San Francisco 49ers @ New York Giants — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 13 2026

Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium

Prediction: 49ers 25, Giants 22 (market-implied). The market gives the San Francisco 49ers a 60% chance to win. · Updated

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49ers25.4win 60%
Market-implied score
Giants22.4win 40%
SpreadSF -3
Total47.75
Moneyline-168 / +138
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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49ers vs Giants prediction

The market makes San Francisco 49ers a 3-point favorite over New York Giants, with the game total at 47.75.

Moneylines sit at -168 for San Francisco 49ers and +138 for New York Giants, a devigged 40% win probability for New York Giants; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25.4 for San Francisco 49ers and 22.4 for New York Giants.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects San Francisco 49ers — Brock Purdy (QB) at 248 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Christian McCaffrey (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 34 receiving yards; New York Giants — J.J. McCarthy (QB) at 235 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Malik Nabers (WR) at 80 receiving yards and 6.9 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at MetLife Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for 49ers at Giants — lines as of Thu, 9/10 · 8:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadSF -3
Total47.75
Moneyline (SF / NYG)-168 / +138
NYG implied win probability40%
Implied team totals (SF — NYG)25.4 — 22.4

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

49ers and Giants this season

Games before Week 13. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
San Francisco 49ers7-15-34-429.419.57
New York Giants5-2-16-25-322.821.57

49ers' last 3 games: W 38-17 vs LV · L 20-29 @ ATL · W 23-17 vs WAS.

Giants' last 3 games: W 19-11 @ PHI · W 27-21 @ HOU · L 27-34 vs NO.

Player projections

San Francisco 49ers · 25.4 market-implied pts
Brock Purdy (QB) — 248 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Christian McCaffrey (RB) — 54 rush yds · 34 rec yds
Mike Evans (WR) — 55 rec yds · 4.2 rec
New York Giants · 22.4 market-implied pts
J.J. McCarthy (QB) — 235 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Malik Nabers (WR) — 80 rec yds · 6.9 rec
Cam Skattebo (RB) — 57 rush yds · 13 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides 49ers @ Giants, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the 49ers @ Giants matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 13 games

← Week 12 · Week 14 → · Full 2026 schedule

49ers 2026 schedule

Giants 2026 schedule