Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 3:05 PM CT · Empower Field at Mile High
The market makes Denver Broncos a 9.5-point favourite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 42.5.
Moneylines sit at +360 for Miami Dolphins and -470 for Denver Broncos, a devigged 79% win probability for Denver Broncos; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16.5 for Miami Dolphins and 26 for Denver Broncos.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 203 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 75 rushing yards and 30 receiving yards; Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 205 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, J.K. Dobbins (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 7 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 3:05 PM CT, at Empower Field at Mile High, Denver Broncos take the extra rest, 9 days to 7.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DEN -9.5 |
| Total | 42.5 |
| Moneyline (MIA / DEN) | +360 / -470 |
| DEN implied win probability | 79% |
| Implied team totals (MIA — DEN) | 16.5 — 26.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.