CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteOcean Center, Daytona Beach, FLSunshine Slam
Wyoming
Efficiency #98
2025-26: 18-15 · 9-12 conf
vs
Kent State
Efficiency #157
2025-26: 24-10 · 15-5 conf
Tue, Nov 24 · 5:30 PM ET
78.3
win 58%
Projected
76.0
win 42%
No line posted yet.
Model: WYO −2.2 · total 154.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Kent State 70.4, Wyoming 67.7 → 69.8 possessions
+3.2
Kent State offense vs Wyoming defense
+0.3
Wyoming offense vs Kent State defense
+2.6
Projected total
154.3
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Kent State offense vs Wyoming defense
+0.3
Wyoming offense vs Kent State defense
−2.6
Wyoming by 2.2
2.2
Wyoming side ◂▸ Kent State side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to −2.3 against −2.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Kent State.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Kent State is the faster team (71.9, #25 of 365) and Wyoming the slower (67.6, #221). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
154.3
model
Projected team totals
78.3 / 76.0
Wyoming / Kent State
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.7#237
Wyoming
70.4#30
Kent State
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetClashWyoming
Style match: 3-point volume
Wyoming takes 43.0% of its shots from three; Kent State lets opponents take 43.1% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 44.6% — both habits push the same way.
ClashKent State
Style clash: 3-point volume
Kent State takes 44.9% of its shots from three; Wyoming runs teams off the line (35.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 41.5% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
ClashKent State
Style clash: ball movement
Kent State assists on 57.1% of its made baskets; Wyoming breaks up passing offenses (assists on 45.2% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 50.8% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Wyoming has the ball
OffenseKent State allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #154
52.1% #219
+1.0 pt/100
16.3% #155
16.1% #220
+0.9 pt/100
34.1% #66
29.3% #124
+1.2 pt/100
35.4% #166
39.5% #294
+0.4 pt/100
74.3% #115
—
+0.2 pt/100
Wyoming net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.7 pts/100
Kent State has the ball
OffenseWyoming allowsvs D1 avg
51.4% #175
52.0% #211
+0.6 pt/100
18.0% #269
16.8% #171
-0.9 pt/100
35.3% #39
28.0% #66
+1.4 pt/100
43.5% #15
47.9% #360
+1.5 pt/100
74.4% #105
—
+0.2 pt/100
Kent State net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersWyomingoffense vsKent Statedefense
Share of shots by zone
Wyoming shoots
41.6
3.7
11.6
43.1
Kent State allows
37.0
6.3
13.8
42.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.9%#242 | 58.7%#172 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.4%#72 | 40.0%#191 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.3%#102 | 38.2%#167 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#234 | 35.0%#246 | 33.7% |
Kent Stateoffense vsWyomingdefense
Share of shots by zone
Kent State shoots
36.6
6.0
12.4
45.0
Wyoming allows
41.4
6.9
16.1
35.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.6%#210 | 61.7%#292 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.7%#250 | 44.2%#273 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.4%#206 | 36.1%#111 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.0%#118 | 32.8%#108 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersWyoming
−0.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#213 of 365
Off reb %
34.1%
#66
Def reb %
72.0%
#66
Turnover %
16.3%
#155
Forced TO %
16.8%
#171
FT rate
35.4%
#166
FT allowed
47.9%
#360
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−3.3
Kent State
+1.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#109 of 365
Off reb %
35.3%
#39
Def reb %
70.7%
#124
Turnover %
18.0%
#269
Forced TO %
16.1%
#220
FT rate
43.5%
#15
FT allowed
39.5%
#294
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers−0.4
Foul shots drawn+2.2
Foul shots allowed−1.1
Kent State has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.9 (#109 of 365) to Wyoming’s −0.7 (#213).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Wyoming2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Wyoming's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leland Walker | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-32 | 28.7 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 45.4% | 28.6% | 3.6 | 82.7% | 31.7% | |
| 3 | Khaden Bennett | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-32 | 28.3 | 10.2 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 50.0% | 35.7% | 3.8 | 80.2% | 22.0% | |
| 2 | Nasir Meyer | G | Fr | 6'7" | 31-23 | 27.6 | 12.9 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 54.7% | 35.2% | 4.6 | 75.5% | 27.7% | |
| 1 | Damarion Dennis | G | So | 6'1" | 32-19 | 23.9 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 58.7% | 34.0% | 3.1 | 86.1% | 23.7% | |
| 13 | Adam Harakow | G | Jr | 6'7" | 33-7 | 18.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 57.1% | 38.1% | 2.5 | 68.0% | 18.1% | |
| 0 | Uriyah Rojas | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-2 | 16.6 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 47.3% | 31.3% | 2.9 | 76.3% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Gavin Gores | F | Fr | 6'10" | 28-8 | 18.0 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 62.3% | 22.2% | 0.6 | 68.8% | 21.9% | |
| 8 | Kiani Saxon | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-16 | 14.9 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 51.8% | 37.5% | 0.5 | 32.1% | 10.9% | |
| 10 | Abou Magassa | F | So | 6'7" | 29-11 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 57.6% | — | 0.0 | 51.2% | 18.2% | |
| 35 | Simm-Marten Saadi | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-3 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 46.6% | 30.8% | 2.4 | 100.0% | 26.2% | |
| 7 | Matija Belic | F | Sr | 6'7" | 13-12 | 17.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 50.0% | 21.1% | 1.5 | 55.6% | 23.4% | |
| 9 | Jared Harris | G | So | 6'2" | 12-0 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 43.2% | 30.0% | 1.7 | 80.0% | 23.7% | |
| 14 | Garrett Spielman | G | Fr | 6'7" | 8-0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.4 | — | 24.8% | |
| 32 | Talan Taylor | G | Fr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.7 | — | 15.7% | |
| 45 | Neil Summers | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Kent State2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Kent State's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cian Medley | G | Jr | 5'11" | 33-32 | 33.4 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 43.9% | 32.1% | 5.1 | 74.4% | 22.7% | |
| 23 | Delrecco Gillespie | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-34 | 32.2 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 52.9% | 27.0% | 1.9 | 78.9% | 30.6% | |
| 8 | Morgan Safford | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 31.2 | 14.3 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 51.3% | 34.9% | 6.1 | 80.1% | 25.1% | |
| 25 | Jahari Williamson | G | Jr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 25.1 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 61.8% | 44.5% | 5.4 | 82.6% | 18.3% | |
| 2 | Rob Whaley Jr. | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-27 | 23.7 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 52.9% | 28.6% | 0.9 | 62.3% | 29.5% | |
| 6 | Quinn Woidke | G | Fr | 6'0" | 34-0 | 19.4 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 40.4% | 4.9 | 80.0% | 23.2% | |
| 0 | Rayvon Griffith | F | So | 6'8" | 33-2 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 50.0% | 29.0% | 1.9 | 53.6% | 18.7% | |
| 14 | Magnus Entenmann | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-5 | 12.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 28.0% | 0.8 | 83.8% | 13.2% | |
| 11 | Dezmon Briscoe | F | Fr | 6'8" | 30-2 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 56.7% | 17.4% | |
| 54 | Omer Hamama | G | Fr | 6'2" | 23-2 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 40.0% | 15.4% | 0.6 | 83.3% | 18.9% | |
| 5 | Brenden Moss | G | Jr | 6'4" | 14-0 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 40.0% | 23.5% | 1.2 | 100.0% | 23.6% | |
| 7 | Landon Vanderwarker | F | Fr | 6'8" | 10-0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 55.0% | 36.4% | 1.1 | 37.5% | 23.4% | |
| 21 | Deandre Jones | F | Fr | 6'11" | 7-0 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 26.6% | |
| 51 | Drew Huffman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 26.4% | |
| 22 | Jaymen Townsend | F | Fr | 6'5" | 1-0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 15.5% | |
| 32 | Dylan Lakatos | G | Fr | 5'11" | 2-0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 2.0 | — | 33.8% | |
| 4 | Jamal Sumlin | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Wyoming2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Wyoming's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leland Walker | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-32 | 28.7 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 45.4% | 28.6% | 3.6 | 82.7% | 31.7% | |
| 3 | Khaden Bennett | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-32 | 28.3 | 10.2 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 50.0% | 35.7% | 3.8 | 80.2% | 22.0% | |
| 2 | Nasir Meyer | G | Fr | 6'7" | 31-23 | 27.6 | 12.9 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 54.7% | 35.2% | 4.6 | 75.5% | 27.7% | |
| 1 | Damarion Dennis | G | So | 6'1" | 32-19 | 23.9 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 58.7% | 34.0% | 3.1 | 86.1% | 23.7% | |
| 13 | Adam Harakow | G | Jr | 6'7" | 33-7 | 18.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 57.1% | 38.1% | 2.5 | 68.0% | 18.1% | |
| 0 | Uriyah Rojas | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-2 | 16.6 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 47.3% | 31.3% | 2.9 | 76.3% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Gavin Gores | F | Fr | 6'10" | 28-8 | 18.0 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 62.3% | 22.2% | 0.6 | 68.8% | 21.9% | |
| 8 | Kiani Saxon | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-16 | 14.9 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 51.8% | 37.5% | 0.5 | 32.1% | 10.9% | |
| 10 | Abou Magassa | F | So | 6'7" | 29-11 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 57.6% | — | 0.0 | 51.2% | 18.2% | |
| 35 | Simm-Marten Saadi | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-3 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 46.6% | 30.8% | 2.4 | 100.0% | 26.2% | |
| 7 | Matija Belic | F | Sr | 6'7" | 13-12 | 17.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 50.0% | 21.1% | 1.5 | 55.6% | 23.4% | |
| 9 | Jared Harris | G | So | 6'2" | 12-0 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 43.2% | 30.0% | 1.7 | 80.0% | 23.7% | |
| 14 | Garrett Spielman | G | Fr | 6'7" | 8-0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.4 | — | 24.8% | |
| 32 | Talan Taylor | G | Fr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.7 | — | 15.7% | |
| 45 | Neil Summers | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Wyoming
Against the spread
Season
16-16
Home
9-8
Road
5-8
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +1.2
Covered 4 straightCovered 5 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-16
Home
11-6
Road
4-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.3
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17 | Wichita St | A | L 70–74 | +5.5 | W+1.5 | 148.0 | U144 | 93.7 | 99.0 | 74.7 |
| Mar 11 | UNLV | N | L 70–73 | +3.5 | W+0.5 | 153.0 | U143 | 106.7 | 111.3 | 65.6 |
| Mar 7 | San José St | A | W 88–78 | −5.5 | W+4.5 | 148.0 | O166 | 146.0 | 129.4 | 60.3 |
| Mar 3 | Nevada | H | W 83–73 | +1.5 | W+11.5 | 144.0 | O156 | 125.2 | 110.1 | 66.3 |
| Feb 28 | Air Force | H | W 66–62 | −21.5 | L−17.5 | 146.5 | U128 | 101.1 | 95.0 | 65.3 |
| Feb 24 | Boise St | A | L 62–72 | +8.5 | L−1.5 | 146.0 | U134 | 97.4 | 113.1 | 63.7 |
| Feb 21 | Grand Canyon | A | W 70–65 | +8.5 | W+13.5 | 144.5 | U135 | 103.7 | 96.3 | 67.5 |
| Feb 17 | Fresno St | H | W 92–82 | −9.5 | W+0.5 | 147.5 | O174 | 140.9 | 125.6 | 65.3 |
| Feb 14 | Colorado St | A | L 68–79 | +3.5 | L−7.5 | 138.5 | O147 | 110.5 | 128.4 | 61.5 |
| Feb 7 | Utah State | H | L 83–85 | +8.5 | W+6.5 | 146.0 | O168 | 122.6 | 125.6 | 67.7 |
Kent State
Against the spread
Season
12-19-1
Home
6-9
Road
5-8
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −2.5
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 as an underdogCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
18-13-1
Home
11-4
Road
5-7-1
Last 10
5-4-1
avg vs total +4.1
Under 2 straightOver in 5 of 6 as a favorite, 1 pushOver in 0 of 4 as an underdogOver in 4 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | Illinois St | A | L 58–79 | +4.5 | L−16.5 | 154.5 | U137 | 83.9 | 114.3 | 69.1 |
| Mar 13 | Akron | N | L 68–75 | +6.5 | L−0.5 | 163.0 | U143 | 99.5 | 109.7 | 68.3 |
| Mar 12 | Ohio | N | W 86–75 | −3.5 | W+7.5 | 160.5 | O161 | 121.1 | 105.7 | 71.0 |
| Mar 6 | W Michigan | H | W 86–78 | −13.5 | L−5.5 | 157.5 | O164 | 122.5 | 111.1 | 70.2 |
| Mar 3 | N Illinois | A | W 102–76 | −10.0 | W+16.0 | 149.5 | O178 | 134.5 | 100.2 | 75.9 |
| Feb 27 | Akron | H | L 70–92 | +3.5 | L−18.5 | 165.0 | U162 | 99.4 | 130.7 | 70.4 |
| Feb 24 | C Michigan | H | W 83–81 | −12.0 | L−10.0 | 157.0 | O164 | 124.1 | 121.1 | 66.9 |
| Feb 17 | Bowling Green | A | W 78–71 | +2.5 | W+9.5 | 151.5 | U149 | 107.5 | 97.9 | 72.5 |
| Feb 14 | Ball State | A | W 75–68 | −8.0 | L−1.0 | 143.0 | P143 | 103.3 | 93.7 | 72.6 |
| Feb 11 | E Michigan | H | W 95–91 | −10.0 | L−6.0 | 144.5 | O186 | 135.3 | 129.6 | 70.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeWyomingKent State
Efficiency
111.8
109.8
107.6
108.9
67.7
70.4
—
—
Shooting
51.8%
51.4%
53.6%
50.6%
33.0%
35.0%
74.3%
74.4%
35.4%
43.5%
Ball control & glass
16.3%
18.0%
16.8%
16.1%
34.1%
35.3%
28.0%
29.3%
8.3%
9.8%
10.9%
9.6%
Style
43.0%
44.9%
43.0%
36.6%
9.6%
13.1%
53.8%
57.1%
37.3%
29.8%
Roster
2.57
3.05
6'5"
6'4.1"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputWyoming
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Wyoming's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Kent State
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Kent State's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.