CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceHill Field House, Baltimore, MD
Mount St Marys
Efficiency #265
2025-26: 15-17 · 11-10 conf
@
Morgan St
Efficiency #349
2025-26: 14-16 · 10-5 conf
Tue, Nov 24 · TBD
75.3
win 56%
Projected
73.5
win 44%
No line posted yet.
Model: MSM −1.8 · total 148.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Morgan St 70.3, Mount St Marys 68.5 → 70.5 possessions
+4.8
Morgan St offense vs Mount St Marys defense
−5.1
Mount St Marys offense vs Morgan St defense
+0.8
Projected total
148.8
Axis starts at 144 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Morgan St offense vs Mount St Marys defense
−5.1
Mount St Marys offense vs Morgan St defense
−0.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Mount St Marys by 1.8
1.8
Mount St Marys side ◂▸ Morgan St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 148.7 against a projected 148.8. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Morgan St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.5, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Morgan St is the faster team (70.7, #64 of 365) and Mount St Marys the slower (67.7, #214). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.5
per team, 40 min
Projected total
148.8
model
Projected team totals
75.3 / 73.5
Mount St Marys / Morgan St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.5#164
Mount St Marys
70.3#31
Morgan St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageMorgan St
Where Morgan St struggles: shooting
Morgan St shoots an effective 45.8% (#351); Mount St Marys allows 47.2% (#23). Expect about 46.0%, 5.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -7.4 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageMount St Marys
Where Mount St Marys struggles: ball control
Mount St Marys turns it over on 22.4% of possessions (#364); Morgan St forces turnovers on 16.5% of opponent possessions (#184). Expect about 19.8%, 3.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.7 points per 100 possessions.
GlassMount St Marys
Mount St Marys owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.0% is worth roughly +2.2 points per 100 possessions for Mount St Marys's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Morgan St's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Mount St Marys at about 37.1% of its shots from three, Morgan St about 39.5%.
ClashMorgan St
Style match: paint scoring
Morgan St gets only 37.2% of its points in the paint; Mount St Marys protects the paint (33.2% of opponents' points) (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 38.1% — both habits push the same way.
ClashMorgan St
Style clash: 3-point volume
Morgan St rarely shoots threes (35.2% of its shots); Mount St Marys lets opponents take 44.9% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 39.5% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
Mount St Marys has the ball
OffenseMorgan St allowsvs D1 avg
50.6% #208
51.7% #194
-0.3 pt/100
22.4% #364
16.5% #184
-3.7 pt/100
32.3% #115
35.2% #341
+2.2 pt/100
33.3% #230
50.9% #363
+1.1 pt/100
67.4% #337
—
-0.4 pt/100
Mount St Marys net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.1 pts/100
Morgan St has the ball
OffenseMount St Marys allowsvs D1 avg
45.8% #351
47.2% #23
-7.4 pt/100
17.8% #260
15.3% #261
+0.4 pt/100
30.7% #172
29.1% #114
-0.3 pt/100
42.7% #22
37.3% #247
+0.6 pt/100
74.3% #113
—
+0.2 pt/100
Morgan St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -6.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersMount St Marysoffense vsMorgan Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Mount St Marys shoots
42.3
4.1
10.9
42.8
Morgan St allows
48.0
4.8
15.6
31.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.2%#188 | 58.6%#168 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.6%#158 | 26.9%#5 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 29.2%#359 | 44.9%#349 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.7%#244 | 31.5%#43 | 33.7% |
Morgan Stoffense vsMount St Marysdefense
Share of shots by zone
Morgan St shoots
38.9
2.0
23.1
35.9
Mount St Marys allows
32.9
3.1
19.0
45.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.0%#340 | 49.4%#4 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.1%#326 | 38.5%#145 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.1%#289 | 38.1%#162 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.7%#295 | 32.3%#81 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersMount St Marys
−4.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#343 of 365
Off reb %
32.3%
#115
Def reb %
70.9%
#114
Turnover %
22.4%
#364
Forced TO %
15.3%
#261
FT rate
33.3%
#230
FT allowed
37.3%
#247
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.6
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−3.8
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn−0.4
Foul shots allowed−0.5
Morgan St
−4.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#335 of 365
Off reb %
30.7%
#172
Def reb %
64.8%
#341
Turnover %
17.8%
#260
Forced TO %
16.5%
#184
FT rate
42.7%
#22
FT allowed
50.9%
#363
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.1
Defensive rebounding−1.5
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+2.0
Foul shots allowed−4.0
Morgan St has more extra scoring chances per game: −4.3 (#335 of 365) to Mount St Marys’s −4.7 (#343).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Mount St Marys2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Redd Thompson Jr.at Longwood | G | Jr | 5'11" | 32-1 | 22.1 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 49.2% | 32.9% | 4.6 | 88.0% | 28.9% | |
| 4 | Mason So | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-16 | 18.2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 51.5% | 35.5% | 2.0 | 78.9% | 17.4% | |
| 9 | Abdou Khadre Kebe | G | Jr | 6'7" | 22-13 | 21.9 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 47.3% | 27.8% | 3.6 | 69.0% | 24.6% | |
| 30 | Anthony Arrington Jr. | G | Sr | 6'3" | 22-2 | 19.0 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 37.8% | 21.7% | 2.7 | 50.0% | 28.3% | |
| 1 | Anastasios Rozakeas | G | Jr | 6'8" | 24-8 | 14.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 45.7% | 32.9% | 2.9 | 83.3% | 18.4% | |
| 7 | Wilguens Jr. Exacteat Drake | F | Sr | 6'6" | 18-13 | 19.4 | 7.3 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 45.2% | 22.2% | 2.5 | 68.3% | 27.3% | |
| 23 | Yakhya Diop | F | So | 7'0" | 31-0 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 64.7% | 16.1% | |
| 10 | Cade Ornessat Gonzaga | G | So | 6'4" | 8-0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 20.0% | 20.2% | |
| 5 | Noah Rogers | G | Jr | 5'11" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 10.1% | |
| 6 | Jaxon Hartman | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 16 | Crue Gard | F | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Julien Smith | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Liam Joyce | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Miquel Llompart | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Noah Limol | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Ryan Brzezanski | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Wilguens Jr. Exacte (from Drake), Cade Orness (from Gonzaga), Redd Thompson Jr. (from Longwood)
Morgan St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Morgan St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rob Lawson | G | Sr | 5'11" | 30-22 | 32.8 | 12.8 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 41.8% | 29.3% | 4.4 | 81.7% | 27.0% | |
| 2 | Elijah Davis | G | Sr | 6'1" | 26-26 | 34.9 | 13.8 | 3.3 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 45.9% | 21.7% | 0.9 | 72.5% | 25.5% | |
| 0 | Christian Meeks | G | Jr | 6'6" | 30-27 | 28.6 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 56.1% | 22.2% | 0.3 | 62.0% | 11.9% | |
| 1 | Alfred Worrell Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-26 | 28.5 | 17.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 49.5% | 36.3% | 7.4 | 88.5% | 34.0% | |
| 55 | Eugene Alvin | F | Jr | 6'7" | 29-14 | 19.3 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 53.7% | 38.4% | 2.5 | 60.3% | 21.5% | |
| 52 | Walter Peggs Jr. | G | Sr | 6'4" | 28-6 | 19.3 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 50.7% | 36.7% | 4.6 | 81.6% | 25.3% | |
| 21 | Christian Oliver | C | Sr | 6'10" | 26-9 | 14.3 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 57.3% | 22.2% | 0.3 | 67.9% | 16.6% | |
| 7 | Marland Harris | F | Sr | 6'9" | 20-6 | 12.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 54.7% | — | 0.0 | 69.0% | 17.3% | |
| 4 | David Bumpass | G | Fr | 6'4" | 22-0 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 40.6% | 16.7% | 1.1 | 59.4% | 24.4% | |
| 22 | Manok Lual | F | Jr | 6'9" | 20-4 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 0.3 | 47.4% | 16.6% | |
| 42 | Dallas James | C | Sr | 7'1" | 21-9 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 72.7% | 23.4% | |
| 5 | Matar Wade | F | So | 6'8" | 13-0 | 8.2 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 45.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 100.0% | 11.3% | |
| 10 | Breon Barnett | G | Fr | 6'1" | 13-0 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 100.0% | 15.9% | |
| 13 | Trent Edwards | F | Jr | 6'8" | 2-1 | 17.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 17.0% | |
| 32 | Jayden Socka | F | Sr | 6'9" | 6-0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 20.5% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Mount St Marys2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Redd Thompson Jr.at Longwood | G | Jr | 5'11" | 32-1 | 22.1 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 49.2% | 32.9% | 4.6 | 88.0% | 28.9% | |
| 4 | Mason So | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-16 | 18.2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 51.5% | 35.5% | 2.0 | 78.9% | 17.4% | |
| 9 | Abdou Khadre Kebe | G | Jr | 6'7" | 22-13 | 21.9 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 47.3% | 27.8% | 3.6 | 69.0% | 24.6% | |
| 30 | Anthony Arrington Jr. | G | Sr | 6'3" | 22-2 | 19.0 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 37.8% | 21.7% | 2.7 | 50.0% | 28.3% | |
| 1 | Anastasios Rozakeas | G | Jr | 6'8" | 24-8 | 14.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 45.7% | 32.9% | 2.9 | 83.3% | 18.4% | |
| 7 | Wilguens Jr. Exacteat Drake | F | Sr | 6'6" | 18-13 | 19.4 | 7.3 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 45.2% | 22.2% | 2.5 | 68.3% | 27.3% | |
| 23 | Yakhya Diop | F | So | 7'0" | 31-0 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 64.7% | 16.1% | |
| 10 | Cade Ornessat Gonzaga | G | So | 6'4" | 8-0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 20.0% | 20.2% | |
| 5 | Noah Rogers | G | Jr | 5'11" | 3-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 10.1% | |
| 6 | Jaxon Hartman | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 16 | Crue Gard | F | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Julien Smith | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Liam Joyce | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Miquel Llompart | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Noah Limol | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Ryan Brzezanski | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Wilguens Jr. Exacte (from Drake), Cade Orness (from Gonzaga), Redd Thompson Jr. (from Longwood)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Mount St Marys
Against the spread
Season
17-13-1
Home
7-5
Road
10-7-1
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +3.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
10-21
Home
4-8
Road
6-12
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −6.7
Under 4 straightOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Siena | N | L 58–63 | +3.0 | L−2.0 | 135.0 | U121 | 96.1 | 104.4 | 60.3 |
| Mar 1 | Fairfield | A | W 69–47 | +3.5 | W+25.5 | 146.5 | U116 | 103.2 | 70.3 | 66.8 |
| Feb 27 | Sacred Heart | A | L 69–77 | +2.5 | L−5.5 | 150.5 | U146 | 104.7 | 116.9 | 65.9 |
| Feb 22 | Canisius | H | W 68–47 | −7.5 | W+13.5 | 137.5 | U115 | 108.5 | 75.0 | 62.6 |
| Feb 20 | Niagara | H | W 76–63 | −7.5 | W+5.5 | 131.0 | O139 | 108.6 | 90.1 | 69.9 |
| Feb 13 | Rider | A | W 65–55 | −5.0 | W+5.0 | 138.5 | U120 | 100.1 | 84.7 | 64.9 |
| Feb 7 | Iona | A | W 83–76 | +4.0 | W+11.0 | 141.0 | O159 | 131.1 | 120.0 | 63.3 |
| Feb 5 | Merrimack | H | L 70–87 | +2.0 | L−15.0 | 135.0 | O157 | 98.8 | 122.8 | 70.8 |
| Feb 1 | Manhattan | H | W 72–65 | −6.5 | W+0.5 | 146.5 | U137 | 110.1 | 99.4 | 65.4 |
| Jan 30 | Saint Peter's | A | L 58–66 | +6.0 | L−2.0 | 139.5 | U124 | 94.3 | 107.3 | 61.5 |
Morgan St
Against the spread
Season
15-12
Home
8-4
Road
7-7
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +2.4
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-11
Home
6-6
Road
9-5
Last 10
8-2
avg vs total +4.7
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Delaware St | N | L 70–75 OT | −3.0 | L−8.0 | 143.0 | O145 | 93.1 | 99.8 | 75.2 |
| Mar 5 | Coppin St | H | W 70–66 | −6.5 | L−2.5 | 150.5 | U136 | 101.7 | 95.9 | 68.8 |
| Mar 2 | Norfolk St | H | W 90–84 | +3.5 | W+9.5 | 157.0 | O174 | 119.4 | 111.4 | 75.4 |
| Feb 28 | Howard | H | L 59–84 | +9.5 | L−15.5 | 158.0 | U143 | 81.9 | 116.6 | 72.0 |
| Feb 25 | SC State | A | W 90–83 | −1.5 | W+5.5 | 154.5 | O173 | 123.4 | 113.8 | 73.0 |
| Feb 21 | Delaware St | H | W 82–68 | −5.5 | W+8.5 | 145.0 | O150 | 111.8 | 92.7 | 73.4 |
| Feb 16 | NC Central | A | L 76–80 | +5.5 | W+1.5 | 148.0 | O156 | 104.3 | 109.7 | 72.9 |
| Feb 7 | MD Eastern | H | W 79–71 | +1.5 | W+9.5 | 141.0 | O150 | 118.0 | 106.1 | 66.9 |
| Jan 31 | Coppin St | A | W 89–80 | −2.5 | W+6.5 | 155.5 | O169 | 117.4 | 105.5 | 75.8 |
| Jan 26 | Norfolk St | A | W 79–78 | +8.0 | W+9.0 | 153.5 | O157 | 103.8 | 102.5 | 76.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeMount St MarysMorgan St
Efficiency
102.5
102.0
107.8
115.6
68.5
70.3
—
—
Shooting
50.6%
45.8%
51.8%
44.9%
32.7%
31.7%
67.4%
74.3%
33.3%
42.7%
Ball control & glass
22.4%
17.8%
15.3%
16.5%
32.3%
30.7%
29.1%
35.2%
12.8%
9.4%
8.5%
10.4%
Style
42.6%
35.2%
44.8%
37.2%
12.0%
18.3%
55.2%
52.2%
31.3%
32.6%
Roster
3.33
3.58
6'4.2"
6'4.3"
32.5%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputMount St Marys
Returning minutes: 32.5%Returning production: 25.0%
Lost
- Xavier Lipscomb 31.7 mpg, 9.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Arlandus Keyes 27.7 mpg, 11.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Luke McEldon 24.0 mpg, 11.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Trey Deveaux 23.4 mpg, 9.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Justin Amadi 19.8 mpg, 6.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Patrick Haigh 6.5 mpg, 2.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Redd Thompson Jr. from Longwood · 22.1 mpg, 10.3 ppg last season
- Wilguens Jr. Exacte from Drake · 10.3 mpg, 3.9 ppg last season
- Cade Orness from Gonzaga · 0.6 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
- Liam Joyce no D1 minutes last season
- Crue Gard no D1 minutes last season
- Miquel Llompart no D1 minutes last season
Returns 33% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Morgan St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Morgan St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.