Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 3 2026

Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Maracana Stadium (retractable roof) · neutral site

Game preview

The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 3.5-point favourite over Dallas Cowboys, with the game total at 53.3.

Moneylines sit at -179 for Baltimore Ravens and +150 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 38% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 28.4 for Baltimore Ravens and 24.9 for Dallas Cowboys.

The spread has moved from 2.8 to 3.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 51.8 to 53.3.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Baltimore Ravens — Lamar Jackson (QB) at 244 passing yards and 32 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 90 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 237 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 50 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at the neutral site Neutral, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Ravens at Cowboys — lines as of Sat, 9/26 · 2:55 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadBAL -3.5 (open +2.75)
Total53.25 (open 51.75)
Moneyline (BAL / DAL)-179 / +150
DAL implied win probability38%
Implied team totals (BAL — DAL)28.4 — 24.9

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Baltimore Ravens · 28.5 proj pts
Lamar Jackson (QB) — 244 pass yds · 32 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 90 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Rashod Bateman (WR) — 61 rec yds · 4.5 rec
Dallas Cowboys · 25.0 proj pts
Dak Prescott (QB) — 237 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Javonte Williams (RB) — 50 rush yds · 19 rec yds
CeeDee Lamb (WR) — 2 rush yds · 65 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 3 games

← Week 2 · Week 4 → · Full 2026 schedule