Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 17 2026

Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium

Prediction: Vikings 22, Jets 18 (market-implied). The market gives the Minnesota Vikings a 62% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Vikings @ Jets, on one screen.

Vikings21.5win 62%
Market-implied score
Jets18.0win 38%
SpreadMIN -3.5
Total39.5
Moneyline-185 / +154
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Vikings vs Jets prediction

The market makes Minnesota Vikings a 3.5-point favorite over New York Jets, with the game total at 39.5.

Moneylines sit at -185 for Minnesota Vikings and +154 for New York Jets, a devigged 38% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.5 for Minnesota Vikings and 18 for New York Jets.

The spread has moved from MIN -3 to MIN -3.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 40 to 39.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 196 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Justin Jefferson (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 59 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 192 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET, at MetLife Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Vikings at Jets — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadMIN -3.5 (open MIN -3)
Total39.5 (open 40)
Moneyline (MIN / NYJ)-185 / +154
NYJ implied win probability38%
Implied team totals (MIN — NYJ)21.5 — 18.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Vikings and Jets this season

Games before Week 17. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Minnesota Vikings6-24-41-718.314.57
New York Jets2-73-4-24-520.224.87

Vikings' last 3 games: L 6-23 vs BUF · L 15-19 @ DET · W 16-10 vs IND.

Jets' last 3 games: L 12-35 @ KC · L 33-38 vs LV · L 25-28 vs MIA.

Player projections

Minnesota Vikings · 21.5 market-implied pts
Carson Wentz (QB) — 196 pass yds · 11 rush yds
Justin Jefferson (WR) — 1 rush yds · 59 rec yds
Jordan Mason (RB) — 50 rush yds · 8 rec yds
New York Jets · 18.0 market-implied pts
Geno Smith (QB) — 192 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Breece Hall (RB) — 54 rush yds · 16 rec yds
Braelon Allen (RB) — 47 rush yds · 10 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Vikings @ Jets, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Vikings @ Jets matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 17 games

← Week 16 · Week 18 → · Full 2026 schedule

Vikings 2026 schedule

Jets 2026 schedule