Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs UT Arlington Mavericks basketball preview & prediction
Tue, Nov 24 · 8:00 PM ET · College Park Center, Arlington, TX
Non-conferenceESPN+College Park Center, Arlington, TX
Oral Roberts
1-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #328
@
UT Arlington
3-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #164
Tue, Nov 24 · 8:00 PM ET
Our projected score shows once the market opens.
No line posted yet.
Our play
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 72.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, UT Arlington is the faster team (76.7, #44 of 365) and Oral Roberts the slower (71.2, #161). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
72.7
per team, 40 min
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.8#166
Oral Roberts
72.5#67
UT Arlington
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupFrom the four factors
UT Arlington has the ball+1.7
Oral Roberts has the ball−12.4
UT Arlington has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 51.6% #158 · ORU allows 55.6% #271+3.6
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 33.3% #220 · ORU allows 33.9% #148 · FT 58.5% #327−1.1
✗Few second chancesOR% 27.0% #261 · ORU allows 33.3% #217−1.0
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 19.6% #231 · ORU forces 16.9% #212 · ~13 turnovers+0.1
Oral Roberts has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 35.0% #354 · UTA allows 50.8% #184−8.9
✗Coughs it upTO% 25.3% #336 · UTA forces 20.2% #101 · ~17 turnovers−4.7
✓Wins second chancesOR% 38.3% #66 · UTA allows 30.0% #156+1.8
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 36.7% #179 · UTA allows 40.5% #218 · FT 59.1% #320−0.5
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootOral Robertsoffense vsUT Arlingtondefense
Share of shots by zone
Oral Roberts shoots
35.3
3.9
5.9
54.9
UT Arlington allows
38.3
9.2
15.8
36.7
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.1%#134 | 50.0%#75 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 0.0%#323 | 54.5%#289 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 0.0%#327 | 52.6%#310 | 34.7% |
| Three | 16.7%#355 | 34.1%#210 | 32.5% |
UT Arlingtonoffense vsOral Robertsdefense
Share of shots by zone
UT Arlington shoots
43.2
9.3
5.1
42.4
Oral Roberts allows
26.9
3.8
1.9
67.3
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.9%#225 | 78.6%#352 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.4%#173 | 0.0%#1 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 16.7%#298 | 100.0%#352 | 34.7% |
| Three | 35.8%#117 | 33.3%#185 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineOral Roberts
−3.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#227 of 365
Off reb %
38.3%
#66
Def reb %
66.7%
#217
Turnover %
25.3%
#336
Forced TO %
16.9%
#212
FT rate
36.7%
#179
FT allowed
33.9%
#148
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.3
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−5.0
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+1.1
UT Arlington
−2.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#210 of 365
Off reb %
27.0%
#261
Def reb %
70.0%
#156
Turnover %
19.6%
#231
Forced TO %
20.2%
#101
FT rate
33.3%
#220
FT allowed
40.5%
#218
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.5
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−0.9
Forcing turnovers+1.5
Foul shots drawn−1.1
Foul shots allowed−0.7
UT Arlington has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.1 (#210 of 365) to Oral Roberts’s −3.3 (#227).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notOral Roberts2026-27 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 2-2 | 30.5 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 32.7% | 17.6% | 8.5 | 100.0% | 27.0% | Active | |
| 25 | F | Jr | 6'6" | 2-2 | 25.0 | 22.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 64.3% | 20.0% | 5.0 | 64.3% | 42.0% | Active | |
| 6 | G | So | 5'10" | 2-2 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 61.5% | 44.4% | 4.5 | 100.0% | 18.5% | Active | |
| 7 | G | So | 6'4" | 2-2 | 20.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 38.9% | 16.7% | 3.0 | 66.7% | 19.7% | Active | |
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 2-2 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 15.2% | Active | |
| 8 | G | Fr | 6'1" | 2-0 | 18.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 18.8% | 14.3% | 7.0 | 66.7% | 29.2% | Active | |
| 22 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 42.9% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 50.0% | 23.9% | Active | |
| 10 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 18.5% | Active | |
| 18 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 11.5 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 77.8% | — | 0.0 | 80.0% | 29.8% | Active | |
| 21 | F | So | 6'9" | 2-0 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 6.5% | Active | |
| 43 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 17.9% | Active | |
| 23 | F | So | 6'6" | 2-0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5 | — | 25.2% | Active | |
| 11 | F | Fr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 54.5% | Active | |
| 1 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | — | 22.9% | Missed last |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten gamesOral Roberts
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −21.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −14.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | Northwestern (OK) Rangers | H | W 94–39 | — | — | — | — | 129.2 | 53.6 | 72.7 |
| Nov 2 | C Arkansas | A | L 55–85 | +8.5 | L−21.5 | 154.5 | U140 | 77.2 | 119.4 | 71.2 |
| Mar 5 | N Dakota St | N | L 65–76 | +12.0 | W+1.0 | 147.5 | U141 | 96.9 | 113.3 | 67.1 |
| Mar 4 | Kansas City | N | W 84–62 | −8.5 | W+13.5 | 149.0 | U146 | 120.5 | 88.9 | 69.7 |
| Feb 28 | Kansas City | A | W 94–70 | −3.5 | W+20.5 | 149.5 | O164 | 127.7 | 95.1 | 73.6 |
| Feb 26 | Denver | H | W 102–80 | +2.5 | W+24.5 | 156.5 | O182 | 142.7 | 111.9 | 71.5 |
| Feb 21 | South Dakota | H | W 67–62 | +1.0 | W+6.0 | 151.5 | U129 | 92.2 | 85.4 | 72.6 |
| Feb 18 | Omaha | A | L 71–80 | +6.5 | L−2.5 | 152.0 | U151 | 107.6 | 121.2 | 66.0 |
| Feb 14 | S Dakota St | H | L 69–87 | +5.5 | L−12.5 | 147.5 | O156 | 104.3 | 131.5 | 66.2 |
| Feb 12 | Kansas City | H | W 69–60 | −6.0 | W+3.0 | 149.5 | U129 | 106.0 | 92.2 | 65.1 |
UT Arlington
Against the spread
Season
1-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
1-1
avg cover +2.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
1-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
1-1
avg vs total +5.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | Bethesda Flames | N | W 116–65 | — | — | — | — | 136.4 | 76.4 | 85.0 |
| Nov 8 | Hawai'i | A | L 62–71 | +8.0 | L−1.0 | 146.0 | U133 | 84.9 | 97.2 | 73.0 |
| Nov 6 | Portland | N | W 89–85 | +2.0 | W+6.0 | 150.0 | O174 | 110.8 | 105.8 | 80.3 |
| Nov 2 | UNT Dallas Trailblazers | H | W 89–56 | — | — | — | — | 117.1 | 73.7 | 76.0 |
| Mar 13 | Utah Valley | N | L 65–67 | +8.0 | W+6.0 | 136.0 | U132 | 104.2 | 107.4 | 62.4 |
| Mar 12 | Southern Utah | N | W 69–63 | −5.0 | W+1.0 | 141.5 | U132 | 96.7 | 88.3 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | Abilene Chrstn | A | W 64–57 | +1.0 | W+8.0 | 133.0 | U121 | 97.8 | 87.1 | 65.4 |
| Mar 5 | Tarleton St | A | W 65–60 | +1.0 | W+6.0 | 136.0 | U125 | 107.4 | 99.2 | 60.5 |
| Feb 26 | CA Baptist | A | L 56–68 | +6.5 | L−5.5 | 134.5 | U124 | 89.0 | 108.1 | 62.9 |
| Feb 21 | Utah Valley | H | L 54–66 | +5.5 | L−6.5 | 137.5 | U120 | 81.0 | 99.0 | 66.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOral RobertsUT Arlington
Efficiency
98.4
101.2
110.7
101.3
70.8
72.5
1.0
-0.2
Shooting
35.0%
51.6%
50.0%
50.0%
16.7%
35.8%
59.1%
58.5%
36.7%
33.3%
Ball control & glass
25.3%
19.6%
16.9%
20.2%
38.3%
27.0%
33.3%
30.0%
16.9%
6.5%
12.5%
8.6%
Style
60.0%
43.1%
43.6%
46.4%
3.6%
12.6%
55.6%
40.7%
40.3%
35.6%
Roster
2.20
3.01
6'3.6"
6'6.2"
35.8%
6.1%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputOral Roberts
Returning minutes: 51.6%Returning production: 48.0%
Lost
- Ofri Naveh 28.0 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to MTSU
- Ty Harper 28.0 mpg, 17.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jack Turner 16.7 mpg, 4.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams 16.2 mpg, 6.7 ppg · transferred to S Indiana
- Baron Smith Jr. 5.7 mpg, 1.2 ppg · transferred to Wagner
- Aaron Jacob 2.5 mpg, 1.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Cam Haffner from Western KY · 11.0 mpg, 3.8 ppg last season
- Amire Robinson from Nevada · 9.1 mpg, 2.6 ppg last season
- Alex Couto no D1 minutes last season
- Mihail Gavazov no D1 minutes last season
- Boden Williams no D1 minutes last season
- Marko Pavlovic no D1 minutes last season
Returns 52% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
UT Arlington
Returning minutes: 6.1%Returning production: 4.0%
Lost
- Raysean Seamster 29.7 mpg, 12.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Marcell McCreary 29.3 mpg, 12.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cash Chavis 27.1 mpg, 10.5 ppg · transferred to North Texas
- Bahsil Laster 19.3 mpg, 7.3 ppg · transferred to Norfolk St
- Marcus Rigsby Jr. 17.2 mpg, 4.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tyran Mason 16.9 mpg, 6.5 ppg · transferred to ETSU
Added
- Tycen McDaniels from Alcorn St · 27.3 mpg, 12.0 ppg last season
- Mier Panoam from Xavier · 1.2 mpg, 0.2 ppg last season
- Niko Bundalo from Ole Miss · 1.0 mpg, 0.2 ppg last season
- Noah Shelby from Texas A&M · 0.6 mpg, 0.3 ppg last season
- Bryson McGlothin from Richmond · 0.4 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
- Teodor Simic no D1 minutes last season
Returns 6% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Dec 22 | 2025-26 | UT Arlington 69 – 57 Oral Roberts |
More games on Tue, Nov 24
- Wright St vs St Bonaventure · 10:00 AM ET
- Ohio vs New Mexico St · 11:00 AM ET
- SE Louisiana vs N Colorado · 12:30 PM ET
- Belmont vs Akron · 12:30 PM ET
- Southern Utah at FIU · 1:00 PM ET
- Lindenwood vs New Haven · 1:00 PM ET
- Oklahoma vs Pitt · 1:30 PM ET
- Rice vs UIC · 1:30 PM ET
- Oregon St vs San Francisco · 2:00 PM ET
- Tennessee vs Maryland · 3:00 PM ET
- Miami vs TCU · 3:00 PM ET
- North Dakota vs Detroit Mercy · 3:00 PM ET
- App State vs Yale · 3:00 PM ET
- Long Beach St vs Arkansas St · 3:30 PM ET
- Air Force vs Army · 4:00 PM ET
- Tulsa vs Illinois St · 4:30 PM ET
- Creighton vs Michigan · 5:30 PM ET
- San Diego St vs Iowa State · 5:30 PM ET
- Wyoming vs Kent State · 5:30 PM ET
- DePaul vs Purdue · 6:00 PM ET
- E Michigan vs Kennesaw St · 6:00 PM ET
- Queens at Wofford · 6:00 PM ET
- Mercer at FAU · 6:00 PM ET
- S Indiana at VMI · 6:00 PM ET
- Sacred Heart at Rutgers · 6:00 PM ET
- Elon at Furman · 6:30 PM ET
- Robert Morris vs Lamar · 6:30 PM ET
- Milwaukee at Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Gardner-Webb at Bowling Green · 7:00 PM ET
- Binghamton at Lehigh · 7:00 PM ET
- Charleston So at James Madison · 7:00 PM ET
- Nevada vs Santa Clara · 7:00 PM ET
- Jacksonville at Indiana · 7:00 PM ET
- Vanderbilt at Ohio State · 7:00 PM ET
- Stetson at South Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Samford at Georgia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Boston U at Harvard · 7:00 PM ET
- Vermont at Siena · 7:00 PM ET
- UMBC at Iowa · 7:00 PM ET
- Campbell at Coastal · 7:00 PM ET
- New Hampshire at Seton Hall · 7:00 PM ET
- Mount St Marys at Morgan St · 7:00 PM ET
- Delaware St at Chattanooga · 7:00 PM ET
- Rider at Loyola MD · 7:00 PM ET
- Coppin St at Villanova · 7:00 PM ET
- Bryant at Marist · 7:00 PM ET
- Tarleton St at Weber St · 7:00 PM ET
- Hampton at Old Dominion · 7:00 PM ET
- West Georgia at Tennessee Tech · 7:30 PM ET
- Hou Christian at UL Monroe · 7:30 PM ET
- High Point vs Duquesne · 7:30 PM ET
- Alcorn St at Louisiana Tech · 7:30 PM ET
- Purdue FW at SE Missouri · 7:30 PM ET
- C Michigan at Notre Dame · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas Tech vs Louisville · 8:00 PM ET
- Lipscomb at Auburn · 8:00 PM ET
- Green Bay at Kansas City · 8:00 PM ET
- Drexel at Penn · 8:00 PM ET
- Bucknell at Cornell · 8:00 PM ET
- Alabama A&M at North Alabama · 8:00 PM ET
- Florida A&M at South Alabama · 8:00 PM ET
- Charleston vs UTEP · 8:30 PM ET
- UNC Asheville at Florida St · 9:00 PM ET
- Evansville at Missouri · 9:00 PM ET
- Idaho St at Boise St · 9:00 PM ET
- UNC Greensboro at Santa Barbara · 9:00 PM ET
- Sam Houston at Washington St · 9:00 PM ET
- Grand Canyon vs Saint Louis · 9:30 PM ET
- Baylor vs Alabama · 10:00 PM ET
- Oregon vs St John's · 10:30 PM ET
- Stanford vs Colorado · 11:59 PM ET
- Gonzaga vs Kansas St · 12:30 AM ET
- Bellarmine vs GA Southern · TBD
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.