Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs North Alabama Lions basketball preview & prediction
Tue, Nov 24 · 8:00 PM ET · CB&S Bank Arena at Flowers Hall, Florence, AL
Non-conferenceESPN+CB&S Bank Arena at Flowers Hall, Florence, AL
Alabama A&M
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #332
@
North Alabama
2-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #290
Tue, Nov 24 · 8:00 PM ET
Our projected score shows once the market opens.
No line posted yet.
Our play
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, North Alabama is the faster team (71.2, #160 of 365) and Alabama A&M the slower (69.4, #222). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.9
per team, 40 min
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.6#250
Alabama A&M
69.8#233
North Alabama
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupFrom the four factors
North Alabama has the ball+5.0
Alabama A&M has the ball−14.3
North Alabama has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 57.3% #65 · AAMU allows 55.3% #263+6.5
✗Coughs it upTO% 22.5% #301 · AAMU forces 18.7% #143 · ~14 turnovers−2.3
✓Gets to the lineFTR 42.7% #109 · AAMU allows 43.9% #257 · FT 75.0% #98+0.9
✗Few second chancesOR% 24.1% #296 · AAMU allows 41.9% #3270.0
Alabama A&M has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 31.1% #356 · UNA allows 50.9% #187−10.6
✗Few second chancesOR% 24.4% #290 · UNA allows 26.7% #97−3.1
✗Coughs it upTO% 24.5% #328 · UNA forces 14.7% #280 · ~13 turnovers−1.1
✓Gets to the lineFTR 39.6% #139 · UNA allows 49.6% #298 · FT 66.7% #229+0.5
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootAlabama A&Moffense vsNorth Alabamadefense
Share of shots by zone
Alabama A&M shoots
18.4
7.9
23.7
50.0
North Alabama allows
32.4
1.8
6.3
59.5
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 42.9%#324 | 63.9%#249 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.3%#183 | 0.0%#1 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 11.1%#318 | 42.9%#240 | 34.7% |
| Three | 20.8%#347 | 30.9%#144 | 32.5% |
North Alabamaoffense vsAlabama A&Mdefense
Share of shots by zone
North Alabama shoots
38.7
2.2
5.4
53.8
Alabama A&M allows
31.1
8.9
6.7
53.3
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 66.7%#83 | 50.0%#75 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 50.0%#75 | 75.0%#336 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.0%#117 | 0.0%#1 | 34.7% |
| Three | 34.6%#135 | 41.9%#316 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineAlabama A&M
−10.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#320 of 365
Off reb %
24.4%
#290
Def reb %
58.1%
#327
Turnover %
24.5%
#328
Forced TO %
18.7%
#143
FT rate
39.6%
#139
FT allowed
43.9%
#257
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.4
Defensive rebounding−3.4
Ball security−4.4
Forcing turnovers+0.5
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed−1.5
North Alabama
−7.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#285 of 365
Off reb %
24.1%
#296
Def reb %
73.3%
#97
Turnover %
22.5%
#301
Forced TO %
14.7%
#280
FT rate
42.7%
#109
FT allowed
49.6%
#298
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.5
Defensive rebounding+1.6
Ball security−3.0
Forcing turnovers−2.4
Foul shots drawn+1.4
Foul shots allowed−3.0
North Alabama has more extra scoring chances per game: −7.8 (#285 of 365) to Alabama A&M’s −10.7 (#320).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notAlabama A&M2026-27 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-3 | 28.0 | 13.7 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 60.3% | 50.0% | 4.7 | 75.0% | 23.7% | Active | |
| 1 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 3-3 | 25.7 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 67.5% | 60.0% | 1.7 | 85.7% | 21.4% | Active | |
| 2 | G | Jr | 5'11" | 3-3 | 21.0 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 34.2% | 12.5% | 2.7 | 75.0% | 19.6% | Active | |
| 15 | G | Jr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 17.7 | 10.7 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 48.3% | 25.0% | 6.7 | 60.0% | 33.5% | Active | |
| 12 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 17.3 | 11.0 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 58.8% | — | 0.0 | 68.4% | 28.8% | Active | |
| 5 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 16.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 23.1% | 0.0% | 2.3 | 40.0% | 21.8% | Active | |
| 11 | G | So | 6'1" | 3-0 | 15.0 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 1.3 | 60.0% | 23.7% | Active | |
| 8 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 3-3 | 14.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 28.6% | 18.9% | Active | |
| 21 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 3-0 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 55.6% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 19.0% | Active | |
| 3 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 2-2 | 17.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 27.3% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 72.7% | 25.9% | Missed last | |
| 34 | G | Sr | 6'8" | 1-1 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 58.3% | 33.3% | 6.0 | 80.0% | 27.3% | Active | |
| 7 | G | Fr | 5'10" | 3-0 | 10.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | 60.0% | 20.3% | Active |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten gamesAlabama A&M
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −13.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −9.0
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | DePaul | A | L 47–84 | +23.5 | L−13.5 | 140.0 | U131 | 67.7 | 121.0 | 69.4 |
| Nov 6 | Mississippi U for Women Owls | H | W 103–47 | — | — | — | — | 132.7 | 60.6 | 77.6 |
| Nov 2 | Oakwood Ambassadors | H | W 90–57 | — | — | — | — | 110.6 | 70.1 | 81.3 |
| Mar 13 | Prairie View | N | L 55–74 | −2.0 | L−21.0 | 140.5 | U129 | 87.1 | 117.2 | 63.1 |
| Mar 12 | Texas Southern | N | W 85–74 OT | −1.5 | W+9.5 | 142.5 | O159 | 111.5 | 97.1 | 76.2 |
| Mar 5 | Southern | H | L 85–88 | +1.0 | L−2.0 | 145.0 | O173 | 117.0 | 121.1 | 72.7 |
| Mar 3 | Grambling | H | W 77–63 | −2.0 | W+12.0 | 140.0 | P140 | 120.8 | 98.8 | 63.8 |
| Feb 28 | Alabama St | H | L 88–89 | −1.0 | L−2.0 | 143.0 | O177 | 131.0 | 132.5 | 67.2 |
| Feb 21 | Bethune | A | L 76–85 | +7.0 | L−2.0 | 143.0 | O161 | 112.3 | 125.6 | 67.7 |
| Feb 19 | Florida A&M | A | W 63–61 | +2.0 | W+4.0 | 139.5 | U124 | 100.0 | 96.8 | 63.0 |
North Alabama
Against the spread
Season
2-0
Home
0-0
Road
2-0
Last 10
2-0
avg cover +16.2
Covered 2 straight
Over / under
Season
2-0
Home
0-0
Road
2-0
Last 10
2-0
avg vs total +4.2
Over 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | Oklahoma | A | L 72–81 | +28.0 | W+19.0 | 147.0 | O153 | 107.9 | 121.4 | 66.7 |
| Nov 5 | Union (TN) Bulldogs | H | W 76–66 | — | — | — | — | 106.3 | 92.3 | 71.5 |
| Nov 2 | UC Davis | A | W 79–75 | +9.5 | W+13.5 | 151.5 | O154 | 104.3 | 99.0 | 75.8 |
| Mar 4 | FGCU | N | L 58–69 | +7.5 | L−3.5 | 139.5 | U127 | 93.1 | 110.7 | 62.3 |
| Feb 28 | West Georgia | A | L 63–75 | +5.0 | L−7.0 | 146.5 | U138 | 91.9 | 109.4 | 68.5 |
| Feb 25 | Bellarmine | H | W 73–68 | +3.0 | W+8.0 | 147.0 | U141 | 124.0 | 115.5 | 58.8 |
| Feb 21 | Lipscomb | A | L 51–73 | +12.0 | L−10.0 | 149.5 | U124 | 81.6 | 116.8 | 62.5 |
| Feb 18 | Queens | H | L 78–85 | +8.5 | W+1.5 | 155.5 | O163 | 115.7 | 126.1 | 67.4 |
| Feb 15 | E Kentucky | H | W 84–78 OT | +4.5 | W+10.5 | 149.5 | O162 | 112.6 | 104.6 | 74.6 |
| Feb 11 | West Georgia | H | L 73–82 | −1.0 | L−10.0 | 145.5 | O155 | 113.0 | 126.9 | 64.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAlabama A&MNorth Alabama
Efficiency
98.7
102.2
111.5
110.6
69.6
69.8
7.6
1.4
Shooting
31.1%
57.3%
31.0%
62.7%
20.8%
34.6%
66.7%
75.0%
39.6%
42.7%
Ball control & glass
24.5%
22.5%
18.7%
14.7%
24.4%
24.1%
41.9%
26.7%
15.8%
14.7%
17.2%
3.9%
Style
45.3%
50.5%
29.8%
41.1%
14.9%
8.6%
57.1%
38.0%
44.3%
41.3%
Roster
2.97
3.17
6'4.7"
6'5.9"
31.1%
13.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAlabama A&M
Returning minutes: 38.9%Returning production: 37.5%
Lost
- Kintavious Dozier 32.3 mpg, 14.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Koron Davis 29.4 mpg, 14.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- PJ Eason 25.2 mpg, 7.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Lou Hutchinson III 16.5 mpg, 4.0 ppg · transferred to West Georgia
- James Flippin 7.7 mpg, 2.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Angok Anyang 5.8 mpg, 1.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Javantae Edwards from Canisius · 20.0 mpg, 5.7 ppg last season
- Nate Johnson from Detroit Mercy · 8.3 mpg, 2.3 ppg last season
- Jayden Jackson no D1 minutes last season
- Devontes Cobbs no D1 minutes last season
- Devin Brown no D1 minutes last season
- David Meriwether no D1 minutes last season
Returns 39% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
North Alabama
Returning minutes: 13.4%Returning production: 10.1%
Lost
- Donte Bacchus 33.4 mpg, 14.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Dallas Howell 31.9 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Corneilous Williams 31.4 mpg, 11.8 ppg · transferred to Memphis
- Kevin de Kovachich 31.2 mpg, 11.8 ppg · transferred to MTSU
- Canin Jefferson 22.1 mpg, 9.1 ppg · transferred to Wyoming
- DarKaun King 8.3 mpg, 2.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Mike Evbagharu from Canisius · 32.2 mpg, 8.9 ppg last season
- Damarien Yates from Alabama St · 17.1 mpg, 6.8 ppg last season
- Jacobe Whitted from Tennessee Tech · 11.8 mpg, 2.4 ppg last season
- Julius Clark from Gardner-Webb · 4.1 mpg, 1.8 ppg last season
- Quan Lax from Austin Peay · 4.0 mpg, 0.7 ppg last season
- Jackson Gulley no D1 minutes last season
Returns 13% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mon, Dec 15 | 2025-26 | North Alabama 60 – 68 Alabama A&M |
More games on Tue, Nov 24
- Wright St vs St Bonaventure · 10:00 AM ET
- Ohio vs New Mexico St · 11:00 AM ET
- SE Louisiana vs N Colorado · 12:30 PM ET
- Belmont vs Akron · 12:30 PM ET
- Southern Utah at FIU · 1:00 PM ET
- Lindenwood vs New Haven · 1:00 PM ET
- Oklahoma vs Pitt · 1:30 PM ET
- Rice vs UIC · 1:30 PM ET
- Oregon St vs San Francisco · 2:00 PM ET
- Tennessee vs Maryland · 3:00 PM ET
- Miami vs TCU · 3:00 PM ET
- North Dakota vs Detroit Mercy · 3:00 PM ET
- App State vs Yale · 3:00 PM ET
- Long Beach St vs Arkansas St · 3:30 PM ET
- Air Force vs Army · 4:00 PM ET
- Tulsa vs Illinois St · 4:30 PM ET
- Creighton vs Michigan · 5:30 PM ET
- San Diego St vs Iowa State · 5:30 PM ET
- Wyoming vs Kent State · 5:30 PM ET
- DePaul vs Purdue · 6:00 PM ET
- E Michigan vs Kennesaw St · 6:00 PM ET
- Queens at Wofford · 6:00 PM ET
- Mercer at FAU · 6:00 PM ET
- S Indiana at VMI · 6:00 PM ET
- Sacred Heart at Rutgers · 6:00 PM ET
- Elon at Furman · 6:30 PM ET
- Robert Morris vs Lamar · 6:30 PM ET
- Milwaukee at Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Gardner-Webb at Bowling Green · 7:00 PM ET
- Binghamton at Lehigh · 7:00 PM ET
- Charleston So at James Madison · 7:00 PM ET
- Nevada vs Santa Clara · 7:00 PM ET
- Jacksonville at Indiana · 7:00 PM ET
- Vanderbilt at Ohio State · 7:00 PM ET
- Stetson at South Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Samford at Georgia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Boston U at Harvard · 7:00 PM ET
- Vermont at Siena · 7:00 PM ET
- UMBC at Iowa · 7:00 PM ET
- Campbell at Coastal · 7:00 PM ET
- New Hampshire at Seton Hall · 7:00 PM ET
- Mount St Marys at Morgan St · 7:00 PM ET
- Delaware St at Chattanooga · 7:00 PM ET
- Rider at Loyola MD · 7:00 PM ET
- Coppin St at Villanova · 7:00 PM ET
- Bryant at Marist · 7:00 PM ET
- Tarleton St at Weber St · 7:00 PM ET
- Hampton at Old Dominion · 7:00 PM ET
- West Georgia at Tennessee Tech · 7:30 PM ET
- Hou Christian at UL Monroe · 7:30 PM ET
- High Point vs Duquesne · 7:30 PM ET
- Alcorn St at Louisiana Tech · 7:30 PM ET
- Purdue FW at SE Missouri · 7:30 PM ET
- C Michigan at Notre Dame · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas Tech vs Louisville · 8:00 PM ET
- Lipscomb at Auburn · 8:00 PM ET
- Green Bay at Kansas City · 8:00 PM ET
- Drexel at Penn · 8:00 PM ET
- Bucknell at Cornell · 8:00 PM ET
- Oral Roberts at UT Arlington · 8:00 PM ET
- Florida A&M at South Alabama · 8:00 PM ET
- Charleston vs UTEP · 8:30 PM ET
- UNC Asheville at Florida St · 9:00 PM ET
- Evansville at Missouri · 9:00 PM ET
- Idaho St at Boise St · 9:00 PM ET
- UNC Greensboro at Santa Barbara · 9:00 PM ET
- Sam Houston at Washington St · 9:00 PM ET
- Grand Canyon vs Saint Louis · 9:30 PM ET
- Baylor vs Alabama · 10:00 PM ET
- Oregon vs St John's · 10:30 PM ET
- Stanford vs Colorado · 11:59 PM ET
- Gonzaga vs Kansas St · 12:30 AM ET
- Bellarmine vs GA Southern · TBD
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.