CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Conference gameJ. Lawrence Walkup Skydome, Flagstaff, AZ
Montana St
Efficiency #130
2025-26: 18-14 · 12-7 conf
@
N Arizona
Efficiency #329
2025-26: 10-22 · 4-15 conf
Sat, Dec 5 · TBD
73.8
win 64%
Projected
69.5
win 36%
No line posted yet.
Model: MTST −4.3 · total 143.2 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: N Arizona 66.0, Montana St 67.4 → 65.0 possessions
−7.2
N Arizona offense vs Montana St defense
−2.9
Montana St offense vs N Arizona defense
+5.1
Projected total
143.2
Axis starts at 130 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
N Arizona offense vs Montana St defense
−2.9
Montana St offense vs N Arizona defense
−5.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.7
Montana St by 4.3
4.3
Montana St side ◂▸ N Arizona side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help N Arizona.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Montana St is the faster team (67.4, #229 of 365) and N Arizona the slower (65.5, #317). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
143.2
model
Projected team totals
73.8 / 69.5
Montana St / N Arizona
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.4#264
Montana St
66.0#342
N Arizona
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageMontana St
Where Montana St scores: shooting
Montana St shoots an effective 53.6% (#80); N Arizona allows 56.9% (#355). Expect about 55.5%, 4.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +6.0 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageN Arizona
Where N Arizona struggles: the offensive glass
N Arizona rebounds 23.3% of its own misses (#348); Montana St lets opponents grab 28.2% of their own misses (#75). Expect about 24.4%, 6.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.7 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Half-court grind
N Arizona averages 65.5 possessions per 40, Montana St 67.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (N Arizona's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Montana St at about 44.0% of its shots from three, N Arizona about 33.9%.
TurnoversMontana St
Montana St protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.5% is worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions for Montana St's offense.
Montana St has the ball
OffenseN Arizona allowsvs D1 avg
53.6% #80
56.9% #355
+6.0 pt/100
14.7% #53
16.6% #180
+1.6 pt/100
27.0% #292
33.4% #305
-0.6 pt/100
30.2% #303
32.7% #124
-0.5 pt/100
74.0% #132
—
+0.1 pt/100
Montana St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.7 pts/100
N Arizona has the ball
OffenseMontana St allowsvs D1 avg
51.7% #161
51.7% #193
+0.6 pt/100
16.0% #141
15.7% #238
+1.4 pt/100
23.3% #348
28.2% #75
-3.7 pt/100
31.8% #260
29.6% #52
-0.6 pt/100
68.9% #304
—
-0.3 pt/100
N Arizona net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.6 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersMontana Stoffense vsN Arizonadefense
Share of shots by zone
Montana St shoots
31.3
7.0
17.2
44.4
N Arizona allows
42.8
5.2
11.7
40.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.7%#134 | 62.3%#307 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.4%#137 | 37.2%#115 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 45.3%#12 | 41.1%#278 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.1%#52 | 38.7%#362 | 33.7% |
N Arizonaoffense vsMontana Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
N Arizona shoots
38.6
7.1
19.1
35.2
Montana St allows
47.2
5.1
13.8
33.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.6%#284 | 54.6%#54 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 47.5%#31 | 49.4%#352 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.4%#101 | 41.2%#279 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.6%#79 | 34.3%#198 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersMontana St
+0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#154 of 365
Off reb %
27.0%
#292
Def reb %
71.8%
#75
Turnover %
14.7%
#53
Forced TO %
15.7%
#238
FT rate
30.2%
#303
FT allowed
29.6%
#52
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security+1.4
Forcing turnovers−0.7
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed+1.4
N Arizona
−2.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#300 of 365
Off reb %
23.3%
#348
Def reb %
66.6%
#305
Turnover %
16.0%
#141
Forced TO %
16.6%
#180
FT rate
31.8%
#260
FT allowed
32.7%
#124
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.3
Defensive rebounding−0.9
Ball security+0.5
Forcing turnovers−0.1
Foul shots drawn−0.8
Foul shots allowed+0.6
Montana St has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.6 (#154 of 365) to N Arizona’s −2.9 (#300).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Montana St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Montana St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jed Miller | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 34.5 | 14.9 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 59.4% | 40.6% | 6.8 | 80.0% | 22.7% | |
| 1 | Patrick McMahon | G | Sr | 6'7" | 29-29 | 29.2 | 13.7 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 48.1% | 25.5% | 1.9 | 71.5% | 29.4% | |
| 5 | Jeremiah Davis | G | Jr | 6'4" | 31-24 | 24.7 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 60.2% | 40.0% | 2.7 | 76.7% | 20.1% | |
| 7 | Christian King | F | So | 6'8" | 28-19 | 27.3 | 12.6 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 50.2% | 36.4% | 5.5 | 80.6% | 28.9% | |
| 21 | Chris Hodges | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 23.3 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 57.7% | — | 0.0 | 48.2% | 15.5% | |
| 0 | Davian Brown | G | Sr | 6'3" | 21-14 | 25.0 | 12.7 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 59.8% | 43.0% | 5.8 | 83.7% | 26.9% | |
| 12 | Seth Amunrud | G | Jr | 6'3" | 24-2 | 21.5 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 57.7% | 40.0% | 3.3 | 100.0% | 18.2% | |
| 44 | Jaden Steppe | F | So | 6'8" | 32-0 | 15.7 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 59.6% | 31.0% | 1.3 | 59.4% | 21.7% | |
| 2 | Howie Keene | G | Fr | 6'7" | 24-0 | 12.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 44.0% | 27.1% | 2.0 | 100.0% | 13.3% | |
| 4 | Cavin Holden | G | Jr | 6'2" | 8-8 | 25.9 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 48.4% | 31.0% | 5.3 | 80.0% | 20.8% | |
| 35 | Waka Mbatch | F | So | 6'10" | 11-0 | 12.4 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 58.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 76.2% | 21.9% | |
| 22 | Calum Rutherfurd | F | So | 6'11" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 19.1% | |
| 15 | Grayson Gaddis | F | Fr | 6'7" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 38.9% | 14.3% | 1.4 | 100.0% | 42.2% | |
| 3 | CJ Purdie | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | James Steward | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
N Arizona2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted N Arizona's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ryan Abelman | G | Jr | 6'4" | 30-30 | 32.3 | 10.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 49.5% | 36.1% | 4.8 | 89.4% | 20.3% | |
| 2 | Chris Komin | G | Fr | 6'3" | 31-17 | 26.6 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 53.1% | 35.7% | 2.3 | 81.8% | 17.3% | |
| 3 | Traivar Jackson | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-20 | 22.0 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 57.8% | — | 0.0 | 64.8% | 19.6% | |
| 9 | Karl Poom | F | So | 6'8" | 32-2 | 19.6 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 54.2% | 30.5% | 1.8 | 54.4% | 30.3% | |
| 7 | Brennan Peterson | G | Fr | 6'0" | 32-16 | 19.4 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 56.5% | 41.1% | 2.8 | 71.4% | 15.7% | |
| 24 | Isaiah Shaw | G | Jr | 6'8" | 29-22 | 18.3 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 56.9% | 46.4% | 2.4 | 81.1% | 25.1% | |
| 44 | Arne Osojnik | G | Jr | 6'6" | 29-14 | 16.1 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 48.3% | 32.4% | 2.3 | 77.3% | 26.8% | |
| 12 | Diego Campisano | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-9 | 17.8 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 52.1% | 37.9% | 3.7 | 76.9% | 23.5% | |
| 22 | Kavon Bradford | G | So | 6'1" | 28-12 | 16.2 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 44.9% | 26.7% | 0.5 | 65.6% | 24.0% | |
| 5 | Zack Davidson | F | So | 6'9" | 14-13 | 23.6 | 14.0 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 62.0% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 46.3% | 33.1% | |
| 4 | Oakland Fort | G | Sr | 5'10" | 29-5 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 57.3% | 37.0% | 0.9 | 50.0% | 17.2% | |
| 82 | Erez Poran | G | Fr | 6'6" | 13-0 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 32.1% | 14.3% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 15.0% | |
| 8 | Walker Timme | F | Jr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 13.7% | |
| 0 | JT Amundsen | G | Fr | 5'8" | 4-0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.8 | — | 22.2% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Montana St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Montana St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jed Miller | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 34.5 | 14.9 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 59.4% | 40.6% | 6.8 | 80.0% | 22.7% | |
| 1 | Patrick McMahon | G | Sr | 6'7" | 29-29 | 29.2 | 13.7 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 48.1% | 25.5% | 1.9 | 71.5% | 29.4% | |
| 5 | Jeremiah Davis | G | Jr | 6'4" | 31-24 | 24.7 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 60.2% | 40.0% | 2.7 | 76.7% | 20.1% | |
| 7 | Christian King | F | So | 6'8" | 28-19 | 27.3 | 12.6 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 50.2% | 36.4% | 5.5 | 80.6% | 28.9% | |
| 21 | Chris Hodges | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 23.3 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 57.7% | — | 0.0 | 48.2% | 15.5% | |
| 0 | Davian Brown | G | Sr | 6'3" | 21-14 | 25.0 | 12.7 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 59.8% | 43.0% | 5.8 | 83.7% | 26.9% | |
| 12 | Seth Amunrud | G | Jr | 6'3" | 24-2 | 21.5 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 57.7% | 40.0% | 3.3 | 100.0% | 18.2% | |
| 44 | Jaden Steppe | F | So | 6'8" | 32-0 | 15.7 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 59.6% | 31.0% | 1.3 | 59.4% | 21.7% | |
| 2 | Howie Keene | G | Fr | 6'7" | 24-0 | 12.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 44.0% | 27.1% | 2.0 | 100.0% | 13.3% | |
| 4 | Cavin Holden | G | Jr | 6'2" | 8-8 | 25.9 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 48.4% | 31.0% | 5.3 | 80.0% | 20.8% | |
| 35 | Waka Mbatch | F | So | 6'10" | 11-0 | 12.4 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 58.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 76.2% | 21.9% | |
| 22 | Calum Rutherfurd | F | So | 6'11" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 19.1% | |
| 15 | Grayson Gaddis | F | Fr | 6'7" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 38.9% | 14.3% | 1.4 | 100.0% | 42.2% | |
| 3 | CJ Purdie | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | James Steward | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Montana St
Against the spread
Season
16-12-1
Home
7-4
Road
9-7-1
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +1.4
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
16-13
Home
6-5
Road
9-8
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +1.1
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Idaho | N | L 74–78 | −1.0 | L−5.0 | 143.0 | O152 | 109.8 | 115.7 | 67.4 |
| Mar 2 | N Arizona | A | W 76–65 | −6.0 | W+5.0 | 143.5 | U141 | 124.6 | 106.6 | 61.0 |
| Feb 28 | Sacramento St | H | W 82–61 | −7.0 | W+14.0 | 158.5 | U143 | 123.5 | 91.9 | 66.4 |
| Feb 26 | Portland St | H | W 84–69 | −1.5 | W+13.5 | 140.5 | O153 | 119.3 | 98.0 | 70.4 |
| Feb 21 | Idaho St | A | L 76–91 | −2.5 | L−17.5 | 144.5 | O167 | 104.9 | 125.6 | 72.5 |
| Feb 19 | Weber St | A | L 79–82 OT | +1.0 | L−2.0 | 148.0 | O161 | 108.5 | 112.7 | 72.8 |
| Feb 14 | Montana | A | W 82–71 | +2.0 | W+13.0 | 146.0 | O153 | 124.2 | 107.5 | 66.0 |
| Feb 7 | E Washington | H | L 71–72 | −5.0 | L−6.0 | 148.0 | U143 | 109.5 | 111.0 | 64.9 |
| Feb 5 | Idaho | H | W 73–66 | −2.5 | W+4.5 | 147.0 | U139 | 100.3 | 90.7 | 72.8 |
| Jan 31 | Portland St | A | L 54–63 | +4.0 | L−5.0 | 139.0 | U117 | 87.9 | 102.5 | 61.4 |
N Arizona
Against the spread
Season
14-15
Home
7-6
Road
6-8
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −3.5
Missed the spread 4 straightCovered 2 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-18
Home
6-7
Road
4-10
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −2.9
Under 4 straightOver in 3 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Idaho St | N | L 65–73 | +4.5 | L−3.5 | 142.5 | U138 | 98.2 | 110.3 | 66.2 |
| Mar 2 | Montana St | H | L 65–76 | +6.0 | L−5.0 | 143.5 | U141 | 106.6 | 124.6 | 61.0 |
| Feb 28 | E Washington | A | L 57–88 | +9.5 | L−21.5 | 147.0 | U145 | 89.7 | 138.6 | 63.5 |
| Feb 26 | Idaho | A | L 58–78 | +10.5 | L−9.5 | 146.0 | U136 | 95.6 | 128.6 | 60.7 |
| Feb 21 | N Colorado | A | L 77–78 | +12.5 | W+11.5 | 150.5 | O155 | 115.6 | 117.1 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | Sacramento St | H | W 79–74 | −1.5 | W+3.5 | 155.0 | U153 | 111.2 | 104.2 | 71.0 |
| Feb 12 | Portland St | H | L 68–77 | +7.5 | L−1.5 | 135.5 | O145 | 107.6 | 121.8 | 63.2 |
| Feb 7 | Weber St | A | L 53–72 | +7.0 | L−12.0 | 151.0 | U125 | 90.3 | 122.6 | 58.7 |
| Feb 5 | Idaho St | A | W 79–73 | +8.0 | W+14.0 | 141.5 | O152 | 133.1 | 123.0 | 59.4 |
| Jan 31 | Idaho | H | L 62–79 | +5.5 | L−11.5 | 147.0 | U141 | 94.8 | 120.8 | 65.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeMontana StN Arizona
Efficiency
109.7
105.0
107.5
115.1
67.4
66.0
—
—
Shooting
53.6%
51.7%
53.1%
50.7%
36.1%
35.6%
74.0%
68.9%
30.2%
31.8%
Ball control & glass
14.7%
16.0%
15.7%
16.6%
27.0%
23.3%
28.2%
33.4%
7.9%
8.4%
7.5%
8.9%
Style
44.7%
36.7%
37.6%
44.1%
12.1%
10.0%
39.9%
51.0%
29.5%
35.9%
Roster
3.18
2.54
6'5.5"
6'4.6"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputMontana St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Montana St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
N Arizona
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted N Arizona's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Mar 2 | 2025-26 | Montana St 76 – 65 N Arizona |
| Sat, Jan 3 | 2025-26 | N Arizona 68 – 77 Montana St |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.