Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Giants — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 11 2026

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium

Game preview

The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 1.5-point favourite over New York Giants, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at -125 for Jacksonville Jaguars and +105 for New York Giants, a devigged 47% win probability for New York Giants; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 22.5 for New York Giants.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 212 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; New York Giants — Jameis Winston (QB) at 210 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Cam Skattebo (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium, New York Giants take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Jaguars at Giants — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadJAX -1.5
Total46.5
Moneyline (JAX / NYG)-125 / +105
NYG implied win probability47%
Implied team totals (JAX — NYG)24.0 — 22.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Jacksonville Jaguars · 24.0 proj pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 212 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 62 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 60 rec yds
New York Giants · 22.5 proj pts
Jameis Winston (QB) — 210 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Cam Skattebo (RB) — 58 rush yds · 15 rec yds
Malik Nabers (WR) — 53 rec yds · 4.3 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 11 games

← Week 10 · Week 12 → · Full 2026 schedule