Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium
The market makes New England Patriots a 6.5-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 40.5.
Moneylines sit at -270 for New England Patriots and +220 for New York Jets, a devigged 30% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.5 for New England Patriots and 17 for New York Jets.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 219 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 42 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 196 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | NE -6.5 |
| Total | 40.5 |
| Moneyline (NE / NYJ) | -270 / +220 |
| NYJ implied win probability | 30% |
| Implied team totals (NE — NYJ) | 23.5 — 17.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.