Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Hard Rock Stadium
The market makes Miami Dolphins a 1.5-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 40.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for New York Jets and -125 for Miami Dolphins, a devigged 53% win probability for Miami Dolphins; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.5 for New York Jets and 21 for Miami Dolphins.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 207 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 67 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards; Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 213 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 69 rushing yards and 30 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Hard Rock Stadium.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | MIA -1.5 |
| Total | 40.5 |
| Moneyline (NYJ / MIA) | +105 / -125 |
| MIA implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (NYJ — MIA) | 19.5 — 21.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.