CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceHooper Eblen Center, Cookeville, TN
West Georgia
Efficiency #304
2025-26: 15-17 · 9-11 conf
@
Tennessee Tech
Efficiency #298
2025-26: 13-18 · 8-12 conf
Tue, Nov 24 · TBD
72.5
win 36%
Projected
76.8
win 64%
No line posted yet.
Model: TNTC −4.3 · total 149.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one
Projected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Tennessee Tech 68.1, West Georgia 69.4 → 69.3 possessions
+2.1
Tennessee Tech offense vs West Georgia defense
−0.3
West Georgia offense vs Tennessee Tech defense
−0.6
Projected total
149.3
Axis starts at 147 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Tennessee Tech offense vs West Georgia defense
−0.3
West Georgia offense vs Tennessee Tech defense
+0.6
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Tennessee Tech by 4.3
4.3
West Georgia side ◂▸ Tennessee Tech side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 149.4 against a projected 149.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Tennessee Tech.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 69.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, West Georgia is the faster team (70.2, #89 of 365) and Tennessee Tech the slower (68.3, #186). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
69.3
per team, 40 min
Projected total
149.3
model
Projected team totals
72.5 / 76.8
West Georgia / Tennessee Tech
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.4#86
West Georgia
68.1#196
Tennessee Tech

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet
ClashWest Georgia
Style match: 3-point volume
West Georgia rarely shoots threes (33.0% of its shots); Tennessee Tech runs teams off the line (36.1% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 32.1% — both habits push the same way.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Tennessee Tech) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect West Georgia at about 32.1% of its shots from three, Tennessee Tech about 35.7%.
AdvantageWest Georgia
Where West Georgia scores: ball control
West Georgia turns it over on 15.9% of possessions (#128); Tennessee Tech forces turnovers on 15.1% of opponent possessions (#282). Expect about 15.2%, 1.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.0 points per 100 possessions.
West Georgia has the ball
OffenseTennessee Tech allowsvs D1 avg
49.6% #261
51.5% #186
-1.2 pt/100
15.9% #128
15.1% #282
+2.0 pt/100
31.5% #142
30.7% #192
+0.6 pt/100
29.2% #329
31.3% #88
-0.6 pt/100
70.4% #259
—
-0.2 pt/100
West Georgia net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.5 pts/100
Tennessee Tech has the ball
OffenseWest Georgia allowsvs D1 avg
48.9% #293
53.4% #281
-0.4 pt/100
19.1% #324
14.7% #310
+0.0 pt/100
31.3% #151
29.0% #102
-0.0 pt/100
35.5% #164
36.9% #234
+0.2 pt/100
76.2% #47
—
+0.3 pt/100
Tennessee Tech net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.1 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
West Georgiaoffense vsTennessee Techdefense
Share of shots by zone
West Georgia shoots
Tennessee Tech allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim56.3%#26158.8%#17958.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)50.9%#937.2%#11739.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)37.3%#21233.7%#4538.0%
Three33.1%#22235.8%#29533.7%
Tennessee Techoffense vsWest Georgiadefense
Share of shots by zone
Tennessee Tech shoots
West Georgia allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim56.2%#26660.8%#26258.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)30.9%#34344.6%#28539.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)41.4%#7339.6%#22838.0%
Three31.1%#31633.1%#12833.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
West Georgia
−1.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#264 of 365
Off reb %
31.5%
#142
Def reb %
71.0%
#102
Turnover %
15.9%
#128
Forced TO %
14.7%
#310
FT rate
29.2%
#329
FT allowed
36.9%
#234
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.4
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers−1.4
Foul shots drawn−1.5
Foul shots allowed−0.4
Tennessee Tech
−1.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#250 of 365
Off reb %
31.3%
#151
Def reb %
69.3%
#192
Turnover %
19.1%
#324
Forced TO %
15.1%
#282
FT rate
35.5%
#164
FT allowed
31.3%
#88
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding0.0
Ball security−1.6
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed+1.0

Tennessee Tech has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.3 (#250 of 365) to West Georgia’s −1.8 (#264).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

West Georgia2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted West Georgia's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
4Shelton Williams-DrydenFSr6'6"32-3235.220.79.11.52.051.7%23.6%2.372.3%33.4%
11Kolten GriffinFSr6'6"32-3233.37.74.22.81.751.4%35.0%1.961.5%15.4%
10Josh SmithGJr6'3"31-627.116.22.12.11.447.0%34.8%5.773.7%36.3%
23Malcolm NoelGSr5'11"28-1823.78.11.93.42.148.0%31.1%3.775.0%23.3%
22Kenneth ChimeFFr6'9"32-2820.35.05.90.30.757.9%—0.043.8%14.5%
5JaVar DanielFJr6'10"31-419.27.45.30.70.654.5%50.0%0.670.0%21.2%
1Brady HardewigGSo6'2"31-2617.33.91.30.80.554.8%36.7%2.983.3%13.3%
6Matija ZuzicGSr6'6"23-416.04.02.40.70.838.6%30.2%2.785.7%20.1%
2Chas LewlessGFr6'2"10-1028.312.82.92.92.447.3%32.8%6.488.5%29.2%
3Xavier ShegogFFr6'6"31-08.71.51.80.30.742.9%50.0%0.350.0%15.3%
12Eric BaldassarreGFr6'4"11-04.42.20.50.00.080.0%53.3%1.4—17.0%
30Cameron MerrittGSo5'11"4-03.31.00.30.30.366.7%—0.0—17.1%
14Nate JonesGSr6'2"5-02.00.40.20.00.025.0%0.0%0.60.0%24.8%
20Max YoungGFr6'3"4-02.01.30.00.00.0125.0%100.0%0.3—13.5%
25Maddox FowlesFFr6'7"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
9Micah SmithFSo6'7"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home
West GeorgiaTennessee Tech
Efficiency
104.0
104.8
111.6
112.0
69.4
68.1
—
—
Shooting
49.6%
48.9%
49.6%
50.1%
33.1%
31.1%
70.4%
76.2%
29.2%
35.5%
Ball control & glass
15.9%
19.1%
14.7%
15.1%
31.5%
31.3%
29.0%
30.7%
9.5%
11.0%
5.6%
10.8%
Style
33.0%
36.5%
46.3%
45.2%
13.4%
14.0%
44.3%
45.4%
32.3%
41.4%
Roster
3.03
3.26
6'5"
6'4.6"
—
—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
West Georgia
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted West Georgia's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Tennessee Tech
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Tennessee Tech's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last
DateSeasonResult
Sat, Dec 62025-26Tennessee Tech 87 – 59 West Georgia
Mon, Nov 172025-26West Georgia 61 – 59 Tennessee Tech

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.