New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 15 2026

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET · State Farm Stadium (retractable roof)

Prediction: Cardinals 22, Jets 20 (market-implied). · Updated

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Every angle of Jets @ Cardinals, on one screen.

Jets20.0win 50%
Market-implied score
Cardinals21.5win 50%
SpreadARI -1.5
Total41.5
Moneyline-110 / -110
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Jets vs Cardinals prediction

The market makes Arizona Cardinals a 1.5-point favorite over New York Jets, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at -110 for New York Jets and -110 for Arizona Cardinals, a devigged 50% win probability for Arizona Cardinals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20 for New York Jets and 21.5 for Arizona Cardinals.

The spread has moved from PK to ARI -1.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 41 to 41.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 208 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; Arizona Cardinals — Gardner Minshew (QB) at 243 passing yards and 7 rushing yards, Trey McBride (TE) at 77 receiving yards and 7.6 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET, at State Farm Stadium, indoors, Arizona Cardinals take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Jets at Cardinals — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadARI -1.5 (open PK)
Total41.5 (open 41)
Moneyline (NYJ / ARI)-110 / -110
ARI implied win probability50%
Implied team totals (NYJ — ARI)20.0 — 21.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Jets and Cardinals this season

Games before Week 15. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
New York Jets2-73-4-24-520.224.87
Arizona Cardinals3-64-55-419.828.314

Jets' last 3 games: L 12-35 @ KC · L 33-38 vs LV · L 25-28 vs MIA.

Cardinals' last 3 games: L 3-17 @ SEA · W 33-30 @ DAL · L 16-30 vs DEN.

Player projections

New York Jets · 20.0 market-implied pts
Geno Smith (QB) — 208 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Breece Hall (RB) — 56 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Braelon Allen (RB) — 49 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Arizona Cardinals · 21.5 market-implied pts
Gardner Minshew (QB) — 243 pass yds · 7 rush yds
Trey McBride (TE) — 77 rec yds · 7.6 rec
Tyler Allgeier (RB) — 57 rush yds · 18 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Jets @ Cardinals, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Jets @ Cardinals matchup →

Retractable-roof stadium: the outdoor forecast applies only if the roof is open. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 15 games

← Week 14 · Week 16 → · Full 2026 schedule

Jets 2026 schedule

Cardinals 2026 schedule