Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 3 2026

Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · Lambeau Field

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Falcons35market had 19.3
Final
Packers14market had 23.8
SpreadGB -4.5
Total43
Moneyline+200 / -240
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Green Bay Packers a 4.5-point favorite over Atlanta Falcons, with the game total at 43.

Moneylines sit at +200 for Atlanta Falcons and -240 for Green Bay Packers, a devigged 68% win probability for Green Bay Packers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.3 for Atlanta Falcons and 23.8 for Green Bay Packers.

The spread has moved from GB -6.5 to GB -4.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 46.5 to 43.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Atlanta Falcons — Michael Penix Jr. (QB) at 221 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Bijan Robinson (RB) at 78 rushing yards and 36 receiving yards; Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 238 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 70 receiving yards and 4.6 catches.

Kickoff is Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at Lambeau Field.

Final: Atlanta Falcons won 35-14; Atlanta Falcons covered the spread (GB -4.5) and the game went over the 43 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

ATL 35 — GB 14

Atlanta Falcons covered the spread (GB -4.5) and the game went over the 43 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Falcons at Packers — lines as of Thu, 9/24 · 8:15 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadGB -4.5 (open GB -6.5)
Total43 (open 46.5)
Moneyline (ATL / GB)+200 / -240
GB implied win probability68%
Implied team totals (ATL — GB)19.3 — 23.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Falcons and Packers this season

Games before Week 3. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Atlanta Falcons0-20-20-28.027.04
Green Bay Packers1-10-1-11-121.028.04

Falcons' last 2 games: L 3-34 vs CAR · L 13-20 @ PIT.

Packers' last 2 games: W 20-17 @ NYJ · L 22-39 @ MIN.

Pre-game injury report

Atlanta Falcons

Inactive: Cooper Rush (QB), Jack Strand (QB), Ethan Onianwa (T), Malcolm DeWalt IV (CB), Robert Longerbeam (CB), Samson Ebukam (DE).

Green Bay Packers

Inactive: Aaron Banks (G), Anthony Campbell (DT), Warren Brinson (DT), Zach Bako-Bewele (T).

Gameday inactives as of Thu, 9/24 · 7:19 PM ET.

Player projections

Atlanta Falcons · 19.3 market-implied pts
Michael Penix Jr. (QB) — 221 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Bijan Robinson (RB) — 78 rush yds · 36 rec yds
Drake London (WR) — 3 rush yds · 58 rec yds
Green Bay Packers · 23.8 market-implied pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 238 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 70 rec yds · 4.6 rec
Kaleb Johnson (RB) — 51 rush yds · 11 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Falcons @ Packers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Falcons @ Packers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 3 games

← Week 2 · Week 4 → · Full 2026 schedule

Falcons 2026 schedule

Packers 2026 schedule