Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 4 2026

Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 9:30 AM ET · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · neutral site

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Colts30market had 25.8
Final
Commanders13market had 20.8
SpreadIND -5
Total46.5
Moneyline-230 / +190
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes Indianapolis Colts a 5-point favorite over Washington Commanders, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at -230 for Indianapolis Colts and +190 for Washington Commanders, a devigged 33% win probability for Washington Commanders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25.8 for Indianapolis Colts and 20.8 for Washington Commanders.

The spread has moved from IND -4.5 to IND -5 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 243 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 90 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards; Washington Commanders — Marcus Mariota (QB) at 226 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 9:30 AM ET, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a neutral site.

Final: Indianapolis Colts won 30-13; Indianapolis Colts covered the spread (IND -5) and the game went under the 46.5 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

IND 30 — WAS 13

Indianapolis Colts covered the spread (IND -5) and the game went under the 46.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Colts at Commanders — lines as of Sun, 10/4 · 9:30 AM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadIND -5 (open IND -4.5)
Total46.5 (open 46.25)
Moneyline (IND / WAS)-230 / +190
WAS implied win probability33%
Implied team totals (IND — WAS)25.8 — 20.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Colts and Commanders this season

Games before Week 4. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Indianapolis Colts1-22-12-124.030.37
Washington Commanders1-22-13-025.030.77

Colts' last 3 games: W 19-17 vs HOU · L 30-33 @ KC · L 23-41 vs BAL.

Commanders' last 3 games: W 33-31 vs SEA · L 20-37 @ DAL · L 22-24 @ PHI.

Pre-game injury report

Indianapolis Colts

Inactive: Riley Leonard (QB), DJ Giddens (RB), Darius Slayton (WR), Keenan Allen (WR), Dalton Tucker (G), George Gumbs Jr. (LB).

Washington Commanders

Inactive: Jayden Daniels (QB), Rachaad White (RB), Terry McLaurin (WR), Javontae Jean-Baptiste (LB), Nick Cross (S), Sam Cosmi (G).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/4 · 8:37 AM ET.

Player projections

Indianapolis Colts · 25.8 market-implied pts
Daniel Jones (QB) — 243 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Jonathan Taylor (RB) — 90 rush yds · 22 rec yds
Josh Downs (WR) — 81 rec yds · 6.0 rec
Washington Commanders · 20.8 market-implied pts
Marcus Mariota (QB) — 226 pass yds · 27 rush yds
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) — 63 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Stefon Diggs (WR) — 65 rec yds · 5.2 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Colts @ Commanders, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Colts @ Commanders matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 4 games

← Week 3 · Week 5 → · Full 2026 schedule

Colts 2026 schedule

Commanders 2026 schedule