Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 17 2026

Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium

Game preview

The market makes Minnesota Vikings a 3.5-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 39.5.

Moneylines sit at -185 for Minnesota Vikings and +154 for New York Jets, a devigged 38% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.5 for Minnesota Vikings and 18 for New York Jets.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 183 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 69 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 203 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Vikings at Jets — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadMIN -3.5
Total39.5
Moneyline (MIN / NYJ)-185 / +154
NYJ implied win probability38%
Implied team totals (MIN — NYJ)21.5 — 18.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Minnesota Vikings · 21.5 proj pts
Carson Wentz (QB) — 183 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Aaron Jones (RB) — 69 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Justin Jefferson (WR) — 57 rec yds · 4.4 rec
New York Jets · 18.0 proj pts
Geno Smith (QB) — 203 pass yds · 11 rush yds
Breece Hall (RB) — 63 rush yds · 21 rec yds
Garrett Wilson (WR) — 57 rec yds · 4.8 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 17 games

← Week 16 · Week 18 → · Full 2026 schedule