CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceNeutral siteThe Reef, Jacksonville, FLScout Jacksonville Classic

Robert Morris

Efficiency #142

2025-26: 22-11 · 14-8 conf

Lamar

Efficiency #236

2025-26: 12-19 · 7-15 conf

Tue, Nov 24 · 6:30 PM ET

71.5

win 61%

Projected

68.4

win 39%

No line posted yet.

Model: RMU −3.2 · total 139.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Lamar 67.0, Robert Morris 66.4 → 65.2 possessions

−6.9

Lamar offense vs Robert Morris defense

−2.3

Robert Morris offense vs Lamar defense

+0.9

Projected total

139.9

Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Lamar offense vs Robert Morris defense

−2.3

Robert Morris offense vs Lamar defense

−0.9

Robert Morris by 3.2

3.2

Robert Morris side ◂▸ Lamar side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Lamar.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 65.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Robert Morris is the faster team (66.1, #289 of 365) and Lamar the slower (65.8, #301). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

65.2

per team, 40 min

Projected total

139.9

model

Projected team totals

71.5 / 68.4

Robert Morris / Lamar

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

66.4#323

Robert Morris

67.0#287

Lamar

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

AdvantageLamar

Where Lamar struggles: shooting

Lamar shoots an effective 47.8% (#318); Robert Morris allows 50.0% (#100). Expect about 48.6%, 2.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.8 points per 100 possessions.

Pace

Half-court grind

Lamar averages 65.8 possessions per 40, Robert Morris 66.1. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.

ClashRobert Morris

Style match: ball movement

Robert Morris assists on 62.8% of its made baskets; Lamar allows assists on 57.7% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 62.6% — both habits push the same way.

AdvantageRobert Morris

Where Robert Morris scores: shooting

Robert Morris shoots an effective 54.9% (#39); Lamar allows 50.9% (#153). Expect about 53.2%, 1.9 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.8 points per 100 possessions.

GlassRobert Morris

Robert Morris owns the glass

Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.9% is worth roughly +2.7 points per 100 possessions for Robert Morris's offense.

DefenseLamar

Lamar's shot-blocking

Lamar ranks #31 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.9% of Robert Morris's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.

Robert Morris has the ball

OffenseLamar allowsvs D1 avg

54.9% #39

50.9% #153

+2.8 pt/100

18.6% #302

17.3% #130

-1.7 pt/100

37.5% #11

29.4% #130

+2.7 pt/100

28.0% #343

44.4% #347

+0.3 pt/100

69.4% #289

—

-0.3 pt/100

Robert Morris net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.8 pts/100

Lamar has the ball

OffenseRobert Morris allowsvs D1 avg

47.8% #318

50.0% #100

-3.8 pt/100

18.1% #273

15.9% #225

-0.2 pt/100

35.7% #31

28.8% #98

+1.8 pt/100

27.9% #344

40.1% #303

-0.1 pt/100

70.7% #249

—

-0.2 pt/100

Lamar net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.4 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

Robert Morrisoffense vsLamardefense

Share of shots by zone

Robert Morris shoots

38.1

6.1

15.5

40.2

Lamar allows

39.6

5.0

17.7

37.7

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	61.2%#86	59.0%#189	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	35.8%#271	32.9%#27	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	40.7%#85	33.6%#40	38.0%
Three	38.0%#18	35.3%#266	33.7%

Lamaroffense vsRobert Morrisdefense

Share of shots by zone

Lamar shoots

33.4

7.3

26.1

33.1

Robert Morris allows

42.6

6.6

15.3

35.5

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	53.3%#337	55.8%#80	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	44.1%#77	39.3%#163	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	38.0%#188	37.5%#141	38.0%
Three	32.9%#238	33.2%#135	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Robert Morris

−1.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#267 of 365

Off reb %

37.5%

#11

Def reb %

71.2%

#98

Turnover %

18.6%

#302

Forced TO %

15.9%

#225

FT rate

28.0%

#343

FT allowed

40.1%

#303

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+2.3

Defensive rebounding+0.6

Ball security−1.2

Forcing turnovers−0.6

Foul shots drawn−1.8

Foul shots allowed−1.2

Lamar

−2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#284 of 365

Off reb %

35.7%

#31

Def reb %

70.6%

#130

Turnover %

18.1%

#273

Forced TO %

17.3%

#130

FT rate

27.9%

#344

FT allowed

44.4%

#347

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+1.7

Defensive rebounding+0.4

Ball security−0.9

Forcing turnovers+0.4

Foul shots drawn−1.8

Foul shots allowed−2.4

Robert Morris has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.9 (#267 of 365) to Lamar’s −2.5 (#284).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Robert Morris2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
2	Ryan Prather Jr.	G	Jr	6'5"	33-33	34.0	15.7	3.9	3.6	0.8	54.3%	36.8%	6.9	84.7%	25.8%
16	Nikolaos Chitikoudis	F	Jr	6'9"	32-27	26.1	11.3	7.7	1.8	1.3	54.7%	0.0%	0.1	39.8%	27.8%
12	Darius Livingston	G	Fr	6'2"	27-7	25.8	9.6	2.0	3.0	2.6	52.5%	38.4%	5.9	64.3%	27.3%
20	Albert Vargas	G	Sr	5'10"	28-26	24.1	7.5	2.3	4.0	2.0	47.6%	38.9%	3.2	87.5%	22.3%
4	Kaleb Brown	G	Sr	6'7"	32-20	19.7	4.1	2.5	2.3	1.3	50.4%	30.0%	2.2	60.0%	16.2%
3	Ta'Zir Smith	G	Jr	6'3"	31-11	19.2	6.5	2.2	1.3	1.0	47.1%	30.6%	2.7	77.4%	23.3%
1	Josh Hill	F	So	6'11"	22-6	16.9	7.5	4.4	0.4	1.5	51.7%	29.0%	2.8	51.9%	30.7%
5	Cam Wilds	G	Jr	6'6"	24-3	13.1	4.0	1.6	0.6	0.7	57.4%	48.3%	1.2	75.0%	18.3%
13	Samuel Obenjo	F	Fr	6'10"	23-0	9.0	1.7	1.4	0.6	0.4	60.0%	—	0.0	43.5%	13.2%
6	Eddie Cooke III	F	Fr	6'5"	14-0	8.6	2.6	2.6	1.2	0.6	47.6%	0.0%	0.2	94.1%	19.2%
35	Ubong Okon	C	Sr	7'1"	17-0	6.2	0.8	1.2	0.1	0.3	66.7%	—	0.0	100.0%	8.6%
21	Jeremiah Littlejohn	G	Jr	6'5"	5-0	4.2	3.6	0.4	0.2	0.6	50.0%	40.0%	1.0	80.0%	54.0%
9	Cyril Arvanitis	G	Sr	6'3"	3-0	2.3	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	33.3%	0.0%	0.3	—	25.1%
8	Tanner O'Grady	G	Sr	6'0"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
14	Vasilije Serafimoski	G	Jr	6'6"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Lamar2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
24	Rob Lee Jr.	G	Jr	6'2"	31-30	28.2	16.0	3.2	2.0	1.5	53.6%	40.0%	6.0	81.1%	33.5%
0	Cody Pennebaker	G	Sr	6'5"	31-31	27.5	7.1	4.3	2.5	1.3	50.7%	26.5%	1.1	51.9%	18.2%
4	Braden East	F	So	6'9"	30-28	23.9	12.8	9.1	0.7	1.7	54.2%	31.3%	0.5	70.6%	32.7%
10	Errol White	F	Sr	6'7"	31-15	22.3	5.0	4.9	1.2	1.4	47.4%	—	0.0	56.9%	17.4%
3	King-Njhsanni Wilhite	G	Jr	6'1"	29-16	21.0	5.8	1.1	2.5	1.0	43.0%	34.5%	1.9	65.9%	21.2%
11	Eian Lowe	G	Fr	5'10"	30-2	17.9	4.3	1.5	2.5	1.2	43.5%	34.9%	1.4	63.6%	19.3%
32	Janko Bulajic	C	Sr	6'10"	31-2	11.8	1.5	3.1	0.9	0.7	60.0%	—	0.0	43.5%	10.4%
5	Jayden Gambrell	G	Fr	6'3"	30-1	11.2	4.0	0.8	0.4	0.6	45.3%	32.3%	3.1	71.4%	26.5%
8	B.B. Knight	G	Jr	6'6"	20-0	8.1	2.7	0.6	0.4	0.6	28.7%	13.9%	1.8	95.0%	30.7%
20	Spencer Ezewiro	F	Jr	6'9"	20-0	5.7	0.5	1.7	0.3	0.2	30.8%	—	0.0	10.0%	11.4%
2	Jayden Barrs	G	So	6'1"	7-0	11.7	3.1	1.3	1.1	0.7	42.3%	28.6%	1.0	—	21.5%
12	Christian Thomas	PF	Fr	6'5"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
51	Izuchukwu Emelife	C	Fr	6'7"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
1	Quinton Sanders	G	Fr	6'3"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Robert Morris2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
2	Ryan Prather Jr.	G	Jr	6'5"	33-33	34.0	15.7	3.9	3.6	0.8	54.3%	36.8%	6.9	84.7%	25.8%
16	Nikolaos Chitikoudis	F	Jr	6'9"	32-27	26.1	11.3	7.7	1.8	1.3	54.7%	0.0%	0.1	39.8%	27.8%
12	Darius Livingston	G	Fr	6'2"	27-7	25.8	9.6	2.0	3.0	2.6	52.5%	38.4%	5.9	64.3%	27.3%
20	Albert Vargas	G	Sr	5'10"	28-26	24.1	7.5	2.3	4.0	2.0	47.6%	38.9%	3.2	87.5%	22.3%
4	Kaleb Brown	G	Sr	6'7"	32-20	19.7	4.1	2.5	2.3	1.3	50.4%	30.0%	2.2	60.0%	16.2%
3	Ta'Zir Smith	G	Jr	6'3"	31-11	19.2	6.5	2.2	1.3	1.0	47.1%	30.6%	2.7	77.4%	23.3%
1	Josh Hill	F	So	6'11"	22-6	16.9	7.5	4.4	0.4	1.5	51.7%	29.0%	2.8	51.9%	30.7%
5	Cam Wilds	G	Jr	6'6"	24-3	13.1	4.0	1.6	0.6	0.7	57.4%	48.3%	1.2	75.0%	18.3%
13	Samuel Obenjo	F	Fr	6'10"	23-0	9.0	1.7	1.4	0.6	0.4	60.0%	—	0.0	43.5%	13.2%
6	Eddie Cooke III	F	Fr	6'5"	14-0	8.6	2.6	2.6	1.2	0.6	47.6%	0.0%	0.2	94.1%	19.2%
35	Ubong Okon	C	Sr	7'1"	17-0	6.2	0.8	1.2	0.1	0.3	66.7%	—	0.0	100.0%	8.6%
21	Jeremiah Littlejohn	G	Jr	6'5"	5-0	4.2	3.6	0.4	0.2	0.6	50.0%	40.0%	1.0	80.0%	54.0%
9	Cyril Arvanitis	G	Sr	6'3"	3-0	2.3	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.0	33.3%	0.0%	0.3	—	25.1%
8	Tanner O'Grady	G	Sr	6'0"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
14	Vasilije Serafimoski	G	Jr	6'6"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

Robert Morris

Against the spread

Season

19-11-1

Home

10-4-1

Road

9-6

Last 10

8-2

avg cover +7.0

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

16-14-1

Home

6-8-1

Road

10-5

Last 10

3-7

avg vs total −5.9

Under 4 straightOver in 1 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 9	Detroit MercyAdjEM #224	N	L 64–70	−4.0	L−10.0	146.5	U134	101.5	111.1	63.0
Mar 4	Youngstown StAdjEM #204	H	W 68–53	−4.0	W+11.0	143.5	U121	109.0	84.9	62.4
Feb 28	Cleveland StAdjEM #330	H	W 83–64	−12.5	W+6.5	157.5	U147	129.8	100.1	63.9
Feb 25	Detroit MercyAdjEM #224	H	W 73–62	−8.0	W+3.0	150.5	U135	114.8	97.5	63.6
Feb 22	Wright StAdjEM #119	A	W 81–68	+4.0	W+17.0	146.5	O149	119.9	100.6	67.6
Feb 15	OaklandAdjEM #172	H	W 93–69	−1.5	W+22.5	156.0	O162	140.7	104.4	66.1
Feb 12	Cleveland StAdjEM #330	A	W 85–68	−4.0	W+13.0	154.0	U153	135.3	108.3	62.8
Feb 7	Youngstown StAdjEM #204	A	W 72–66	+3.5	W+9.5	144.0	U138	111.5	102.2	64.6
Feb 4	Wright StAdjEM #119	H	W 72–66	+1.5	W+7.5	147.0	U138	105.0	96.2	68.6
Jan 31	Purdue FWAdjEM #258	A	L 71–83	+2.5	L−9.5	144.5	O154	101.6	118.8	69.9

Lamar

Against the spread

Season

13-14-2

Home

5-7-1

Road

8-6-1

Last 10

3-7

avg cover −5.0

Missed the spread 4 straightCovered 1 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 5 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

14-15

Home

6-7

Road

7-8

Last 10

4-6

avg vs total −5.7

Under 3 straightOver in 2 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 5 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 2	Hou ChristianAdjEM #297	A	L 53–75	−2.5	L−24.5	134.0	U128	79.4	112.3	66.8
Feb 28	Incarnate WordAdjEM #264	A	L 60–72	+1.0	L−11.0	138.0	U132	94.4	113.3	63.6
Feb 23	NichollsAdjEM #250	H	L 52–53	−3.5	L−4.5	143.5	U105	80.3	81.8	64.8
Feb 21	LSU N OrleansAdjEM #221	H	L 71–77	−5.5	L−11.5	146.5	O148	101.3	109.8	70.1
Feb 16	UT Rio GrandeAdjEM #109	A	L 65–70	+6.0	W+1.0	142.0	U135	108.8	117.1	59.8
Feb 14	Texas A&M-CCAdjEM #181	A	L 63–76	+2.5	L−10.5	136.0	O139	93.7	113.1	67.2
Feb 9	N'Western StAdjEM #299	H	L 68–70	−7.5	L−9.5	136.5	O138	103.1	106.1	66.0
Feb 7	SF AustinAdjEM #73	A	L 74–84	+8.0	L−2.0	139.5	O158	108.7	123.4	68.1
Feb 2	SE LouisianaAdjEM #296	H	W 73–54	−6.0	W+13.0	133.5	U127	120.3	89.0	60.7
Jan 31	McNeeseAdjEM #49	H	L 63–64	+10.5	W+9.5	144.0	U127	109.8	111.6	57.4

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

Robert MorrisLamar

Efficiency

110.0

105.0

108.4

108.3

66.4

67.0

—

Shooting

54.9%

47.8%

53.5%

47.0%

38.0%

32.9%

69.4%

70.7%

28.0%

27.9%

Ball control & glass

18.6%

18.1%

15.9%

17.3%

37.5%

35.7%

28.8%

29.4%

10.3%

11.4%

10.0%

8.5%

Style

40.7%

33.9%

43.9%

40.5%

8.4%

14.2%

62.8%

55.4%

32.8%

34.7%

Roster

2.82

2.88

6'5.2"

6'4.4"

84.8%

85.8%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Robert Morris

Returning minutes: 84.8%Returning production: 77.0%

Lost

DeSean Goode 31.0 mpg, 15.2 ppg · transferred to Miami

Added

Tanner O'Grady no D1 minutes last season
Vasilije Serafimoski no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 85% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Lamar

Returning minutes: 85.8%Returning production: 84.0%

Lost

Andrew Holifield 28.6 mpg, 11.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Christian Thomas no D1 minutes last season
Izuchukwu Emelife no D1 minutes last season
Quinton Sanders no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 86% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.