CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceMizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
Evansville
Efficiency #327
2025-26: 7-25 · 3-18 conf
@
Missouri
Efficiency #67
2025-26: 20-13 · 10-9 conf
Tue, Nov 24 · TBD
65.8
win 9%
Projected
81.3
win 91%
No line posted yet.
Model: MIZ −15.5 · total 147.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Missouri 67.7, Evansville 68.1 → 67.4 possessions
−1.9
Missouri offense vs Evansville defense
+6.2
Evansville offense vs Missouri defense
−5.4
Projected total
147.1
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Missouri offense vs Evansville defense
+6.2
Evansville offense vs Missouri defense
+5.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Missouri by 15.5
15.5
Evansville side ◂▸ Missouri side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Missouri.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Missouri is the faster team (68.3, #182 of 365) and Evansville the slower (67.4, #228). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
147.1
model
Projected team totals
65.8 / 81.3
Evansville / Missouri
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.1#206
Evansville
67.7#235
Missouri
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageMissouri
Where Missouri scores: shooting
Missouri shoots an effective 55.0% (#36); Evansville allows 55.1% (#332). Expect about 55.4%, 4.1 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +5.8 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageEvansville
Where Evansville struggles: the offensive glass
Evansville rebounds 22.0% of its own misses (#355); Missouri lets opponents grab 31.7% of their own misses (#238). Expect about 25.2%, 5.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.2 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Missouri's defense, Evansville's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Evansville at about 44.7% of its shots from three, Missouri about 39.4%.
GlassMissouri
Missouri owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.5% is worth roughly +1.9 points per 100 possessions for Missouri's offense.
ClashEvansville
Style match: 3-point volume
Evansville takes 43.1% of its shots from three; Missouri lets opponents take 43.0% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 44.7% — both habits push the same way.
Evansville has the ball
OffenseMissouri allowsvs D1 avg
49.3% #280
51.5% #183
-1.5 pt/100
19.1% #323
16.5% #186
-1.4 pt/100
22.0% #355
31.7% #238
-3.2 pt/100
29.8% #315
35.5% #193
-0.3 pt/100
73.6% #149
—
+0.1 pt/100
Evansville net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -6.3 pts/100
Missouri has the ball
OffenseEvansville allowsvs D1 avg
55.0% #36
55.1% #332
+5.8 pt/100
17.8% #261
15.4% #259
+0.3 pt/100
34.9% #48
30.2% #170
+1.9 pt/100
42.1% #28
31.4% #93
+0.2 pt/100
69.1% #298
—
-0.3 pt/100
Missouri net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +7.9 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersEvansvilleoffense vsMissouridefense
Share of shots by zone
Evansville shoots
29.0
9.9
17.9
43.1
Missouri allows
32.8
7.0
17.0
43.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.7%#170 | 55.4%#72 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.5%#208 | 39.5%#172 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.8%#191 | 36.2%#116 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.2%#268 | 36.8%#341 | 33.7% |
Missourioffense vsEvansvilledefense
Share of shots by zone
Missouri shoots
43.9
7.6
12.5
35.9
Evansville allows
33.7
8.5
15.0
42.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 65.0%#21 | 61.4%#282 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.8%#247 | 39.6%#178 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.5%#301 | 42.2%#311 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.0%#112 | 37.6%#351 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersEvansville
−5.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#349 of 365
Off reb %
22.0%
#355
Def reb %
69.8%
#170
Turnover %
19.1%
#323
Forced TO %
15.4%
#259
FT rate
29.8%
#315
FT allowed
31.4%
#93
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.7
Defensive rebounding+0.1
Ball security−1.6
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn−1.3
Foul shots allowed+1.0
Missouri
+2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#97 of 365
Off reb %
34.9%
#48
Def reb %
68.3%
#238
Turnover %
17.8%
#261
Forced TO %
16.5%
#186
FT rate
42.1%
#28
FT allowed
35.5%
#193
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.5
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+1.8
Foul shots allowed−0.1
Missouri has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.0 (#97 of 365) to Evansville’s −5.4 (#349).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Evansville2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Evansville's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Leif Moeller | G | Fr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 32.5 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 48.8% | 36.6% | 4.1 | 77.1% | 23.8% | |
| 23 | AJ Casey | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-20 | 29.7 | 13.5 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 54.5% | 33.9% | 1.9 | 73.8% | 27.2% | |
| 11 | Joshua Hughes | F | Jr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 27.6 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 58.2% | 36.4% | 3.7 | 75.0% | 19.0% | |
| 0 | Bryce Quinet | G | Fr | 6'3" | 32-19 | 26.9 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 45.8% | 30.3% | 2.4 | 71.4% | 23.2% | |
| 12 | Alex Hemenway | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 25.9 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 45.4% | 31.7% | 5.1 | 81.8% | 17.3% | |
| 45 | Trent Hundley | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-1 | 17.6 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 54.6% | 37.1% | 3.3 | 89.3% | 16.9% | |
| 1 | Keishon Porter | G | Sr | 6'5" | 16-10 | 22.0 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 38.4% | 15.2% | 2.1 | 65.9% | 24.9% | |
| 9 | Kaia Berridge | G | So | 6'4" | 27-0 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 41.4% | 26.7% | 1.7 | 57.1% | 14.5% | |
| 22 | Connor Turnbull | F | Sr | 6'10" | 16-14 | 20.1 | 11.5 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 48.4% | 22.2% | 1.1 | 66.7% | 38.6% | |
| 2 | James Dyson-Merwe | F | Fr | 6'11" | 21-0 | 13.1 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 64.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 15.1% | |
| 40 | Weston Aigner | G | Jr | 6'3" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 23.4% | |
| 5 | Marlon Barnes Jr. | F | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 37.5% | 33.3% | 2.0 | — | 42.3% | |
| 13 | Leo Amari IV | G | Jr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.4 | — | 23.4% | |
| 33 | Aaron Gutman | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Dakota Candler | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Missouri2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jordan Crawfordat South Dakota | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-32 | 31.2 | 14.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 51.7% | 36.8% | 6.5 | 74.5% | 26.1% | |
| 0 | Cord Stansberryat W Carolina | G | Sr | 6'4" | 30-29 | 30.0 | 14.1 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 43.6% | 29.6% | 6.3 | 80.3% | 30.2% | |
| 4 | Kennard Davis Jr.at BYU | G | Sr | 6'6" | 32-32 | 29.5 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 50.6% | 32.1% | 5.2 | 75.0% | 16.8% | |
| 15 | Bryson Tillerat Kansas | F | So | 6'11" | 35-31 | 25.9 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 48.0% | 26.9% | 1.5 | 69.4% | 21.3% | |
| 1 | Jamier Jonesat Providence | G | So | 6'6" | 31-19 | 25.7 | 11.9 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 59.5% | 38.7% | 1.0 | 66.4% | 24.7% | |
| 23 | Jaylen Careyat Tennessee | F | Sr | 6'8" | 37-8 | 18.4 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 48.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 49.1% | 27.3% | |
| 11 | Trent Pierce | G | Sr | 6'10" | 20-12 | 28.4 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 59.7% | 38.4% | 5.0 | 75.0% | 19.3% | |
| 45 | Luke Northweather | F | Sr | 6'11" | 20-2 | 12.3 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 61.1% | 41.9% | 1.6 | 57.1% | 12.6% | |
| 7 | Trent Burns | C | Jr | 7'5" | 21-0 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 45.6% | 7.7% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 19.0% | |
| 6 | Annor Boateng | G | Jr | 6'6" | 15-4 | 11.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 37.5% | 25.0% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 23.2% | |
| 24 | Nicholas Randall | F | So | 6'9" | 22-0 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 27.8% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 50.0% | 15.5% | |
| 2 | Aaron Rowe | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Aidan Chronister | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Jason Crowe Jr. | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Toni Bryant | F | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Jaylen Carey (from Tennessee), Jordan Crawford (from South Dakota), Kennard Davis Jr. (from BYU), Jamier Jones (from Providence), Cord Stansberry (from W Carolina), Bryson Tiller (from Kansas)
Evansville2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Evansville's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Leif Moeller | G | Fr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 32.5 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 48.8% | 36.6% | 4.1 | 77.1% | 23.8% | |
| 23 | AJ Casey | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-20 | 29.7 | 13.5 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 54.5% | 33.9% | 1.9 | 73.8% | 27.2% | |
| 11 | Joshua Hughes | F | Jr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 27.6 | 9.3 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 58.2% | 36.4% | 3.7 | 75.0% | 19.0% | |
| 0 | Bryce Quinet | G | Fr | 6'3" | 32-19 | 26.9 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 45.8% | 30.3% | 2.4 | 71.4% | 23.2% | |
| 12 | Alex Hemenway | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 25.9 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 45.4% | 31.7% | 5.1 | 81.8% | 17.3% | |
| 45 | Trent Hundley | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-1 | 17.6 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 54.6% | 37.1% | 3.3 | 89.3% | 16.9% | |
| 1 | Keishon Porter | G | Sr | 6'5" | 16-10 | 22.0 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 38.4% | 15.2% | 2.1 | 65.9% | 24.9% | |
| 9 | Kaia Berridge | G | So | 6'4" | 27-0 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 41.4% | 26.7% | 1.7 | 57.1% | 14.5% | |
| 22 | Connor Turnbull | F | Sr | 6'10" | 16-14 | 20.1 | 11.5 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 48.4% | 22.2% | 1.1 | 66.7% | 38.6% | |
| 2 | James Dyson-Merwe | F | Fr | 6'11" | 21-0 | 13.1 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 64.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 15.1% | |
| 40 | Weston Aigner | G | Jr | 6'3" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 23.4% | |
| 5 | Marlon Barnes Jr. | F | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 37.5% | 33.3% | 2.0 | — | 42.3% | |
| 13 | Leo Amari IV | G | Jr | 6'2" | 5-0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.4 | — | 23.4% | |
| 33 | Aaron Gutman | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Dakota Candler | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Evansville
Against the spread
Season
15-15
Home
6-7
Road
7-6
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −5.2
Covered the last gameCovered 5 of 10 as an underdogCovered 3 of 5 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
16-13-1
Home
8-5
Road
7-6
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +7.0
Under in the last gameOver in 7 of 10 as an underdogOver in 4 of 5 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Northern Iowa | N | L 59–68 | +15.0 | W+6.0 | 128.5 | U127 | 94.0 | 108.3 | 62.8 |
| Mar 1 | S Illinois | H | L 67–81 | +9.0 | L−5.0 | 139.5 | O148 | 104.9 | 126.8 | 63.9 |
| Feb 28 | Valparaiso | H | W 80–79 | +5.0 | W+6.0 | 138.0 | O159 | 117.9 | 116.4 | 67.9 |
| Feb 25 | Belmont | A | L 64–98 | +18.5 | L−15.5 | 152.0 | O162 | 94.8 | 145.2 | 67.5 |
| Feb 21 | Murray St | A | L 75–88 | +14.0 | W+1.0 | 153.0 | O163 | 104.0 | 122.1 | 72.1 |
| Feb 18 | UIC | H | L 46–84 | +8.0 | L−30.0 | 140.0 | U130 | 71.2 | 130.1 | 64.6 |
| Feb 12 | S Illinois | A | L 60–86 | +12.0 | L−14.0 | 142.5 | O146 | 88.2 | 126.4 | 68.1 |
| Feb 9 | Illinois St | H | W 88–80 | +10.5 | W+18.5 | 138.0 | O168 | 132.7 | 120.6 | 66.3 |
| Feb 6 | Valparaiso | A | L 63–70 OT | +8.5 | W+1.5 | 136.5 | U133 | 91.1 | 101.2 | 69.2 |
| Feb 3 | Indiana St | H | L 63–84 | +1.0 | L−20.0 | 145.0 | O147 | 100.5 | 134.0 | 62.7 |
Missouri
Against the spread
Season
14-19
Home
8-10
Road
6-5
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −1.2
Missed the spread 4 straightCovered 4 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
17-15-1
Home
11-7
Road
4-6-1
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +3.7
Over 3 straightOver in 5 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #7Miami | N | L 66–80 | +1.0 | L−13.0 | 145.5 | O146 | 98.3 | 119.1 | 67.2 |
| Mar 12 | Kentucky | N | L 72–78 | +3.5 | L−2.5 | 149.5 | O150 | 104.5 | 113.2 | 68.9 |
| Mar 7 | #20Arkansas | H | L 84–88 OT | −2.5 | L−6.5 | 161.5 | O172 | 109.9 | 115.1 | 76.4 |
| Mar 3 | Oklahoma | A | L 64–80 | +1.0 | L−15.0 | 154.0 | U144 | 100.7 | 125.9 | 63.5 |
| Feb 28 | Mississippi St | A | W 88–64 | −1.0 | W+23.0 | 154.5 | U152 | 127.9 | 93.0 | 68.8 |
| Feb 24 | #22Tennessee | H | W 73–69 | +4.0 | W+8.0 | 144.0 | U142 | 111.4 | 105.3 | 65.6 |
| Feb 21 | #20Arkansas | A | L 86–94 | +9.5 | W+1.5 | 159.5 | O180 | 125.7 | 137.4 | 68.4 |
| Feb 18 | #19Vanderbilt | H | W 81–80 | +3.0 | W+4.0 | 155.0 | O161 | 115.9 | 114.5 | 69.9 |
| Feb 14 | Texas | H | L 68–85 | −2.0 | L−19.0 | 150.5 | O153 | 105.4 | 131.8 | 64.5 |
| Feb 11 | Texas A&M | A | W 86–85 | +6.5 | W+7.5 | 160.0 | O171 | 131.0 | 129.5 | 65.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeEvansvilleMissouri
Efficiency
102.4
114.0
112.2
106.5
68.1
67.7
—
—
Shooting
49.3%
55.0%
49.9%
56.4%
32.2%
35.0%
73.6%
69.1%
29.8%
42.1%
Ball control & glass
19.1%
17.8%
15.4%
16.5%
22.0%
34.9%
30.2%
31.7%
11.1%
9.6%
7.1%
9.7%
Style
43.1%
36.4%
40.3%
48.3%
7.5%
14.1%
54.3%
51.2%
30.0%
32.1%
Roster
2.74
3.39
6'6.7"
6'6.9"
—
19.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputEvansville
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Evansville's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Missouri
Returning minutes: 19.4%Returning production: 13.8%
Lost
- Mark Mitchell Jr. 33.8 mpg, 18.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Anthony Robinson II 27.0 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to Florida St
- Jayden Stone 23.6 mpg, 10.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- T.O. Barrett 22.8 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jacob Crews 20.7 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Shawn Phillips Jr. 19.3 mpg, 7.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jordan Crawford from South Dakota · 31.2 mpg, 14.4 ppg last season
- Cord Stansberry from W Carolina · 29.1 mpg, 13.7 ppg last season
- Kennard Davis Jr. from BYU · 27.0 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Bryson Tiller from Kansas · 25.9 mpg, 7.9 ppg last season
- Jamier Jones from Providence · 24.2 mpg, 11.2 ppg last season
- Jaylen Carey from Tennessee · 18.4 mpg, 7.4 ppg last season
Returns 19% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.