Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 10 2026

Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET · State Farm Stadium (retractable roof)

Prediction: Rams 25, Cardinals 15 (market-implied). The market gives the Los Angeles Rams a 78% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Rams @ Cardinals, on one screen.

Rams24.5win 78%
Market-implied score
Cardinals15.0win 22%
SpreadLA -9.5
Total39.5
Moneyline-450 / +344
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Rams vs Cardinals prediction

The market makes Los Angeles Rams a 9.5-point favorite over Arizona Cardinals, with the game total at 39.5.

Moneylines sit at -450 for Los Angeles Rams and +344 for Arizona Cardinals, a devigged 22% win probability for Arizona Cardinals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24.5 for Los Angeles Rams and 15 for Arizona Cardinals.

The spread has moved from LA -7.5 to LA -9.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 47.5 to 39.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 220 passing yards and 3 rushing yards, Puka Nacua (WR) at 4 rushing yards and 89 receiving yards; Arizona Cardinals — Gardner Minshew (QB) at 236 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Trey McBride (TE) at 74 receiving yards and 7.6 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET, at State Farm Stadium, indoors.

From the blog: NFL Week 10 Preview: Who's Hot, Who's Fading and Where I'm Leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Rams at Cardinals — lines as of Tue, 11/10 · 9:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadLA -9.5 (open LA -7.5)
Total39.5 (open 47.5)
Moneyline (LA / ARI)-450 / +344
ARI implied win probability22%
Implied team totals (LA — ARI)24.5 — 15.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Rams and Cardinals this season

Games before Week 10. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Los Angeles Rams5-45-44-523.820.17
Arizona Cardinals3-64-55-419.828.37

Rams' last 3 games: W 20-13 @ WAS · W 24-9 vs LAC · W 35-21 @ LV.

Cardinals' last 3 games: L 3-17 @ SEA · W 33-30 @ DAL · L 16-30 vs DEN.

Player projections

Los Angeles Rams · 24.5 market-implied pts
Matthew Stafford (QB) — 220 pass yds · 3 rush yds
Puka Nacua (WR) — 4 rush yds · 89 rec yds
Kyren Williams (RB) — 67 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Arizona Cardinals · 15.0 market-implied pts
Gardner Minshew (QB) — 236 pass yds · 6 rush yds
Trey McBride (TE) — 74 rec yds · 7.6 rec
Tyler Allgeier (RB) — 54 rush yds · 17 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Rams @ Cardinals, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Rams @ Cardinals matchup →

Retractable-roof stadium: the outdoor forecast applies only if the roof is open. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 10 games

← Week 9 · Week 11 → · Full 2026 schedule

Rams 2026 schedule

Cardinals 2026 schedule