CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Conference gameTitan Gym, Fullerton, CA
Long Beach St
Efficiency #267
2025-26: 10-22 · 6-14 conf
@
Fullerton
Efficiency #205
2025-26: 18-16 · 13-9 conf
Sat, Dec 5 · 7:00 PM ET
74.7
win 27%
Projected
81.8
win 73%
No line posted yet.
Model: CSUF −7.0 · total 156.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Fullerton 72.0, Long Beach St 69.1 → 72.8 possessions
+9.7
Fullerton offense vs Long Beach St defense
+0.7
Long Beach St offense vs Fullerton defense
−2.1
Projected total
156.5
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Fullerton offense vs Long Beach St defense
+0.7
Long Beach St offense vs Fullerton defense
+2.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.2
Fullerton by 7.0
7.0
Long Beach St side ◂▸ Fullerton side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Fullerton.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 72.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Fullerton is the faster team (75.5, #2 of 365) and Long Beach St the slower (70.8, #60). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
72.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
156.5
model
Projected team totals
74.7 / 81.8
Long Beach St / Fullerton
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.1#118
Long Beach St
72.0#4
Fullerton
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Track meet
Fullerton averages 75.5 possessions per 40, Long Beach St 70.8. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 75 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageFullerton
Where Fullerton struggles: the offensive glass
Fullerton rebounds 24.6% of its own misses (#345); Long Beach St lets opponents grab 27.8% of their own misses (#60). Expect about 25.1%, 5.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.3 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageLong Beach St
Where Long Beach St struggles: ball control
Long Beach St turns it over on 18.0% of possessions (#270); Fullerton forces turnovers on 19.5% of opponent possessions (#35). Expect about 19.2%, 2.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.0 points per 100 possessions.
GlassLong Beach St
Long Beach St gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 26.5% is worth roughly -2.4 points per 100 possessions against Long Beach St's offense.
ClashLong Beach St
Style clash: ball movement
Long Beach St creates off the dribble (assists on 46.2% of its baskets); Fullerton allows assists on 59.7% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 53.1% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
ClashLong Beach St
Style clash: 3-point volume
Long Beach St rarely shoots threes (34.8% of its shots); Fullerton lets opponents take 46.4% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 40.1% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
Long Beach St has the ball
OffenseFullerton allowsvs D1 avg
50.6% #207
54.3% #307
+1.6 pt/100
18.0% #270
19.5% #35
-3.0 pt/100
26.2% #315
28.3% #80
-2.4 pt/100
30.7% #287
35.3% #188
-0.2 pt/100
72.5% #185
—
+0.0 pt/100
Long Beach St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.9 pts/100
Fullerton has the ball
OffenseLong Beach St allowsvs D1 avg
51.4% #180
53.7% #290
+1.8 pt/100
15.2% #79
17.5% #120
+0.5 pt/100
24.6% #345
27.8% #60
-3.3 pt/100
37.8% #107
42.3% #327
+0.7 pt/100
71.6% #218
—
-0.1 pt/100
Fullerton net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersLong Beach Stoffense vsFullertondefense
Share of shots by zone
Long Beach St shoots
33.1
8.7
23.2
35.1
Fullerton allows
36.2
4.8
12.3
46.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.6%#27 | 64.6%#347 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.7%#201 | 47.0%#331 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.4%#209 | 38.5%#180 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.7%#245 | 34.0%#185 | 33.7% |
Fullertonoffense vsLong Beach Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Fullerton shoots
37.5
4.8
14.9
42.8
Long Beach St allows
42.3
6.9
15.6
35.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.2%#222 | 63.4%#334 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 42.4%#113 | 40.0%#191 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.5%#205 | 39.7%#230 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.2%#162 | 34.4%#212 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersLong Beach St
−3.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#318 of 365
Off reb %
26.2%
#315
Def reb %
72.2%
#60
Turnover %
18.0%
#270
Forced TO %
17.5%
#120
FT rate
30.7%
#287
FT allowed
42.3%
#327
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.3
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers+0.6
Foul shots drawn−1.1
Foul shots allowed−1.8
Fullerton
+2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#77 of 365
Off reb %
24.6%
#345
Def reb %
71.7%
#80
Turnover %
15.2%
#79
Forced TO %
19.5%
#35
FT rate
37.8%
#107
FT allowed
35.3%
#188
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.9
Defensive rebounding+0.7
Ball security+1.1
Forcing turnovers+1.9
Foul shots drawn+0.7
Foul shots allowed0.0
Fullerton has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.5 (#77 of 365) to Long Beach St’s −3.6 (#318).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Long Beach St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Petar Majstorovic | F | So | 6'8" | 32-32 | 31.1 | 14.4 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 56.7% | 28.6% | 3.1 | 77.5% | 25.7% | |
| 11 | Gavin Sykes | G | Fr | 6'4" | 28-26 | 32.9 | 19.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 55.6% | 38.7% | 6.0 | 79.5% | 29.9% | |
| 12 | Isaiah Lewis | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-13 | 22.1 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 42.2% | 31.8% | 2.1 | 76.9% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Rob Diaz III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-14 | 21.9 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 32.9% | 2.2 | 80.7% | 21.8% | |
| 2 | Shaquil Bender | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-9 | 21.8 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 49.5% | 36.6% | 4.3 | 75.0% | 31.8% | |
| 4 | Leopold Levillain | F | Fr | 6'9" | 30-24 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 57.0% | — | 0.0 | 61.9% | 16.0% | |
| 33 | Shay Johnson Jr. | F | Sr | 6'10" | 31-8 | 16.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 70.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 41.7% | 8.4% | |
| 3 | Dallas Washington | F | Fr | 6'10" | 23-1 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 36.6% | 18.2% | 1.4 | 44.4% | 21.9% | |
| 24 | Christian Jones | G | So | 6'4" | 18-1 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 55.0% | 35.5% | 1.7 | 77.8% | 18.8% | |
| 1 | Derrick Michael Xzavierro | F | Jr | 6'10" | 18-0 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 70.0% | 19.9% | |
| 15 | JJ Chaikovsky | F | So | 6'7" | 19-0 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | — | 7.5% | |
| 14 | Immanuel Lewis | G | Sr | 6'3" | 1-0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 22.1% | |
| 8 | Grant Gondrezick II | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Jayden Alexander | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Fullerton2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Fullerton's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Joshua Ward | G | Sr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 30.9 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 50.3% | 30.9% | 4.4 | 75.1% | 25.8% | |
| 13 | Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 29.0 | 11.9 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 46.9% | 28.6% | 3.8 | 89.0% | 21.4% | |
| 7 | Christian Williams | G | Fr | 6'0" | 34-30 | 26.1 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 54.0% | 37.2% | 5.1 | 83.3% | 19.4% | |
| 12 | Bryce Cofield | G | Fr | 6'6" | 34-22 | 21.3 | 10.1 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 47.4% | 15.8% | 1.1 | 59.5% | 30.1% | |
| 99 | Landon Seaman | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-6 | 20.7 | 12.0 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 59.8% | 36.0% | 2.6 | 61.5% | 27.9% | |
| 24 | Kendrick De Luna | F | Jr | 6'10" | 34-28 | 17.5 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 50.4% | 100.0% | 0.0 | 69.6% | 15.5% | |
| 32 | Jaden Henderson | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-1 | 17.8 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 53.2% | 36.8% | 3.3 | 75.0% | 23.8% | |
| 2 | KJ Garris | G | Fr | 6'5" | 29-0 | 15.9 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 60.7% | 42.5% | 3.0 | 69.2% | 23.1% | |
| 8 | Bailey Nunn | G | Jr | 6'0" | 22-4 | 19.1 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 54.7% | 42.6% | 3.1 | 89.3% | 13.9% | |
| 1 | Davis White | G | Jr | 6'5" | 28-12 | 13.4 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 48.8% | 29.7% | 2.6 | 64.3% | 14.9% | |
| 33 | Ben Winker | G | Fr | 6'10" | 7-0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 75.0% | — | 0.0 | 12.5% | 14.8% | |
| 22 | Matthew Quinlan | G | Fr | 6'0" | 7-0 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 65.0% | 37.5% | 1.1 | 100.0% | 29.7% | |
| 11 | Cam Smith | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Karan Kolappa | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Kidus Tilahun | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Nicholas Khatchikian | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Yesan Warren | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Long Beach St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Petar Majstorovic | F | So | 6'8" | 32-32 | 31.1 | 14.4 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 56.7% | 28.6% | 3.1 | 77.5% | 25.7% | |
| 11 | Gavin Sykes | G | Fr | 6'4" | 28-26 | 32.9 | 19.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 55.6% | 38.7% | 6.0 | 79.5% | 29.9% | |
| 12 | Isaiah Lewis | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-13 | 22.1 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 42.2% | 31.8% | 2.1 | 76.9% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Rob Diaz III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-14 | 21.9 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 32.9% | 2.2 | 80.7% | 21.8% | |
| 2 | Shaquil Bender | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-9 | 21.8 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 49.5% | 36.6% | 4.3 | 75.0% | 31.8% | |
| 4 | Leopold Levillain | F | Fr | 6'9" | 30-24 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 57.0% | — | 0.0 | 61.9% | 16.0% | |
| 33 | Shay Johnson Jr. | F | Sr | 6'10" | 31-8 | 16.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 70.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 41.7% | 8.4% | |
| 3 | Dallas Washington | F | Fr | 6'10" | 23-1 | 11.0 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 36.6% | 18.2% | 1.4 | 44.4% | 21.9% | |
| 24 | Christian Jones | G | So | 6'4" | 18-1 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 55.0% | 35.5% | 1.7 | 77.8% | 18.8% | |
| 1 | Derrick Michael Xzavierro | F | Jr | 6'10" | 18-0 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 70.0% | 19.9% | |
| 15 | JJ Chaikovsky | F | So | 6'7" | 19-0 | 7.4 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | — | 7.5% | |
| 14 | Immanuel Lewis | G | Sr | 6'3" | 1-0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 22.1% | |
| 8 | Grant Gondrezick II | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Jayden Alexander | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Long Beach St
Against the spread
Season
15-14-1
Home
8-6
Road
7-8-1
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.1
Covered the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
19-10-1
Home
9-4-1
Road
10-6
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +5.8
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Hawai'i | A | W 84–75 | +14.0 | W+23.0 | 150.0 | O159 | 109.6 | 97.9 | 76.6 |
| Mar 5 | UC Davis | H | L 70–76 OT | +2.0 | L−4.0 | 150.0 | U146 | 88.2 | 95.7 | 79.4 |
| Feb 28 | Bakersfield | A | W 88–87 | −3.0 | L−2.0 | 153.5 | O175 | 118.6 | 117.3 | 74.2 |
| Feb 26 | Cal Poly | A | L 92–102 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 161.5 | O194 | 114.6 | 127.1 | 80.3 |
| Feb 21 | CSU Northridge | H | L 76–78 | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 157.5 | U154 | 105.9 | 108.7 | 71.8 |
| Feb 19 | UC Irvine | H | L 58–69 | +5.0 | L−6.0 | 143.0 | U127 | 78.7 | 93.6 | 73.7 |
| Feb 14 | UC Davis | A | L 54–71 | +5.0 | L−12.0 | 149.5 | U125 | 76.6 | 100.8 | 70.5 |
| Feb 12 | Fullerton | H | L 82–86 | −1.5 | L−5.5 | 156.5 | O168 | 110.5 | 115.9 | 74.2 |
| Feb 5 | UC San Diego | A | L 74–77 | +10.5 | W+7.5 | 146.5 | O151 | 99.1 | 103.2 | 74.6 |
| Jan 31 | Hawai'i | H | L 82–89 | +8.0 | W+1.0 | 144.5 | O171 | 113.7 | 123.4 | 72.1 |
Fullerton
Against the spread
Season
20-11-1
Home
8-3-1
Road
9-7
Last 10
7-2-1
avg cover +2.9
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 4 as a favorite, 1 pushCovered 4 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-19
Home
4-8
Road
7-9
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +1.4
Under 4 straightOver in 2 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Hawai'i | N | L 63–78 | +5.0 | L−10.0 | 157.5 | U141 | 85.7 | 106.1 | 73.5 |
| Mar 12 | UC Davis | N | W 82–70 | −1.0 | W+11.0 | 155.0 | U152 | 98.9 | 84.4 | 82.9 |
| Mar 7 | CSU Northridge | A | W 90–77 | +6.0 | W+19.0 | 170.5 | U167 | 108.9 | 93.1 | 82.7 |
| Mar 5 | UC San Diego | H | W 75–71 | +3.0 | W+7.0 | 157.0 | U146 | 107.4 | 101.6 | 69.8 |
| Feb 28 | Hawai'i | H | L 85–87 | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 157.0 | O172 | 118.2 | 121.0 | 71.9 |
| Feb 21 | Bakersfield | A | W 88–80 | −6.0 | W+2.0 | 161.0 | O168 | 119.8 | 108.9 | 73.4 |
| Feb 19 | UC Davis | H | W 93–92 | −1.0 | P0.0 | 157.0 | O185 | 139.6 | 138.1 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | UC Irvine | A | L 65–86 | +8.0 | L−13.0 | 154.0 | U151 | 88.4 | 117.0 | 73.5 |
| Feb 12 | Long Beach St | A | W 86–82 | +1.5 | W+5.5 | 156.5 | O168 | 115.9 | 110.5 | 74.2 |
| Feb 7 | Bakersfield | H | W 82–66 | −10.0 | W+6.0 | 158.0 | U148 | 110.6 | 89.0 | 74.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeLong Beach StFullerton
Efficiency
105.0
107.6
110.3
109.1
69.1
72.0
—
—
Shooting
50.6%
51.4%
51.5%
51.4%
32.7%
34.2%
72.5%
71.6%
30.7%
37.8%
Ball control & glass
18.0%
15.2%
17.5%
19.5%
26.2%
24.6%
27.8%
28.3%
9.5%
8.2%
7.2%
8.5%
Style
34.8%
43.1%
44.4%
39.4%
11.7%
20.5%
46.2%
55.2%
35.9%
37.8%
Roster
2.37
2.86
6'5.6"
6'3.8"
89.8%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputLong Beach St
Returning minutes: 89.8%Returning production: 93.5%
Lost
- Cole Farrell 20.7 mpg, 6.4 ppg · transferred to Niagara
Added
- Jayden Alexander no D1 minutes last season
- Grant Gondrezick II no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 90% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Fullerton
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Fullerton's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Thu, Feb 12 | 2025-26 | Fullerton 86 – 82 Long Beach St |
| Thu, Jan 22 | 2025-26 | Long Beach St 61 – 71 Fullerton |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.