Hampton Pirates vs Old Dominion Monarchs basketball preview & prediction
Tue, Nov 24 · 7:00 PM ET · Chartway Arena, Norfolk, VA
Non-conferenceESPN+Chartway Arena, Norfolk, VA
Hampton
0-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #273
@
Old Dominion
3-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #147
Tue, Nov 24 · 7:00 PM ET
Our projected score shows once the market opens.
No line posted yet.
Our play
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Hampton is the faster team (72.0, #135 of 365) and Old Dominion the slower (62.5, #350). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.1
per team, 40 min
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.5#255
Hampton
68.1#322
Old Dominion
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupFrom the four factors
Old Dominion has the ball+4.0
Hampton has the ball−15.5
Old Dominion has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 37.3% #83 · HAMP allows 41.9% #326+3.7
✓Shoots it welleFG% 57.7% #57 · HAMP allows 48.4% #134+3.2
✗Coughs it upTO% 20.0% #251 · HAMP forces 20.8% #90 · ~14 turnovers−2.2
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 21.8% #333 · HAMP allows 39.3% #207 · FT 66.7% #229−0.7
Hampton has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 36.6% #346 · ODU allows 43.6% #59−10.8
✗Few second chancesOR% 19.3% #339 · ODU allows 22.4% #34−5.3
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 14.6% #73 · ODU forces 19.2% #131 · ~11 turnovers+1.2
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 44.0% #96 · ODU allows 30.4% #106 · FT 60.8% #303−0.6
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootHamptonoffense vsOld Dominiondefense
Share of shots by zone
Hampton shoots
37.1
9.0
20.2
33.7
Old Dominion allows
30.9
4.3
23.4
41.5
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 36.4%#351 | 51.7%#96 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.5%#165 | 25.0%#76 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 16.7%#298 | 22.7%#75 | 34.7% |
| Three | 26.8%#258 | 34.1%#210 | 32.5% |
Old Dominionoffense vsHamptondefense
Share of shots by zone
Old Dominion shoots
39.0
6.0
12.0
43.0
Hampton allows
45.3
9.5
5.3
40.0
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.4%#202 | 62.8%#235 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.3%#183 | 33.3%#125 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 25.0%#245 | 40.0%#212 | 34.7% |
| Three | 45.7%#14 | 24.5%#43 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineHampton
−1.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#199 of 365
Off reb %
19.3%
#339
Def reb %
58.1%
#326
Turnover %
14.6%
#73
Forced TO %
20.8%
#90
FT rate
44.0%
#96
FT allowed
39.3%
#207
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−4.1
Defensive rebounding−3.4
Ball security+2.6
Forcing turnovers+2.0
Foul shots drawn+1.7
Foul shots allowed−0.4
Old Dominion
+2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#140 of 365
Off reb %
37.3%
#83
Def reb %
77.6%
#34
Turnover %
20.0%
#251
Forced TO %
19.2%
#131
FT rate
21.8%
#333
FT allowed
30.4%
#106
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.9
Defensive rebounding+3.1
Ball security−1.2
Forcing turnovers+0.8
Foul shots drawn−4.1
Foul shots allowed+2.0
Old Dominion has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.5 (#140 of 365) to Hampton’s −1.6 (#199).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notHampton2026-27 numbers · last game: G Washington, Nov 7
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | F | Sr | 6'10" | 2-2 | 34.0 | 36 | — | Started last | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 37.5% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 19.5% | |
| 0 | G | Fr | 5'5" | 2-1 | 27.0 | 26 | — | Started last | 8.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 3.0 | 62.5% | 17.3% | |
| 5 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 2-1 | 22.0 | 23 | — | Started last | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 23.5% | 0.0% | 2.5 | 72.7% | 30.7% | |
| 12 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 2-1 | 22.0 | 24 | — | Bench | 11.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 40.0% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 87.5% | 33.9% | |
| 1 | G | Sr | 6'7" | 2-2 | 21.5 | 21 | — | Started last | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 38.2% | 25.0% | 6.0 | 33.3% | 28.9% | |
| 3 | G | Sr | 6'5" | 2-2 | 21.5 | 19 | — | Started last | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 35.0% | 25.0% | 2.0 | 50.0% | 21.6% | |
| 23 | F | Sr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 19.5 | 20 | — | Bench | 2.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 12.0% | |
| 2 | G | So | 6'2" | 2-0 | 11.5 | 15 | — | Bench | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.4% | 40.0% | 2.5 | — | 22.0% | |
| 7 | F | So | 6'9" | 2-0 | 9.5 | 15 | — | Bench | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 50.0% | 21.4% | |
| 4 | G | So | 6'3" | 2-1 | 5.5 | 4 | — | Bench | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 10.1% | |
| 15 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 5.5 | 0 | — | Bench | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | — | 14.6% | |
| 9 | F | Fr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 1.5 | — | — | Active | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten gamesHampton
Against the spread
Season
1-1
Home
0-0
Road
1-1
Last 10
1-1
avg cover 0.0
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-0
Road
0-2
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −15.2
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | Apprentice School Builders | H | W 67–56 | — | — | — | — | 102.2 | 85.4 | 65.6 |
| Nov 7 | G Washington | A | L 61–75 | +20.0 | W+6.0 | 147.5 | U136 | 91.1 | 112.0 | 66.9 |
| Nov 3 | Georgia Tech | A | L 55–75 | +14.0 | L−6.0 | 149.0 | U130 | 71.4 | 97.3 | 77.1 |
| Mar 7 | Towson | N | L 68–74 | +7.5 | W+1.5 | 132.0 | O142 | 100.1 | 108.9 | 67.9 |
| Mar 3 | William & Mary | A | L 85–94 | +11.5 | W+2.5 | 154.0 | O179 | 117.9 | 130.3 | 72.1 |
| Feb 28 | Northeastern | H | W 76–65 | −4.5 | W+6.5 | 146.5 | U141 | 115.2 | 98.6 | 65.9 |
| Feb 26 | Charleston | H | L 71–85 | +5.5 | L−8.5 | 139.5 | O156 | 103.8 | 124.3 | 68.4 |
| Feb 21 | Stony Brook | A | L 72–79 | +5.0 | L−2.0 | 135.5 | O151 | 104.5 | 114.6 | 68.9 |
| Feb 19 | Hofstra | A | L 43–79 | +11.0 | L−25.0 | 133.5 | U122 | 70.5 | 129.5 | 61.0 |
| Feb 13 | NC A&T | N | L 70–71 | −3.0 | L−4.0 | 138.0 | O141 | 105.6 | 107.1 | 66.3 |
Old Dominion
Against the spread
Season
2-0
Home
1-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
2-0
avg cover +13.8
Covered 2 straight
Over / under
Season
1-1
Home
0-1
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-1
avg vs total −21.2
Over in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | Bucknell | A | W 82–62 | −6.0 | W+14.0 | 141.0 | O144 | 127.5 | 96.4 | 64.3 |
| Nov 4 | Regent Regent Royals | H | W 91–47 | — | — | — | — | 119.7 | 61.8 | 76.1 |
| Nov 2 | W Michigan | H | W 61–49 | +1.5 | W+13.5 | 155.5 | U110 | 100.5 | 80.7 | 60.7 |
| Mar 4 | GA Southern | N | L 84–88 | +2.0 | L−2.0 | 157.5 | O172 | 121.6 | 127.4 | 69.1 |
| Mar 3 | UL Monroe | N | W 87–80 | −10.5 | L−3.5 | 157.5 | O167 | 124.6 | 114.6 | 69.8 |
| Feb 27 | Georgia St | A | W 81–73 | −1.0 | W+7.0 | 149.5 | O154 | 109.9 | 99.1 | 73.7 |
| Feb 24 | Marshall | A | L 88–97 | +8.5 | L−0.5 | 160.5 | O185 | 122.0 | 134.5 | 72.1 |
| Feb 21 | Southern Miss | A | L 81–86 | +5.0 | P0.0 | 148.0 | O167 | 100.0 | 106.1 | 81.0 |
| Feb 16 | Louisiana | H | W 83–72 | −5.5 | W+5.5 | 136.0 | O155 | 124.6 | 108.1 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | Georgia St | H | W 78–55 | −4.0 | W+19.0 | 147.0 | U133 | 120.8 | 85.2 | 64.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeHamptonOld Dominion
Efficiency
98.6
105.3
105.0
104.2
69.5
68.1
7.9
-10.5
Shooting
36.6%
57.7%
34.7%
50.0%
26.8%
45.7%
60.8%
66.7%
44.0%
21.8%
Ball control & glass
14.6%
20.0%
20.8%
19.2%
19.3%
37.3%
41.9%
22.4%
5.6%
14.4%
16.0%
6.3%
Style
35.3%
41.8%
39.7%
40.6%
22.4%
7.0%
51.4%
58.5%
42.5%
50.3%
Roster
3.23
3.27
6'4.4"
6'5.4"
9.3%
29.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputHampton
Returning minutes: 15.6%Returning production: 14.0%
Lost
- Xzavier Long 32.4 mpg, 9.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Daniel Johnson 25.1 mpg, 10.0 ppg · transferred to Bethune
- Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt 23.8 mpg, 10.2 ppg · transferred to Southern Miss
- Josh Ogundele 14.8 mpg, 5.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kody Williams 14.5 mpg, 2.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Michael Eley 13.8 mpg, 9.3 ppg · transferred to Prairie View
Added
- Jayme Mitchell Jr. from Jackson St · 31.8 mpg, 14.1 ppg last season
- Max Frazier from C Connecticut · 28.2 mpg, 12.0 ppg last season
- Cornelius Robinson III from Monmouth · 24.1 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Aaron Davis III from Bryant · 22.5 mpg, 9.2 ppg last season
- Tyler Jackson from E Kentucky · 10.0 mpg, 5.1 ppg last season
- Seth Hubbard from Milwaukee · 8.6 mpg, 4.7 ppg last season
Returns 16% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Old Dominion
Returning minutes: 29.0%Returning production: 24.2%
Lost
- Jordan Battle 32.8 mpg, 15.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- KC Shaw 27.4 mpg, 14.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- LJ Thomas 25.1 mpg, 10.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Robert Davis Jr. 23.3 mpg, 7.5 ppg · transferred to Troy
- Caelum Swanton-Rodger 19.3 mpg, 7.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Drew McKenna 8.7 mpg, 3.1 ppg · transferred to New Hampshire
Added
- Zamoku Weluche-Ume from NC A&T · 29.6 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
- Bubu Benjamin from G Washington · 17.5 mpg, 4.9 ppg last season
- Kylan Howze from Louisiana Tech · 7.9 mpg, 1.6 ppg last season
- Theo Gerges no D1 minutes last season
- Cj Harper no D1 minutes last season
- CJ Lyons no D1 minutes last season
Returns 29% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Tue, Nov 24
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- Oregon vs St John's · 10:30 PM ET
- Stanford vs Colorado · 11:59 PM ET
- Gonzaga vs Kansas St · 12:30 AM ET
- Bellarmine vs GA Southern · TBD
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.