Sam Houston Bearkats vs Washington State Cougars basketball preview & prediction
Tue, Nov 24 · 9:00 PM ET · Beasley Coliseum, Pullman, WA
Non-conferenceBeasley Coliseum, Pullman, WA
Sam Houston
1-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #123
@
Washington St
0-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #204
Tue, Nov 24 · 9:00 PM ET
Our projected score shows once the market opens.
No line posted yet.
Our play
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Sam Houston is the faster team (80.8, #13 of 365) and Washington St the slower (64.8, #330). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.7
per team, 40 min
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
73.4#48
Sam Houston
68.9#291
Washington St
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupFrom the four factors
Washington St has the ball+3.0
Sam Houston has the ball+1.2
Washington St has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 19.3% #225 · SHSU forces 12.4% #325 · ~11 turnovers+2.8
✓Wins second chancesOR% 35.9% #98 · SHSU allows 30.2% #164+1.1
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 20.7% #339 · SHSU allows 25.3% #51 · FT 76.0% #85−1.0
✓Shoots it welleFG% 46.7% #247 · SHSU allows 54.7% #253+0.2
Sam Houston has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 50.0% #176 · WSU allows 66.7% #350+8.4
✗Coughs it upTO% 28.5% #350 · WSU forces 20.1% #106 · ~18 turnovers−6.2
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 24.6% #312 · WSU allows 41.4% #224 · FT 56.3% #334−1.2
✓Wins second chancesOR% 34.1% #123 · WSU allows 28.8% #138+0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootSam Houstonoffense vsWashington Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Sam Houston shoots
31.6
7.9
10.5
50.0
Washington St allows
32.6
15.2
7.6
44.6
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 25.0%#357 | 76.7%#348 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.3%#183 | 50.0%#243 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 25.0%#245 | 71.4%#346 | 34.7% |
| Three | 45.5%#16 | 44.4%#338 | 32.5% |
Washington Stoffense vsSam Houstondefense
Share of shots by zone
Washington St shoots
36.8
5.3
14.9
43.0
Sam Houston allows
33.3
10.4
14.6
41.7
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 47.6%#294 | 75.0%#340 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 16.7%#299 | 20.0%#54 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 29.4%#221 | 42.9%#240 | 34.7% |
| Three | 34.0%#153 | 32.3%#173 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineSam Houston
−10.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#313 of 365
Off reb %
34.1%
#123
Def reb %
69.8%
#164
Turnover %
28.5%
#350
Forced TO %
12.4%
#325
FT rate
24.6%
#312
FT allowed
25.3%
#51
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.8
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−7.3
Forcing turnovers−4.0
Foul shots drawn−3.3
Foul shots allowed+3.3
Washington St
−2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#211 of 365
Off reb %
35.9%
#98
Def reb %
71.2%
#138
Turnover %
19.3%
#225
Forced TO %
20.1%
#106
FT rate
20.7%
#339
FT allowed
41.4%
#224
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.5
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn−4.4
Foul shots allowed−0.9
Washington St has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.2 (#211 of 365) to Sam Houston’s −10.0 (#313).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notSam Houston2026-27 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | G | So | 6'3" | 2-2 | 25.5 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 51.9% | 43.8% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 30.5% | Active | |
| 5 | G | Jr | 6'0" | 2-2 | 23.5 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 56.3% | 50.0% | 4.0 | — | 21.7% | Active | |
| 11 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 2-2 | 23.0 | 14.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 56.8% | 41.7% | 6.0 | 60.0% | 28.0% | Active | |
| 10 | F | Sr | 6'6" | 2-2 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 40.0% | 18.8% | Active | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'1" | 2-0 | 19.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 61.1% | 50.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 23.7% | Active | |
| 18 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 2-1 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 15.5% | Active | |
| 6 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 31.8% | 16.7% | 3.0 | 50.0% | 26.7% | Active | |
| 8 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 66.7% | 22.0% | Active | |
| 22 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 2-1 | 11.5 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 56.7% | 25.0% | 2.0 | 33.3% | 38.8% | Active | |
| 32 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 22.9% | Active | |
| 12 | F | So | 7'1" | 1-0 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 85.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 28.2% | Active | |
| 25 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 1-0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 15.8% | Active | |
| 3 | G | So | 6'6" | 1-0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | — | 33.9% | Active | |
| 13 | G | So | 6'0" | 1-0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 13.6% | Active | |
| 1 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 26.8% | Active |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten gamesSam Houston
Against the spread
Season
1-0
Home
0-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-0
avg cover +5.0
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −2.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | Howard Payne Yellow Jackets | H | W 102–59 | — | — | — | — | 122.3 | 70.7 | 83.4 |
| Nov 3 | #20Alabama | A | L 74–96 | +27.0 | W+5.0 | 172.5 | U170 | 91.6 | 118.8 | 80.8 |
| Mar 18 | New Mexico | A | L 83–107 | +11.5 | L−12.5 | 163.0 | O190 | 109.2 | 140.7 | 76.0 |
| Mar 13 | Kennesaw St | N | L 73–79 | −2.0 | L−8.0 | 159.5 | U152 | 104.8 | 113.4 | 69.7 |
| Mar 11 | New Mexico St | N | W 69–61 | −4.5 | W+3.5 | 155.0 | U130 | 96.5 | 85.3 | 71.5 |
| Mar 7 | Liberty | A | L 72–79 | +4.5 | L−2.5 | 152.5 | U151 | 115.8 | 127.1 | 62.2 |
| Mar 5 | Delaware | A | L 80–83 | −7.5 | L−10.5 | 148.0 | O163 | 112.4 | 116.7 | 71.2 |
| Feb 28 | Missouri St | H | W 86–81 | −7.0 | L−2.0 | 154.5 | O167 | 127.1 | 119.8 | 67.6 |
| Feb 26 | FIU | H | W 100–67 | −6.0 | W+27.0 | 162.0 | O167 | 136.4 | 91.4 | 73.3 |
| Feb 21 | Jax State | H | W 82–78 | −7.5 | L−3.5 | 148.5 | O160 | 121.6 | 115.7 | 67.4 |
Washington St
Against the spread
Season
1-1
Home
0-1
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-1
avg cover −8.5
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −7.2
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | Duquesne | A | L 71–72 | +3.5 | W+2.5 | 145.5 | U143 | 113.6 | 115.2 | 62.5 |
| Nov 7 | High Point | A | L 71–83 | +13.0 | W+1.0 | 156.5 | U154 | 112.3 | 131.3 | 63.2 |
| Nov 2 | Davidson | H | L 61–76 | −3.0 | L−18.0 | 149.0 | U137 | 91.8 | 114.4 | 66.5 |
| Mar 6 | Portland | N | L 68–74 | −5.5 | L−11.5 | 150.0 | U142 | 97.7 | 106.3 | 69.6 |
| Feb 28 | Pepperdine | A | L 79–88 | −8.0 | L−17.0 | 158.0 | O167 | 104.6 | 116.6 | 75.5 |
| Feb 25 | LMU | A | L 66–67 | +2.0 | W+1.0 | 148.0 | U133 | 97.1 | 98.6 | 68.0 |
| Feb 21 | Saint Mary's | H | L 67–83 | +8.5 | L−7.5 | 148.5 | O150 | 106.5 | 131.9 | 62.9 |
| Feb 18 | Pacific | H | W 87–70 | −2.5 | W+14.5 | 143.5 | O157 | 132.8 | 106.8 | 65.5 |
| Feb 10 | #12Gonzaga | A | L 53–83 | +21.5 | L−8.5 | 156.0 | U136 | 74.8 | 117.1 | 70.9 |
| Feb 7 | Santa Clara | H | L 92–96 | +8.5 | W+4.5 | 160.5 | O188 | 129.8 | 135.5 | 70.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSam HoustonWashington St
Efficiency
108.0
107.8
105.0
110.7
73.4
68.9
19.9
8.5
Shooting
50.0%
46.7%
31.3%
43.7%
45.5%
34.0%
56.3%
76.0%
24.6%
20.7%
Ball control & glass
28.5%
19.3%
12.4%
20.1%
34.1%
35.9%
30.2%
28.8%
21.0%
13.1%
31.3%
7.0%
Style
50.8%
41.3%
24.3%
39.4%
14.9%
15.9%
68.0%
56.3%
46.3%
43.0%
Roster
2.49
2.42
6'4.7"
6'4.6"
23.6%
0.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSam Houston
Returning minutes: 23.6%Returning production: 20.2%
Lost
- Damon Nicholas Jr. 27.1 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kashie Natt 26.4 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma St
- Jacob Walker 25.8 mpg, 11.5 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma St
- Po'Boigh King 25.4 mpg, 12.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Veljko Ilic 24.3 mpg, 11.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Isaiah Manning 9.3 mpg, 5.0 ppg · transferred to W Carolina
Added
- Enel St. Bernard from Indiana St · 17.6 mpg, 5.8 ppg last season
- Riccardo Greppi from Wisconsin · 0.5 mpg, 0.0 ppg last season
- Keller Partain no D1 minutes last season
- Rylan Kelly no D1 minutes last season
- Alec Loustau no D1 minutes last season
- Xavier Roberson no D1 minutes last season
Returns 24% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Washington St
Returning minutes: 0.1%Returning production: 0.2%
Lost
- Ace Glass 28.9 mpg, 16.4 ppg · transferred to Vanderbilt
- Eemeli Yalaho 28.3 mpg, 10.1 ppg · transferred to NC State
- Jerone Morton 24.9 mpg, 7.8 ppg · transferred to Kentucky
- ND Okafor 23.2 mpg, 11.0 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
- Rihards Vavers 22.9 mpg, 10.4 ppg · transferred to Memphis
- Adria Rodriguez 20.3 mpg, 3.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Fraser Roxburgh from Manhattan · 30.6 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
- Ronnie Harrison from East Texas A&M · 27.7 mpg, 13.8 ppg last season
- Sebastian Akins from Wake Forest · 15.1 mpg, 5.3 ppg last season
- Tyler Kropp from Northwestern · 10.9 mpg, 2.8 ppg last season
- Jamari Phillips from Oregon · 9.2 mpg, 2.2 ppg last season
- Ladji Dembele from UNLV · 2.9 mpg, 0.7 ppg last season
Returns 0% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (5 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Tue, Nov 24
- Wright St vs St Bonaventure · 10:00 AM ET
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- SE Louisiana vs N Colorado · 12:30 PM ET
- Belmont vs Akron · 12:30 PM ET
- Southern Utah at FIU · 1:00 PM ET
- Lindenwood vs New Haven · 1:00 PM ET
- Oklahoma vs Pitt · 1:30 PM ET
- Rice vs UIC · 1:30 PM ET
- Oregon St vs San Francisco · 2:00 PM ET
- Tennessee vs Maryland · 3:00 PM ET
- Miami vs TCU · 3:00 PM ET
- North Dakota vs Detroit Mercy · 3:00 PM ET
- App State vs Yale · 3:00 PM ET
- Long Beach St vs Arkansas St · 3:30 PM ET
- Air Force vs Army · 4:00 PM ET
- Tulsa vs Illinois St · 4:30 PM ET
- Creighton vs Michigan · 5:30 PM ET
- San Diego St vs Iowa State · 5:30 PM ET
- Wyoming vs Kent State · 5:30 PM ET
- DePaul vs Purdue · 6:00 PM ET
- E Michigan vs Kennesaw St · 6:00 PM ET
- Queens at Wofford · 6:00 PM ET
- Mercer at FAU · 6:00 PM ET
- S Indiana at VMI · 6:00 PM ET
- Sacred Heart at Rutgers · 6:00 PM ET
- Elon at Furman · 6:30 PM ET
- Robert Morris vs Lamar · 6:30 PM ET
- Milwaukee at Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Gardner-Webb at Bowling Green · 7:00 PM ET
- Binghamton at Lehigh · 7:00 PM ET
- Charleston So at James Madison · 7:00 PM ET
- Nevada vs Santa Clara · 7:00 PM ET
- Jacksonville at Indiana · 7:00 PM ET
- Vanderbilt at Ohio State · 7:00 PM ET
- Stetson at South Florida · 7:00 PM ET
- Samford at Georgia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Boston U at Harvard · 7:00 PM ET
- Vermont at Siena · 7:00 PM ET
- UMBC at Iowa · 7:00 PM ET
- Campbell at Coastal · 7:00 PM ET
- New Hampshire at Seton Hall · 7:00 PM ET
- Mount St Marys at Morgan St · 7:00 PM ET
- Delaware St at Chattanooga · 7:00 PM ET
- Rider at Loyola MD · 7:00 PM ET
- Coppin St at Villanova · 7:00 PM ET
- Bryant at Marist · 7:00 PM ET
- Tarleton St at Weber St · 7:00 PM ET
- Hampton at Old Dominion · 7:00 PM ET
- West Georgia at Tennessee Tech · 7:30 PM ET
- Hou Christian at UL Monroe · 7:30 PM ET
- High Point vs Duquesne · 7:30 PM ET
- Alcorn St at Louisiana Tech · 7:30 PM ET
- Purdue FW at SE Missouri · 7:30 PM ET
- C Michigan at Notre Dame · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas Tech vs Louisville · 8:00 PM ET
- Lipscomb at Auburn · 8:00 PM ET
- Green Bay at Kansas City · 8:00 PM ET
- Drexel at Penn · 8:00 PM ET
- Bucknell at Cornell · 8:00 PM ET
- Alabama A&M at North Alabama · 8:00 PM ET
- Oral Roberts at UT Arlington · 8:00 PM ET
- Florida A&M at South Alabama · 8:00 PM ET
- Charleston vs UTEP · 8:30 PM ET
- UNC Asheville at Florida St · 9:00 PM ET
- Evansville at Missouri · 9:00 PM ET
- Idaho St at Boise St · 9:00 PM ET
- UNC Greensboro at Santa Barbara · 9:00 PM ET
- Grand Canyon vs Saint Louis · 9:30 PM ET
- Baylor vs Alabama · 10:00 PM ET
- Oregon vs St John's · 10:30 PM ET
- Stanford vs Colorado · 11:59 PM ET
- Gonzaga vs Kansas St · 12:30 AM ET
- Bellarmine vs GA Southern · TBD
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.