CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Conference gameSavage Arena, Toledo, OH
Kent State
Efficiency #157
2025-26: 24-10 · 15-5 conf
@
Toledo
Efficiency #115
2025-26: 19-15 · 13-8 conf
Sat, Dec 5 · TBD
76.6
win 32%
Projected
82.0
win 68%
No line posted yet.
Model: TOL −5.4 · total 158.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Toledo 68.7, Kent State 70.4 → 70.8 possessions
+5.3
Toledo offense vs Kent State defense
+3.1
Kent State offense vs Toledo defense
+1.9
Projected total
158.5
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Toledo offense vs Kent State defense
+3.1
Kent State offense vs Toledo defense
−1.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Toledo by 5.4
5.4
Kent State side ◂▸ Toledo side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +5.3 against +5.4. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Toledo.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Kent State is the faster team (71.9, #25 of 365) and Toledo the slower (69.5, #114). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
158.5
model
Projected team totals
76.6 / 82.0
Kent State / Toledo
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.4#30
Kent State
68.7#151
Toledo
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Track meet
Toledo averages 69.5 possessions per 40, Kent State 71.9. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 72 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageToledo
Where Toledo scores: shooting
Toledo shoots an effective 54.5% (#50); Kent State allows 52.1% (#219). Expect about 53.6%, 2.3 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.3 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageKent State
Where Kent State scores: the offensive glass
Kent State rebounds 35.3% of its own misses (#39); Toledo lets opponents grab 33.7% of their own misses (#313). Expect about 35.4%, 5.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.1 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversToledo
Toledo protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.1% is worth roughly +2.0 points per 100 possessions for Toledo's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Toledo) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Kent State at about 44.2% of its shots from three, Toledo about 36.2%.
TurnoversKent State
Kent State turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.2% is worth roughly -1.7 points per 100 possessions against Kent State's offense.
Kent State has the ball
OffenseToledo allowsvs D1 avg
51.4% #175
54.3% #308
+2.3 pt/100
18.0% #269
17.9% #103
-1.7 pt/100
35.3% #39
33.7% #313
+3.1 pt/100
43.5% #15
26.6% #16
-0.1 pt/100
74.4% #105
—
+0.2 pt/100
Kent State net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.8 pts/100
Toledo has the ball
OffenseKent State allowsvs D1 avg
54.5% #50
52.1% #219
+3.3 pt/100
14.7% #51
16.1% #220
+2.0 pt/100
29.5% #220
29.3% #124
-0.7 pt/100
30.5% #298
39.5% #294
+0.1 pt/100
75.4% #70
—
+0.3 pt/100
Toledo net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +4.9 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersKent Stateoffense vsToledodefense
Share of shots by zone
Kent State shoots
36.6
6.0
12.4
45.0
Toledo allows
42.6
6.8
11.0
39.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.6%#210 | 61.9%#299 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.7%#250 | 53.7%#363 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.4%#206 | 35.7%#98 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.0%#118 | 34.4%#215 | 33.7% |
Toledooffense vsKent Statedefense
Share of shots by zone
Toledo shoots
40.0
9.7
17.9
32.4
Kent State allows
37.0
6.3
13.8
42.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.3%#220 | 58.7%#172 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 52.0%#6 | 40.0%#191 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 46.6%#5 | 38.2%#167 | 38.0% |
| Three | 37.0%#29 | 35.0%#246 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersKent State
+1.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#109 of 365
Off reb %
35.3%
#39
Def reb %
70.7%
#124
Turnover %
18.0%
#269
Forced TO %
16.1%
#220
FT rate
43.5%
#15
FT allowed
39.5%
#294
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers−0.4
Foul shots drawn+2.2
Foul shots allowed−1.1
Toledo
+2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#99 of 365
Off reb %
29.5%
#220
Def reb %
66.3%
#313
Turnover %
14.7%
#51
Forced TO %
17.9%
#103
FT rate
30.5%
#298
FT allowed
26.6%
#16
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.3
Defensive rebounding−1.0
Ball security+1.4
Forcing turnovers+0.8
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed+2.2
Toledo has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.0 (#99 of 365) to Kent State’s +1.9 (#109).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Kent State2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Kent State's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cian Medley | G | Jr | 5'11" | 33-32 | 33.4 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 43.9% | 32.1% | 5.1 | 74.4% | 22.7% | |
| 23 | Delrecco Gillespie | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-34 | 32.2 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 52.9% | 27.0% | 1.9 | 78.9% | 30.6% | |
| 8 | Morgan Safford | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 31.2 | 14.3 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 51.3% | 34.9% | 6.1 | 80.1% | 25.1% | |
| 25 | Jahari Williamson | G | Jr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 25.1 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 61.8% | 44.5% | 5.4 | 82.6% | 18.3% | |
| 2 | Rob Whaley Jr. | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-27 | 23.7 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 52.9% | 28.6% | 0.9 | 62.3% | 29.5% | |
| 6 | Quinn Woidke | G | Fr | 6'0" | 34-0 | 19.4 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 40.4% | 4.9 | 80.0% | 23.2% | |
| 0 | Rayvon Griffith | F | So | 6'8" | 33-2 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 50.0% | 29.0% | 1.9 | 53.6% | 18.7% | |
| 14 | Magnus Entenmann | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-5 | 12.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 28.0% | 0.8 | 83.8% | 13.2% | |
| 11 | Dezmon Briscoe | F | Fr | 6'8" | 30-2 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 56.7% | 17.4% | |
| 54 | Omer Hamama | G | Fr | 6'2" | 23-2 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 40.0% | 15.4% | 0.6 | 83.3% | 18.9% | |
| 5 | Brenden Moss | G | Jr | 6'4" | 14-0 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 40.0% | 23.5% | 1.2 | 100.0% | 23.6% | |
| 7 | Landon Vanderwarker | F | Fr | 6'8" | 10-0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 55.0% | 36.4% | 1.1 | 37.5% | 23.4% | |
| 21 | Deandre Jones | F | Fr | 6'11" | 7-0 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 26.6% | |
| 51 | Drew Huffman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 26.4% | |
| 22 | Jaymen Townsend | F | Fr | 6'5" | 1-0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 15.5% | |
| 32 | Dylan Lakatos | G | Fr | 5'11" | 2-0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 2.0 | — | 33.8% | |
| 4 | Jamal Sumlin | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Toledo2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Toledo's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sonny Wilson | G | Jr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 36.2 | 17.0 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 53.7% | 37.8% | 3.3 | 69.4% | 26.5% | |
| 2 | Leroy Blyden Jr. | G | Fr | 6'1" | 34-32 | 33.4 | 16.4 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 55.4% | 40.7% | 5.6 | 84.6% | 26.9% | |
| 7 | Sean Craig | F | Sr | 6'7" | 34-32 | 31.6 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 55.2% | 35.6% | 3.1 | 75.0% | 20.0% | |
| 25 | Austin Parks | C | Jr | 6'10" | 34-34 | 25.2 | 10.7 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 62.4% | 27.3% | 0.3 | 71.3% | 22.8% | |
| 4 | Kyler Vanderjagt | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-21 | 22.1 | 8.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 54.7% | 38.2% | 3.0 | 78.8% | 21.7% | |
| 32 | Jaylan Ouwinga | F | So | 6'9" | 34-2 | 18.6 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 53.0% | 30.8% | 1.1 | 63.6% | 20.4% | |
| 5 | Mynor Strong | G | So | 6'3" | 33-15 | 17.7 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 49.3% | 34.9% | 1.9 | 89.3% | 18.3% | |
| 11 | Will James Jr. | G | Fr | 6'4" | 34-0 | 9.4 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 54.3% | 29.4% | 0.5 | 88.2% | 19.7% | |
| 21 | London Praytor | F | Fr | 7'0" | 15-0 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 48.4% | 23.5% | 1.1 | 100.0% | 28.9% | |
| 22 | Tyler Ode | G | So | 6'5" | 12-0 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 45.5% | 25.0% | 0.7 | — | 13.8% | |
| 10 | Chris Riddle | F | So | 6'5" | 3-0 | 13.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 65.0% | 20.0% | 1.7 | — | 21.7% | |
| 0 | Toby Nwokolo | F | Fr | 6'6" | 6-0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 0.0% | 22.0% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Kent State2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Kent State's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cian Medley | G | Jr | 5'11" | 33-32 | 33.4 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 43.9% | 32.1% | 5.1 | 74.4% | 22.7% | |
| 23 | Delrecco Gillespie | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-34 | 32.2 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 52.9% | 27.0% | 1.9 | 78.9% | 30.6% | |
| 8 | Morgan Safford | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 31.2 | 14.3 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 51.3% | 34.9% | 6.1 | 80.1% | 25.1% | |
| 25 | Jahari Williamson | G | Jr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 25.1 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 61.8% | 44.5% | 5.4 | 82.6% | 18.3% | |
| 2 | Rob Whaley Jr. | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-27 | 23.7 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 52.9% | 28.6% | 0.9 | 62.3% | 29.5% | |
| 6 | Quinn Woidke | G | Fr | 6'0" | 34-0 | 19.4 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 40.4% | 4.9 | 80.0% | 23.2% | |
| 0 | Rayvon Griffith | F | So | 6'8" | 33-2 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 50.0% | 29.0% | 1.9 | 53.6% | 18.7% | |
| 14 | Magnus Entenmann | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-5 | 12.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 28.0% | 0.8 | 83.8% | 13.2% | |
| 11 | Dezmon Briscoe | F | Fr | 6'8" | 30-2 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 56.7% | 17.4% | |
| 54 | Omer Hamama | G | Fr | 6'2" | 23-2 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 40.0% | 15.4% | 0.6 | 83.3% | 18.9% | |
| 5 | Brenden Moss | G | Jr | 6'4" | 14-0 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 40.0% | 23.5% | 1.2 | 100.0% | 23.6% | |
| 7 | Landon Vanderwarker | F | Fr | 6'8" | 10-0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 55.0% | 36.4% | 1.1 | 37.5% | 23.4% | |
| 21 | Deandre Jones | F | Fr | 6'11" | 7-0 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 26.6% | |
| 51 | Drew Huffman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 26.4% | |
| 22 | Jaymen Townsend | F | Fr | 6'5" | 1-0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 15.5% | |
| 32 | Dylan Lakatos | G | Fr | 5'11" | 2-0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 2.0 | — | 33.8% | |
| 4 | Jamal Sumlin | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Kent State
Against the spread
Season
12-19-1
Home
6-9
Road
5-8
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −2.5
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 as an underdogCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
18-13-1
Home
11-4
Road
5-7-1
Last 10
5-4-1
avg vs total +4.1
Under 2 straightOver in 5 of 6 as a favorite, 1 pushOver in 0 of 4 as an underdogOver in 4 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | Illinois St | A | L 58–79 | +4.5 | L−16.5 | 154.5 | U137 | 83.9 | 114.3 | 69.1 |
| Mar 13 | Akron | N | L 68–75 | +6.5 | L−0.5 | 163.0 | U143 | 99.5 | 109.7 | 68.3 |
| Mar 12 | Ohio | N | W 86–75 | −3.5 | W+7.5 | 160.5 | O161 | 121.1 | 105.7 | 71.0 |
| Mar 6 | W Michigan | H | W 86–78 | −13.5 | L−5.5 | 157.5 | O164 | 122.5 | 111.1 | 70.2 |
| Mar 3 | N Illinois | A | W 102–76 | −10.0 | W+16.0 | 149.5 | O178 | 134.5 | 100.2 | 75.9 |
| Feb 27 | Akron | H | L 70–92 | +3.5 | L−18.5 | 165.0 | U162 | 99.4 | 130.7 | 70.4 |
| Feb 24 | C Michigan | H | W 83–81 | −12.0 | L−10.0 | 157.0 | O164 | 124.1 | 121.1 | 66.9 |
| Feb 17 | Bowling Green | A | W 78–71 | +2.5 | W+9.5 | 151.5 | U149 | 107.5 | 97.9 | 72.5 |
| Feb 14 | Ball State | A | W 75–68 | −8.0 | L−1.0 | 143.0 | P143 | 103.3 | 93.7 | 72.6 |
| Feb 11 | E Michigan | H | W 95–91 | −10.0 | L−6.0 | 144.5 | O186 | 135.3 | 129.6 | 70.2 |
Toledo
Against the spread
Season
19-13
Home
6-7
Road
10-4
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +5.4
Covered 2 straightCovered 4 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-18-1
Home
6-7
Road
6-7-1
Last 10
4-5-1
avg vs total +1.0
Under 2 straightOver in 4 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 0 of 4 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | Akron | N | L 76–79 | +8.0 | W+5.0 | 157.5 | U155 | 111.4 | 115.8 | 68.2 |
| Mar 13 | UMass | N | W 77–67 | −3.0 | W+7.0 | 158.0 | U144 | 109.5 | 95.3 | 70.3 |
| Mar 12 | Bowling Green | N | W 77–76 | −1.5 | L−0.5 | 152.0 | O153 | 113.1 | 111.6 | 68.1 |
| Mar 6 | Buffalo | H | W 99–78 | −5.5 | W+15.5 | 156.5 | O177 | 151.8 | 119.6 | 65.2 |
| Mar 3 | #19Miami OH | A | L 72–74 | +8.0 | W+6.0 | 162.5 | U146 | 104.7 | 107.6 | 68.8 |
| Feb 28 | Ohio | A | W 79–67 | +2.5 | W+14.5 | 159.0 | U146 | 119.4 | 101.2 | 66.2 |
| Feb 24 | N Illinois | H | W 79–69 | −12.5 | L−2.5 | 150.0 | U148 | 119.5 | 104.3 | 66.1 |
| Feb 21 | E Michigan | H | W 94–75 | −8.5 | W+10.5 | 147.0 | O169 | 131.9 | 105.2 | 71.3 |
| Feb 14 | Bowling Green | A | L 70–80 | +4.0 | L−6.0 | 150.0 | P150 | 106.7 | 122.0 | 65.6 |
| Feb 11 | W Michigan | A | W 90–79 | −6.5 | W+4.5 | 154.5 | O169 | 131.0 | 115.0 | 68.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeKent StateToledo
Efficiency
109.8
112.5
108.9
109.8
70.4
68.7
—
—
Shooting
51.4%
54.5%
50.6%
54.0%
35.0%
37.0%
74.4%
75.4%
43.5%
30.5%
Ball control & glass
18.0%
14.7%
16.1%
17.9%
35.3%
29.5%
29.3%
33.7%
9.8%
9.0%
9.6%
8.5%
Style
44.9%
32.5%
36.6%
47.8%
13.1%
16.8%
57.1%
53.1%
29.8%
23.9%
Roster
3.05
2.62
6'4.1"
6'4.7"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputKent State
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Kent State's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Toledo
Returning minutes: 99.4%Returning production: 99.5%
ESPN hasn't posted Toledo's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 99% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Feb 3 | 2025-26 | Kent State 75 – 72 Toledo |
| Fri, Jan 16 | 2025-26 | Toledo 84 – 87 Kent State |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.