Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 2 2026

Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

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Colts30market had 20.0
Final
Chiefs33market had 26.0
SpreadKC -6
Total46
Moneyline+230 / -280
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Kansas City Chiefs a 6-point favorite over Indianapolis Colts, with the game total at 46.

Moneylines sit at +230 for Indianapolis Colts and -280 for Kansas City Chiefs, a devigged 71% win probability for Kansas City Chiefs; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20 for Indianapolis Colts and 26 for Kansas City Chiefs.

The spread has moved from KC -6.5 to KC -6 since it opened and the total has moved from 48.25 to 46.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 230 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 91 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards; Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 221 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 57 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Final: Kansas City Chiefs won 33-30; Indianapolis Colts covered the spread (KC -6) and the game went over the 46 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

IND 30 — KC 33

Indianapolis Colts covered the spread (KC -6) and the game went over the 46 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Colts at Chiefs — lines as of Sun, 9/20 · 8:20 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadKC -6 (open KC -6.5)
Total46 (open 48.25)
Moneyline (IND / KC)+230 / -280
KC implied win probability71%
Implied team totals (IND — KC)20.0 — 26.0

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Colts and Chiefs this season

Games before Week 2. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Indianapolis Colts0-10-11-023.041.07
Kansas City Chiefs1-01-00-131.010.06

Colts' last game: L 23-41 vs BAL.

Chiefs' last game: W 31-10 vs DEN.

Pre-game injury report

Indianapolis Colts

Inactive: Riley Leonard (QB), DJ Giddens (RB), Ashton Dulin (WR), Dalton Tucker (G), George Gumbs Jr. (LB).

Kansas City Chiefs

Inactive: Conner, Eason, Nussmeier, Pounds, Pyburn, Simmons, Wiley.

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 9/20 · 7:18 PM ET.

Player projections

Indianapolis Colts · 20.0 market-implied pts
Daniel Jones (QB) — 230 pass yds · 16 rush yds
Jonathan Taylor (RB) — 91 rush yds · 20 rec yds
Alec Pierce (WR) — 52 rec yds · 3.5 rec
Kansas City Chiefs · 26.0 market-implied pts
Patrick Mahomes (QB) — 221 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Kenneth Walker III (RB) — 57 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Rashee Rice (WR) — 1 rush yds · 54 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Colts @ Chiefs, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Colts @ Chiefs matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 2 games

← Week 1 · Week 3 → · Full 2026 schedule

Colts 2026 schedule

Chiefs 2026 schedule