Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Caesars Superdome (indoors)
The market makes New Orleans Saints a 3.5-point favourite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 41.5.
Moneylines sit at +160 for Cleveland Browns and -192 for New Orleans Saints, a devigged 63% win probability for New Orleans Saints; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19 for Cleveland Browns and 22.5 for New Orleans Saints.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 199 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards; New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 248 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Chris Olave (WR) at 79 receiving yards and 6.5 catches.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Caesars Superdome, indoors, New Orleans Saints take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | NO -3.5 |
| Total | 41.5 |
| Moneyline (CLE / NO) | +160 / -192 |
| NO implied win probability | 63% |
| Implied team totals (CLE — NO) | 19.0 — 22.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.