New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 15 2026

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 3:05 PM CT · State Farm Stadium (retractable roof)

Game preview

The market makes Arizona Cardinals a 1.5-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at -110 for New York Jets and -110 for Arizona Cardinals, a devigged 50% win probability for Arizona Cardinals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20 for New York Jets and 21.5 for Arizona Cardinals.

The spread has moved from 1.5 to -1.5 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 205 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards; Arizona Cardinals — Jacoby Brissett (QB) at 213 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Trey McBride (TE) at 68 receiving yards and 6.7 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 3:05 PM CT, at State Farm Stadium, indoors, Arizona Cardinals take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Jets at Cardinals — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadARI -1.5 (open +1.5)
Total41.5
Moneyline (NYJ / ARI)-110 / -110
ARI implied win probability50%
Implied team totals (NYJ — ARI)20.0 — 21.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

New York Jets · 20.0 proj pts
Geno Smith (QB) — 205 pass yds · 11 rush yds
Breece Hall (RB) — 68 rush yds · 23 rec yds
Garrett Wilson (WR) — 56 rec yds · 4.8 rec
Arizona Cardinals · 21.5 proj pts
Jacoby Brissett (QB) — 213 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Trey McBride (TE) — 68 rec yds · 6.7 rec
Jeremiyah Love (RB) — 42 rush yds · 20 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 15 games

← Week 14 · Week 16 → · Full 2026 schedule