Friday, December 25, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Soldier Field
The market makes Chicago Bears a 1.5-point favourite over Green Bay Packers, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at -101 for Green Bay Packers and -119 for Chicago Bears, a devigged 52% win probability for Chicago Bears; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23 for Green Bay Packers and 24.5 for Chicago Bears.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 251 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 75 receiving yards and 4.9 catches; Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 232 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 66 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Friday, December 25, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Soldier Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -1.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (GB / CHI) | -101 / -119 |
| CHI implied win probability | 52% |
| Implied team totals (GB — CHI) | 23.0 — 24.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.