Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Huntington Bank Field
The market makes Houston Texans a 4.5-point favourite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 38.5.
Moneylines sit at -205 for Houston Texans and +170 for Cleveland Browns, a devigged 36% win probability for Cleveland Browns; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.5 for Houston Texans and 17 for Cleveland Browns.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 248 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 74 receiving yards; Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 197 passing yards and 25 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 47 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Huntington Bank Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -4.5 |
| Total | 38.5 |
| Moneyline (HOU / CLE) | -205 / +170 |
| CLE implied win probability | 36% |
| Implied team totals (HOU — CLE) | 21.5 — 17.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.