CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceProvident Credit Union Event Center, San Jose, CA
Seattle U
Efficiency #125
2025-26: 21-14 · 9-11 conf
@
San José St
Efficiency #282
2025-26: 9-24 · 4-18 conf
Sat, Dec 5 · TBD
72.1
win 57%
Projected
70.2
win 43%
No line posted yet.
Model: SEA −1.9 · total 142.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: San José St 66.7, Seattle U 68.7 → 67.1 possessions
−2.7
San José St offense vs Seattle U defense
−4.5
Seattle U offense vs San José St defense
+1.3
Projected total
142.3
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
San José St offense vs Seattle U defense
−4.5
Seattle U offense vs San José St defense
−1.3
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Seattle U by 1.9
1.9
Seattle U side ◂▸ San José St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help San José St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Seattle U is the faster team (68.8, #160 of 365) and San José St the slower (65.7, #305). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
142.3
model
Projected team totals
72.1 / 70.2
Seattle U / San José St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.7#150
Seattle U
66.7#306
San José St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageSan José St
Where San José St struggles: shooting
San José St shoots an effective 49.7% (#255); Seattle U allows 48.4% (#46). Expect about 48.9%, 2.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.4 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageSeattle U
Where Seattle U scores: shooting
Seattle U shoots an effective 49.8% (#249); San José St allows 57.1% (#359). Expect about 53.4%, 2.1 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.0 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseSeattle U
Seattle U's shot-blocking
Seattle U ranks #14 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.1% of San José St's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
TurnoversSan José St
San José St turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.6% is worth roughly -2.3 points per 100 possessions against San José St's offense.
ClashSan José St
Strength vs strength: live-ball turnovers
San José St (#53 in live-ball turnovers) against Seattle U (#46 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 10.2%. Historically Seattle U's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.40 vs 0.65).
Seattle U has the ball
OffenseSan José St allowsvs D1 avg
49.8% #249
57.1% #359
+3.0 pt/100
16.8% #183
17.4% #122
-0.5 pt/100
23.7% #347
36.5% #354
-1.1 pt/100
34.2% #201
35.3% #189
-0.0 pt/100
70.6% #252
—
-0.2 pt/100
Seattle U net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.3 pts/100
San José St has the ball
OffenseSeattle U allowsvs D1 avg
49.7% #255
48.4% #46
-3.4 pt/100
15.1% #77
21.1% #9
-2.3 pt/100
29.3% #225
31.8% #249
-0.0 pt/100
33.4% #225
33.0% #131
-0.2 pt/100
73.8% #140
—
+0.1 pt/100
San José St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSeattle Uoffense vsSan José Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Seattle U shoots
39.2
7.3
14.0
39.5
San José St allows
43.3
7.2
10.9
38.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.3%#262 | 66.2%#360 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.8%#151 | 39.7%#181 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.0%#263 | 42.4%#314 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.7%#186 | 36.0%#305 | 33.7% |
San José Stoffense vsSeattle Udefense
Share of shots by zone
San José St shoots
30.9
8.5
22.5
38.1
Seattle U allows
38.4
8.8
15.3
37.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.9%#278 | 53.2%#26 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.6%#321 | 39.6%#180 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 41.2%#76 | 40.7%#267 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.3%#97 | 32.1%#69 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSeattle U
+0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#145 of 365
Off reb %
23.7%
#347
Def reb %
68.2%
#249
Turnover %
16.8%
#183
Forced TO %
21.1%
#9
FT rate
34.2%
#201
FT allowed
33.0%
#131
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.2
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers+3.0
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.6
San José St
−1.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#235 of 365
Off reb %
29.3%
#225
Def reb %
63.5%
#354
Turnover %
15.1%
#77
Forced TO %
17.4%
#122
FT rate
33.4%
#225
FT allowed
35.3%
#189
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.3
Defensive rebounding−1.9
Ball security+1.1
Forcing turnovers+0.5
Foul shots drawn−0.4
Foul shots allowed0.0
Seattle U has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.9 (#145 of 365) to San José St’s −1.1 (#235).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Seattle U2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Seattle U's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Junseok Yeo | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-34 | 30.8 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 51.2% | 29.5% | 5.2 | 69.6% | 24.5% | |
| 15 | Will Heimbrodt | F | So | 6'7" | 34-33 | 30.8 | 12.3 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 44.9% | 29.7% | 1.9 | 59.3% | 28.7% | |
| 1 | Maleek Arington | G | Sr | 6'3" | 35-35 | 29.6 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 36.3% | 32.1% | 1.5 | 75.6% | 12.5% | |
| 0 | Brayden Maldonado | G | Sr | 6'0" | 32-32 | 30.6 | 14.7 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 51.8% | 37.8% | 6.5 | 88.7% | 27.5% | |
| 34 | Austin Maurer | C | So | 7'0" | 35-25 | 17.9 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 25.6% | 1.1 | 72.4% | 22.6% | |
| 11 | John Christofilis | G | Sr | 6'3" | 35-2 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.4% | 38.7% | 3.5 | 83.3% | 21.3% | |
| 5 | Jojo Murphy | G | Sr | 6'2" | 35-4 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 48.9% | 34.5% | 2.5 | 79.5% | 23.7% | |
| 6 | Houran Dan | C | So | 6'10" | 35-10 | 15.0 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 58.8% | — | 0.0 | 64.5% | 22.3% | |
| 2 | Miles Amos | G | Jr | 6'2" | 30-0 | 11.0 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 46.2% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 13.2% | |
| 33 | Brock Felder | F | Jr | 6'8" | 28-0 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 79.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 50.0% | 19.0% | |
| 10 | Ray Adams | F | Fr | 6'8" | 5-0 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 38.2% | 25.0% | 0.8 | 60.0% | 22.3% | |
| 25 | Yuto Kawashima | F | Fr | 6'9" | 4-0 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 52.8% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 32.0% | |
| 9 | Stratos Papastavrou | F | Fr | 6'7" | 4-0 | 7.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.8 | 0.0% | 20.2% | |
| 19 | Eric Zheng | G | So | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Jeremiah Harshman | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | JT White | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
San José St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Melvin Bell Jr. | G | Fr | 6'4" | 33-24 | 33.4 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 44.9% | 27.0% | 1.9 | 62.4% | 18.0% | |
| 13 | Jermaine Washington | G | So | 6'1" | 25-24 | 34.7 | 11.5 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 51.0% | 36.7% | 5.9 | 62.3% | 22.0% | |
| 1 | Adrian Myers | F | So | 6'6" | 28-22 | 28.5 | 11.1 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 52.1% | 37.2% | 4.6 | 72.7% | 23.9% | |
| 99 | Sadraque NgaNga | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-26 | 24.3 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 48.8% | 35.8% | 3.0 | 82.6% | 22.1% | |
| 7 | Pasha Goodarzi | G | So | 6'3" | 19-10 | 26.1 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 52.9% | 40.7% | 4.8 | 93.1% | 18.9% | |
| 32 | Yaphet Moundi | F | Sr | 6'8" | 13-11 | 26.7 | 12.5 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 52.6% | 20.0% | 0.4 | 73.8% | 27.1% | |
| 11 | Ben Roseborough | G | Fr | 6'4" | 11-9 | 27.6 | 12.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 50.0% | 41.1% | 5.1 | 82.1% | 26.3% | |
| 24 | Douglas Langford | F | Fr | 6'7" | 27-5 | 10.9 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 39.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 57.1% | 13.6% | |
| 33 | Marcus Overstreet | F | Jr | 6'9" | 26-4 | 10.5 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.2% | — | 0.0 | 52.6% | 18.1% | |
| 21 | Japhet Moupadele | F | Fr | 6'8" | 23-1 | 11.6 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 44.6% | 23.5% | 1.5 | 45.5% | 19.5% | |
| 2 | JaVaughn Hannah | G | Sr | 6'3" | 2-2 | 22.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 63.6% | 40.0% | 2.5 | 33.3% | 19.9% | |
| 14 | Eren Karakaya | C | Fr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 17.6% | |
| 17 | Jaden Goodall | F | Fr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.7% | |
| 20 | Christian Wise | F | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Damase Coly | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Seattle U2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Seattle U's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Junseok Yeo | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-34 | 30.8 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 51.2% | 29.5% | 5.2 | 69.6% | 24.5% | |
| 15 | Will Heimbrodt | F | So | 6'7" | 34-33 | 30.8 | 12.3 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 44.9% | 29.7% | 1.9 | 59.3% | 28.7% | |
| 1 | Maleek Arington | G | Sr | 6'3" | 35-35 | 29.6 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 36.3% | 32.1% | 1.5 | 75.6% | 12.5% | |
| 0 | Brayden Maldonado | G | Sr | 6'0" | 32-32 | 30.6 | 14.7 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 51.8% | 37.8% | 6.5 | 88.7% | 27.5% | |
| 34 | Austin Maurer | C | So | 7'0" | 35-25 | 17.9 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 25.6% | 1.1 | 72.4% | 22.6% | |
| 11 | John Christofilis | G | Sr | 6'3" | 35-2 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.4% | 38.7% | 3.5 | 83.3% | 21.3% | |
| 5 | Jojo Murphy | G | Sr | 6'2" | 35-4 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 48.9% | 34.5% | 2.5 | 79.5% | 23.7% | |
| 6 | Houran Dan | C | So | 6'10" | 35-10 | 15.0 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 58.8% | — | 0.0 | 64.5% | 22.3% | |
| 2 | Miles Amos | G | Jr | 6'2" | 30-0 | 11.0 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 46.2% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 13.2% | |
| 33 | Brock Felder | F | Jr | 6'8" | 28-0 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 79.6% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 50.0% | 19.0% | |
| 10 | Ray Adams | F | Fr | 6'8" | 5-0 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 38.2% | 25.0% | 0.8 | 60.0% | 22.3% | |
| 25 | Yuto Kawashima | F | Fr | 6'9" | 4-0 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 52.8% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 32.0% | |
| 9 | Stratos Papastavrou | F | Fr | 6'7" | 4-0 | 7.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.8 | 0.0% | 20.2% | |
| 19 | Eric Zheng | G | So | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Jeremiah Harshman | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | JT White | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Seattle U
Against the spread
Season
15-17-1
Home
9-7
Road
5-7-1
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +3.5
Covered 2 straightCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-20
Home
6-10
Road
6-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −2.8
Over in the last gameOver in 1 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | Auburn | A | L 85–91 | +14.0 | W+8.0 | 146.0 | O176 | 116.9 | 125.2 | 72.7 |
| Mar 17 | St Thomas | H | W 67–52 | −2.0 | W+13.0 | 145.5 | U119 | 95.5 | 74.2 | 70.1 |
| Mar 7 | Pacific | N | L 58–61 | +1.0 | L−2.0 | 129.5 | U119 | 89.9 | 94.5 | 64.6 |
| Mar 6 | San Diego | N | W 58–56 | −8.0 | L−6.0 | 139.0 | U114 | 94.9 | 91.6 | 61.1 |
| Feb 28 | LMU | A | W 71–66 | +1.0 | W+6.0 | 136.0 | O137 | 112.8 | 104.8 | 63.0 |
| Feb 25 | Pepperdine | A | W 87–80 | −7.5 | L−0.5 | 145.5 | O167 | 124.1 | 114.1 | 70.1 |
| Feb 21 | Portland | H | W 71–59 | −6.5 | W+5.5 | 140.0 | U130 | 103.5 | 86.0 | 68.6 |
| Feb 18 | Saint Mary's | H | L 70–72 | +9.5 | W+7.5 | 133.0 | O142 | 95.7 | 98.4 | 73.1 |
| Feb 15 | Oregon St | H | W 60–50 | −7.0 | W+3.0 | 136.0 | U110 | 93.6 | 78.0 | 64.1 |
| Feb 11 | Santa Clara | A | L 72–84 | +12.5 | W+0.5 | 147.0 | O156 | 105.2 | 122.8 | 68.4 |
San José St
Against the spread
Season
15-16-1
Home
6-9
Road
7-5-1
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover +4.1
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 9 as an underdogCovered 4 of 6 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
21-10-1
Home
11-4
Road
8-4-1
Last 10
10-0
avg vs total +14.4
Over 10 straightOver in 9 of 9 as an underdogOver in 6 of 6 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | New Mexico | N | L 77–93 | +15.5 | L−0.5 | 154.5 | O170 | 111.9 | 135.2 | 68.8 |
| Mar 11 | Boise St | N | W 84–74 | +14.5 | W+24.5 | 146.0 | O158 | 120.3 | 106.0 | 69.8 |
| Mar 7 | Wyoming | H | L 78–88 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 148.0 | O166 | 129.4 | 146.0 | 60.3 |
| Mar 3 | Fresno St | A | L 68–82 | +7.5 | L−6.5 | 149.5 | O150 | 99.7 | 120.2 | 68.2 |
| Feb 28 | Colorado St | H | L 73–85 | +8.0 | L−4.0 | 145.5 | O158 | 114.7 | 133.6 | 63.6 |
| Feb 24 | Air Force | A | W 86–80 | −6.0 | P0.0 | 145.0 | O166 | 129.8 | 120.8 | 66.2 |
| Feb 21 | Boise St | A | L 69–84 | +17.5 | W+2.5 | 146.0 | O153 | 105.0 | 127.9 | 65.7 |
| Feb 17 | Nevada | H | W 87–71 | +11.0 | W+27.0 | 141.5 | O158 | 122.3 | 99.8 | 71.1 |
| Feb 14 | Grand Canyon | H | L 79–94 | +11.5 | L−3.5 | 139.0 | O173 | 121.6 | 144.7 | 65.0 |
| Feb 10 | UNLV | A | L 75–82 | +13.0 | W+6.0 | 150.0 | O157 | 110.7 | 121.1 | 67.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSeattle USan José St
Efficiency
103.7
109.0
101.3
115.1
68.7
66.7
—
—
Shooting
49.8%
49.7%
49.3%
47.6%
33.7%
35.3%
70.6%
73.8%
34.2%
33.4%
Ball control & glass
16.8%
15.1%
21.1%
17.4%
23.7%
29.3%
31.8%
36.5%
9.6%
8.2%
9.4%
8.3%
Style
39.4%
38.3%
43.9%
38.6%
9.9%
10.6%
53.8%
42.2%
30.5%
22.5%
Roster
3.25
2.11
6'5.4"
6'5.4"
—
84.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSeattle U
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Seattle U's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
San José St
Returning minutes: 84.6%Returning production: 73.6%
Lost
- Colby Garland 30.9 mpg, 17.8 ppg · transferred to Georgia Tech
Added
- Damase Coly no D1 minutes last season
- Christian Wise no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 85% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.