Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · AT&T Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 3-point favourite over Jacksonville Jaguars, with the game total at 51.5.
Moneylines sit at +136 for Jacksonville Jaguars and -162 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 59% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24.3 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 27.3 for Dallas Cowboys.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 222 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 241 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at AT&T Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DAL -3 |
| Total | 51.5 |
| Moneyline (JAX / DAL) | +136 / -162 |
| DAL implied win probability | 59% |
| Implied team totals (JAX — DAL) | 24.3 — 27.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.