CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Conference gameMcGuirk Arena, Mount Pleasant, MI
Ohio
Efficiency #233
2025-26: 15-17 · 9-10 conf
@
C Michigan
Efficiency #283
2025-26: 10-21 · 6-12 conf
Sat, Dec 5 · TBD
75.3
win 44%
Projected
77.2
win 56%
No line posted yet.
Model: CMU −1.9 · total 152.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: C Michigan 68.1, Ohio 69.4 → 69.2 possessions
+1.9
C Michigan offense vs Ohio defense
+0.2
Ohio offense vs C Michigan defense
+2.3
Projected total
152.5
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
C Michigan offense vs Ohio defense
+0.2
Ohio offense vs C Michigan defense
−2.3
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
C Michigan by 1.9
1.9
Ohio side ◂▸ C Michigan side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 152.6 against a projected 152.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help C Michigan.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Ohio is the faster team (70.4, #79 of 365) and C Michigan the slower (68.3, #185). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
152.5
model
Projected team totals
75.3 / 77.2
Ohio / C Michigan
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.4#93
Ohio
68.1#198
C Michigan
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetClashC Michigan
Style match: 3-point volume
C Michigan rarely shoots threes (34.0% of its shots); Ohio runs teams off the line (33.6% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 31.3% — both habits push the same way.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Ohio, Ohio's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Ohio at about 37.7% of its shots from three, C Michigan about 31.3%.
AdvantageOhio
Where Ohio scores: shooting
Ohio shoots an effective 50.9% (#197); C Michigan allows 54.0% (#299). Expect about 52.5%, 1.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.7 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageC Michigan
Where C Michigan scores: shooting
C Michigan shoots an effective 51.8% (#158); Ohio allows 53.0% (#269). Expect about 52.4%, 1.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.7 points per 100 possessions.
ClashOhio
Style clash: ball movement
Ohio creates off the dribble (assists on 46.6% of its baskets); C Michigan allows assists on 57.9% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 52.2% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Ohio has the ball
OffenseC Michigan allowsvs D1 avg
50.9% #197
54.0% #299
+1.7 pt/100
15.5% #101
17.0% #156
+0.8 pt/100
28.4% #248
34.3% #323
+0.3 pt/100
36.9% #132
39.0% #284
+0.4 pt/100
71.0% #237
—
-0.1 pt/100
Ohio net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.0 pts/100
C Michigan has the ball
OffenseOhio allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #158
53.0% #269
+1.7 pt/100
18.1% #276
16.1% #217
-0.4 pt/100
29.2% #230
32.8% #289
+0.2 pt/100
31.4% #269
38.2% #266
+0.0 pt/100
69.7% #277
—
-0.2 pt/100
C Michigan net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersOhiooffense vsC Michigandefense
Share of shots by zone
Ohio shoots
38.7
6.0
18.2
37.0
C Michigan allows
44.8
6.0
10.8
38.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.2%#87 | 61.1%#270 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.9%#83 | 44.2%#270 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.6%#19 | 31.6%#14 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.1%#341 | 35.5%#282 | 33.7% |
C Michiganoffense vsOhiodefense
Share of shots by zone
C Michigan shoots
38.2
10.0
18.5
33.3
Ohio allows
43.8
6.6
16.8
32.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.3%#154 | 58.6%#169 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.8%#41 | 39.8%#189 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.4%#99 | 38.8%#192 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.9%#181 | 36.8%#340 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersOhio
−1.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#236 of 365
Off reb %
28.4%
#248
Def reb %
67.2%
#289
Turnover %
15.5%
#101
Forced TO %
16.1%
#217
FT rate
36.9%
#132
FT allowed
38.2%
#266
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.6
Defensive rebounding−0.7
Ball security+0.9
Forcing turnovers−0.4
Foul shots drawn+0.5
Foul shots allowed−0.8
C Michigan
−4.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#330 of 365
Off reb %
29.2%
#230
Def reb %
65.7%
#323
Turnover %
18.1%
#276
Forced TO %
17.0%
#156
FT rate
31.4%
#269
FT allowed
39.0%
#284
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.4
Defensive rebounding−1.2
Ball security−0.9
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed−1.0
Ohio has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.1 (#236 of 365) to C Michigan’s −4.2 (#330).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Ohio2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Ohio's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jackson Paveletzke | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-31 | 36.7 | 17.3 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 51.1% | 31.6% | 3.2 | 80.5% | 26.4% | |
| 10 | Aidan Hadaway | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-32 | 31.8 | 14.4 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 54.3% | 30.1% | 4.6 | 69.7% | 26.3% | |
| 0 | Ajay Sheldon | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-30 | 30.8 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 50.9% | 37.1% | 5.6 | 70.0% | 15.3% | |
| 1 | Javan Simmons | F | Jr | 6'7" | 31-31 | 27.1 | 15.1 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 54.6% | 20.0% | 1.0 | 68.5% | 30.4% | |
| 4 | JJ Kelly | G | Fr | 6'6" | 31-26 | 26.6 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 58.0% | 32.9% | 2.4 | 77.3% | 17.2% | |
| 22 | Jalen Breath | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-1 | 13.4 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 52.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 41.7% | 18.8% | |
| 3 | Dior Conners | G | Sr | 6'3" | 31-3 | 11.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 42.2% | 27.5% | 2.9 | 78.8% | 24.4% | |
| 6 | Elijah Elliott | G | So | 6'3" | 13-5 | 21.5 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 34.2% | 22.7% | 1.7 | 63.6% | 16.7% | |
| 17 | Kiir Kuany | F | Fr | 6'9" | 31-1 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 57.2% | 24.1% | 0.9 | 73.7% | 20.5% | |
| 21 | Jesse Burris | G | Fr | 6'5" | 23-0 | 10.4 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 45.0% | 28.6% | 2.1 | 90.0% | 23.1% | |
| 5 | Ayden Evans | F | So | 6'10" | 11-0 | 8.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 47.7% | 16.7% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 17.5% | |
| 24 | Jordan Fisher | F | Fr | 6'5" | 5-0 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 53.6% | 20.0% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 46.5% | |
| 11 | Carter Reese | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Chase Boals | F | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Zay Mosley | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
C Michigan2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jayson Pettyat Kansas City | G | Sr | 6'3" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 49.0% | 33.5% | 5.3 | 83.3% | 22.2% | |
| 10 | Phat Phat Brooks | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-27 | 28.1 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 43.2% | 17.6% | 1.1 | 73.3% | 27.3% | |
| 13 | Keenan Garner | F | Jr | 6'7" | 31-18 | 24.2 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 56.1% | 47.1% | 0.5 | 59.2% | 19.9% | |
| 3 | Jaxson Whitaker | G | Jr | 6'4" | 31-6 | 18.2 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 52.3% | 34.5% | 3.7 | 83.3% | 17.8% | |
| 2 | Jalen Kampen | G | So | 6'4" | 20-0 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 49.3% | 31.3% | 1.6 | 68.8% | 18.3% | |
| 4 | Kareem Aburashed | C | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Nsikan Usen | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Uchenna Amene | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Brock Mendoza | C | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 55 | Conrad Luczynski | C | Sr | 7'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Jacob Wrencher | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Jake Bascom | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Jayden Hackett | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 40 | Travis Ambrose | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Tyre Acuff | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Jayson Petty (from Kansas City)
Ohio2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Ohio's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jackson Paveletzke | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-31 | 36.7 | 17.3 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 51.1% | 31.6% | 3.2 | 80.5% | 26.4% | |
| 10 | Aidan Hadaway | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-32 | 31.8 | 14.4 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 54.3% | 30.1% | 4.6 | 69.7% | 26.3% | |
| 0 | Ajay Sheldon | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-30 | 30.8 | 7.5 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 50.9% | 37.1% | 5.6 | 70.0% | 15.3% | |
| 1 | Javan Simmons | F | Jr | 6'7" | 31-31 | 27.1 | 15.1 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 54.6% | 20.0% | 1.0 | 68.5% | 30.4% | |
| 4 | JJ Kelly | G | Fr | 6'6" | 31-26 | 26.6 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 58.0% | 32.9% | 2.4 | 77.3% | 17.2% | |
| 22 | Jalen Breath | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-1 | 13.4 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 52.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 41.7% | 18.8% | |
| 3 | Dior Conners | G | Sr | 6'3" | 31-3 | 11.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 42.2% | 27.5% | 2.9 | 78.8% | 24.4% | |
| 6 | Elijah Elliott | G | So | 6'3" | 13-5 | 21.5 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 34.2% | 22.7% | 1.7 | 63.6% | 16.7% | |
| 17 | Kiir Kuany | F | Fr | 6'9" | 31-1 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 57.2% | 24.1% | 0.9 | 73.7% | 20.5% | |
| 21 | Jesse Burris | G | Fr | 6'5" | 23-0 | 10.4 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 45.0% | 28.6% | 2.1 | 90.0% | 23.1% | |
| 5 | Ayden Evans | F | So | 6'10" | 11-0 | 8.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 47.7% | 16.7% | 0.5 | 66.7% | 17.5% | |
| 24 | Jordan Fisher | F | Fr | 6'5" | 5-0 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 53.6% | 20.0% | 1.0 | 66.7% | 46.5% | |
| 11 | Carter Reese | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Chase Boals | F | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Zay Mosley | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Ohio
Against the spread
Season
12-18
Home
7-7
Road
4-8
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −2.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
15-15
Home
7-7
Road
5-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +5.8
Over 3 straightOver in 1 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Kent State | N | L 75–86 | +3.5 | L−7.5 | 160.5 | O161 | 105.7 | 121.1 | 71.0 |
| Mar 6 | #19Miami OH | H | L 108–110 OT | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 160.0 | O218 | 129.8 | 132.3 | 83.2 |
| Mar 3 | UMass | A | L 82–94 | +1.5 | L−10.5 | 156.5 | O176 | 106.9 | 122.6 | 76.7 |
| Feb 28 | Toledo | H | L 67–79 | −2.5 | L−14.5 | 159.0 | U146 | 101.2 | 119.4 | 66.2 |
| Feb 21 | N Illinois | A | W 74–66 | −5.5 | W+2.5 | 150.0 | U140 | 114.6 | 102.2 | 64.6 |
| Feb 17 | Ball State | H | W 69–57 | −9.5 | W+2.5 | 144.5 | U126 | 115.4 | 95.3 | 59.8 |
| Feb 13 | #23Miami OH | A | L 74–90 | +7.5 | L−8.5 | 164.5 | U164 | 102.9 | 125.2 | 71.9 |
| Feb 7 | Old Dominion | A | L 72–78 | −3.5 | L−9.5 | 156.0 | U150 | 111.0 | 120.3 | 64.8 |
| Feb 3 | W Michigan | H | W 91–71 | −10.5 | W+9.5 | 156.0 | O162 | 131.6 | 102.7 | 69.2 |
| Jan 31 | Buffalo | A | W 95–83 | +2.5 | W+14.5 | 156.5 | O178 | 132.7 | 115.9 | 71.6 |
C Michigan
Against the spread
Season
15-13-1
Home
7-3-1
Road
6-10
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +6.0
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-16
Home
5-6
Road
8-8
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.5
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | Ball State | A | L 69–85 | +2.0 | L−14.0 | 135.0 | O154 | 102.1 | 125.8 | 67.6 |
| Mar 3 | Akron | H | L 64–77 | +11.5 | L−1.5 | 158.5 | U141 | 94.1 | 113.2 | 68.0 |
| Feb 28 | Buffalo | A | W 75–70 | +6.0 | W+11.0 | 149.5 | U145 | 117.8 | 109.9 | 63.7 |
| Feb 24 | Kent State | A | L 81–83 | +12.0 | W+10.0 | 157.0 | O164 | 121.1 | 124.1 | 66.9 |
| Feb 21 | W Michigan | H | W 83–70 | −3.5 | W+9.5 | 151.5 | O153 | 111.5 | 94.0 | 74.5 |
| Feb 17 | E Michigan | A | L 54–66 | +5.0 | L−7.0 | 143.0 | U120 | 81.4 | 99.5 | 66.3 |
| Feb 14 | N Illinois | H | W 88–46 | −4.5 | W+37.5 | 146.0 | U134 | 128.9 | 67.4 | 68.3 |
| Feb 7 | Louisiana | A | L 80–85 | +2.5 | L−2.5 | 134.0 | O165 | 125.0 | 132.8 | 64.0 |
| Feb 3 | UMass | A | L 89–95 | +11.5 | W+5.5 | 152.5 | O184 | 127.4 | 136.0 | 69.8 |
| Jan 31 | Bowling Green | H | W 62–59 | +9.0 | W+12.0 | 149.0 | U121 | 88.1 | 83.8 | 70.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOhioC Michigan
Efficiency
108.0
106.1
111.1
112.3
69.4
68.1
—
—
Shooting
50.9%
51.8%
54.5%
52.2%
30.1%
33.9%
71.0%
69.7%
36.9%
31.4%
Ball control & glass
15.5%
18.1%
16.1%
17.0%
28.4%
29.2%
32.8%
34.3%
8.5%
11.1%
7.5%
8.8%
Style
38.1%
34.0%
45.2%
47.8%
9.2%
15.0%
46.6%
54.9%
23.8%
31.5%
Roster
3.12
3.20
6'4.9"
6'4.1"
—
39.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputOhio
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Ohio's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
C Michigan
Returning minutes: 39.7%Returning production: 34.3%
Lost
- Nathan Claerbaut 29.1 mpg, 12.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tamario Adley 29.0 mpg, 12.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Logan McIntire 23.8 mpg, 10.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nick Mullen 19.0 mpg, 5.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Will Ashford 9.9 mpg, 2.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Rodney Johnson Jr. 5.0 mpg, 2.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jayson Petty from Kansas City · 31.1 mpg, 11.1 ppg last season
- Conrad Luczynski no D1 minutes last season
- Uchenna Amene no D1 minutes last season
- Tyre Acuff no D1 minutes last season
- Jacob Wrencher no D1 minutes last season
- Kareem Aburashed no D1 minutes last season
Returns 40% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Dec 30 | 2025-26 | Ohio 80 – 64 C Michigan |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.