FT rate
32.7%
#246
FT allowed
28.9%
#44
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding0.0
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers−2.1
Foul shots drawn−0.6
Foul shots allowed+1.6
Bethune
−2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#273 of 365
Off reb %
30.1%
#194
Def reb %
68.3%
#242
Turnover %
19.2%
#328
Forced TO %
15.8%
#229
FT rate
40.9%
#48
FT allowed
38.6%
#276
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security−1.7
Forcing turnovers−0.6
Foul shots drawn+1.5
Foul shots allowed−0.9
Furman has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.9 (#227 of 365) to Bethune’s −2.0 (#273).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Furman2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Johnston | F | Sr | 6'11" | 35-35 | 28.3 | 9.8 | 9.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 56.1% | 28.7% | 3.9 | 66.2% | 21.2% | |
| 4 | Ben Vander Wal | F | Sr | 6'7" | 34-31 | 27.9 | 7.2 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 66.2% | 22.2% | 0.3 | 43.5% | 14.9% | |
| 12 | Tom House | G | Sr | 6'7" | 33-17 | 25.2 | 8.5 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 47.4% | 31.5% | 5.0 | 84.3% | 21.0% | |
| 3 | Asa Thomas | G | So | 6'7" | 28-21 | 27.4 | 11.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 55.4% | 38.2% | 7.4 | 74.0% | 24.0% | |
| 2 | Eddrin Bronson | G | So | 6'4" | 34-7 | 19.2 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 47.4% | 32.3% | 2.7 | 74.0% | 20.3% | |
| 6 | Cole Bowser | G | Fr | 6'6" | 20-6 | 22.6 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 55.4% | 35.9% | 1.9 | 87.5% | 14.2% | |
| 0 | Abijah Franklin | G | Fr | 6'5" | 24-0 | 11.2 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 42.4% | 29.8% | 2.0 | 63.6% | 29.3% | |
| 8 | Collin O'Neal | G | Fr | 6'4" | 17-0 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 50.0% | 37.0% | 1.6 | 60.0% | 20.3% | |
| 15 | Owen Ritger | F | Fr | 6'9" | 17-0 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 52.1% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 16.3% | |
| 5 | Mason Smith | F | So | 6'7" | 7-0 | 9.6 | 3.0 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 42.9% | 25.0% | 2.3 | 75.0% | 22.5% | |
| 11 | Gunnar Lewis | G | Fr | 5'10" | 3-0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | — | 12.8% | |
| 30 | Thomas Tillman | F | Sr | 6'6" | 5-1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.6 | 0.0% | 43.9% | |
| 77 | Davis Molnar | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Bethune2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Bethune's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jakobi Heady | G | Sr | 6'6" | 31-31 | 35.7 | 18.2 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 58.0% | 41.5% | 3.0 | 80.4% | 25.2% | |
| 1 | Arterio Morris | G | Jr | 6'4" | 30-8 | 27.7 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 44.0% | 24.7% | 2.4 | 56.6% | 31.4% | |
| 5 | Quentin Heady | F | Jr | 6'6" | 32-28 | 25.6 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 50.8% | 28.6% | 1.1 | 73.4% | 23.2% | |
| 23 | Daniel Rouzan | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-32 | 23.6 | 11.8 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 52.2% | 20.0% | 0.8 | 68.4% | 29.2% | |
| 3 | Seneca Willoughby | G | Sr | 6'3" | 29-25 | 25.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 44.1% | 34.3% | 2.4 | 73.2% | 12.4% | |
| 4 | Ariel Bland | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-0 | 20.0 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 63.2% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.6% | 14.2% | |
| 25 | Tyler Andrews | G | Sr | 6'6" | 25-21 | 20.9 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 60.9% | 42.0% | 3.5 | 67.7% | 18.2% | |
| 11 | Jordan Johnson | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-7 | 16.0 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 46.2% | 29.7% | 3.2 | 60.9% | 20.1% | |
| 2 | Rickey Mitchell Jr. | G | Jr | 6'4" | 14-4 | 16.7 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 39.4% | 30.0% | 2.9 | 66.7% | 20.4% | |
| 13 | Doctor Bradley | G | Sr | 6'8" | 8-4 | 22.1 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 55.2% | 28.6% | 0.9 | 47.7% | 33.0% | |
| 33 | David Onanina | C | Jr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 17.3% | |
| 12 | Dailon Minor | G | Fr | 6'1" | 9-0 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 0.6 | 66.7% | 30.6% | |
| 22 | William Gonzalez | G | Fr | 6'6" | 4-0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.8 | — | 17.4% | |
| 30 | Simeon Womack | G | Sr | 6'2" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 45.7% | |
| 24 | Trayvon Barbary | G | Sr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 15 | Reggie Ward Jr. | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Furman2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Johnston | F | Sr | 6'11" | 35-35 | 28.3 | 9.8 | 9.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 56.1% | 28.7% | 3.9 | 66.2% | 21.2% | |
| 4 | Ben Vander Wal | F | Sr | 6'7" | 34-31 | 27.9 | 7.2 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 66.2% | 22.2% | 0.3 | 43.5% | 14.9% | |
| 12 | Tom House | G | Sr | 6'7" | 33-17 | 25.2 | 8.5 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 47.4% | 31.5% | 5.0 | 84.3% | 21.0% | |
| 3 | Asa Thomas | G | So | 6'7" | 28-21 | 27.4 | 11.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 55.4% | 38.2% | 7.4 | 74.0% | 24.0% | |
| 2 | Eddrin Bronson | G | So | 6'4" | 34-7 | 19.2 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 47.4% | 32.3% | 2.7 | 74.0% | 20.3% | |
| 6 | Cole Bowser | G | Fr | 6'6" | 20-6 | 22.6 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 55.4% | 35.9% | 1.9 | 87.5% | 14.2% | |
| 0 | Abijah Franklin | G | Fr | 6'5" | 24-0 | 11.2 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 42.4% | 29.8% | 2.0 | 63.6% | 29.3% | |
| 8 | Collin O'Neal | G | Fr | 6'4" | 17-0 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 50.0% | 37.0% | 1.6 | 60.0% | 20.3% | |
| 15 | Owen Ritger | F | Fr | 6'9" | 17-0 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 52.1% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 16.3% | |
| 5 | Mason Smith | F | So | 6'7" | 7-0 | 9.6 | 3.0 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 42.9% | 25.0% | 2.3 | 75.0% | 22.5% | |
| 11 | Gunnar Lewis | G | Fr | 5'10" | 3-0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | — | 12.8% | |
| 30 | Thomas Tillman | F | Sr | 6'6" | 5-1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.6 | 0.0% | 43.9% | |
| 77 | Davis Molnar | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Furman
Against the spread
Season
15-15-2
Home
4-8-1
Road
7-5
Last 10
6-3-1
avg cover +1.9
Covered 2 straightCovered 3 of 6 as a favorite, 1 pushCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-15-1
Home
6-7
Road
6-5-1
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +2.4
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #2UConn | N | L 71–82 | +21.0 | W+10.0 | 135.0 | O153 | 108.5 | 125.3 | 65.4 |
| Mar 9 | ETSU | N | W 76–61 | +1.0 | W+16.0 | 138.0 | U137 | 122.9 | 98.6 | 61.8 |
| Mar 8 | UNC Greensboro | N | W 81–75 | −6.0 | P0.0 | 148.5 | O156 | 123.4 | 114.3 | 65.6 |
| Mar 7 | Samford | N | W 86–81 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 145.5 | O167 | 124.6 | 117.4 | 69.0 |
| Feb 28 | W Carolina | A | L 67–86 | −2.0 | L−21.0 | 148.0 | O153 | 105.4 | 135.3 | 63.6 |
| Feb 25 | The Citadel | H | W 72–51 | −15.5 | W+5.5 | 143.5 | U123 | 120.3 | 85.2 | 59.8 |
| Feb 21 | Wofford | A | W 76–67 | −1.5 | W+7.5 | 152.5 | U143 | 118.7 | 104.6 | 64.1 |
| Feb 18 | ETSU | H | L 69–78 | −1.5 | L−10.5 | 141.0 | O147 | 101.2 | 114.4 | 68.2 |
| Feb 14 | VMI | A | W 90–72 | −12.0 | W+6.0 | 146.5 | O162 | 126.8 | 101.4 | 71.0 |
| Feb 11 | Mercer | A | L 64–69 | +3.5 | L−1.5 | 151.5 | U133 | 96.1 | 103.6 | 66.6 |
Bethune
Against the spread
Season
15-15-1
Home
6-4
Road
9-8-1
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −2.0
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
17-14
Home
5-5
Road
12-6
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +2.7
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Prairie View | N | L 67–71 | −5.5 | L−9.5 | 148.0 | U138 | 101.9 | 108.0 | 65.8 |
| Mar 5 | Florida A&M | A | L 77–81 | −2.5 | L−6.5 | 145.5 | O158 | 107.3 | 112.9 | 71.8 |
| Feb 28 | Southern | A | W 82–79 | +2.0 | W+5.0 | 153.0 | O161 | 110.6 | 106.6 | 74.1 |
| Feb 26 | Grambling | A | W 76–71 | +1.0 | W+6.0 | 144.0 | O147 | 99.8 | 93.3 | 76.1 |
| Feb 21 | Alabama A&M | H | W 85–76 | −7.0 | W+2.0 | 143.0 | O161 | 125.6 | 112.3 | 67.7 |
| Feb 19 | Alabama St | H | W 82–71 | −5.5 | W+5.5 | 148.0 | O153 | 114.8 | 99.4 | 71.4 |
| Feb 16 | Jackson St | A | L 86–91 | −5.0 | L−10.0 | 150.0 | O177 | 111.5 | 118.0 | 77.2 |
| Feb 14 | Alcorn St | A | L 55–57 | −8.0 | L−10.0 | 145.0 | U112 | 86.2 | 89.3 | 63.8 |
| Feb 9 | Texas Southern | H | W 79–69 OT | −8.5 | W+1.5 | 152.0 | U148 | 106.5 | 93.0 | 74.2 |
| Feb 7 | Prairie View | H | W 82–76 | −10.5 | L−4.5 | 157.5 | O158 | 107.5 | 99.7 | 76.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeFurmanBethune
Efficiency
108.6
104.6
107.9
109.7
67.3
69.5
—
—
Shooting
54.8%
51.0%
58.8%
51.6%
33.4%
33.0%
70.1%
69.7%
32.7%
40.9%
Ball control & glass
17.8%
19.2%
13.7%
15.8%
30.5%
30.1%
28.2%
31.7%
11.3%
11.6%
10.6%
7.1%
Style
46.5%
29.7%
42.6%
49.1%
11.1%
19.9%
56.1%
50.4%
28.5%
32.9%
Roster
2.85
3.59
6'7.1"
6'5.5"
74.9%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputFurman
Returning minutes: 74.9%Returning production: 66.0%
Lost
- Alex Wilkins 29.7 mpg, 17.8 ppg · transferred to Kentucky
- Cooper Bowser 21.1 mpg, 9.8 ppg · transferred to Arkansas
Added
- Davis Molnar no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 75% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Bethune
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Bethune's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.