Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · SoFi Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Los Angeles Chargers a 1.5-point favourite over Kansas City Chiefs, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for Kansas City Chiefs and -125 for Los Angeles Chargers, a devigged 53% win probability for Los Angeles Chargers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Kansas City Chiefs and 23.5 for Los Angeles Chargers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 234 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 84 rushing yards and 32 receiving yards; Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 201 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 70 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at SoFi Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | LAC -1.5 |
| Total | 45.5 |
| Moneyline (KC / LAC) | +105 / -125 |
| LAC implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (KC — LAC) | 22.0 — 23.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.