Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Lucas Oil Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 1.5-point favourite over Indianapolis Colts, with the game total at 52.5.
Moneylines sit at -122 for Cincinnati Bengals and +102 for Indianapolis Colts, a devigged 47% win probability for Indianapolis Colts; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 27 for Cincinnati Bengals and 25.5 for Indianapolis Colts.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 258 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 64 rushing yards and 27 receiving yards; Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 254 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 81 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Lucas Oil Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -1.5 |
| Total | 52.5 |
| Moneyline (CIN / IND) | -122 / +102 |
| IND implied win probability | 47% |
| Implied team totals (CIN — IND) | 27.0 — 25.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.